Precision prognostics for cardiovascular disease in Type 2 diabetes: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Precision medicine has the potential to improve cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk prediction in individuals with Type 2 diabetes (T2D). METHODS: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of longitudinal studies to identify potentially novel prognostic factors that may improve CVD risk prediction in T2D. Out of 9380 studies identified, 416 studies met inclusion criteria. Outcomes were reported for 321 biomarker studies, 48 genetic marker studies, and 47 risk score/model studies. RESULTS: Out of all evaluated biomarkers, only 13 showed improvement in prediction performance. Results of pooled meta-analyses, non-pooled analyses, and assessments of improvement in prediction performance and risk of bias, yielded the highest predictive utility for N-terminal pro b-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) (high-evidence), troponin-T (TnT) (moderate-evidence), triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index (moderate-evidence), Genetic Risk Score for Coronary Heart Disease (GRS-CHD) (moderate-evidence); moderate predictive utility for coronary computed tomography angiography (low-evidence), single-photon emission computed tomography (low-evidence), pulse wave velocity (moderate-evidence); and low predictive utility for C-reactive protein (moderate-evidence), coronary artery calcium score (low-evidence), galectin-3 (low-evidence), troponin-I (low-evidence), carotid plaque (low-evidence), and growth differentiation factor-15 (low-evidence). Risk scores showed modest discrimination, with lower performance in populations different from the original development cohort. CONCLUSIONS: Despite high interest in this topic, very few studies conducted rigorous analyses to demonstrate incremental predictive utility beyond established CVD risk factors for T2D. The most promising markers identified were NT-proBNP, TnT, TyG and GRS-CHD, with the highest strength of evidence for NT-proBNP. Further research is needed to determine their clinical utility in risk stratification and management of CVD in T2D.

People living with type 2 diabetes (T2D) are more likely to develop problems with their heart or blood circulation, known as cardiovascular disease (CVD), than people who do not have T2D. However, it can be difficult to predict which people with T2D are most likely to develop CVD. This is because current approaches, such as blood tests, do not identify all people with T2D who are at an increased risk of CVD. In this study we reviewed published papers that investigated the differences between people with T2D who experienced CVD compared to those who did not. We found some indicators that could potentially be used to determine which people with T2D are most likely to develop CVD. More studies are needed to determine how useful these are. However, they could potentially be used to enable clinicians to provide targeted advice and treatment to those people with T2D at most risk of developing CVD.

Association Between Glucosamine Use and the Risk of Incident Heart Failure: The UK Biobank Cohort Study and Mendelian Randomization Analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the association between regular glucosamine intake and heart failure (HF) and to explore whether the association is mediated by relevant cardiovascular disease. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We included 479,650 participants with data available for supplement use and without HF at baseline from the UK Biobank study. Using 12 single-nucleotide polymorphisms linked to HF, a weighted genetic risk score was calculated. We evaluated the association between glucosamine use and HF by Cox regression models after inverse probability of treatment weighting. A validation and mediation analysis were performed through two-sample Mendelian randomization. The study was from May 18, 2006, to February 16, 2018. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 9.0 (IQR, 8.3-9.8) years, we documented 5501 incident cases of HF. In multivariable analysis, the HR of glucosamine users for HF was 0.87 (95% CI, 0.81 to 0.94). The inverse associations were stronger in males and participants with unfavorable lifestyle (P<.05 for interaction). Genetic risk categories did not modify this association (P>.05 for interaction). Multivariable Mendelian randomization showed that taking glucosamine was protective against HF (HR, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.87 to 0.96). The mediated proportion of coronary heart disease and stroke were 10.5% (95% CI, 7.6% to 13.4%) and 14.4% (95% CI, 10.8% to 18.0%), respectively. The two-mediator combination accounted for 22.7% (95% CI, 17.2% to 28.2%) of the effect of glucosamine use. CONCLUSION: Regular glucosamine supplementation was associated with a lower risk of HF regardless of genetic risk status, and to a lesser extent, coronary heart disease and stroke mediated this effect. The results may inform novel pathway for prevention and intervention toward HF.

Precision Prognostics for Cardiovascular Disease in Type 2 Diabetes: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

Background Precision medicine has the potential to improve cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk prediction in individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D). Methods We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of longitudinal studies to identify potentially novel prognostic factors that may improve CVD risk prediction in T2D. Out of 9380 studies identified, 416 studies met inclusion criteria. Outcomes were reported for 321 biomarker studies, 48 genetic marker studies, and 47 risk score/model studies. Results Out of all evaluated biomarkers, only 13 showed improvement in prediction performance. Results of pooled meta-analyses, non-pooled analyses, and assessments of improvement in prediction performance and risk of bias, yielded the highest predictive utility for N-terminal pro b-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) (high-evidence), troponin-T (TnT) (moderate-evidence), triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index (moderate-evidence), Genetic Risk Score for Coronary Heart Disease (GRS-CHD) (moderate-evidence); moderate predictive utility for coronary computed tomography angiography (low-evidence), single-photon emission computed tomography (low-evidence), pulse wave velocity (moderate-evidence); and low predictive utility for C-reactive protein (moderate-evidence), coronary artery calcium score (low-evidence), galectin-3 (low-evidence), troponin-I (low-evidence), carotid plaque (low-evidence), and growth differentiation factor-15 (low-evidence). Risk scores showed modest discrimination, with lower performance in populations different from the original development cohort. Conclusions Despite high interest in this topic, very few studies conducted rigorous analyses to demonstrate incremental predictive utility beyond established CVD risk factors for T2D. The most promising markers identified were NT-proBNP, TnT, TyG and GRS-CHD, with the highest strength of evidence for NT-proBNP. Further research is needed to determine their clinical utility in risk stratification and management of CVD in T2D.

Association of regular glucosamine use with incident dementia: evidence from a longitudinal cohort and Mendelian randomization study.

BACKGROUND: Emerging data suggests the neuroprotective and anti-neuroinflammatory effects of glucosamine. We aimed to examine the association between regular glucosamine use and risk of incident dementia, including dementia subtypes. METHODS: We conducted large-scale observational and two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses. Participants in UK Biobank having accessible data for dementia incidence and who did not have dementia at baseline were included in the prospective cohort. Through the Cox proportional hazard model, we examined the risks of incident all-cause dementia, Alzheimer's disease (AD), and vascular dementia among glucosamine users and non-users. To further test the causal association between glucosamine use and dementia, we conducted a 2-sample MR utilizing summary statistics from genome-wide association studies (GWAS). The GWAS data were obtained from observational cohort participants of mostly European ancestry. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 8.9 years, there were 2458 cases of all-cause dementia, 924 cases of AD, and 491 cases of vascular dementia. In multivariable analysis, the hazard ratios (HR) of glucosamine users for all-cause dementia, AD, and vascular dementia were 0.84 (95% CI 0.75-0.93), 0.83 (95% CI 0.71-0.98), and 0.74 (95% CI 0.58-0.95), respectively. The inverse associations between glucosamine use and AD appeared to be stronger among participants aged below 60 years than those aged above 60 years (p = 0.04 for interaction). The APOE genotype did not modify this association (p > 0.05 for interaction). Single-variable MR suggested a causal relationship between glucosamine use and lower dementia risk. Multivariable MR showed that taking glucosamine continued to protect against dementia after controlling for vitamin, chondroitin supplement use and osteoarthritis (all-cause dementia HR 0.88, 95% CI 0.81-0.95; AD HR 0.78, 95% CI 0.72-0.85; vascular dementia HR 0.73, 95% CI 0.57-0.94). Single and multivariable inverse variance weighted (MV-IVW) and MR-Egger sensitivity analyses produced similar results for these estimations. CONCLUSIONS: The findings of this large-scale cohort and MR analysis provide evidence for potential causal associations between the glucosamine use and lower risk for dementia. These findings require further validation through randomized controlled trials.

Preserved Ratio Impaired Spirometry in Relationship to Cardiovascular Outcomes: A Large Prospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Preserved ratio impaired spirometry (PRISm) findings are a heterogeneous condition characterized by a normal FEV1 to FVC ratio with underlying impairment of pulmonary function. Data relating to the association of baseline and trajectories of PRISm findings with diverse cardiovascular outcomes are sparse. RESEARCH QUESTION: How do baseline and trajectories of PRISm findings impact subsequent cardiovascular events? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: In the UK Biobank cohort study, we included participants free of cardiovascular disease (CVD) with spirometry (FEV1 and FVC values) at baseline (2006-2010). Participants with baseline spirometry and follow-up spirometry (2014-2020) were included in the lung function trajectory analysis. Cox proportional hazards multivariate regression was performed to evaluate the outcomes of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs), incident myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, heart failure (HF), and CVD mortality in association with lung function. RESULTS: For baseline analysis (329,954 participants), the multivariate adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for participants had PRISm findings (vs normal spirometry findings) were 1.26 (95% CI, 1.17-1.35) for MACE, 1.12 (95% CI, 1.01-1.25) for MI, 1.88 (95% CI, 1.72-2.05) for HF, 1.26 (95% CI, 1.13-1.40) for stroke, and 1.55 (95% CI, 1.37-1.76) for CVD mortality, respectively. A total of 22,781 participants underwent follow-up spirometry after an average of 8.9 years. Trajectory analysis showed that persistent PRISm findings (HR, 1.96; 95% CI, 1.24-3.09) and airflow obstruction (HR, 1.43; 95% CI, 1.00-2.04) was associated with a higher incidence of MACE vs consistently normal lung function. Compared with persistent PRISm findings, changing from PRISm to normal spirometry findings was associated with a lower incidence of MACE (HR, 0.42; 95% CI, 0.19-0.99). INTERPRETATION: Individuals with baseline or persistent PRISm findings were at a higher risk of diverse cardiovascular outcomes even after adjusting for a wide range of confounding factors. However, individuals who transitioned from PRISm to normal findings showed a similar cardiovascular risk as those with normal lung function.

Hyperuricemia as a possible risk factor for abnormal lipid metabolism in the Chinese population: a cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have reported that there may be a close relationship between elevated serum uric acid (UA) levels and metabolic syndrome. However, the association between these two factors has not been explored explicitly. Therefore, we carried out this study to investigate the association between UA and lipid profiles. METHODS: A total of 2,482 subjects participated in this cross-sectional study using a multistage stratified sampling method. Lipid profile, glucose metabolism, and other metabolic factors were measured and classified into UA-stratified and age-stratified groups to investigate the relationship between hyperuricemia and metabolic factors. Pearson correlations and logistic regressions were utilized to further explore the association between UA and lipid profile. RESULTS: The individuals aged 18 to 29 years presented with high serum UA concentrations. Moreover, the prevalence of hyperuricemia was higher among men than in women. Furthermore, statistically significant positive correlations were found between UA and serum triglycerides (TG), serum total cholesterol (TC), and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-c). Conversely, only high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-c) was negatively correlated. Moreover, TG group status (1.70≤ TG <2.30 mmol/L) was an independent risk factor for hyperuricemia in both univariate and multivariate models. CONCLUSIONS: This study found significant positive associations between TG, TC, LDL, and UA but an inverse relationship with HDL-c. Thus hyperuricemia may be a risk factor for abnormal lipid metabolism.

Age-specific thyrotropin references decrease over-diagnosis of hypothyroidism in elderly patients in iodine-excessive areas.

OBJECTIVE: Acute or chronic exposure to excess iodine has detrimental effects on thyroid physiology; therefore, this study aimed to determine the prevalence of overt hypothyroidism (OH) and subclinical hypothyroidism (SCH) in an elderly population residing in geographical areas with chronic exposure to excess iodine intake and to analyse contributing risk factors. DESIGN: This cross-sectional study was conducted from 2016 to 2017 in areas of Jiangsu Province that have documented chronic exposure to high iodine intake. PATIENTS: We enroled 2559 adult participants using a multistage, stratified sampling method. MEASUREMENTS: Urinary iodine concentration (UIC), serum thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) level and other relevant parameters were measured. Demographic information was recorded using a standardized questionnaire. The age-specific TSH references were determined by the National Academy of Clinical Biochemistry guidelines. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify risk factors for hypothyroidism in the study population. RESULTS: The median UIC of participants was 307.3 µg/L (interquartile range: 200.7, 469.8 µg/L). The prevalence of OH in subjects ≥70 years using laboratory reference ranges was 2.37%; however, it decreased to 1.78% with the use of an age-specific reference range. Similarly, the prevalence of SCH also declined drastically from 29.59% to 2.96% with the application of an age-specific reference range. In both univariate and multivariate models, advanced age, female gender and high UIC were identified as risk factors for hypothyroidism. CONCLUSIONS: Usage of age-specific TSH reference ranges led to a significantly lower prevalence of OH and SCH in the study population, thus preventing unnecessary over-diagnosis and over-treatment.