On Contributing to the Progress of Medical Informatics as Publisher.

May 1st, 2017, will mark Dieter Bergemann's 80th birthday. As Chief Executive Officer and Owner of Schattauer Publishers from 1983 to 2016, the biomedical and health informatics community owes him a great debt of gratitude. The past and present editors of Methods of Information in Medicine, the IMIA Yearbook of Medical Informatics, and Applied Clinical Informatics want to honour and thank Dieter Bergemann by providing a brief biography that emphasizes his contributions, by reviewing his critical role as an exceptionally supportive publisher for Schattauer's three biomedical and health informatics periodicals, and by sharing some personal anecdotes. Over the past 40 years, Dieter Bergemann has been an influential, if behind-the-scenes, driving force in biomedical and health informatics publications, helping to ensure success in the dissemination of our field's research and practice.

The Renewed Promise of Medical Informatics.

The promise of the field of Medical Informatics has been great and its impact has been significant. In 1999, the Yearbook editors of the International Medical Informatics Association (IMIA) - also the authors of the present paper - sought to assess this impact by selecting a number of seminal papers in the field, and asking experts to comment on these articles. In particular, it was requested whether and how the expectations, represented by these papers, had been fulfilled since their publication several decades earlier. Each expert was also invited to comment on what might be expected in the future. In the present paper, these areas are briefly reviewed again. Where did these early papers have an impact and where were they not as successful as originally expected? It should be noted that the extraordinary developments in computer technology observed in the last two decades could not have been foreseen by these early researchers. In closing, some of the possibilities and limitations of research in medical informatics are outlined in the context of a framework that considers six levels of computer applications in medicine and health care. For each level, some predictions are made for the future, concluded with thoughts on fruitful areas for ongoing research in the field.

Commentaries on the IMIA Award of Excellence Lecture by Reinhold Haux.

The IMIA Yearbook editorial team asked five internationally renowned biomedical informaticians to respond to Prof. Haux's editorial. This paper summarizes their thoughts and responses. Contributions are ordered alphabetically by the contributor's last name. All authors provided an equal contribution to this manuscript.

The birth and evolution of a discipline devoted to information in biomedicine and health care. As reflected in its longest running journal.

BACKGROUND: The journal Methods of Information in Medicine, founded in 1962, has now completed its 50th volume. Its publications during the last five decades reflect the formation of a discipline that deals with information in biomedicine and health care. OBJECTIVES: To report about 1) the journal's origin, 2) the individuals who have significantly contributed to it, 3) trends in the journal's aims and scope, 4) influential papers and 5) major topics published in Methods over the years. METHODS: Methods included analysing the correspondence and journal issues in the archives of the editorial office and of the publisher, citation analysis using the ISI and Scopus databases, and analysing the articles' Medical Subject Headings (MeSH) in MEDLINE. RESULTS: In the journal's first 50 years 208 editorial board members and/or editors contributed to the journal's development, with most individuals coming from Europe and North America. The median time of service was 11 years. At the time of analysis 2,456 articles had been indexed with MeSH. Topics included computerized systems of various types, informatics methodologies, and topics related to a specific medical domain. Some MeSH topic entries were heavily and regularly represented in each of the journal's five decades (e.g. information systems and medical records), while others were important in a particular decade, but not in other decades (e.g. punched-card systems and systems integration). Seven papers were cited more than 100 times and these also covered a broad range of themes such as knowledge representation, analysis of biomedical data and knowledge, clinical decision support and electronic patient records. CONCLUSIONS: Methods of Information in Medicine is the oldest international journal in biomedical informatics. The journal's development over the last 50 years correlates with the formation of this new discipline. It has and continues to stress the basic methodology and scientific fundamentals of organizing, representing and analysing data, information and knowledge in biomedicine and health care. It has and continues to stimulate multidisciplinary communication on research that is devoted to high-quality, efficient health care, to quality of life and to the progress of biomedicine and the health sciences.

People and ideas in medical informatics - a half century review.

OBJECTIVE. Reviewing the onset and the rapid changes to make realistic predictions on the future of medical informatics. METHODS. Pointing to the contributions of the early pioneers, who had their roots in other disciplines and by illustrating that from the onset an interdisciplinary approach was characteristic for our field. RESULTS. Some of the reasons for the changes in medical informatics are that nobody was able to predict the advent of the personal computer in the 1970s, the world-wide web in 1991, and the public start of the Internet in 1992, but foremost that nobody expected that it was not primarily the hardware or the software, but human factors that would be crucial for successful applications of computers in health care. In the past sometimes unrealistic expectations were held, such as on the impact of medical decision-support systems, or on the overly optimistic contributions of electronic health records. Although the technology is widely available, some applications appear to be far more complex than expected. Health care processes can seldom be fully standardized. Humans enter at least in two very different roles in the loop of information processing: as subjects conducting care - the clinicians - and as subjects that are the objects of care - the patients. CONCLUSIONS. Medical informatics lacks a specific methodology; methods are borrowed from adjacent disciplines such as physics, mathematics and, of course, computer science. Human factors play a major role in applying computers in health care. Everyone pursuing a career in biomedical informatics needs to be very aware of this. It is to be expected that the quality of health care will increasingly be assessed by computer systems to fulfill the requirements of medical evidence.

Medical informatics is interdisciplinary avant la lettre.

OBJECTIVE: To discuss the elements of interdisciplinary research and to analyze its contribution to (bio)medical informatics. METHOD: Commenting on 'Informatics and Medicine - From Molecules to Populations' from K. A. Kuhn et al. in this issue of Methods of Information in Medicine. Referring to examples of successfully established interdisciplinary research. RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS: Medical informatics is an interdisciplinary field avant la lettre. Experience with successful interdisciplinary research already exists for many decades: Interdisciplinary research is not a category of research but a consequence of addressing a complex problem in society, involving the collaboration between and methods drawn from multiple disciplines. Because research is people, personal interactions are critical for interdisciplinary research. Collaboration takes extra time to develop, to build consensus and to understand new methodologies, languages, and each other's culture. Interdisciplinary research requires leaders with vision and expressive skills. Effective scientific and institutional leadership is critical to the success of interdisciplinary groups. Interdisciplinarity begins in the classroom. Interdisciplinary research cannot be effective without interdisciplinary education. Researchers and teachers should immerse themselves in the culture of other disciplines, learning to explain their work in terms understood by people outside their own discipline. Teams that perform interdisciplinary research should promote collaboration, meet regularly, and recognize that it requires a commitment toward good communication and clear goals. Although much progress is achieved by interdisciplinary research, basic monodisciplinary research is still required to advance the frontiers of scientific knowledge, such as in physics or biology.

Reflections on curiosity.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this article is to show that curiosity is the driving force behind all scientific endeavors. The second purpose is to show that all science is constrained on its underlying assumptions. METHODS: Three examples are used to illustrate the above theses: one from cosmology, the second from biomedical research, and the third from the formalization of human reasoning in a computer. The three examples are supported by quotes from Albert Einstein. RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS: Research in cosmology shows that the horizon of our knowledge is continuously expanding but that major scientific questions remain to be solved. The second example from biomedicine explains that the more we discover of the details of living phenomena, the more complex they appear to be. The example involving human reasoning makes clear that the brain is still largely unknown territory. Like Einstein, who said he held 'humble admiration of the illimitable superior spirit who reveals himself in the slight details we are able to perceive with our frail and feeble mind', I have a deep admiration for the Architect who reveals himself in the details that we are privileged to study in our research. As Albert Einstein said: The important thing is not to stop questioning. Curiosity has its own reason for existing.

IMIA presidential retrospectives on medical informatics.

OBJECTIVES: The International Medical Informatics Association (IMIA) celebrates its 40th anniversary in 2007. Three IMIA Presidents from three continents were invited to give their personal retrospectives on the world's largest organization in medical informatics. METHOD: Reports, based on personal reminiscenses. RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS: IMIA was established in the 1970s by individuals already active in medical informatics in their home countries. It has evolved into a strong international organization based on the mutual trust and friendship of members throughout the world. IMIA serves as a 'bridge' organization both within an interorganizational context and within the broader context of IMIA's professional aims. Being a driving motor for successive waves of change in the field, IMIA helps to significantly improve health care by building bridges across regions, disciplines, and professions, to bridge the distances around the globe.

The young person's guide to biomedical informatics.

OBJECTIVE: To draw a parallel between the challenges by which a research department in biomedical informatics is confronted and those of a symphony orchestra; in both areas different disciplines and various groups of instruments can be discerned. METHOD: Retrospective, personal review of how to conduct biomedical research. RESULTS: The importance of mastering one's instrument and the harmony between the team members is stressed. The conductor has to motivate all players so that they can have a successful career. Competition between orchestras and performance assessments determine survival and success. A record of refereed publications is crucial for continued existence. CONCLUSIONS: Biomedical informatics is typically multidisciplinary. Hypotheses underlying research should be carefully formulated. The time from research to application may easily take 20 years or more. Mutual trust and knowing each other's competences is essential for success. A good leader gives enough room to all team members to develop their careers. The outcomes of assessment studies are directly related to the quality of publications.

Assessment of education and research in biomedical informatics.

OBJECTIVES: The existence and survival of university institutes is increasingly dependent on assessments of research and education. In many countries also departments of biomedical informatics are assessed at regular intervals, often as part of the review of a Medical or Health Sciences Faculty, or a Research School. The article underlines the importance of periodic evaluation of research and education in biomedical informatics. METHODS: Quality assessment, if done by an independent review committee of peers, is a suitable instrument to obtain insight into the quality and accountability of both education and research. Key instruments for the assessment of education and research are well-defined protocols that are used for self-assessment. These self-assessment reports form the inputs for the independent review committee. RESULTS: The outcomes of the assessments are directly related to the quality of research, which is visible in publications in peer-reviewed journals. Internal quality management tools contribute to a large extent to the improvement of the quality of education and research. CONCLUSION: External assessment 'review by peers' is increasingly used as the final step of an integral quality system for research and education. This is particularly important if the results of biomedical informatics R&D are to be applied in clinical practice. A positive outcome of an assessment can only be expected from a long-term investment in the quality of research and researchers who publish their results in peer-reviewed journals.

Employment of intra-individual variability to improve computerized ECG interpretation.

One of the reasons for the limited practical utility of computer programs for interpretation of electrocardiograms (ECGs) is their susceptibility to intra-individual variability. Two of the most prominent sources of intra-individual variability in ECGs, electrode placement variations and respiration, were studied for their effects on computerized ECG interpretation. Previous research has shown that the effects of intra-individual variability on computerized ECG interpretation depend largely on the individual ECG. To enable the assessment of chest electrode position variations for individual standard 12- lead ECGs, ECGs resulting from simulations of such position variations were interpreted. Variability due to respiration was assessed by interpreting all individual ECG beats instead of an averaged beat. In this paper two methods are presented that employ information about the intra-individual variability in individual ECGs. The first method provides an estimate of the reliability of the interpretation, the second attempts to improve the interpretation itself. In the first method we quantified the variation in interpretation caused by the two sources of intra-individual variability with the use of a stability index, a high index value indicating a low variation in interpretation. This index was subsequently studied using two sets of ECGs. For the first set a â clinical' reference interpretation was obtained from discharge letters. For the second set three cardiologists provided a â cardiologists' reference. The performance of subgroups of ECGs having stability indices higher than a particular value was computed. It appeared that for the â cardiologists' reference, the interpretations of ECGs with a high stability index were more often correct. No effect was found for the â clinical' reference. In the second method we attempted to improve the original interpretation by combining the alternative interpretations into a new interpretation. This was done by taking the median or the average of the quantified alternatives. These combined interpretations proved to perform better than the original interpretation when a cardiologist's interpretation was taken as a reference. This paper shows that intra-individual ECG variability can be used to improve original interpretations. This can be done without having to record multiple ECGs, provided that a model is available to simulate intra-individual variability. The presented methods do not depend on the classification algorithm that is used. They can be used both during classifier design to correct imperfections, and in routine use of the classifier to produce more representative classifications.

Assessment of decision support for blood test ordering in primary care. a randomized trial.

BACKGROUND: Different methods for changing blood test-ordering behavior in primary care have been proven effective. However, randomized trials comparing these methods are lacking. OBJECTIVE: To compare the effect of two versions of BloodLink, a computer-based clinical decision support system, on blood test ordering among general practitioners. DESIGN: Randomized trial. SETTING: 44 practices of general practitioners in the region of Delft, the Netherlands. PARTICIPANTS: 60 general practitioners in 44 practices who used computer-based patient records in their practices. INTERVENTION: After stratification by solo practices and group practices, practices were randomly assigned to use BloodLink-Restricted, which initially displays a reduced list of tests, or BloodLink-Guideline, which is based on the guidelines of the Dutch College of General Practitioners. MEASUREMENTS: Average number of blood tests ordered per order form per practice. RESULTS: General practitioners who used BloodLink-Guideline requested 20% fewer tests on average than did practitioners who used BloodLink-Restricted (mean [+/-SD], 5.5 +/- 0.9 tests vs. 6.9 +/- 1.6 tests, respectively; P = 0.003, Mann-Whitney test). CONCLUSIONS: Decision support based on guidelines is more effective in changing blood test-ordering behavior than is decision support based on initially displaying a limited number of tests. Guideline-driven decision support systems can be effective in reducing the number of laboratory tests ordered by primary care practitioners.

Both decreased and increased heart rate variability on the standard 10-second electrocardiogram predict cardiac mortality in the elderly: the Rotterdam Study.

Decreased heart rate variability has been associated with an adverse prognosis in patients after myocardial infarction. Studies carried out in the population at large show contradictory results. The authors examined the association between heart rate variability on a standard 10-second electrocardiogram and cardiac and all-cause mortality in the Rotterdam Study, a population-based cohort study of men and women aged > or =55 years, using data collected between 1990 and 1996 (mean follow-up = 4 years). Heart rate variability, taken as the standard deviation of normal R-R intervals (SDNN), was computed by means of the Modular ECG Analysis System. After exclusion of subjects with arrhythmia and those with fewer than six normal R-R intervals, the study population consisted of 2,088 men and 3,184 women. Cox's proportional hazards model was used to examine the age- and sex-adjusted risk for cardiac, noncardiac, and total mortality in relation to quartiles of SDNN, using the third quartile of SDNN as the reference category. Subjects in the lowest quartile of SDNN relative to those in the third quartile had an 80 percent age- and sex-adjusted increased risk for cardiac mortality (hazard ratio = 1.8; 95% confidence interval: 1.0, 3.2). Interestingly, for subjects in the highest quartile of SDNN, an even more pronounced risk for cardiac mortality was present (hazard ratio = 2.3; 95% confidence interval: 1.3, 4.0). Additional adjustment for possible confounders did not materially change the risk estimates. The authors conclude that heart rate variability measured on the standard 10-second electrocardiogram can be used to identify older men and women with an increased risk for cardiac mortality. In the elderly, increased heart rate variability is an even stronger indicator of cardiac mortality than decreased heart rate variability. Further studies are needed to confirm these findings and to elucidate their physiologic meaning.