Opioid analgesia and severity of acute pancreatitis: An international multicentre cohort study on pain management in acute pancreatitis.

BACKGROUND: The effect of analgesic modalities on short-term outcomes in acute pancreatitis remains unknown. However, preclinical models have raised safety concerns regarding opioid use in patients with acute pancreatitis. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to assess the association between analgesics, particularly opioids, and severity and mortality in hospitalised patients with acute pancreatitis. METHODS: This prospective multicentre cohort study recruited consecutive patients admitted with a first episode of acute pancreatitis between April 1 and 30 June 2022, with a 1-month follow-up. Data on aetiology, clinical course, and analgesic treatment were collected. The primary outcome was the association between opioid analgesia and acute pancreatitis severity, which was analysed using univariate and multivariate analyses. RESULTS: Among a total of 1768 patients, included from 118 centres across 27 countries, 1036 (59%) had opioids administered on admission day, and 167 (9%) received opioids after admission day. On univariate analysis, moderately severe or severe acute pancreatitis was associated with male sex, Asian ethnicity, alcohol aetiology, comorbidity, predicted severe acute pancreatitis, higher pain scores, longer pain duration and opioid treatment (all p < 0.001). On multivariate analysis, comorbidity, alcohol aetiology, longer pain duration and higher pain scores increased the risk of moderately severe or severe acute pancreatitis (all p < 0.001). Furthermore, opioids administered after admission day (but not on admission day) doubled the risk of moderately severe or severe disease (OR 2.07 (95% CI, 1.29-3.33); p = 0.003). Opioid treatment for 6 days or more was an independent risk factor for moderately severe or severe acute pancreatitis (OR 3.21 (95% CI, 2.16-4.79; p < 0.001). On univariate analysis, longer opioid duration was associated with mortality. CONCLUSION: Opioid treatment increased the risk of more severe acute pancreatitis only when administered after admission day or for 6 days or more. Future randomised studies should re-evaluate whether opioids might be safe in acute pancreatitis.

Symptomatic gallstone disease: Recurrence patterns and risk factors for relapse after first admission, the RELAPSTONE study.

BACKGROUND: Delayed cholecystectomy in patients with symptomatic gallstone disease is associated with recurrence. Limited data on the recurrence patterns and the factors that determine them are available. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to determine the pattern of relapse in each symptomatic gallstone disease (acute pancreatitis, cholecystitis, cholangitis, symptomatic choledocholithiasis, and biliary colic) and determine the associated factors. METHODS: RELAPSTONE was an international multicenter retrospective cohort study. Patients (n = 3016) from 18 tertiary centers who suffered a first episode of symptomatic gallstone disease from 2018 to 2020 and had not undergone cholecystectomy during admission were included. The main outcome was relapse-free survival. Kaplan-Meier curves were used in the bivariate analysis. Multivariable Cox regression models were used to identify prognostic factors associated with relapses. RESULTS: Mean age was 76.6 [IQR: 59.7-84.1], and 51% were male. The median follow-up was 5.3 months [IQR 2.1-12.4]. Relapse-free survival was 0.79 (95% CI: 0.77-0.80) at 3 months, 0.71 (95% CI: 0.69-0.73) at 6 months, and 0.63 (95% CI: 0.61-0.65) at 12 months. In multivariable analysis, older age (HR = 0.57; 95% CI: 0.49-0.66), sphincterotomy (HR = 0.58, 95% CI: 0.49-0.68) and higher leukocyte count (HR = 0.79; 95% CI: 0.70-0.90) were independently associated with lower risk of relapse, whereas higher levels of alanine aminotransferase (HR = 1.22; 95% CI: 1.02-1.46) and multiple cholelithiasis (HR = 1.19, 95% CI: 1.05-1.34) were associated with higher relapse rates. CONCLUSION: The relapse rate is high and different in each symptomatic gallstone disease. Our independent predictors could be useful for prioritizing patients on the waiting list for cholecystectomies.

Buprenorphine Versus Diclofenac for Pain Relief in Acute Pancreatitis: A Double-Blinded Randomized Controlled Trial.

BACKGROUND: Although both nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) and opioids are used for analgesia in acute pancreatitis (AP), the analgesic of choice is not known. We compared buprenorphine, an opioid, and diclofenac, an NSAID, for analgesia in AP. METHODS: In a double-blind randomized controlled trial, AP patients were randomized to receive intravenous diclofenac or intravenous buprenorphine. Fentanyl was used as rescue analgesia, delivered through a patient-controlled analgesia pump. Primary outcome was the difference in the dose of rescue fentanyl required. Secondary outcomes were the number of effective and ineffective demands of rescue fentanyl, pain-free interval, reduction in visual analogue scale (VAS) score, adverse events, and organ failure development. RESULTS: Twenty-four patients were randomized to diclofenac and 24 to buprenorphine. The 2 groups were matched at baseline. The total amount of rescue fentanyl required was significantly lower in the buprenorphine group:130 µg, interquartile range (IQR), 80-255 vs 520 µg, IQR, 380-1065 (P < .001). The number of total demands was 32 (IQR, 21-69) in the diclofenac arm vs 8 (IQR, 4-15) in the buprenorphine arm (P < .001). The buprenorphine group had more prolonged pain-free interval (20 vs 4 hours; P < .001), with greater reduction in the VAS score at 24, 48, and 72 hours compared with the diclofenac group. These findings were confirmed in the subgroup of moderately severe/severe pancreatitis. Adverse events profile was similar in the 2 groups. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with diclofenac, buprenorphine appears to be more effective and equally safe for pain management in AP patients, even in the subcohort of moderately severe or severe pancreatitis (Trial Registration number: CTRI/2020/07/026914).

Post-surgical exocrine pancreatic insufficiency.

Being an underdiagnosed and under or insufficiently treated condition, surgical pancreatic exocrine insufficiency (PSP) is the condition in which pancreatic enzymes are insufficient for digestion because of gastrointestinal (GI) surgery involving the upper GI tract, biliary ducts, or the pancreas, and and leading to potential malnutrition and deterioration in quality of life. Age, obesity, history of tobacco use, family history of diabetes, surgery due to a malignant tumor, presence of steatorrhea, jaundice, weight loss, and intraoperative findings of hard pancreatic texture have been associated with a higher risk of PSP. Pancreatoduodectomy (PD) has demonstrated an increased risk of developing PSP, with a prevalence between 19-100%. Distal pancreatectomy (DP) and central pancreatectomy (CenP) are associated with less risk of PSP, with a prevalence of 0-82% and 3.66-8.7%, respectively. In patients with chronic pancreatitis (CP), PSP was associated with 80% in Partington-Rochelle procedure, 86% in Frey procedure, 80% in duodenum preserving pancreatic head procedure, >60% in PD and 27.5-63% in DP. Fecal elastase-1 (FE-1) is a generally accepted tool for diagnosis. Treatment is recommended to start as soon as a diagnosis is achieved, or clinical suspicion is high. Pancreatic enzyme replacement therapy improves symptoms of malabsorption, facilitates weight gain, and ultimately improves patients' quality of life. Starting dosage is between 10,000-50,000 units in snacks and 50,000-75,000 units in main meals, administered throughout food intake, though further data specifically on PSP are needed. Follow-up in PSP is recommended on an on-demand basis, where malnutrition should be assessed.

Long-term results after EUS gallbladder drainage in high-surgical-risk patients with acute cholecystitis: A 3-year follow-up registry.

Background and study aims Endoscopic ultrasound-guided gallbladder drainage (EUS-GBD) has become the favorite drainage option for high surgical-risk patients with acute cholecystitis. However, data on long-term outcomes regarding efficacy and security over 1 year are scarce. Patients and methods We performed a retrospective review of a prospectively maintained database to analyze the 3-year long-term outcomes of EUS-GBD with lumen apposing metal stents (LAMS) in high-surgical-risk patients with acute cholecystitis. Results Fifty patients with acute cholecystitis who underwent EUS-GBD with LAMS and 3-year follow-up or until death were included in this study. No endoscopic revisions were scheduled unless an adverse event (AE) or suspected LAMS dysfunction occurred. AEs occurred in 18%, 20%, and 26% of patients in the first, second, and third years, respectively. Thirteen patients developed at least one AE, and six presented with a second AE during follow-up. Recurrence of cholecystitis occurred in two patients (4%). Seven stent migrations (14%) occurred but all were asymptomatic. Symptomatic LAMS-related AEs (LAMS-RAEs) (37.5%) were related to gastric location of the stent compared with duodenal location (66.7% vs. 12.5%, P = 0.03). No stent-related bleeding or stent-related mortality was observed. Conclusions EUS-GBD with LAMS without scheduled removal is an effective and safe long-term treatment in high-surgical-risk patients with acute cholecystitis. Late LAMS-RAEs tend to be more asymptomatic over time. Symptomatic LAMS-RAEs are associated with gastric location, and overall, AEs tend to recur.

Clinical usefulness of scoring systems to predict severe acute pancreatitis: A systematic review and meta-analysis with pre and post-test probability assessment.

BACKGROUND: Scoring systems for severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) prediction should be used in conjunction with pre-test probability to establish post-test probability of SAP, but data of this kind are lacking. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the predictive value of commonly employed scoring systems and their usefulness in modifying the pre-test probability of SAP. METHODS: Following PRISMA statement and MOOSE checklists after PROSPERO registration, PubMed was searched from inception until September 2022. Retrospective, prospective, cross-sectional studies or clinical trials on patients with acute pancreatitis defined as Revised Atlanta Criteria, reporting rate of SAP and using at least one score among Bedside Index for Severity in Acute Pancreatitis (BISAP), Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Examination (APACHE)-II, RANSON, and Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome (SIRS) with their sensitivity and specificity were included. Random effects model meta-analyses were performed. Pre-test probability and likelihood ratio (LR) were combined to estimate post-test probability on Fagan nomograms. Pooled severity rate was used as pre-test probability of SAP and pooled sensitivity and specificity to calculate LR and generate post-test probability. A priori hypotheses for heterogeneity were developed and sensitivity analyses planned. RESULTS: 43 studies yielding 14,116 acute pancreatitis patients were included: 42 with BISAP, 30 with APACHE-II, 27 with Ranson, 8 with SIRS. Pooled pre-test probability of SAP ranged 16.6%-25.3%. The post-test probability of SAP with positive/negative score was 47%/6% for BISAP, 43%/5% for APACHE-II, 48%/5% for Ranson, 40%/12% for SIRS. In 18 studies comparing BISAP, APACHE-II, and Ranson in 6740 patients with pooled pre-test probability of SAP of 18.7%, post-test probability when scores were positive was 48% for BISAP, 46% for APACHE-II, 50% for Ranson. When scores were negative, post-test probability dropped to 7% for BISAP, 6% for Ranson, 5% for APACHE-II. Quality, design, and country of origin of the studies did not explain the observed high heterogeneity. CONCLUSIONS: The most commonly used scoring systems to predict SAP perform poorly and do not aid in decision-making.

A protocol for an international, multicenter, prospective, non-interventional observational registry for patients with hypertriglyceridemia.

BACKGROUND: In the study on triglyceride-induced pancreatitis (TG-IAP), a core clinical dataset using the Jandhyala method was developed to collect the minimum amount of information for each patient presenting with TG-IAP globally. This approach offered a unified framework for observing multiple populations of TG-IAP patients using the same set of indicators, resulting in a considerably larger and uniform real-world population. It was understood that when this core dataset is implemented in a patient registry it could address the issue of missing data in observational studies and produce higher-quality research. In this paper, the protocol used to design and implement a patient registry for this core dataset to generate real-world evidence from multiple sites is described. METHOD: The study is designed as an international, multicenter, non-interventional, observational registry that will enroll adult patients with hypertriglyceridemia to collect natural history data on the treatment, progression, and long-term outcomes of hypertriglyceridemia-induced acute pancreatitis. Patients with both hypertriglyceridemia and pancreatitis will be invited to participate in the registry at participating hospitals and centers worldwide. DISCUSSION: Data from this registry, and others like it, is intended for healthcare providers to optimize clinical decision-making through an enhanced understanding of the variability, progression, and natural history of hypertriglyceridemia as well as the burden of disease. CONCLUSION: Global epidemiological data on hypertriglyceridemia and its role in acute pancreatitis is limited. Using real-world evidence, this registry, along with others like it, may help healthcare providers understand the variability, progression, natural history, and burden of the disease, and improve the diagnosis and management of HTG and TG-IAP.

In a 2022 study, information was collected from literature, patients, and doctors who care for patients to create a record with the most important information needed to understand patients with a disease called triglyceride-induced acute pancreatitis (TG-IAP). This type of record may help people find patients with the disease and the type of care or treatment they require. The study was started and completed because the doctors used methods to guide and help them understand what needed to be done. This paper describes the method used for this study, including information on: Data collection: how the relevant information about TG-IAP patients was collected;Permissions: how permission was gained to do the study;Patient information: how the information collected about TG-IAP patients will be used; andPatient protection: how the patients who takes part in the study will be protected.

Lactated Ringers Use in the First 24 Hours of Hospitalization Is Associated With Improved Outcomes in 999 Patients With Acute Pancreatitis.

INTRODUCTION: Recent pilot trials in acute pancreatitis (AP) found that lactated ringers (LR) usage may result in decreased risk of moderately severe/severe AP compared with normal saline, but their small sample sizes limit statistical power. We investigated whether LR usage is associated with improved outcomes in AP in an international multicenter prospective study. METHODS: Patients directly admitted with the diagnosis of AP were prospectively enrolled at 22 international sites between 2015 and 2018. Demographics, fluid administration, and AP severity data were collected in a standardized prospective manner to examine the association between LR and AP severity outcomes. Mixed-effects logistic regression analysis was performed to determine the direction and magnitude of the relationship between the type of fluid administered during the first 24 hours and the development of moderately severe/severe AP. RESULTS: Data from 999 patients were analyzed (mean age 51 years, female 52%, moderately severe/severe AP 24%). Usage of LR during the first 24 hours was associated with reduced odds of moderately severe/severe AP (adjusted odds ratio 0.52; P = 0.014) compared with normal saline after adjusting for region of enrollment, etiology, body mass index, and fluid volume and accounting for the variation across centers. Similar results were observed in sensitivity analyses eliminating the effects of admission organ failure, etiology, and excessive total fluid volume. DISCUSSION: LR administration in the first 24 hours of hospitalization was associated with improved AP severity. A large-scale randomized clinical trial is needed to confirm these findings.

Observed consensus on research priorities for the hypertriglyceridemia patient registry.

BACKGROUND: Priority setting in health research has been described as essential due to disparities within and between countries and populations. Commercial benefits to the pharmaceutical industry may increase the generation and use of regulatory Real-World Evidence which has recently been reported in the literature. Research must be steered by valuable priorities. This study's objective is to identify key gaps in the knowledge of triglyceride-induced acute pancreatitis by generating a list of potential research priorities for a Hypertriglyceridemia Patient Registry. METHOD: The Jandhyala Method was used to observe the consensus of expert opinion from ten specialist clinicians in the treatment of triglyceride-induced acute pancreatitis across the US and EU. RESULTS: Ten participants completed the consensus round of the Jandhyala method and generated 38 unique items which they all agreed with. The items were included in the generation of research priorities for a hypertriglyceridemia patient registry and presented a novel application of the Jandhyala method for the development of research questions, in aid of the validation of a core dataset. CONCLUSION: The TG-IAP core dataset and research priorities combined can develop a globally harmonized framework where TG-IAP patients can be observed simultaneously using the same set of indicators. This will increase knowledge of the disease and facilitate higher-quality research by addressing issues related to incomplete data sets in observational studies. Furthermore, validation of new tools will be enabled, and diagnosis and monitoring will be improved as well as the detection of changes in disease severity and subsequent disease progression, improving the management of patients with TG-IAP overall. This will inform personalized patient management plans and improve patient outcomes along with their quality of life.

The differences in healthcare between countries and groups of people will likely affect the type of research needed. This is why people that have experience with specific diseases need to be spoken to, to understand what their concerns are. These types of people could be doctors or patients. When this information is gathered, this could help inform organizations interested in a specific disease on how to help patients in real life situations.For this study, the researchers worked with ten expert doctors who treat a disease called triglyceride-induced acute pancreatitis (TG-IAP). These doctors were from the United States and the European Union, and they were asked to share their opinions on what the most important research areas are using the Jandhyala method. The doctors generated and agreed on 38 items, all related to the most important research areas for TG-IAP.The research areas identified can be used with important data collected about patients with TG-IAP to create a study where these patients are monitored in different locations using the same measurements. This study will help people learn more about the disease and improve the quality of research by making sure the most important data is collected. As a result, patients with TG-IAP can have their healthcare improved.

Determinants and impact of splanchnic vein thrombosis in acute pancreatitis.

BACKGROUND: Splanchnic vein thrombosis (SVT) is a well-recognised though little-studied complication in acute pancreatitis (AP). SVT risk factors, its clinical consequences and the role of anticoagulation (AC) therapy is scarce. AIMS: To evaluate the incidence and natural history of SVT in AP. METHODS: Post hoc analysis of a prospective multicentre cohort study involving 23 hospitals in Spain. AP complications were identified by computer tomography, and patients with SVT were re-evaluated after two years. RESULTS: A total of 1655 patients with AP were included. The overall incidence of SVT was 3.6%. SVT was significantly associated with male gender, younger age and alcoholic aetiology. Every local complication increased SVT incidence, and this risk rose gradually with larger extension and infection of necrosis. These patients had a longer hospital stay and underwent a greater number of invasive treatments, regardless of AP severity. Forty-six patients with SVT were followed up. SVT resolution rate was 54.5% in the AC group and 30.8% in the non-AC group with lower thrombotic complications in the SVT resolution group (83.3% vs 22.7%; p<0.001). No AC-related adverse events occurred. CONCLUSION: This study identifies the risk factors and negative clinical impact of SVT in AP. Our results justify future trials to demonstrate the role of AC in this clinical scenario.

Obesity and alcoholic etiology as risk factors for multisystem organ failure in acute pancreatitis: Multinational study.

BACKGROUND: Multisystem organ failure (MSOF) is the most important determinant of mortality in acute pancreatitis (AP). Obesity and alcoholic etiology have been examined as potential risk factors for MSOF, but prior studies have not adequately elucidated their independent effects on the risk of MSOF. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to determine the adjusted effects of body mass index (BMI) and alcoholic etiology on the risk of MSOF in subjects with AP. METHODS: A prospective observational study of 22 centers from 10 countries was conducted. Patients admitted to an APPRENTICE consortium center with AP between August 2015 and January 2018 were enrolled. Multivariable logistic regression was used to estimate the adjusted effects of BMI, etiology, and other relevant covariates on the risk of MSOF. Models were stratified by sex. RESULTS: Among 1544 AP subjects, there was a sex-dependent association between BMI and the risk of MSOF. Increasing BMI was associated with increased odds of MSOF in males (OR 1.10, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.04-1.15) but not in females (OR 0.98, 95% CI 0.90-1.1). Male subjects with AP, whose BMIs were 30-34 and >35 kg/m2 , had odds ratios of 3.78 (95% CI 1.62-8.83) and 3.44 (95% CI 1.08-9.99), respectively. In females, neither higher grades of obesity nor increasing age increased the risk of MSOF. Alcoholic etiology was independently associated with increased odds of MSOF compared with non-alcohol etiologies (OR 4.17, 95% CI 2.16-8.05). CONCLUSION: Patients with alcoholic etiology and obese men (but not women) are at substantially increased risk of MSOF in AP.

Acute pancreatitis after pancreatoduodenectomy: A prospective study of diffusion-weighted magnetic resonance imaging, serum biomarkers, and clinical features.

BACKGROUND: Postpancreatectomy acute pancreatitis is challenging to diagnose and poorly characterized in its early phases. However, it represents the ideal target for novel therapeutic opportunities possibly gleaned from medical acute pancreatitis. This study aims to systematically investigate early radiologic, biochemical, and clinical features of postpancreatectomy acute pancreatitis. METHODS: This was a prospective observational study of patients undergoing pancreatoduodenectomy from September 2019 to January 2021. Diffusion-weighted magnetic resonance imaging was performed on postoperative day 3. Serum pancreatic amylase and lipase were assessed daily until postoperative day 5. Postoperative serum hyperamylasemia and postpancreatectomy acute pancreatitis were defined based on the International Study Group for Pancreatic Surgery definition. RESULTS: A total of 65 patients were enrolled according to the sample size calculation. Patients with postoperative serum hyperamylasemia and postpancreatectomy acute pancreatitis had significantly lower apparent diffusion coefficient values at diffusion-weighted magnetic resonance imaging but no macroscopic features consistent with acute pancreatitis. Subsequently, 21 patients (32.3%) underwent computed tomography imaging for clinical worsening, and 6 had radiologic features of acute pancreatitis. All these latter patients had postoperative serum hyperamylasemia and worse outcomes, characterized by local (postoperative pancreatic fistula: 83%) and systemic morbidity (sepsis: 66.7%). The postoperative serum hyperamylasemia incidence was 21.5% (n = 14), and postpancreatectomy acute pancreatitis occurred in 6 patients (9.2%), with 4 grade B (6.1%) and 2 grade C (3%). CONCLUSION: Postpancreatectomy acute pancreatitis is characterized by early serum hyperamylasemia and hyperlipasemia. Although pancreatic changes may appear at postoperative day 3 diffusion-weighted magnetic resonance imaging, its standard use has no impact on postoperative management. Macroscopic radiologic features appear later and correlate with worse clinical scenarios. This paper paves the ground for including postpancreatectomy acute pancreatitis in the spectrum of acute pancreatitis, promoting the transfer of treatment strategies for acute pancreatitis into managing postpancreatectomy acute pancreatitis.

Position statement on the definition, incidence, diagnosis and outcome of acute on chronic pancreatitis.

BACKGROUND: Acute on chronic pancreatitis (ACP) is a relatively common condition, but there are significant gaps in our knowledge on the definition, incidence, diagnosis, treatment and prognosis. METHODS: A systematic review that followed PICO (Population; Intervention; Comparator; Outcome) recommendation for quantitative questions and PICo (Population, Phenomenon of Interest, Context) for qualitative research was done to answer 10 of the most relevant questions about ACP. Quality of evidence was judged by the GRADE criteria (Grades of Recommendation, Assessment, Development and Evaluation). The manuscript was sent for review to 12 international experts from various disciplines and continents using a Delphi process. RESULTS: The quality of evidence, for most statements, was low to very low, which means that the recommendations in general are only conditional. Despite that, it was possible to reach strong levels of agreement by the expert panel for all 10 questions. A new consensus definition of ACP was reached. Although common, the real incidence of ACP is not known, with alcohol as a major risk factor. Although pain dominates, other non-specific symptoms and signs can be present. Serum levels of pancreatic enzymes may be less than 3 times the upper limit of normal and cross-sectional imaging is considered more accurate for the diagnosis in many cases. It appears that it is less severe and with a lower mortality risk than acute pancreatitis. CONCLUSIONS: Although the evidence base is poor, this position statement provides a foundation from which to advance management of ACP.

The safety and efficacy of epidural anaesthesia in acute pancreatitis: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Acute pancreatitis (AP) has variable clinical courses. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to determine the safety, efficacy, and impact of epidural anaesthesia (EA) use in AP. METHODS: The PubMed, EMBASE, SCOPUS and Cochrane library databases were systematically searched between 1980 and 2022 using the PRISMA guidelines, to identify observational and comparative studies reporting on EA in AP. The meta-analysis was performed in R Foundation for Statistical Computing using the meta R Package for Meta-Analysis. RESULTS: A total of 9 studies with 2006 patients of which 726 (36%) patients had EA were included. All studies demonstrated high safety and feasibility of EA in AP with no reported major local or neurological complications. One randomised controlled trial demonstrated an improvement in pain severity using a 0-10 visual analogue scale (VAS) at the outset (1.6 in EA vs 3.5 in non-EA, P = 0.02) and on day 10 (0.2 in EA vs 2.33 in non-EA, P = 0.034). There was also improvement in pancreatic perfusion with EA measured with computerised tomography 13 (43%) in EA vs 2 (7%) in non-EA, P = 0.003. The need for ventilatory support and overall mortality was lower in EA patients 40 (19%) vs 285 (24%) P = 0.025 (OR: 0.49, 95% CI: 0.28-0.84) and 16 (7%) vs 214 (20%), P = 0.050 (OR: 0.39, 95% CI: 0.15-1.00), respectively. CONCLUSION: EA is infrequently used for pain management in AP and yet the available evidence suggests that it is safe and effective in reducing pain severity, improving pancreatic perfusion, and decreasing mortality.

Machine learning for the prediction of post-ERCP pancreatitis risk: A proof-of-concept study.

BACKGROUND: Predicting Post-Endoscopic Retrograde Cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) pancreatitis (PEP) risk can be determinant in reducing its incidence and managing patients appropriately, however studies conducted thus far have identified single-risk factors with standard statistical approaches and limited accuracy. AIM: To build and evaluate performances of machine learning (ML) models to predict PEP probability and identify relevant features. METHODS: A proof-of-concept study was performed on ML application on an international, multicenter, prospective cohort of ERCP patients. Data were split in training and test set, models used were gradient boosting (GB) and logistic regression (LR). A 10-split random cross-validation (CV) was applied on the training set to optimize parameters to obtain the best mean Area Under Curve (AUC). The model was re-trained on the whole training set with the best parameters and applied on test set. Shapley-Additive-exPlanation (SHAP) approach was applied to break down the model and clarify features impact. RESULTS: One thousand one hundred and fifty patients were included, 6.1% developed PEP. GB model outperformed LR with AUC in CV of 0.7 vs 0.585 (p-value=0.012). GB AUC in test was 0.671. Most relevant features for PEP prediction were: bilirubin, age, body mass index, procedure time, previous sphincterotomy, alcohol units/day, cannulation attempts, gender, gallstones, use of Ringer's solution and periprocedural NSAIDs. CONCLUSION: In PEP prediction, GB significantly outperformed LR model and identified new clinical features relevant for the risk, most being pre-procedural.

A simple core dataset for triglyceride-induced acute pancreatitis.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study is to generate a core clinical dataset (CD) containing the minimum acceptable amount of information that should be collected for each patient presenting with triglyceride-induced acute pancreatitis within global treatment centres or sites. METHOD: The Jandhyala Method, including systematic literature review and SMART interviews, was used to observe expert opinion from ten leaders in the treatment of triglyceride-induced acute pancreatitis (TG-IAP) across the US and EU. RESULTS: Using the PRISMA Literature Review Protocol, data were extracted from 123 of the 6718 identified studies. A total of 243 items were identified from the data extracted from these studies and, combined with the unique items coded from the Awareness Round (1) survey, formed the Consensus Round (2) survey. One hundred and ninety-five of the 243 items (80%) met the consensus threshold and were included for appraisal in the SMART interview phase. A total of 109 items were agreed to form part of the current clinical diagnostic and monitoring procedure by all experts once the weights across all the stakeholder disciplines were balanced to eliminate bias. These items were further condensed to form the core dataset, comprising a total of 87 items. CONCLUSION: Once validated and adopted, the TG-IAP CD will improve the overall management of patients with TG-IAP by speeding up diagnosis and detecting changes in disease severity and subsequent disease progression, informing personalized patient management plans, and improving patient outcomes.