Low prevalence of active COVID-19 in Slovenia: a nationwide population study of a probability-based sample.

OBJECTIVES: Accurate population-level assessment of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) burden is fundamental for navigating the path forward during the ongoing pandemic, but current knowledge is scant. We conducted the first nationwide population study using a probability-based sample to assess active severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection, combined with a longitudinal follow-up of the entire cohort over the next 6 months. Baseline SARS-CoV-2 RNA testing results and the first 3-week follow-up results are presented. METHODS: A probability-based sample of the Slovenian population comprising data from 2.1 million people was selected from the Central Population Register (n = 3000). SARS-CoV-2 RNA was detected in nasopharyngeal samples using the cobas 6800 SARS-CoV-2 assay. Each participant filled in a detailed baseline questionnaire with basic sociodemographic data and detailed medical history compatible with COVID-19. After 3 weeks, participants were interviewed for the presence of COVID-19-compatible clinical symptoms and signs, including in household members, and offered immediate testing for SARS-CoV-2 RNA if indicated. RESULTS: A total of 1368 individuals (46%) consented to participate and completed the questionnaire. Two of 1366 participants tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 RNA (prevalence 0.15%; posterior mean 0.18%, 95% Bayesian confidence interval 0.03-0.47; 95% highest density region (HDR) 0.01-0.41). No newly diagnosed infections occurred in the cohort during the first 3-week follow-up round. CONCLUSIONS: The low prevalence of active COVID-19 infections found in this study accurately predicted the dynamics of the epidemic in Slovenia over the subsequent month. Properly designed and timely executed studies using probability-based samples combined with routine target-testing figures provide reliable data that can be used to make informed decisions on relaxing or strengthening disease mitigation strategies.

Hantavirus infections.

Over the past few decades understanding and recognition of hantavirus infection has greatly improved worldwide, but both the amplitude and the magnitude of hantavirus outbreaks have been increasing. Several novel hantaviruses with unknown pathogenic potential have been identified in a variety of insectivore hosts. With the new hosts, new geographical distributions of hantaviruses have also been discovered and several new species were found in Africa. Hantavirus infection in humans can result in two clinical syndromes: haemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS) and hantavirus cardiopulmonary syndrome (HCPS) caused by Old World and New World hantaviruses, respectively. The clinical presentation of HFRS varies from subclinical, mild, and moderate to severe, depending in part on the causative agent of the disease. In general, HFRS caused by Hantaan virus, Amur virus and Dobrava virus are more severe with mortality rates from 5 to 15%, whereas Seoul virus causes moderate and Puumala virus and Saaremaa virus cause mild forms of disease with mortality rates <1%. The central phenomena behind the pathogenesis of both HFRS and HCPS are increased vascular permeability and acute thrombocytopenia. The pathogenesis is likely to be a complex multifactorial process that includes contributions from immune responses, platelet dysfunction and the deregulation of endothelial cell barrier functions. Also a genetic predisposition, related to HLA type, seems to be important for the severity of the disease. As there is no effective treatment or vaccine approved for use in the USA and Europe, public awareness and precautionary measures are the only ways to minimize the risk of hantavirus disease.

Evaluation of rectal swab use for the determination of enteric pathogens: a prospective study of diarrhoea in adults.

OBJECTIVES: A stool sample is the sample of choice for microbiological testing of enteric pathogens causing diarrhoea, but a rectal swab can be a more practical alternative. A prospective observational study was performed to evaluate the diagnostic performance of flocked rectal swab specimens using the syndromic molecular approach to determine the aetiology of diarrhoea in adults. METHODS: We compared the performance of rectal swabs with stool samples as the reference standard in determining viral, bacterial and protozoal pathogens using real-time multiplex PCR as well as standard stool culture. Paired samples of stool and rectal swab specimens were collected from 304 adult patients with diarrhoea, presented at the Department of Infectious Diseases, University Medical Centre Ljubljana, between June 2016 and August 2017. RESULTS: Overall sensitivity of rectal swab samples in the syndromic molecular approach was 83.2% (95% CI 77.2%-88.1%). Pathogen group-specific analysis of rectal swabs showed sensitivity of 65.6% (95% CI 52.7%-77.1%) for viruses and 57.1% (95% CI 28.9%-82.3%) for parasites. For bacteria, sensitivity was 86.5% (95% CI 79.5%-91.8%) when PCR was performed and 61.4% (95% CI 52.4%-69.9%) when culture for bacteria was performed. Mean threshold cycle (Ct) values for most pathogens were higher in rectal swab specimens than in stool specimens. CONCLUSIONS: Our results indicate that rectal swabs can be used in the diagnosis of diarrhoea in adults when stool specimens are not available or when rapid aetiological determination is needed. However, rectal swabs should be analysed using a molecular approach. The mean Ct value for most pathogens is higher in rectal swab specimens than in stool specimens.

Successful control of the first OXA-48 and/or NDM carbapenemase-producing Klebsiella pneumoniae outbreak in Slovenia 2014-2016.

BACKGROUND: Carbapenemase-producing Enterobacteriaceae (CPE) occur only sporadically in Slovenia. AIM: To describe the first Slovenian carbapenemase-producing (CP) Klebsiella pneumoniae and Escherichia coli outbreak which occurred at the tertiary teaching hospital University Medical Centre Ljubljana from October 2014 to April 2015. METHODS: A CPE-positive case was defined as any patient infected or colonized with CPE. A strict definition of a contact patient was adopted. Measures to prevent cross-transmission included cohorting of all CPE carriers with strict contact precautions and assignment of dedicated healthcare workers, cohorting of all contact patients until obtaining the result of screening cultures, systematic rectal screening of contact patients, and tagging of all CPE-positive cases and their contacts. Educational campaigns on CPEs were implemented. Clinical specimens were processed using standard procedures. Pulsed-field gel electrophoresis (PFGE) was used to determine relatedness. Multi-locus sequence typing was performed on CP K. pneumoniae isolates that belonged to different pulsotypes. FINDINGS: Before the outbreak was brought under control, 40 patients were colonized or infected with OXA-48 and/or New Delhi metallo-ß-lactamase (NDM)-producing CPE; in 38 patients OXA-48 and/or NDM-producing K. pneumoniae was detected, in seven OXA-48 and/or NDM-producing E. coli was found together with K. pneumoniae, and in two patients only CP E. coli was isolated. The outbreak was oligoclonal with two major CP K. pneumoniae clusters belonging to ST437 and ST147 in epidemiologically linked patients. CONCLUSION: Initial standard control measures failed to prevent the outbreak. Once the problem had been recognized, strict infection control measures and the education of healthcare workers contributed to the successful control of the outbreak.

The European Virus Archive goes global: A growing resource for research.

The European Virus Archive (EVA) was created in 2008 with funding from the FP7-EU Infrastructure Programme, in response to the need for a coordinated and readily accessible collection of viruses that could be made available to academia, public health organisations and industry. Within three years, it developed from a consortium of nine European laboratories to encompass associated partners in Africa, Russia, China, Turkey, Germany and Italy. In 2014, the H2020 Research and Innovation Framework Programme (INFRAS projects) provided support for the transformation of the EVA from a European to a global organization (EVAg). The EVAg now operates as a non-profit consortium, with 26 partners and 20 associated partners from 21 EU and non-EU countries. In this paper, we outline the structure, management and goals of the EVAg, to bring to the attention of researchers the wealth of products it can provide and to illustrate how end-users can gain access to these resources. Organisations or individuals who would like to be considered as contributors are invited to contact the EVAg coordinator, Jean-Louis Romette, at jean-louis.romette@univmed.fr.

Tick-borne encephalitis in patients vaccinated against this disease.

BACKGROUND: Information on tick-borne encephalitis (TBE) in patients already vaccinated against the disease is limited. OBJECTIVES: To compare the course and outcome in patients with vaccination breakthrough TBE with findings in patients who developed TBE without previous vaccination. METHODS: All adult patients diagnosed with TBE at a single medical centre during a 16-year period and who had received at least two doses of TBE vaccine before the onset of illness qualified for the study. For each patient with breakthrough TBE, two unvaccinated sex- and age-matched patients, diagnosed with TBE in the same year, were included for comparison. RESULTS: Amongst 2332 patients diagnosed with TBE in the period 2000-2015, 39 (1.7%) had been vaccinated against the disease. Their median age was 59 (20-83) years; 22 of 39 (56.4%) were male. In comparison with unvaccinated patients with TBE, those with breakthrough disease more often experienced a monophasic course of illness (P = 0.006), had a higher CSF leucocyte count (P = 0.005), more often had urine retention (P = 0.012), more often needed ICU treatment (P = 0.009), were hospitalized for longer (P = 0.002) and had more severe acute illness (P = 0.004 for simple clinical assessment, P = 0.001 for severity score). CONCLUSION: In addition to several findings corroborating previous results in patients with vaccination breakthrough TBE, such as older age and the presence of a particular specific serum antibody pattern indicating anamnestic response, findings in this study indicate that the acute illness in patients with breakthrough TBE is more severe than in unvaccinated sex- and age-matched patients who develop the disease.

Factors affecting the ecology of tick-borne encephalitis in Slovenia.

Recognition of factors that influence the formation of tick-borne encephalitis (TBE) foci is important for assessing the risk of humans acquiring the viral infection and for establishing what can be done (within reasonable boundaries) to minimize that risk. In Slovenia, the dynamics of the TBE vector, i.e. Ixodes ricinus, was studied over a 4-year period and the prevalence of infection in ticks was established. Two groups of tick hosts were investigated: deer and small mammals. Red deer have been confirmed as having a direct influence on the incidence of TBE and rodents have been recognized as important sentinels for TBE infections, although their role in the enzootic cycle of the virus still remains to be elucidated. Last, forest and agricultural areas, which are influenced by human activity, are suitable habitats for ticks, and important for TBEV transmission and establishment. Human behaviour is also therefore an important factor and should always be considered in studies of TBE ecology.

One-year outcome following biological or mechanical valve replacement for infective endocarditis.

BACKGROUND: Nearly half of patients require cardiac surgery during the acute phase of infective endocarditis (IE). We describe the characteristics of patients according to the type of valve replacement (mechanical or biological), and examine whether the type of prosthesis was associated with in-hospital and 1-year mortality. METHODS AND RESULTS: Among 5591 patients included in the International Collaboration on Endocarditis Prospective Cohort Study, 1467 patients with definite IE were operated on during the active phase and had a biological (37%) or mechanical (63%) valve replacement. Patients who received bioprostheses were older (62 vs 54years), more often had a history of cancer (9% vs 6%), and had moderate or severe renal disease (9% vs 4%); proportion of health care-associated IE was higher (26% vs 17%); intracardiac abscesses were more frequent (30% vs 23%). In-hospital and 1-year death rates were higher in the bioprosthesis group, 20.5% vs 14.0% (p=0.0009) and 25.3% vs 16.6% (p<.0001), respectively. In multivariable analysis, mechanical prostheses were less commonly implanted in older patients (odds ratio: 0.64 for every 10years), and in patients with a history of cancer (0.72), but were more commonly implanted in mitral position (1.60). Bioprosthesis was independently associated with 1-year mortality (hazard ratio: 1.298). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with IE who receive a biological valve replacement have significant differences in clinical characteristics compared to patients who receive a mechanical prosthesis. Biological valve replacement is independently associated with a higher in-hospital and 1-year mortality, a result which is possibly related to patient characteristics rather than valve dysfunction.

Viral load and immune response dynamics in patients with haemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome.

Haemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS) in Slovenia can be caused by infection with either Dobrava (DOBV) or Puumala (PUUV) virus, but a clear difference in disease severity is observed. We hypothesized that the wide spectrum of disease observed among HFRS patients might be related to differing immune responses and viral load kinetics. To test this hypothesis we analysed sequential blood samples from 29 HFRS patients hospitalized in Slovenia. Measuring viral RNA in patient samples revealed that viraemia lasts for longer than previously believed, with DOBV or PUUV-infected patients having viraemias lasting on average 30 days or 16 days, respectively. DOBV-infected patients were found to have a higher viral load than the PUUV-infected patients (10(7) vs. 10(5) RNA copies/mL). Both DOBV and PUUV-infected patients had IgM at the time of hospital admission, but there was a difference in IgG antibody dynamics, with only a minority of DOBV-infected patients having IgG antibodies. In our study, elevated levels of IL-10, TNF-α and IFN-γ were detected in all of the samples regardless of the causative agent. In DOBV-infected patients the decrease in cytokine secretion level appeared around day 20 post-infection, while in PUUV-infected patients the change was earlier. In general, our findings point toward notable differences between PUUV and DOBV infections, in terms of viral load and antibody and cytokine response dynamics, all of which may be reflected in differing disease severities and clinical outcomes.

Molecular diagnostic and genetic characterization of highly pathogenic viruses: application during Crimean-Congo haemorrhagic fever virus outbreaks in Eastern Europe and the Middle East.

Several haemorrhagic fevers are caused by highly pathogenic viruses that must be handled in Biosafety level 4 (BSL-4) containment. These zoonotic infections have an important impact on public health and the development of a rapid and differential diagnosis in case of outbreak in risk areas represents a critical priority. We have demonstrated the potential of a DNA resequencing microarray (PathogenID v2.0) for this purpose. The microarray was first validated in vitro using supernatants of cells infected with prototype strains from five different families of BSL-4 viruses (e.g. families Arenaviridae, Bunyaviridae, Filoviridae, Flaviviridae and Paramyxoviridae). RNA was amplified based on isothermal amplification by Phi29 polymerase before hybridization. We were able to detect and characterize Nipah virus and Crimean-Congo haemorrhagic fever virus (CCHFV) in the brains of experimentally infected animals. CCHFV was finally used as a paradigm for epidemics because of recent outbreaks in Turkey, Kosovo and Iran. Viral variants present in human sera were characterized by BLASTN analysis. Sensitivity was estimated to be 10(5) -10(6) PFU/mL of hybridized cDNA. Detection specificity was limited to viral sequences having ~13-14% of global divergence with the tiled sequence, or stretches of ~20 identical nucleotides. These results highlight the benefits of using the PathogenID v2.0 resequencing microarray to characterize geographical variants in the follow-up of haemorrhagic fever epidemics; to manage patients and protect communities; and in cases of bioterrorism.

The European Virus Archive: a new resource for virology research.

The European Virus Archive (EVA) was conceived as a direct response to the need for a coordinated and readily accessible collection of viruses that could be made available to academia, public health organisations and industry, initially within Europe, but ultimately throughout the world. Although scientists worldwide have accumulated virus collections since the early twentieth century, the quality of the collections and the viruses collected may vary according to the personal interests and agenda of the scientists. Moreover, when laboratories are re-organised or closed, collections are no longer maintained and gradually cease to exist. The tragedy of 9/11 and other disruptive activities have also meant that some previously available biological reagents are no longer openly exchanged between countries. In 2008, funding under the FP7-EU infrastructure programme enabled the initiation of the EVA. Within three years, it has developed from a consortium of nine European laboratories to encompass associated partners in Africa, Russia, China, Turkey, Germany and Italy. There is every reason to believe that EVA will continue to expand and ultimately exist as a globally networked, quality-controlled non-profit archive for the benefit of science. Organizations or individuals who would like to be considered as contributors are invited to contact the EVA coordinator, Jean-Louis Romette, at jean-louis.romette@univmed.fr.

A five-year perspective on the situation of haemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome and status of the hantavirus reservoirs in Europe, 2005-2010.

Hantavirus infections are reported from many countries in Europe and with highly variable annual case numbers. In 2010, more than 2,000 human cases were reported in Germany, and numbers above the baseline have also been registered in other European countries. Depending on the virus type human infections are characterised by mild to severe forms of haemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome. The member laboratories of the European Network for diagnostics of Imported Viral Diseases present here an overview of the progression of human cases in the period from 2005 to 2010. Further we provide an update on the available diagnostic methods and endemic regions in their countries, with an emphasis on occurring virus types and reservoirs.

The association between catechol-O-methyl-transferase Val108/158Met polymorphism and suicide.

One of the candidate genes for suicide is also a gene in the pathway for catecholamine degradation encoding an enzyme catechol-O-methyl-transferase (COMT). It harbors a common functional polymorphism, a G to A nucleotide transition resulting in amino acid substitution from valine (Val) to methionine (Met) at position 158 (COMT Val(108/158) Met; rs4680), that has been associated with psychiatric disorders characterized with an increased risk of suicidal behavior. We have performed the first study on Caucasian population examining the association between completed suicide and the COMT Val(108/158) Met polymorphism. The study population consisted of 356 suicide victims and 198 control subjects. Significant difference in COMT Val(108/158) Met variants' (genotypes, alleles and Val carriers) distribution was found only in male groups, between controls and suicide victims (P = 0.018, P = 0.031, P = 0.005), and between controls and violent suicide victims (P = 0.026, P = 0.042, P = 0.010). The r value from the standardized residuals showed that the Met/Met genotype (r = 2.03) in the control group contributed to these significant differences. In contrast to male subjects, no significant differences in the frequency of the COMT Val(108/158) Met variants were detected between female control and female suicide groups; however, the power of calculation (range 0.161-0.680) was below the desired 0.800. In addition, the logistic regression analysis confirmed these significant differences. In conclusion, our results showed the overpresentation of the Met/Met genotype in male control subjects compared with male suicide victims, suggesting that this genotype of the COMT Val(108/158) Met might be a protective factor against suicide.

Autochthonous dengue fever in Croatia, August-September 2010.

After information about a dengue case in Germany acquired in Croatia, health professionals and the public in Croatia were alerted to assess the situation and to enhance mosquito control, resulting in the diagnosis of a second case of autochthonous dengue fever in the same area and the detection of 15 persons with evidence of recent dengue infection. Mosquito control measures were introduced. The circumstances of dengue virus introduction to Croatia remain unresolved.

Revisiting the effect of referral bias on the clinical spectrum of infective endocarditis in adults.

Referral bias occurs because of the clustering of patients at tertiary care centers. This may result in the distortion of observed clinical manifestations of rare diseases. This analysis evaluates the effect of referral bias on the epidemiology of infective endocarditis (IE) in the International Collaboration on Endocarditis-Prospective Cohort Study (ICE-PCS). This is a prospective multicenter cohort study comparing transferred and non-transferred patients with IE. Factors independently associated with transfer status were evaluated using multivariable logistic regression. A total of 2,760 patients were included in the analysis, of which 1,164 (42.2%) were transferred from other medical centers. Transferred patients more often underwent surgery for IE (odds ratio [OR] = 2.5; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.9-3.2). They were also more likely to have complications such as stroke (OR = 1.5; 95% CI 1.3-1.9), heart failure (OR = 1.4; 95% CI 1.1-1.6), and new valvular regurgitation (OR = 1.3; 95% CI 1.1-1.6). The in-hospital mortality rates were similar in both groups. Patients with IE who require surgery and suffer complications are referred to tertiary hospitals more frequently than patients with an uncomplicated course. Hospital transfer has no obvious effect on the in-hospital mortality. Referral bias should be taken into consideration when describing the clinical spectrum of IE.