Predictors of hospital readmission rate in geriatric patients.

BACKGROUND: Hospital readmissions among older adults are associated with progressive functional worsening, increased institutionalization and mortality. AIM: Identify the main predictors of readmission in older adults. METHODS: We examined readmission predictors in 777 hospitalized subjects (mean age 84.40 ± 6.77 years) assessed with Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment (CGA), clinical, anthropometric and biochemical evaluations. Comorbidity burden was estimated by Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI). Median follow-up was 365 days. RESULTS: 358 patients (46.1%) had a second admission within 365 days of discharge. Estimated probability of having a second admission was 0.119 (95%C.I. 0.095-0.141), 0.158 (95%C.I. 0.131-0.183), and 0.496 (95%C.I. 0.458-0.532) at 21, 30 and 356 days, respectively. Main predictors of readmission at 1 year were length of stay (LOS) > 14 days (p < 0.001), albumin level < 30 g/l (p 0.018), values of glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) < 40 ml/min (p < 0.001), systolic blood pressure < 115 mmHg (p < 0.001), CCI ≥ 6 (p < 0.001), and cardiovascular diagnoses. When the joint effects of selected prognostic variables were accounted for, LOS > 14 days, worse renal function, systolic blood pressure < 115 mmHg, higher comorbidity burden remained independently associated with higher readmission risk. DISCUSSION: Selected predictors are associated with higher readmission risk, and the relationship evolves with time. CONCLUSIONS: This study highlights the importance of performing an accurate CGA, since defined domains and variables contained in the CGA (i.e., LOS, lower albumin and systolic blood pressure, poor renal function, and greater comorbidity burden), when combined altogether, may offer a valid tool to identify the most fragile patients with clinical and functional impairment enhancing their risk of unplanned early and late readmission.

Identifying sarcopenia in acute care setting patients.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the prevalence of sarcopenia by applying European Working Group on Sarcopenia in Older People (EWGSOP) flow chart in an acute care geriatric unit as well as to test a modified version of the EWGSOP diagnostic algorithm combining handgrip and gait speed test to identify subjects with low muscle mass. DESIGN: Observational cohort study. SETTING: Geriatric unit in an academic medical department. PARTICIPANTS: One hundred nineteen acutely ill persons (34.4% female), with mean age 80.4 ± 6.9 years and body mass index 26.3 ± 4.9 kg/m(2). MEASUREMENTS: Assessment of muscle mass by bioimpedence analysis, muscle strength by handheld dynamometer, and gait speed with the 4-meter walking test. RESULTS: Using the EWGSOP classification for sarcopenia, 5.0% presented with sarcopenia and 21.0% with severe sarcopenia. Combining gait speed test and handgrip strength measurement, the highest predictive power in detecting subjects with low muscle mass was observed (sensitivity and specificity, 80.6% and 62.5%, respectively). Subjects presenting with both normal gait speed and handgrip showed normal values of muscle mass as assessed with bioimpedence analysis. By using the ROC method, when the 2 tests were combined, the AUC was statistically higher than when using each test separately (0.740; P = .018). CONCLUSIONS: Our study shows that 1 of 4 patients admitted to the acute care department were recognized to be sarcopenic. When a modifived version of the EWGSOP flow chart, obtained combining both gait speed and handgrip was used, sensitivity and specificity of algorithm to identify subjects with low muscle mass was improved.

Insulin-like growth factor-1 is associated with bone formation markers, PTH and bone mineral density in healthy premenopausal women.

Bone turnover markers (BTM) progressively decrease in young adult women. This might be linked to changes in insulin-like growth factor-1 (IGF-I). Four serum BTMs [serum C-telopeptide of type 1 collagen (CTX), osteocalcin (OC), N-terminal propeptide of type 1 procollagen (P1NP), and bone alkaline phosphatase (bone AP)], serum calcium (sCa), phosphate (sPO(4)), magnesium, 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D], intact parathyroid hormone (PTH) and IGF-I were measured in 531 young healthy premenopausal women aged 20-50 years participating in the BONTURNO study. In all subjects bone mineral density (BMD) was measured at the spine and at the hip by dual-energy X-ray densitometry. Hip BMD, IGF-I, the four BTMs, sCa and sPO(4) progressively decreased with advancing age and this was associated with proportional increases in PTH. IGF-I levels were significantly and positively correlated with sCa, sPO(4), CTX, OC, P1NP, bone AP, spine BMD, femoral neck BMD and total hip BMD and negatively with age, BMI and serum PTH. When the IGF-I levels were adjusted for age and BMI, the only correlations maintaining a statistical significance were those with serum PTH, P1NP and bone AP. These associations were weak and IGF-I accounted for a only a small proportion of the BTM variance. The mean, age-adjusted IGF-I values were significantly higher in women practicing physical exercises for more then 60 min per week than in sedentary women. In conclusion, in this study we provide evidence of an association between the age-related decline in IGF-I with the progressive decrease in bone formation markers in premenopausal women.

High baseline values of fat mass, independently of appendicular skeletal mass, predict 2-year onset of disability in elderly subjects at the high end of the functional spectrum.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: To evaluate the relation between baseline body composition and 2- year onset of functional limitation in elderly subjects at the high end of the functional spectrum. METHODS: Anthropometric measurements, physical functioning as measured by a modified version of the Activities of Daily Living Scale, and baseline albumin, were evaluated in 145 men and women aged 66-78 years, free of functional limitations, selected from the general population of Verona. In each subject, total body fat mass (FM) and appendicular FFM (ASMM) were measured by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry; the FM (FMI) and ASMM indexes (ASMMI) were also calculated by dividing each body composition variable by height squared. RESULTS: After 2 years of follow-up, 48.2% of women and 40% of men had developed mild levels of disability, with limitations in kneeling, bending and climbing stairs. In women, but not in men, a BMI higher than 25 Kg/m2 or values of FMI higher than the 50th percentile, were significantly associated with a 3 to 5 times increased risk of limitations in climbing stairs and lower body performance. In men, a trend was found between low values of ASMMI and an increased risk of limitations in kneeling and bending. After cross-tabulating categories based on the 50th percentile of ASMMI and FMI, high values of FMI, independently of ASMMI, were significantly related with higher incidence of limitation in climbing stairs in women. In women, the highest 2-year incidence of limitation in climbing stairs was found in the group of obese subjects. CONCLUSIONS: High body fat and high BMI values were associated with a greater probability of developing functional limitations 2 years later in a population of elderly subjects at the high end of the functional spectrum. Moreover, in women, high baseline values of fat mass, independently of appendicular fat-free mass, were more likely to predict the future onset of functional limitations.

Longitudinal body composition changes in old men and women: interrelationships with worsening disability.

BACKGROUND: Few studies have evaluated prospectively age-related body composition changes and their relationships with worsening disability in the elderly population. METHODS: Ninety-seven women and 62 men aged 71.4+/-2.2 and 71.6+/-2.2 years, respectively, at baseline underwent dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry determinations at baseline and at 2- and 5.5-year follow-up intervals to measure total body and leg fat (FM) and total, appendicular, and leg fat-free mass (FFM). Height, weight, body mass index (BMI), and waist circumference (as well as reported disabilities using a four-level scale) were evaluated at baseline and at 2- and 5.5-year follow-up. RESULTS: In both sexes, total FM did not change significantly, while total, appendicular, and leg FFM significantly decreased over the study follow-up. In men and women losing weight, BMI, total and leg FM, and total, appendicular, and leg FFM significantly decreased. In weight-stable men and women, appendicular and leg FFM significantly decreased and BMI, waist circumference, and total FM significantly increased. Men lost significantly more total, appendicular, and leg FFM than did women, irrespective of whether they maintained or lost weight. Over the follow-up period, 43.3% of women and 43.5% of men declined in one or more levels of reported disability. We evaluated the effect of age, baseline BMI, FM, FFM, number of diseases, baseline 6-minute walking test, categories of weight change, total, appendicular, or leg FFM changes, total FM and waist changes on the probability of a decline in one or more levels of reported disability score over the follow-up period, taking into account sex. Patients losing appendicular and leg FFM were 2.15 and 2.53 times, respectively, more likely to report increased disability than were patients without FFM loss. CONCLUSIONS: Reduction in appendicular or leg FFM was the main predictor of decline in one or more levels of reported disability in older men and women, and accounted for about a 2-fold increase in risk.

Relationships between leisure-time physical activity, obesity and disability in elderly men.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Relationships have already been shown between leisure-time physical activity, obesity and body composition in young adults. However, this association needs to be confirmed in the elderly. The aim of this study was to investigate the relationship between leisure-time physical activity, obesity, preservation of muscle mass and disability in elderly men. METHODS: Cross-sectional analysis of a sample of 85 community-dwelling men, 68 to 79 years of age. Body mass index (BMI) was used to quantify obesity. Body composition was evaluated using Dual Energy X-ray Absorptiometry. Disability was measured using a modified version of the Activities of Daily Living scale. Leisure-time physical activity was evaluated by a validated self-administered questionnaire. RESULTS: A negative relation between obesity and weekly walking was observed. Walking less than 30 minutes per day was associated with a 2.7 greater probability of being obese (95% CI 1.1-6.7). High-intensity exercise, such as brisk walking or gardening, was inversely correlated with body fat (R = -0.296, p < 0.01) and directly correlated with appendicular skeletal mass (R = 0.238, p < 0.05). The prevalence of disability was the highest (58%) among overweight elderly subjects at the lowest tertile of exercise. Multiple logistic regression selected BMI as a positive predictor and high-intensity exercise as a negative predictor of disability. CONCLUSIONS: Our study shows that, in elderly men, leisure-time physical activity is inversely associated with body fat, BMI, and reported disability, but positively associated with appendicular fat-free mass. The highest prevalence of reported disability was observed in sedentary subjects with BMI higher than 25 kg/m2.

Body composition changes in stable-weight elderly subjects: the effect of sex.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Although cross-sectional and longitudinal studies have shown age-related changes in body composition and fat distribution, they may be related to body weight changes. The aim of this study was to evaluate yearly age-related changes in body composition and fat distribution, over a two-year period, in 101 women and 60 men (age range: 68 to 78 years at baseline). METHODS: Body composition was evaluated by dual energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA), and fat distribution by waist and hip circumferences and waist-to-hip circumference ratio. Baseline free testosterone, IGF-1 and serum albumin were evaluated in all subjects, as well as physical activity. Clinical evaluation was performed at baseline and yearly in order to exclude subjects with any condition inducing pathological changes in body composition or fat distribution. Subjects with a weight change > 5% of their baseline body weight during the study period, were excluded. RESULTS: Significant increases occurred in Body Mass Index (BMI) (1.18% in women, 1.13% in men), waist (1.75% in women, 1.39% in men), and hip circumference (1.06% in women, 1.31% in men), whereas height decreased significantly in both men (0.42%) and women (0.55%). Significant increases in total body fat (1.31%) and percent body fat (1.27%) were observed in women but not in men. Lean body mass did not change significantly throughout the study in either sex. Significant losses in leg muscle mass and appendicular skeletal muscle mass (ASM), calculated as the sum of arm and leg fat-free soft tissue, were observed in men (respectively 3.56 and 2.77%) and women (respectively 2.41 and 1.59%). A significant decrease in ASM adjusted by stature (ASM/height2), a proposed proxy for sarcopenia, was found in men only (1.97%). The rates of loss in leg muscle mass and appendicular muscle mass were significantly higher in men than in women, even after adjusting for free testosterone, IGF-1, physical activity and serum albumin. CONCLUSIONS: These data demonstrate significant changes in body composition and fat distribution in independently living, weight-stable elderly men and women. These changes are dependent on sex and independent of physical activity, hormones or serum albumin.

Relation between vitamin D, physical performance, and disability in elderly persons.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to evaluate the relationships between vitamin D, functional status, and disability in a sample of elderly, community-dwelling subjects. METHODS: Serum values of 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25[OH] D) and albumin were determined in all participants. Anthropometric measures were obtained, and body composition was assessed using dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry. Arm and leg isometric strength was tested. Reported disability was evaluated using a modified version of the Activities of Daily Living Scale and physical performance with the 6-minute walking test and two items of the Short Form 36 Health Survey Questionnaire (SF-36). RESULTS: A significantly higher prevalence of hypovitaminosis D, defined as level of 25(OH)D < 37.5 nmol/l, was observed in women than in men (55.4% and 35.1%, respectively; p <.001). In women, 25(OH)D was significantly associated with muscular strength and levels of physical function as assessed by SF-36. After adjusting for body mass index, albumin, appendicular fat-free mass, and season, muscle strength was still significantly lower in women with hypovitaminosis D than in those without. Women with reported disability showed significantly lower 25(OH)D values than those without. No relationship between muscular strength, physical function, or reported disability and 25(OH)D was found in men. CONCLUSIONS: In community-dwelling elderly women, 25(OH)D is related to muscular function and reported disability. Because of the high prevalence of hypovitaminosis D in the elderly population, this association seems to be clinically relevant.