Fixed-duration venetoclax plus obinutuzumab improves quality of life and geriatric impairments in FCR-unfit patients with CLL.

Chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL)-related symptoms and morbidity related to the advanced age at diagnosis impairs the well-being of older adult patients. Therefore, it is essential to tailor treatment according to geriatric characteristics and aim for an improvement in health-related quality of life (HRQoL) as a primary treatment goal. In the HOVON139/GiVe trial, 12 cycles of fixed-duration venetoclax plus obinutuzumab (Ven-O) were shown to be effective and tolerable in FCR (fludarabine, cyclophosphamide, rituximab)-unfit patients with CLL (n = 67). However, prolonged venetoclax exposure as consolidation treatment led to increased toxicity with limited effect on minimal residual disease. To assess the impact of geriatric assessment on treatment outcomes and the patients' HRQoL, patient-reported outcomes (PROs), including function, depression, cognition, nutrition, physical performance, muscle parameters, comorbidities, and the European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer C30 and CLL17 questionnaires were assessed. At baseline, geriatric impairments were present in >90% of patients and ≥2 impairments present in 60% of patients predicted grade ≥3 nonhematological toxicity. During treatment, the number of geriatric impairments diminished significantly and clinically relevant improvements in HRQoL subscales were reached for global health status, physical functioning, role functioning, emotional functioning, fatigue, dyspnea, physical condition or fatigue, and worries or fears related to health and functioning. These improvements were comparable for patients receiving venetoclax consolidation and patients in whom treatment could mostly be discontinued. Collectively, frontline fixed-duration Ven-O improves overall PROs in older, unfit patients with CLL with and without geriatric impairments. This study was registered at EudraCT as 2015-004985-27 and the Netherlands Trial Register as NTR6043.

First-Line Venetoclax Combinations in Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia.

BACKGROUND: Randomized trials of venetoclax plus anti-CD20 antibodies as first-line treatment in fit patients (i.e., those with a low burden of coexisting conditions) with advanced chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) have been lacking. METHODS: In a phase 3, open-label trial, we randomly assigned, in a 1:1:1:1 ratio, fit patients with CLL who did not have TP53 aberrations to receive six cycles of chemoimmunotherapy (fludarabine-cyclophosphamide-rituximab or bendamustine-rituximab) or 12 cycles of venetoclax-rituximab, venetoclax-obinutuzumab, or venetoclax-obinutuzumab-ibrutinib. Ibrutinib was discontinued after two consecutive measurements of undetectable minimal residual disease or could be extended. The primary end points were undetectable minimal residual disease (sensitivity, <10-4 [i.e., <1 CLL cell in 10,000 leukocytes]) as assessed by flow cytometry in peripheral blood at month 15 and progression-free survival. RESULTS: A total of 926 patients were assigned to one of the four treatment regimens (229 to chemoimmunotherapy, 237 to venetoclax-rituximab, 229 to venetoclax-obinutuzumab, and 231 to venetoclax-obinutuzumab-ibrutinib). At month 15, the percentage of patients with undetectable minimal residual disease was significantly higher in the venetoclax-obinutuzumab group (86.5%; 97.5% confidence interval [CI], 80.6 to 91.1) and the venetoclax-obinutuzumab-ibrutinib group (92.2%; 97.5% CI, 87.3 to 95.7) than in the chemoimmunotherapy group (52.0%; 97.5% CI, 44.4 to 59.5; P<0.001 for both comparisons), but it was not significantly higher in the venetoclax-rituximab group (57.0%; 97.5% CI, 49.5 to 64.2; P = 0.32). Three-year progression-free survival was 90.5% in the venetoclax-obinutuzumab-ibrutinib group and 75.5% in the chemoimmunotherapy group (hazard ratio for disease progression or death, 0.32; 97.5% CI, 0.19 to 0.54; P<0.001). Progression-free survival at 3 years was also higher with venetoclax-obinutuzumab (87.7%; hazard ratio for disease progression or death, 0.42; 97.5% CI, 0.26 to 0.68; P<0.001), but not with venetoclax-rituximab (80.8%; hazard ratio, 0.79; 97.5% CI, 0.53 to 1.18; P = 0.18). Grade 3 and grade 4 infections were more common with chemoimmunotherapy (18.5%) and venetoclax-obinutuzumab-ibrutinib (21.2%) than with venetoclax-rituximab (10.5%) or venetoclax-obinutuzumab (13.2%). CONCLUSIONS: Venetoclax-obinutuzumab with or without ibrutinib was superior to chemoimmunotherapy as first-line treatment in fit patients with CLL. (Funded by AbbVie and others; GAIA-CLL13 ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT02950051; EudraCT number, 2015-004936-36.).

Improving Outcome-Driven Care in Multiple Myeloma Using Patient-Reported Outcomes: A Qualitative Evaluation Study.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Multiple myeloma is an incurable disease with a considerable illness and treatment burden, which negatively impacts patients' quality of life. This study aimed to evaluate the implementation of multiple myeloma care in five Dutch hospitals, related to the three objectives of outcome-driven care, which are defined as (1) providing information for shared decision making in individual patient care, (2) supporting the learning capacity of healthcare professionals and healthcare institutions through benchmarking and (3) developing outcome-driven and patient-centred contracting by health insurers. METHODS: In this qualitative study, semi-structured interviews about experiences with patient-reported outcomes were conducted with patients, healthcare professionals and other stakeholders 2 years after implementation. Data were thematically analysed, and emerging topics were clustered around the three objectives of outcome-driven care. RESULTS: A total of 46 interviews were held (15 with patients, 16 with professionals and 15 with other stakeholders) that showed patients with multiple myeloma were willing to complete patient-reported outcomes, although integration of patient-reported outcomes in shared decision making fell short in clinical practice. Aggregated patient-reported outcomes were considered important for improving quality of care; however, data collection and data exchange are hindered by privacy legislation, limitations of IT systems and a lack of data standards. Patient-reported outcomes were expected to contribute to cost-effective multiple myeloma treatment, yet outcome-driven reimbursement is still lacking. CONCLUSIONS: Outcome-driven multiple myeloma care using patient-reported outcomes is feasible, provided that (1) patient-reported outcomes and shared decision making are integrated into clinical practice, (2) legal and technical obstacles hindering data collection are removed and (3) health insurers adjust their reimbursement plans to facilitate outcome-driven care.

Diagnosis, treatment and supportive management of chronic lymphocytic leukemia: recommendations of the Dutch HOVON CLL working group.

Management of patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) is changing due to considerable advances in the therapeutic armamentarium, and new therapies will possibly continue to emerge in the near future. Therefore, the CLL working group of the Dutch-Belgium Haemato-Oncology Cooperative Group for Adults in the Netherlands (HOVON) necessitated revising the Dutch CLL guidelines. The current guideline is based on the expert opinion of the HOVON CLL working group members and focusses on well-designed clinical trials taking into account efficacy with special emphasis on toxicity, treatment duration and treatment intensity. This article provides recommendations on diagnosis, treatment strategies in front-line and relapsed setting and provides supportive care measurements during novel-based therapies as well as for infectious CLL-related complications. The recommendations presented here are intended to provide guidance for the management of CLL patients in the Netherlands, and take into account the availability of treatment strategies at the time of this publication.

Venetoclax consolidation after fixed-duration venetoclax plus obinutuzumab for previously untreated chronic lymphocytic leukaemia (HOVON 139/GiVe): primary endpoint analysis of a multicentre, open-label, randomised, parallel-group, phase 2 trial.

BACKGROUND: Fixed-duration 12 cycles of venetoclax plus obinutuzumab is established as first-line treatment for patients with chronic lymphocytic leukaemia. We aimed to determine the activity and safety of 12 cycles of venetoclax consolidation after fixed-duration venetoclax plus obinutuzumab for previously untreated patients with chronic lymphocytic leukaemia who were unfit for fludarabine-based treatment, and whether this could be guided by minimal residual disease status. METHODS: We conducted an open-label, randomised, parallel-group, phase 2 trial (HOVON 139/GiVe) at 25 hospitals in the Netherlands. Eligible patients were aged 18 years or older with previously untreated chronic lymphocytic leukaemia, had an ECOG performance status of 0-2, and were unfit for fludarabine-based treatment. All patients received two debulking cycles of intravenous obinutuzumab (100 mg on day 1, 900 mg on day 2, and 1000 mg on days 8, 15, and day 1 of cycle two), followed by fixed-duration venetoclax plus obinutuzumab for 12 cycles (six cycles of intravenous obinutuzumab 1000 mg on day 1 and 12 during 28-day cycles of oral venetoclax, starting with a 5-week ramp-up and then 400 mg once daily until completion of cycle 12). Patients were then randomly assigned (1:1) by minimal residual disease status in peripheral blood, to receive either 12 cycles of venetoclax consolidation irrespective of minimal residual disease or venetoclax consolidation only if minimal residual disease was detected at randomisation. The primary endpoint was undetectable minimal residual disease in bone marrow and no progressive disease 3 months after end of consolidation treatment (or corresponding timepoint) by intention-to-treat. Safety was assessed in all patients who received at least one dose of any study drug. This is the primary endpoint analysis of this trial, which is ongoing and is registered with EudraCT (2015-004985-27). FINDINGS: Between Oct 28, 2016, and May 31, 2018, 70 patients were enrolled, of whom 67 (47 [70%] men and 20 [30%] women) received fixed-duration treatment and 62 were randomly assigned to receive 12 cycles of venetoclax consolidation (n=32) or minimal residual disease-guided venetoclax consolidation (n=30; one of whom was minimal residual disease positive at randomisation). Median follow-up was 35·2 months (IQR 31·5-41·3). 16 (50% [95% CI 32-68]) of 32 patients in the consolidation group and 16 (53% [34-72]) of 30 in the minimal residual disease-guided consolidation group met the primary endpoint of undetectable minimal residual disease in bone marrow and no progressive disease. 22 (69%) of 32 patients in the venetoclax consolidation group and 11 (37%) of 30 in the minimal residual disease-guided consolidation group had any adverse event (grade 2-4; mainly infections). The most common grade 3 or worse adverse events were infection (two [6%] of 32 patients in the consolidation group and one [3%] of 30 in the minimal residual disease-guided consolidation group) and neutropenia (two [6%] and two [7%]). There were no treatment-related deaths. INTERPRETATION: Consolidation with venetoclax 12-cycle treatment increases the duration of known side-effects and does not prevent the loss of minimal residual disease response and subsequent risk of disease relapse. FUNDING: F Hoffmann-La Roche.

Effects of Treatment of Coronavirus Disease 2019 With Convalescent Plasma in 25 B-Cell-Depleted Patients.

Twenty-five B-cell-depleted patients (24 following anti-CD19/20 therapy) diagnosed with coronavirus disease 2019 had been symptomatic for a median of 26 days but remained antibody negative. All were treated with convalescent plasma with high neutralizing antibody titers. Twenty-one (84%) recovered, indicating the potential therapeutic effects of this therapy in this particular population.

Perspectives on returning to work of multiple myeloma patients: A qualitative interview study.

OBJECTIVE: Multiple myeloma (MM) is a rare and incurable disease. Because new treatments improved survival rates, return to work (RTW) became more relevant to MM patients of working age. Also, (health care) experts may be confronted with specific obstacles in guiding MM patients' RTW. Therefore, we aimed to qualitatively explore perspectives and experiences of MM patients and (health care) experts regarding RTW and participation at work. METHODS: Semi-structured interviews were conducted with patients (N = 9) and (health care) experts (N = 15). Interviews were transcribed verbatim and analysed using thematic analysis. RESULTS: Four themes resulted from the interviews with patients and (health care) experts: (1) severity of diagnosis and treatment impact RTW, (2) step-by-step reintegration facilitates RTW, (3) meaning of work differs between MM patients and experts and (4) lack of tailored counselling by experts. CONCLUSION: Although MM patients' work ability may be limited due to the severity of diagnosis and side effects from treatment, most patients consider RTW important. Both patients and (health care) experts emphasise the benefits from early work ability assessment (in the hospital setting) and specialised RTW counselling, especially in those with physically demanding jobs.

Ixazomib, Daratumumab, and Low-Dose Dexamethasone in Frail Patients With Newly Diagnosed Multiple Myeloma: The Hovon 143 Study.

PURPOSE: Frail patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma have an inferior outcome, mainly because of a high discontinuation rate due to toxicity. We designed a phase II trial specifically for frail patients, evaluating the efficacy and tolerability of ixazomib-daratumumab-low-dose-dexamethasone (Ixa-Dara-dex). METHODS: Sixty-five patients, who were frail according to the International Myeloma Working Group frailty index, were treated with nine induction cycles Ixa-Dara-dex followed by maintenance with Ixa-Dara for a maximum of 2 years. RESULTS: The overall response rate on induction therapy was 78%. After a median follow-up of 22.9 months, median progression-free survival (PFS) was 13.8 months and 12-month overall survival (OS) was 78%. Median PFS and 12-month OS were 21.6 months and 92% in patients who were frail based on age > 80 years alone, versus 13.8 months and 78%, and 10.1 months and 70% in patients who were frail based on additional frailty parameters either ≤ 80 or > 80 years of age, respectively. In 51% of patients, induction therapy had to be discontinued prematurely, of which 6% because of noncompliance to study treatment, 9% because of toxicity, and 9% because of death (8% within 2 months, of which 80% because of toxicity). Quality of life improved during induction treatment, being clinically meaningful already after three induction cycles. CONCLUSION: Ixa-Dara-dex lead to a high response rate and improved quality of life. However, treatment discontinuation because of toxicity and early mortality, negatively influencing PFS and OS, remains a concern in frail patients. The outcome was heterogeneous across frail subpopulations. This should be taken into account in the design and interpretation of future studies in frail patients, to pave the way for more precise treatment guidance.

Distinct immune composition in lymph node and peripheral blood of CLL patients is reshaped during venetoclax treatment.

Morbidity and mortality due to immunosuppression remain among the foremost clinical challenges in chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL). Although immunosuppression is considered to originate within the lymph node (LN) microenvironment, alterations in T and natural killer (NK) cells have almost exclusively been studied in peripheral blood (PB). Whereas chemoimmunotherapy further deteriorates immune function, novel targeted agents like the B-cell lymphoma 2 inhibitor venetoclax potentially spare nonmalignant lymphocytes; however, the effects of venetoclax on nonleukemic cells have not been explored. We address these unresolved issues using a comprehensive analysis of nonmalignant lymphocytes in paired LN and PB samples from untreated CLL patients, and by analyzing the effects of venetoclax-based treatment regimens on the immune system in PB samples from previously untreated and relapsed/refractory patients. CLL-derived LNs contained twice the amount of suppressive regulatory T cells (Tregs) and CLL supportive follicular T helper (Tfh) cells compared with PB. This was accompanied by a low frequency of cytotoxic lymphocytes. The expression of PD-1 by CD8+ T cells was significantly higher in LN compared with PB. Venetoclax-based treatment led to deep responses in the majority of patients, but also to decreased absolute numbers of B, T, and NK cells. Tfh cell, Treg, and PD-1+ CD8+ T cell numbers were reduced more than fivefold after venetoclax-based therapy, and overproduction of inflammatory cytokines was reduced. Furthermore, we observed restoration of NK cell function. These data support the notion that the immunosuppressive state in CLL is more prominent within the LN. Venetoclax-based regimens reduced the immunosuppressive footprint of CLL, suggesting immune recovery after the elimination of leukemic cells.

Mycotic aneurysm caused by Clostridium septicum in a patient with colorectal cancer.

A mycotic aneurysm caused by a Clostridium septicum is a rare infection and has a strong association with colorectal cancer. If left untreated, the mortality rate of the first 24 h is high. This case report discusses the optimal treatment of emergency surgery combined with antibiotic treatment to improve survival. We present a fatal case of a 71-year-old male with abscedation of a caecal carcinoma who shortly after developed a mycotic aneurysm of the infrarenal aorta as a result of a C. septicum infection.

Etanercept for steroid-refractory acute graft-versus-host disease: A single center experience.

BACKGROUND: Acute graft-versus-host disease (aGVHD) is an important complication of allogeneic stem cell transplantation (alloSCT). High dose glucocorticosteroids, are currently recommended as first-line treatment for grade II-IV aGVHD resulting in overall complete responses (CR) in 40%-50% of patients. No standard second-line regimen has been established. Different options have been reported, including anti-TNFα antibodies. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed the outcome of 15 patients with steroid-refractory (SR) aGVHD treated with etanercept at our institution. Patients were transplanted for a hematological malignancy and received either a myeloablative or a non-myeloablative conditioning regimen. Prophylaxis of GVHD consisted of cyclosporin A and mycophenolic acid. RESULTS: Acute GVHD was diagnosed at a median of 61 days post-transplantation. All patients had grade III aGVHD of the gut. Second-line treatment with etanercept was started at a median of 13 days after initiation of first-line therapy. Overall response rate was 53%, with CR in 3 patients and PR in 5 patients. Median overall survival after initiation of treatment with etanercept was 66 days (range 5-267) for the entire group. Median overall survival was 99 days (range 47-267 days) for responders and 17 days (range 5-66 days) for non-responders (p<0.01). Nevertheless, all patients died. Causes of death were progressive GVHD in 7 patients (47%), infection in 6 patients (40%), cardiac death in 1 patient (6.7%) and relapse in 1 patient (6,7%). CONCLUSION: Second-line treatment with etanercept does induce responses in SR-aGVHD of the gut but appears to be associated with poor long-term survival even in responding patients.

Genome-wide association study for radiographic vertebral fractures: a potential role for the 16q24 BMD locus.

Vertebral fracture risk is a heritable complex trait. The aim of this study was to identify genetic susceptibility factors for osteoporotic vertebral fractures applying a genome-wide association study (GWAS) approach. The GWAS discovery was based on the Rotterdam Study, a population-based study of elderly Dutch individuals aged > 55 years; and comprising 329 cases and 2666 controls with radiographic scoring (McCloskey­Kanis) and genetic data. Replication of one top-associated SNP was pursued by de-novo genotyping of 15 independent studies across Europe, the United States, and Australia and one Asian study. Radiographic vertebral fracture assessment was performed using McCloskey­Kanis or Genant semi-quantitative definitions. SNPs were analyzed in relation to vertebral fracture using logistic regression models corrected for age and sex. Fixed effects inverse variance and Han­Eskin alternative random effects meta-analyses were applied. Genome-wide significance was set at p < 5 × 10− 8. In the discovery, a SNP (rs11645938) on chromosome 16q24 was associated with the risk for vertebral fractures at p = 4.6 × 10− 8. However, the association was not significant across 5720 cases and 21,791 controls from 14 studies. Fixed-effects meta-analysis summary estimate was 1.06 (95% CI: 0.98­1.14; p = 0.17), displaying high degree of heterogeneity (I2 = 57%; Qhet p = 0.0006). Under Han­Eskin alternative random effects model the summary effect was significant (p = 0.0005). The SNP maps to a region previously found associated with lumbar spine bone mineral density (LS-BMD) in two large meta-analyses from the GEFOS consortium. A false positive association in the GWAS discovery cannot be excluded, yet, the low-powered setting of the discovery and replication settings (appropriate to identify risk effect size > 1.25) may still be consistent with an effect size < 1.10, more of the type expected in complex traits. Larger effort in studies with standardized phenotype definitions is needed to confirm or reject the involvement of this locus on the risk for vertebral fractures.

ApoE gene polymorphisms, BMD, and fracture risk in elderly men and women: the Rotterdam study.

UNLABELLED: To study the association between the ApoE gene polymorphism and osteoporosis, we performed an association study in 5,857 subjects from the Rotterdam Study. We did not observe an association between the ApoE polymorphism and osteoporosis in this study, which is thus far the largest study on ApoE and osteoporosis. INTRODUCTION: The E*4 allele of the E*2, E*3, E*4 protein isoform polymorphism in the gene encoding apolipoprotein E (ApoE) has previously been associated with an increased fracture risk. We investigated the association between the ApoE polymorphism and BMD, bone loss, and incident fractures as part of the Rotterdam Study a prospective population-based cohort study of diseases in the elderly. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The study population consisted of 5,857 subjects (2,560 men; 3,297 women) for whom data on ApoE genotypes, confounding variables, and follow-up of nonvertebral fractures were available. Data on femoral neck and lumbar spine BMD were available for 4,814 participants. Genotype analyses for bone loss (defined as annualized percent change in BMD at the hip and lumbar spine) and BMD were performed using ANOVA. Fractures were analyzed using a Cox proportional-hazards model and logistic regression. All relative risks were adjusted for age and body mass index. RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS: The genotype distribution of the study population was in Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium (p = 0.98) and did not differ by gender. At baseline, mean BMD of the lumbar spine and femoral neck did not differ between the ApoE genotypes of men and women. Bone loss (mean follow-up, 2.0 years) did not differ by ApoE genotype for women and men. During a mean follow-up of 6.6 years, 708 nonvertebral fractures (198 hip fractures and 179 wrist fractures) and 149 incident vertebral fractures occurred. No consistent differences in the distribution of alleles could be observed between subjects with or without these fractures. Our data do not support the hypothesis that the ApoE*4 risk allele is associated with BMD, increased bone loss, or an increased risk of osteoporotic fractures.

HMG-CoA reductase inhibitors and the risk of vertebral fracture.

UNLABELLED: Statins inhibit an enzyme in the mevalonate pathway and therefore may affect bone. In this first study on both symptomatic and nonsymptomatic vertebral fractures in the elderly (N = 3469), we show that long-term statin use is significantly associated with a 50% lower vertebral fracture risk. Randomized trials on statins and fractures, carried out in populations at risk for fractures, are needed. INTRODUCTION: Statins are cholesterol-lowering agents that could potentially affect bone. Previous studies on statin use and fracture risk reported contradictory results and did not include both symptomatic and nonsymptomatic vertebral fractures. MATERIALS AND METHODS: To examine the association between statin use, vertebral fractures, and lumbar spine BMD, we performed a prospective population-based cohort study in men and women (N = 3469) > or =55 years of age. These individuals had both baseline and follow-up spinal X-rays available. Statin use was obtained from detailed computerized pharmacy data, and the total number of days of exposure before second X-ray was calculated. A multivariate logistic regression model was fitted to calculate odds ratios and CIs. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up of 6.5 years, 176 incident vertebral fractures occurred. There were 508 statin users and 16 exposed cases. The adjusted relative risk for incident vertebral fracture in users of statins (compared with nonusers) was 0.58 (95% CI, 0.34-0.99). The relative risk decreased on higher cumulative use to 0.52 (95% CI, 0.28-0.97) for use for more than 365 days during the study period. Use of (the hydrophilic statin) pravastatin and use of nonstatin cholesterol-lowering drugs was not significantly associated with vertebral fracture risk. Statin use was not significantly associated with lumbar spine BMD. CONCLUSION: Statin use is associated with a lower risk of vertebral fracture. Randomized clinical trials in a population at risk for fracture are needed to examine this association.

Endogenous sex hormones, sex hormone-binding globulin, and the risk of incident vertebral fractures in elderly men and women: the Rotterdam Study.

In an age-matched, case-control study, we investigated the association between endogenous sex steroid hormones and incident vertebral fractures in both elderly men and women (aged 67.7 +/- 6.8 yr). Drawn from the Rotterdam Study, participants required radiographs of the lumbar spine at both baseline and follow-up (average time of follow-up, 6.5 yr) and frozen blood samples, taken at baseline. One hundred and seventy-eight men (45 cases) and 454 women (115 cases) were thus selected. Serum estradiol, SHBG, testosterone, and insulin were measured, along with bone mineral density at both spine and hip. Women in the lowest tertile of serum estradiol (< or =15.5 pmol/liter) had a 2.1 times increased risk (95% confidence interval, 1.3-3.5) of incident vertebral fractures, independently of bone mineral density measured at either site. SHBG levels in the lowest two tertiles were associated with a 50% reduction in incident vertebral fracture risk. Women with a combination of both low estradiol and high SHBG had a 7.8 times higher risk of an incident vertebral fracture (95% confidence interval, 2.7-22.5; P < 0.001), adjusted for age and weight. This increased risk did not change when non-SHBG-bound estradiol was used instead of total estradiol. For men, no clear association was found, possibly due to insufficient power. No clear association between testosterone and incident vertebral fractures was observed in either men or women.

Risk factors for incident vertebral fractures in men and women: the Rotterdam Study.

UNLABELLED: Low BMD and prevalent vertebral fractures are known risk factors for incident vertebral fractures. In 3001 men and women from the Rotterdam Study, prevalent nonvertebral fractures, early menopause, current smoking, and walking aid use were also strong risk factors for incident vertebral fractures. INTRODUCTION: Thus far, age, low BMD, and prevalent vertebral fractures are the only well-known risk factors for incident vertebral fractures. Therefore, our aim was to investigate other potential risk factors for incident vertebral fractures in the elderly. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This study was based on the Rotterdam Study, a large prospective population-based cohort study among men and women > or =55 years of age. For 3001 subjects, spinal radiographs were obtained at baseline and again approximately 6.3 years later. These follow-up radiographs were scored for vertebral fractures using the McCloskey-Kanis method. Whenever a vertebral fracture was detected, the radiograph was compared with the baseline radiograph. If this fracture was not already present at baseline, it was considered incident. At baseline, information on potential risk factors was obtained. RESULTS: Low BMD and prevalent vertebral fractures were strong risk factors for incident vertebral fractures in both men and women (RR 2.3 [1.6-3.3] and 2.2 [0.9-5.0] for men and RR 2.1 [1.6-2.6] and 4.1 [2.5-6.7] for women, respectively). For women, age, early menopause (< or =45 years of age; RR 1.0 [1.1-3.5]), current smoking (2.1 [1.2-3.5]), and walking aid use (2.5 [1.1-5.5]) were additional independent risk factors. For men, only a history of nonvertebral fractures was a significant independent risk factor (OR 2.4 [1.2-4.8]). CONCLUSION: Apart from low BMD and prevalent vertebral fractures, prevalent nonvertebral fractures are associated with an increased incident vertebral fracture risk in men. In women, early menopause, current smoking, and walking aid use are additional independent risk factors for incident vertebral fractures.