A nomogram for prediction of ERCP success in patients with bile duct leaks: a multicenter study.

BACKGROUND: Bile duct leaks (BDLs) are serious complications that occurs after hepatobiliary surgery and trauma, leading to rapid clinical deterioration. Endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) is the first-line treatment for BDLs, but it is not clear which patients will respond to this therapy and which patients will require additional surgical intervention. The aim of our study was to explore the predictors of successful ERCP for BDLs. METHODS: A retrospective analysis was conducted using data from six centers' databases. All consecutive patients who were clinically confirmed as BDLs were included in the study. Collected data were demographics, disease severity, and ERCP procedure characteristics. Univariate and multivariate analysis were used to select independent predictive factors that affect the outcome of ERCP for BDLs, and a nomogram was established. Calibration and ROC curves were used to evaluate the models. RESULTS: Four hundred and forty-eight consecutive patients were clinically confirmed as BDLs and 347 were excluded. In the 101 patients included patients, clinical success was achieved in 78 patients (77.2%). In logistic multivariable regression, two independent factors were negatively associated with the success of ERCP: SIRS (OR, 0.183; 95% CI 0.039-0.864; P = 0.032) and high-grade leak (OR 0.073; 95% CI 0.010-0.539; P = 0.010). Two independent factors were positively associated with the success of ERCP: leak-bridging drainage (OR 4.792; 95% CI 1.08-21.21; P = 0.039) and cystic duct leak (OR 6.193; 95% CI 1.03-37.17; P = 0.046). The prediction model with these four factors was evaluated using a receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve, which demonstrated an area under the curve of 0.9351. The calibration curve showed that the model had good predictive accuracy. CONCLUSION: Leak-bridging drainage and cystic duct leak are positive predictors for the success of ERCP, while SIRS and high-grade leak are negative predictors. This prediction model with nomogram has good predictive ability and practical clinical value, and may be helpful in clinical decision-making and prognostication.

Potential Added Value of 18F-FDG PET Metabolic Parameters in Predicting Disease Relapse in Type 1 Autoimmune Pancreatitis.

BACKGROUND: The predictive value of 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography (18F-FDG PET/CT) metabolic parameters for predicting AIP relapse is currently unknown. This study firstly explored the value of 18F-FDG PET/CT parameters as predictors of type 1 AIP relapse. METHODS: This multicenter retrospective cohort study analyzed 51 patients who received 18F-FDG PET/CT prior to treatment and did not receive maintenance therapy after remission. The study collected baseline characteristics and clinical data and conducted qualitative and semi-quantitative analysis of pancreatic lesions and extrapancreatic organs. The study used three thresholds to select the boundaries of pancreatic lesions to evaluate metabolic parameters, including the maximum standard uptake value (SUVmax), mean standard uptake value (SUVmean), total lesion glycolysis (TLG), metabolic tumor volume (MTV), and tumor-to-normal liver standard uptake value ratio (SUVR). Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify independent predictors and build a recurrence prediction model. The model was internally validated using the bootstrap method and a nomogram was created for clinical application. RESULTS: In the univariable analysis, the relapsed group showed higher levels of SUVmax (6.0 ± 1.6 vs. 5.2 ± 1.1; P = 0.047), SUVR (2.3 [2.0-3.0] vs. 2.0 [1.6-2.4]; P = 0.026), and TLG2.5 (234.5 ± 149.1 vs. 139.6 ± 102.5; P = 0.020) among the 18F-FDG PET metabolic parameters compared to the non-relapsed group. In the multivariable analysis, serum IgG4 (OR, 1.001; 95% CI, 1.000-1.002; P = 0.014) and TLG2.5 (OR, 1.007; 95% CI, 1.002-1.013; P = 0.012) were independent predictors associated with relapse of type 1 AIP. A receiver-operating characteristic curve of the predictive model with these two predictors demonstrated an area under the curve of 0.806. CONCLUSION: 18F-FDG PET/CT metabolic parameters, particularly TLG2.5, are potential predictors for relapse in patients with type 1 AIP. A multiparameter model that includes IgG4 and TLG2.5 can enhance the ability to predict AIP relapse.

Cholangioscopy-assisted basket extraction of choledocholithiasis through papillary support without endoscopic sphincterotomy: a pilot exploration for super minimally invasive surgery.

Video 1The procedure of cholangioscopy-assisted basket extraction of choledocholithiasis through papillary support.

Endoscopic resection for the treatment of non-gastric gastrointestinal stromal tumors: A retrospective study from a large tertiary hospital in China.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Few studies on endoscopic resection (ER) for the treatment of non-gastric gastrointestinal (GI) stromal tumors (GISTs) have been conducted, and most have been case reports or case series. The aim of this study was to evaluate the effectiveness and safety of ER for non-gastric GISTs. METHODS: From January 2010 to December 2022, 329 patients who were diagnosed with GISTs underwent ER. After excluding 302 patients with gastric GISTs, we retrospectively assessed the data of 27 patients with non-gastric GISTs. The main outcome measures were en bloc resection, complete resection, residual disease, recurrence, and complications. RESULTS: A total of 15(55.6%) females and 12(44.4%) males with a mean age of 53.8 ± 11.0 years were assessed. There were 19 (70.4%) GISTs in the esophagus, 2 (7.4%) in the duodenum, 3 (11.1%) in the colon and 3 (11.1%) in the rectum. The median tumor size was 12.0 mm (range 4.0-35.0 mm). Most of the GISTs (20, 74.1%) were very low risk, and the remaining 7(25.9%) were low risk. Both en bloc resection and complete resection were achieved in 25(92.6%) patients. Piecemeal resection mainly resulted from a larger tumor size, an irregular shape, and an extraluminal growth pattern. No residual disease or recurrence was noted during the follow-up period. The median operation time was 23 min (range 2-125 min). After excluding the operation time of EER, the operation time was prolonged to 37 min (range 12-125 min). Only one patient experienced mild abdominal pain, leading to a complication rate of 3.7%. No severe complications requiring for surgical interventions occurred. CONCLUSION: ER was an effective and safe method for non-gastric GISTs in selected cases. GISTs of a small size and regular shape with an intraluminal growth pattern require complete resection.

Risk factors for complications in elderly patients aged 85 years and over undergoing endoscopic biliary stone removal.

Background and aim: The number of elderly patients with biliary stones is increasing. Endoscopic retrograde cholangiography (ERCP) is considered to be an effective treatment for biliary stones. Having a sound knowledge of the risk factors can help reduce the incidence and severity of complications for ERCP. Furthermore, limited research has been published on patients aged over 85 years undergoing endoscopic biliary stone removal. This study aims to determine the risk factors that lead to complications of ERCP in patients over 85 years of age. Methods: This was a single-center retrospective study. We analyzed 156 patients aged ≥ 85 years with biliary stones who underwent their first ERCP at Chinese PLA General Hospital from February 2002 to March 2021. Logistic regression models were employed to identify the independent risk factors for complications. Results: A total of 13 patients (8.3%) had complications. Thereinto, pancreatitis, cholangitis, bleeding, and other complications occurred in 4 cases (2.6%), 1 cases (0.6%), 4 cases (2.6%), and 4 cases (2.6%), respectively. There was no perforation or death related to ERCP. Independent risk factors for complications were acute biliary pancreatitis (ABP) (P = 0.017) and Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) (P = 0.019). Significantly, reasons for incomplete stone removal at once were large stone (>10 mm) (P < 0.001) and higher acute physiology and chronic health evaluation scoring system (APACHE-II) (P = 0.005). Conclusions: ERCP was recommended with caution in patients ≥ 85 years of age with ABP or higher CCI undergoing endoscopic biliary stone removal. In patients with ABP without cholangitis or biliary obstruction we recommend against urgent (within 48 h) ERCP. Patients with higher CCI who can tolerate ERCP can undergo rapid ERCP biliary stenting or nasobiliary implantation with later treatment of stones, and patients who cannot tolerate ERCP are treated promptly with PTCD and aggressive conservative treatment.

Prospective single-center feasible study of innovative autorelease bile duct supporter to delay adverse events after endoscopic papillectomy.

BACKGROUND: Conventional endoscopic papillectomy (EP) is safe and effective for the treatment of small papilla adenoma to even large laterally spreading tumors of duodenum lesions. As reported by some existing studies, temporarily placing a prophylactic stent in the pancreatic and bile duct can lower the risk of this perioperative complication. AIM: To evaluate the usefulness, convenience, safety, and short-term results of a novel autorelease bile duct supporter after EP procedure, especially the effectiveness in preventing EP. METHODS: A single-center comparison study was conducted to verify the feasibility of the novel method. After EP, a metallic endoclip and human fibrin sealant kit were applied for protection. The autorelease bile duct supporter fell into the duct segment and the intestinal segment. Specifically, the intestinal segment was extended by nearly 5 cm as a bent coil. The bile was isolated from the pancreatic juice using an autorelease bile duct supporter, which protected the wound surface. The autorelease bile duct supporter fell off naturally and arrived in colon nearly 10 d after the operation. RESULTS: En bloc endoscopic resection was performed in 6/8 patients (75%), and piecemeal resection was performed in 2/8 of patients (25%). None of the above patients were positive for neoplastic lymph nodes or distant metastasis. No cases of mortality, hemorrhage, delayed perforation, pancreatitis, cholangitis or duct stenosis with the conventional medical treatment were reported. The autorelease bile duct supporter in 7 of 8 patients fell off naturally and arrived in colon 10 d after the operation. One autorelease bile duct supporter was successfully removed using forceps or snare under endoscopy. No recurrence was identified during the 8-mo (ranging from 6-9 mo) follow-up period. CONCLUSION: In brief, it was found that the autorelease bile duct supporter could decrease the frequency of procedure-associated complications without second endoscopic retraction. Secure closure of the resection wound with clips and fibrin glue were indicated to be promising and important for the use of autorelease bile duct supporters. Well-designed larger-scale comparative studies are required to confirm the findings of this study.

Comparison of Endoscopic Radiofrequency Ablation and Argon Plasma Coagulation in Patients with Gastric Low-Grade Intraepithelial Neoplasia: A Large-Scale Retrospective Study.

Background: Gastric low-grade intraepithelial neoplasia (LGIN) is a precancerous lesion of gastric cancer. Endoscopic therapies represented by radiofrequency ablation (RFA) and argon plasma coagulation (APC) have been applied to treat gastric LGIN in recent years. However, no comparative study examining the effectiveness and safety profiles of RFA and APC has been reported. Methods: A single-center, large-scale, retrospective study, including 73 and 50 patients treated with RFA and APC, respectively, was conducted in the First Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital from October 2015 to October 2020, with a two-year follow-up. Effectiveness, complications, operative factors, and other data were assessed. Results: At 2 years of follow-up, cure, relapse, recurrence, and progression rates were 90.4%, 9.6%, 9.6%, and 2.7% in the RFA group, respectively, versus 90%, 10%, 12%, and 4% in the APC group, respectively, with no statistically significant differences between the two groups (all p > 0.05). However, the mean lesion size was significantly larger in the RFA group (2.6 ± 1.0 cm) than in the APC group (1.5 ± 0.6 cm) (p < 0.001); there was also a significant difference in the composition ratio of large lesions between the two groups (p < 0.001). No serious postoperative complications showed in either group, and the abdominal pain was the most common symptom in the short term after surgery. Conclusions: RFA and APC are both safe and effective destructive therapies for gastric LGIN. RFA is more suitable for flat and large lesions, while APC is more suitable for small lesions, especially those with slight local uplift or depression. An intraoperative submucosal injection is expected to be an effective method for relieving postoperative abdominal pain.

Predicting success of direct endoscopic necrosectomy with lumen-apposing metal stents for pancreatic walled-off necrosis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Direct endoscopic necrosectomy (DEN) with lumen-apposing metal stents (LAMSs) is increasingly used in the management of pancreatic walled-off necrosis (WON). However, it still remains unknown which patients will fail to respond to DEN with LAMSs and require additional surgical intervention. Therefore, the aim of our study was to explore predictors of successful DEN with LAMSs for pancreatic WON. METHODS: This is a retrospective analysis of a prospectively collected database. All consecutive patients who underwent DEN with LAMSs for pancreatic WON were included. Collected data were demographics, disease severity, morphologic features, and procedure characteristics. Potential factors affecting DEN outcome were predefined and analyzed. RESULTS: One hundred one consecutive patients undergoing DEN with LAMSs for WON were identified, among whom 4 patients were excluded for technical failure (n = 1) and previous debridement without LAMSs (n = 3). In the 97 included patients, clinical success was achieved in 79 patients (81.4%). In logistic multivariable regression, 3 independent factors were negatively associated with success of DEN with LAMSs: increasing Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score (odds ratio [OR], .70; 95% confidence interval [CI], .55-.90; P = .005), >50% pancreatic necrosis (OR, .16; 95% CI, .03-.77; P = .022), and paracolic gutter extension (OR, .08; 95% CI, .02-.42; P = .003). A receiver-operating characteristic curve of the prediction model with these 3 factors demonstrated an area under the curve of .926. CONCLUSIONS: Paracolic gutter extension, increasing Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score, and >50% gland necrosis are negative predictors for success of DEN with LAMSs in WON. This prediction model with nomogram may be helpful in clinical decision-making and prognostication.

Safety and efficacy of therapeutic endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography for patients over 90 years of age.

AIMS: This study aimed to explore the safety and efficacy of endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) in patients over 90 years of age. METHODS: The study included 176 patients aged over 85 years who received their ERCP from February 2002 to January 2021. In the case group (super-elderly group), 44 patients were 90 years old or above. In the control group (younger group), there were 132 patients aged 85-89 years. The control group was matched according to patient gender and the same indications of ERCP at a 1:3 ratio. Logistic regression models were employed to evaluate all complications. RESULTS: The case group had higher acute physiology and chronic health evaluation scoring system (APACHE-II) scores and rate of hypoalbuminemia. APACHE-II scores (≥6 or 7) were significantly more common in the case group. The rates of technical success and complete success in the case group were 100% and 100% respectively, which were similar to the rates in the control group, namely a technical success rate of 98.5% and a complete success rate of 98.5%. The rate of complication in the case group was 9.1%, which was slightly lower than that of the control group (15.2%, P > 0.05). ERCP-related death occurred in one patient in the control group, who had malignant biliary obstruction and died from cholangitis. There was no significant difference in the incidence of complications such as pancreatitis, hemorrhage, and infection between the two groups. In the multivariate analysis, the independent risk factor was Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) for overall complication. CONCLUSIONS: ERCP can be performed safely and successfully in patients aged ≥90 years. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2022; 22: 50-55.

Clinical outcomes of endoscopic resection for the treatment of gastric gastrointestinal stromal tumors originating from the muscularis propria: a 7-year experience from a large tertiary center in China.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Few studies have evaluated the value of endoscopic resection (ER) for the treatment of gastric gastrointestinal (GI) stromal tumors (GISTs) originating from the muscularis propria (MP) in a large population, and no studies have evaluated risk factors for piecemeal resection. This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of ER for gastric GISTs in a real-world setting and to explore factors associated with piecemeal resection. METHODS: From January 2013 to December 2019, 185 patients with gastric GISTs originating from the MP were assessed. Clinicopathological and endoscopic data were collected and analyzed. Baseline characteristics of the en bloc resection and piecemeal resection groups were compared to evaluate predictive factors for piecemeal resection. RESULTS: There were 71 males and 114 females with a mean age of 57.0 ± 9.7 years. The mean size of GISTs was 15 mm (range 4-65 mm). A total of 123 were very low risk, 52 were low risk, and ten were moderate risk. In this study, 103 GISTs were treated with endoscopic submucosal excavation (ESE), 68 GISTs were treated with endoscopic full-thickness resection (EFR), and 14 GISTs were treated with submucosal tunneling ER (STER). Either en bloc resection or complete resection was achieved in 160 (86.5%) patients. No recurrence was noted during follow-up. Only five patients experienced minor complications, with a complication rate of 2.7%. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that size (odds ratio [OR] 1.060, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.004-1.118; P = 0.035) and shape (OR 5.434, 95% CI 1.638-18.027; P = 0.006) were independent predictors of piecemeal resection. CONCLUSION: ER was effective and safe for the treatment of gastric GISTs originating from the MP. Piecemeal resection did not seem to affect the efficacy of ER, and no recurrence was noted during follow-up. Large size and irregular shape are risk factors related to piecemeal resection of ER.