Diagnostic accuracy of Afirma gene expression classifier, Afirma gene sequencing classifier, ThyroSeq v2 and ThyroSeq v3 for indeterminate (Bethesda III and IV) thyroid nodules: a meta-analysis.

Objective: The management of thyroid nodules with indeterminate cytology (ITN) is still a challenge. To evaluate the performance of commercial molecular tests for ITN, we performed this comprehensive meta-analysis. Methods: We performed an electronic search using PubMed/Medline, Embase, and the Cochrane Library. Studies assessing the diagnostic accuracy of Afirma gene expression classifier (GEC), Afirma gene sequencing classifier (GSC), ThyroSeq v2 (TSv2), or ThyroSeq v3 (TSv3) in patients with ITN (only Bethesda category III or IV) were selected; Statistical analyses were performed by using Stata. Results: Seventy-one samples (GEC, n = 38; GSC, n = 16; TSv2, n = 9; TSv3, n = 8) in 53 studies, involving 6490 fine needle aspirations (FNAs) with ITN cytology with molecular diagnostics (GEC, GSC, TSv2, or TSv3), were included in the study. The meta-analysis showed the following pooled estimates: sensitivity 0.95 (95% CI: 0.94-0.97), specificity 0.35 (0.28-0.43), positive likelihood ratio (LR+) 1.5 (1.3-1.6), and negative likelihood ratio (LR-) 0.13 (0.09-0.19), with the best performance for TSv3 (area under the ROC curve 0.95 (0.93-0.96), followed by TSv2 (0.90 (0.87-0.92)), GSC (0.86 (0.82-0.88)), and GEC (0.82 (0.78-0.85)); the best rule-out property was observed for GSC (LR-, 0.07 (0.02-0.19)), followed by TSv3 (0.11 (0.05-0.24)) and GEC (0.16 (0.10-0.28), and the best rule-in was observed for TSv2 (LR+, 2,9 (1.4-4.6)), followed by GSC (1.9 (1.6-2.4)). A meta-regression analysis revealed that study design, Bethesda category, and type of molecular test were independent factors. Conclusion: We showed that in patients with ITN, TSv3 has the best molecular diagnostic performance, followed by TSv2, GSC, and GEC. As regards rule-out malignancy, GSC, and rule-in, TSV2 is superior to other tests.

Modified Bethesda criteria for thyroid aspirates significantly decrease nondiagnostic rates without decreasing sensitivity.

INTRODUCTION: Previous studies suggest that the adequacy rate of thyroid aspirates can be improved by altering the adequacy criteria of the Bethesda System. We sought to measure the performance of these altered criteria in a prospective fashion. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Over a 6-year period, cases with 1 to 59 follicular cells were prospectively classified as "nondiagnostic, favor benign" or "scant but adequate". "Scant but adequate" cases were classified as either benign (Bethesda category 2) or atypia of undetermined significance (AUS) (Bethesda category 3). Bethesda category 3 cases were referred for Afirma testing (Veracyte, San Francisco, CA). RESULTS: Of 5147 cases, 131 (3%) were classified as "nondiagnostic, favor benign"; 45 (65%) of these had follow-up with a risk of malignancy of 2.6%. Additionally, 436 (8%) of all 5147 cases were classified as "scant but adequate" and "benign"; 49 (11%) of these had follow-up with a risk of malignancy of 0%. Lastly, 197 (4%) of all 5147 cases were classified as "scant but adequate" with AUS; 177 (90%) of these 197 cases had an adequate Afirma result. The "suspicious" rate was not significantly different than that of cases classified as "adequate" and AUS (Bethesda category 3 and 4) (35 of 197 [18%] versus 140 of 848 [17%] P = 0.67), and there was no significant difference in the risk of malignancy for these 2 categories ("scant but adequate" 9 of 18, "adequate" 50% versus 27 of 85, 32%, P = 0.10). Overall, the modified Bethesda criteria reduced the nondiagnostic rate from 22% to 10% (P <0.001) without lowering the sensitivity of the test. CONCLUSIONS: Modified Bethesda adequacy criteria can significantly lower nondiagnostic rates without lowering sensitivity.

Analytical Validation of a Telomerase Reverse Transcriptase (TERT) Promoter Mutation Assay.

CONTEXT: Telomerase reverse transcriptase (TERT) promoter-mutated thyroid cancers are associated with a decreased rate of disease-free and disease-specific survival. High-quality analytical validation of a diagnostic test promotes confidence in the results that inform clinical decision-making. OBJECTIVE: This work aimed to demonstrate the analytical validation of the Afirma TERT promoter mutation assay. METHODS: TERT promoter C228T and C250T variant detection in genomic DNA (gDNA) was analyzed by assessing variable DNA input and the limit of detection (LOD) of variant allele frequency (VAF). The negative and positive percentage agreement (NPA and PPA) of the Afirma TERT test was examined against a reference primer pair as was the analytical specificity from potential interfering substances (RNA and blood gDNA). Further, the intrarun, interrun, and interlaboratory reproducibility of the assay were tested. RESULTS: The Afirma TERT test is tolerant to variation in DNA input amount (7-13 ng) and can detect expected positive TERT promoter variants down to 5% VAF LOD at 7 ng DNA input with greater than 95% sensitivity. Both NPA and PPA were 100% against the reference primer pair. The test remains accurate in the presence of 20% RNA or 80% blood gDNA for an average patient sample that typically has 30% VAF. The test also demonstrated a 100% confirmation rate when compared with an external next-generation sequencing-based reference assay executed in a non-Veracyte laboratory. CONCLUSION: The analytical robustness and reproducibility of the Afirma TERT test support its routine clinical use among thyroid nodules with indeterminate cytology that are Afirma Genomic Sequencing Classifier suspicious or among Bethesda V/VI nodules.

Ultrasound Features and Performance of Afirma Gene Sequencing Classifier in Cytologically Indeterminate Thyroid Nodules.

Background: Cytologically indeterminate thyroid nodules (ITN) pose a management challenge. Here we analyze if adding ultrasound characteristics to Afirma Genome Sequence Classifier (GSC) results increases GSC diagnostic performance. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 237 GSC-tested Bethesda III/IV ITNs between July 2017 and December 2019 and classified them by American Thyroid Association (ATA) and the Thyroid Imaging Reporting and Data System (TIRADS) of the American College of Radiology. Results: The benign call rate was higher in Bethesda III ITNs with TIRADS <5 vs TIRADS 5 (89% vs 68%. P = .015). The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) of GSC in ATA high-risk Bethesda III ITNs vs lower were 100% vs 80% (P = 1), 89.5% vs 91.5% (P = .67), 66.7% vs 25% (P = .13), and 100% vs 99.2% (P = 1), respectively, and for TIRADS 5 vs <5 were 100% vs 80% (P = 1), 88.2% vs 91.4% (P = .65), 71.4% vs 23.5% (P = .06), and 100% vs 99.3% (P = 1). The sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV of GSC in high-risk ATA Bethesda IV ITNs vs lower were 66.7% vs 100% (P = .42), 83.3% vs 85.7% (P = 1), 66.7% vs 64.3% (P = 1), and 83.3% vs 100% (P = .3), respectively, and for TIRADS 5 vs <5 were 66.7% vs 90% (P = .42), 88.9% vs 83.8% (P = 1), 66.7% vs 60% (P = 1), and 88.9% vs 96.9% (P = .39). Conclusion: Sensitivity, specificity, NPV, and PPV of GSC were not significantly different in ATA high-risk and TIRADS 5 ITNs compared to ATA < high-risk and TIRADS 1-4 ITNs.

[Molecular and other ancillary tests proposed by The Bethesda system for reporting thyroid cytopathology 2023]. / Les tests moléculaires et autres techniques ancillaires en cytologie thyroïdienne selon Bethesda 2023.

For the first time the 2023 version of The Bethesda System for Reporting Thyroid Cytology dedicates a whole chapter (chapter 14) to ancillary studies almost exclusively represented by molecular testing. The latest data reported bring some evidence that molecular testing could help to optimize the diagnostic performance of « indeterminate ¼ categories (AUS and NF). Other studies suggest a promising role to guide the management of suspicious of malignancy and malignant categories. Indeed, the recognition of prognostic and predictive biomarkers analyzed on cytological samples, regardless of how it is collected, has progressed thanks to advances in our knowledge of molecular abnormalities of thyroid tumors. The chapter 14 is presented here highlighting the current and emerging roles of « in-house ¼ and commercialized molecular testing as presented by TSBRTC.

Use of the Afirma Xpression Atlas for cytologically indeterminate, Afirma Genomic Sequencing Classifier suspicious thyroid nodules: Clinicopathologic analysis with postoperative molecular testing.

OBJECTIVES: Afirma has recently introduced its Xpression Atlas (XA) as an adjunct to its Genomic Sequencing Classifier (GSC) for risk stratification of cytologically indeterminate thyroid nodules. We evaluated the performance of Afirma XA and associated pathologic findings for Afirma GSC suspicious nodules. METHODS: Intradepartmental records of thyroid fine-needle aspirations (FNAs) from January 2021 to December 2022 were identified and reviewed for patient and nodule characteristics, FNA findings, molecular test results, and final surgical pathology, if available. RESULTS: Material for Afirma GSC testing was collected in 624 thyroid FNAs, and 148 (24%) were classified as cytologically indeterminate. Afirma GSC testing was successful in 132 (89%) of those cases, of which 35 (27%) were Afirma GSC suspicious. Afirma XA testing was positive in 11 cases (11/35 [31%]). Eight (73%) patients underwent surgery that revealed 7 patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma and 1 patient with noninvasive follicular thyroid neoplasm with papillary-like nuclear features (NIFTP) (risk of malignancy: 100% [8/8]). Among the 24 patients with negative Afirma XA results, 19 (79%) underwent surgery, revealing 5 patients with malignancy and 3 patients with NIFTP (risk of malignancy: 42% [8/19]). Overall, the risk of malignancy for Afirma GSC suspicious nodules was 59% (16/27). CONCLUSIONS: Afirma XA improved risk stratification of thyroid disease with a high risk of malignancy in Afirma GSC suspicious nodules. A negative Afirma XA result, however, should not be used as a rule-out test.

Diagnostic Performance of Afirma and Interpace Diagnostics Genetic Testing in Indeterminate Thyroid Nodules: A Single Center Study.

Indeterminate thyroid nodules (ITN) represent 20-30% of biopsied nodules, with a 10-60% risk of malignancy. Molecular testing can stratify the risk of malignancy among ITNs, and subsequently reduce the need for unnecessary diagnostic surgery. We aimed to assess the performance of these molecular tests at a single institution. Patients with Bethesda III, IV, and V nodules with Afirma and Interpace Diagnostics genetic testing data from November 2013 to November 2021 were included. Three cohorts were formed, including GSC + XA, ThyGeNEXT + ThyraMIR, and GSC + GEC. Statistical analysis determined the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), diagnostic odds ratio (DOR), and accuracy of each type of testing. The PPV of nodules undergoing genetic testing by ThyGeNEXT + ThyraMIR (45.00%, 95%CI: 28.28-62.93%, p = 0.032) and GSC + XA (57.14%, 95%CI: 29.32-81.08%, p < 0.001) were superior to that of GEC + GSC (30.72%, 95%CI: 26.83-34.90%). The NPV was above 85% in all cohorts, suggesting overall suitable rule-out tests. The Afirma platform (GSC + XA) had the highest NPV at 96.97%. The overall accuracy for nodules undergoing ThyGeNEXT + ThyraMIR was 81.42% (95%CI: 73.01-88.11%, p < 0.001). A total of 230 patients underwent thyroidectomy, including less than 60% of each of the ThyGeNEXT + ThyraMIR and GSC + XA cohorts. Specifically, only 25% of patients in the GSC + XA cohort underwent surgery, considerably decreasing the rate of unnecessary surgical intervention. Sub-group analysis, including only patients with surgical pathology, found that PPV tended to be higher in the GSC + XA cohort, at 66.67% (95%CI: 37.28-87.06%), as compared to the ThyGeNEXT + ThyraMIR cohort, at 52.94% (95%CI: 35.25-69.92%). The Afirma genetic testing platform GSC + XA outperformed the other platforms with regards to both PPV and NPV and decreased the rate of surgery in patients with ITNs by 75%, significantly preventing unnecessary surgical intervention.

Risk stratification of cytologically indeterminate thyroid nodules with nondiagnostic or benign cytology on repeat FNA: Implications for molecular testing and surveillance.

BACKGROUND: Evidence guiding the management of cytologically indeterminate thyroid nodules with nondiagnostic (ND) or benign cytology on repeat fine-needle aspiration (FNA) is limited. This study evaluates the utility of molecular testing and estimates the risk of noninvasive follicular thyroid neoplasm with papillary-like nuclear features (NIFTP) and cancer among such nodules. METHODS: This was a retrospective single-institution review of thyroid nodules from adults that were classified as atypia of undetermined significance (AUS) or follicular neoplasm (FN) on initial FNA and underwent repeat FNA for cytology and Afirma testing (June 2013-July 2021). The association between repeat FNA cytology and RNA yield for Afirma was determined. Histologic outcomes were integrated with Afirma results to define end points for each nodule. RESULTS: A total of 691 AUS and FN nodules underwent repeat FNA and Afirma testing. Diagnostic Afirma results were obtained in 98% of cases overall and in 91% of nodules with ND cytology on repeat FNA. Using combined molecular and histologic end points, the NIFTP and/or cancer prevalence for nodules with ND cytology on repeat FNA was 9% (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.042-0.182), falling between those nodules classified as benign (5%; 95% CI, 0.029-0.094) and those classified as AUS or FN (18%; 95% CI, 0.140-0.218) on repeat FNA, although not reaching statistical significance from either subgroup (p = .38 and .10, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: AUS and FN nodules that are ND on repeat FNA have low but nonnegligible risk of NIFTP and/or cancer and may benefit from molecular testing, given the low test failure rate in this subgroup. Conversely, AUS and FN nodules reclassified as benign on repeat FNA have a very low risk of NIFTP and/or cancer and are unlikely to benefit from molecular testing.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of molecular testing for cytologically indeterminate thyroid nodules.

BACKGROUND: Thyroid nodules affect up to 65% of the population. Although fine needle aspirate (FNA) cytology is the gold standard for diagnosis, 15-30% of results are indeterminate. Molecular testing may aid in the diagnosis of nodules and potentially reduce unnecessary surgery. However, these tests are associated with significant costs. The objective of this study was to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of Afirma, a commercially available molecular test, in cytologically indeterminate thyroid nodules. METHODS: The base case was a solitary thyroid nodule with no additional high-risk features and an indeterminate FNA. Decision tree analysis was performed from the single payer perspective with a 1-year time horizon. Costing data were collected through micro-costing methodology. A probabilistic sensitivity analysis was performed. The primary outcome was the incremental cost effectiveness ratio (ICER) of cost per thyroid surgery avoided. RESULTS: Over 1 year, mean cost estimates were $8176.28 with 0.58 effectiveness for the molecular testing strategy and $6016.83 with 0.07 effectiveness for current standard management. The ICER was $4234.22 per surgery avoided. At a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of $5000 per surgery avoided, molecular testing is cost-effective with 63% certainty. CONCLUSION: This cost-effectiveness analysis suggests utilizing Afirma for indeterminate solitary thyroid nodules is a cost-effective strategy for avoiding unnecessary thyroid surgery. With a $5000 WTP threshold, molecular testing has a 63% chance of being the more cost-effective strategy. The cost effectiveness varies based on the cost of the molecular test and the value of Afirma for patients with indeterminate thyroid nodules depends on the WTP threshold to avoid unnecessary thyroid surgery.

Molecular Testing for Thyroid Nodules: The Experience at McGill University Teaching Hospitals in Canada.

In the past few decades, molecular characterization of thyroid cancer has made significant progress and is able to identify thyroid-cancer-related molecular markers that can then be applied clinically for improved decision making. The aim of this review is to provide a general overview about the molecular markers (mutations and alterations) of thyroid cancers, present several molecular tests, and discuss the clinical applications of identifying these markers supported by the clinical experience of several high-volume thyroid cancer specialists at the McGill university hospitals in Montreal, Canada. Our group experience showed that molecular testing can reclassify more than half of the patients with indeterminate thyroid nodules (Bethesda III and IV) into benign and spare these patients from unnecessary diagnostic surgery. Furthermore, it can help optimize the initial management in thyroid cancers with no evidence of high risk of recurrence of disease preoperatively. While routine molecular testing is not firmly established for thyroid FNA specimens that are suspicious or positive for malignancy (Bethesda V and VI), knowledge of a thyroid nodule's molecular risk group profile in such cases, together with its clinical and radiologic features, can help select the optimal surgical options (lobectomy versus upfront total thyroidectomy and central neck dissection), as demonstrated by our studies.

Molecular testing results as a quality metric for evaluating cytopathologists' utilization of the atypia of undetermined significance category for thyroid nodule fine-needle aspirations.

INTRODUCTION: The use of the indeterminate category of atypia of undetermined significance (AUS) for thyroid fine-needle aspirations (FNAs) should be kept to a minimum. Here, we investigate the utility of combining AUS utilization rates with Afirma (Veracyte, Inc., South San Francisco, CA) genomic sequencing classifier (GSC) molecular testing results as a quality improvement metric for describing cytopathologist practice patterns. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Thyroid FNAs evaluated in our laboratory by 9 cytopathologists from December 2017 to July 2021 were stratified by Bethesda diagnostic category, and Afirma GSC testing results for AUS cases were compiled and correlated with AUS call rates. RESULTS: Over this period, the laboratory AUS rate was 22.3% (672 of 3008), with an individual cytopathologist range of 11.6% to 39.3%. Afirma GSC testing had suspicious (GSC-S) results in 29% (48 of 167) of cases, with a cytopathologist range of 5% to 67%. Linear regression analysis of individual AUS rates versus Afirma GSC-S rates demonstrated no significant relationship between these 2 variables. However, based on the pattern of AUS use and GSC-S rates, a novel conceptual framework for understanding cytopathologist practice patterns is proposed. CONCLUSIONS: Combining molecular testing results with AUS call rates of thyroid nodules can provide a more nuanced explanation of cytopathologist practice patterns, and can be utilized to provide directed feedback to bring individual cytopathologist diagnostic category use in line with laboratory averages or published benchmarks.

Risk of malignancy in cytologically indeterminate thyroid nodules harboring thyroid stimulating hormone receptor mutations.

Objectives: To evaluate the frequency and risk of malignancy of TSHRpI568T mutations discovered in indeterminate thyroid nodules (ITN) within the Veracyte CLIA laboratory undergoing Afirma® Genomic Sequencing Classifier (GSC) testing, and to evaluate a broader cohort of TSHR variants and their categorization as Afirma GSC benign (GSC-B) or suspicious (GSC-S). Finally, we seek to assess the risk of malignancy (ROM) of this group of TSHR mutated ITN in the GSC-S category. Methods: ITN submitted to Veracyte for Afirma GSC testing between October 2017 and February 2022 were analyzed for TSHR variants and rates of GSC-B and GSC-S were calculated based upon BIII or IV cytology, by TSHR variant codon amino acid (AA) substitution, age, and gender. For GSC-S samples, surgical pathology reports were requested, and the rate of malignancy was calculated. Results: Five percent of the ITN samples harbored an isolated TSHR variant and 5% of those were classified as GSC-S. Among TSHRpI568T samples, 96% were GSC-B and of the GSC-S samples, 21% were malignant. Among an unselected group of TSHR, absent TSHRpI568T mutations, 16.3% of GSC-S samples were malignant, all but one with codon mutations in the transmembrane subdomains of the TSHR. This prompted a dedicated evaluation of transmembrane codons which revealed a malignancy rate of 10.7% among GSC-S nodules. In total, 13/85 (15.3%) TSHR mutated ITN with Afirma GSC-S results were found to be malignant. Conclusions: TSHR variants are rare in ITN, and most are categorized as benign under Afirma GSC testing which carries a < 4% risk of malignancy. For GSC-S ITN with TSHR mutations, the risk of malignancy is ≥= 15%, which is clinically meaningful and may alter treatment or monitoring recommendations for patients.

Performance of Afirma Gene Sequencing Classifier versus Gene Expression Classifier in thyroid nodules with indeterminate cytology.

INTRODUCTION: About 15% to 30% of thyroid fine-needle aspiration (FNA) nodules have indeterminate cytology. The Afirma (Veracyte Inc, South San Francisco, CA) Gene Expression Classifier (GEC)/Gene Sequencing Classifier (GSC) tests were designed to improve risk stratification of the indeterminate thyroid nodules. This study aimed to evaluate and compare the performance of the Afirma GEC and GSC tests in the indeterminate thyroid lesions. METHODS: Thyroid FNA cases with indeterminate cytology were searched in the pathology database and only those with available Afirma results were selected for this study. Each patient's demographic, sonographic, cytologic, molecular, and subsequent surgical follow-up results were collected and analyzed. RESULTS: There were 100 cases with indeterminate thyroid FNA results, including 49 cases tested by GEC and 51 cases by GSC. In the GEC group, benign call rate (BCR) was 53% (26 of 49) and the calculated negative predictive value (NPV) and positive predictive value (PPV) were 88% and 47% respectively. In the GSC group, the BCR was 63% (32 of 51) and the calculated NPV and PPV were 100% and 64%, respectively. Whereas only 17% (1 of 6) of benign oncocytic lesions were tested benign by the GEC, 60% (3 of 5) of benign oncocytic nodules were tested benign by the GSC. CONCLUSION: We demonstrated in this study that a little more than half of the indeterminate thyroid nodules had negative Afirma GEC/GSC results and the BCR using the Afirma GSC test was higher than GEC. The Afirma GSC showed higher NPV and PPV than GEC. In addition, the Afirma GSC appeared to be superior for differentiating benign and malignant oncocytic thyroid lesions.

Comparison of Afirma GEC and GSC to Nodules Without Molecular Testing in Cytologically Indeterminate Thyroid Nodules.

BACKGROUND: Analysis of cytologically indeterminate thyroid nodules with Afirma Gene Expression Classifier (GEC) and Genomic Sequencing Classifier (GSC) can reduce surgical rate and increase malignancy rate of surgically resected indeterminate nodules. METHODS: Retrospective cohort analysis of all adults with cytologically indeterminate thyroid nodules from January 2013 through December 2019. We compared surgical and malignancy rates of those without molecular testing to those with GEC or GSC, analyzed test performance between GEC and GSC, and identified variables associated with molecular testing. RESULTS: 468 indeterminate thyroid nodules were included. No molecular testing was performed in 273, 71 had GEC, and 124 had GSC testing. Surgical rate was 68% in the group without molecular testing, 59% in GEC, and 40% in GSC. Malignancy rate was 20% with no molecular testing, 22% in GEC, and 39% in GSC (P = 0.022). GEC benign call rate (BCR) was 46%; sensitivity, 100%; specificity, 61%; and positive predictive value (PPV), 28%. GSC BCR was 60%; sensitivity, 94%; specificity, 76%; and PPV, 41%. Those with no molecular testing had larger nodule size, preoperative growth of nodules, and constrictive symptoms and those who underwent surgery in the no molecular testing group had higher body mass index, constrictive symptoms, higher Thyroid Imaging Reporting and Data System and Bethesda classifications. Type of provider was also associated with the decision to undergo surgery. CONCLUSION: Implementation of GEC showed no effect on surgical or malignancy rate, but GSC resulted in significantly lower surgical and higher malignancy rates. This study provides insight into the factors that affect the real-world use of these molecular markers preoperatively in indeterminate thyroid nodules.

Combined molecular and histologic end points inform cancer risk estimates for thyroid nodules classified as atypia of undetermined significance.

BACKGROUND: Thyroid nodules classified as atypia of uncertain significance (AUS) on fine-needle aspiration cytology are heterogeneous. Prior studies reported a higher risk of noninvasive follicular thyroid neoplasm with papillary-like nuclear features (NIFTP)/cancer among AUS nodules that had cytologic (AUS-C) versus architectural (AUS-A) atypia; however, such studies were generally confined to resected cohorts, introducing bias into risk calculations. The authors hypothesized that combined histologic and molecular end points would permit clinically meaningful calculations of NIFTP/malignancy risk among AUS nodules. METHODS: The study consisted of 279 thyroid nodules classified as AUS on initial fine-needle aspiration and tested by the Afirma Gene Expression Classifier (GEC) between June 2013 and October 2017. Results of GEC testing and histopathologic diagnoses were stratified by AUS classifiers. The AUS-A category was further subclassified as 1) hypocellular microfollicular or 2) cellular with mixed but predominantly microfollicular architecture. NIFTP/cancer risk was calculated for each subgroup, with the inclusion of unresected nodules that had benign GEC results as low-risk end points comparable to histologically benign nodules. RESULTS: When only histologic end points were considered, there was no difference in NIFTP/cancer risk (25% vs 23%; P = .82). By using molecular and histologic end points, AUS cases with cytologic atypia trended toward higher NIFTP/cancer risk than AUS-A cases (14% vs 6%; P = .06). Furthermore, AUS-A cases showed a trend toward lower NIFTP/cancer risk for hypocellular microfollicular aspirates (3%) compared with cellular samples that had mixed/predominantly microfollicular architecture (13%; P = .18). CONCLUSIONS: The inclusion of unresected benign GEC nodules in risk-of-malignancy calculations provides more accurate results, which may be helpful for informing patient management as well as quality improvement in the cytopathology laboratory.

Performance of Afirma genomic sequencing classifier vs gene expression classifier in Bethesda category III thyroid nodules: An institutional experience.

BACKGROUND: Afirma gene expression classifier (GEC) is an adjunct to thyroid fine needle aspiration shown to improve pre-operative risk assessment and reduce unnecessary surgery of indeterminate thyroid nodules. Genomic sequencing classifier (GSC) is a newer version aiming to improve specificity and positive predictive value (PPV) of Afirma testing. There are limited studies comparing GSC vs GEC. This study was undertaken to compare these classifiers in terms of diagnostic performance and effect on clinical management of indeterminate thyroid nodules. METHODS: The study cohort consisted of patients with thyroid nodules that had a recurrent cytologic diagnosis of atypia of undetermined significance/follicular lesion of undetermined significance (AUS/FLUS) and were tested by either GEC or GSC. Patient demographics, nodule size, and clinical follow-up were recorded. Benign call rate (BCR) of Afirma testing, rate of subsequent surgery (RSS), rate of histology-confirmed malignancy (RHM), as well as diagnostic sensitivity, specificity, PPV, negative predicative value (NPV), and accuracy were calculated and compared between GSC and GEC cohorts. RESULTS: Among 264 AUS/FLUS thyroid nodules, 127 and 137 were tested with GEC and GSC, respectively. Compared to GEC, GSC demonstrated increased BCR (77.3% vs 52%), decreased RSS (31.4% vs 51.2%), greater RHM (29% vs 9.8%) associated with a suspicious Afirma result, as well as improved specificity (82.8% vs 54.5%), PPV (29% vs 9.8%), and diagnostic accuracy (83.9% vs 56.7%), while maintaining high sensitivity and NPV. CONCLUSION: Afirma GSC substantially improved BCR, RSS, RHM, and diagnostic performance, enhancing appropriate triage and thereby helped avoid unnecessary surgery in AUS/FLUS thyroid nodules.

Thyroseq v3, Afirma GSC, and microRNA Panels Versus Previous Molecular Tests in the Preoperative Diagnosis of Indeterminate Thyroid Nodules: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

Background: Molecular tests are being used increasingly as an auxiliary diagnostic tool so as to avoid a diagnostic surgery approach for cytologically indeterminate thyroid nodules (ITNs). Previous test versions, Thyroseq v2 and Afirma Gene Expression Classifier (GEC), have proven shortcomings in malignancy detection performance. Objective: This study aimed to evaluate the diagnostic performance of the established Thyroseq v3, Afirma Gene Sequencing Classifier (GSC), and microRNA-based assays versus prior iterations in ITNs, in light of "rule-in" and "rule-out" concepts. It further analyzed the impact of noninvasive follicular thyroid neoplasm with papillary-like nuclear features (NIFTP) reclassification and Bethesda cytological subtypes on the performance of molecular tests. Methods: Pubmed, Scopus, and Web of Science were the databases used for the present research, a process that lasted until September 2020. A random-effects bivariate model was used to estimate the summary sensitivity, specificity, positive (PLR) and negative likelihood ratios (NLR), and area under the curve (AUC) for each panel. The conducted sensitivity analyses addressed different Bethesda categories and NIFTP thresholds. Results: A total of 40 eligible studies were included with 7,831 ITNs from 7,565 patients. Thyroseq v3 showed the best overall performance (AUC 0.95; 95% confidence interval: 0.93-0.97), followed by Afirma GSC (AUC 0.90; 0.87-0.92) and Thyroseq v2 (AUC 0.88; 0.85-0.90). In terms of "rule-out" abilities Thyroseq v3 (NLR 0.02; 95%CI: 0.0-2.69) surpassed Afirma GEC (NLR 0.18; 95%CI: 0.10-0.33). Thyroseq v2 (PLR 3.5; 95%CI: 2.2-5.5) and Thyroseq v3 (PLR 2.8; 95%CI: 1.2-6.3) achieved superior "rule-in" properties compared to Afirma GSC (PLR 1.9; 95%CI: 1.3-2.8). Evidence for Thyroseq v3 seems to have higher quality, notwithstanding the paucity of studies. Both Afirma GEC and Thyroseq v2 performance have been affected by NIFTP reclassification. ThyGenNEXT/ThyraMIR and RosettaGX show prominent preliminary results. Conclusion: The newly emerged tests, Thyroseq v3 and Afirma GSC, designed for a "rule-in" purpose, have been proved to outperform in abilities to rule out malignancy, thus surpassing previous tests no longer available, Thyroseq 2 and Afirma GEC. However, Thyroseq v2 still ranks as the best rule-in molecular test. Systematic Review Registration: http://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO, identifier CRD42020212531.

Repeat Fine Needle Aspiration Cytology Refines the Selection of Thyroid Nodules for Afirma Gene Expression Classifier Testing.

Background: Molecular testing (MT) refines risk stratification for thyroid nodules that are indeterminate for cancer by fine needle aspiration (FNA) cytology. Criteria for selecting nodules for MT vary and remain largely untested, raising questions about the best strategy for maximizing the usefulness of MT while minimizing the harms of overtesting. We used a unique data set to examine the effects of repeat FNA cytology-based criteria for MT on management decisions and nodule outcomes. Methods: This was a study of adults (age 25-90 years; 281 women and 72 men) with cytologically indeterminate (Bethesda III/IV) thyroid nodules who underwent repeat FNA biopsy and Afirma Gene Expression Classifier (GEC) testing (N = 363 nodules from 353 patients) between June 2013 and October 2017 at a single institution, with follow-up data collected until December 2019. Subgroup analysis was performed based on classification of repeat FNA cytology. Outcomes of GEC testing, clinical/sonographic surveillance of unresected nodules, and histopathologic diagnoses of thyroidectomies were compared between three testing approaches: (i) Reflex (MT sent on the basis of the initial Bethesda III/IV FNA), (ii) SemiRestrictive (MT sent if repeat FNA is Bethesda I-IV), and (iii) Restrictive (MT sent only if repeat FNA is Bethesda III/IV) testing approaches. Results: Restricting MT to nodules that remain Bethesda III/IV on repeat FNA would have missed 4 low-risk cancers and 3 noninvasive follicular thyroid neoplasms with papillary-like nuclear features (NIFTP) (collectively 2% of the test population) but would have avoided diagnostic surgery for 42 benign nodules (12% of the test population). The Restrictive testing strategy was more specific (delta 0.126 confidence interval [CI 0.093 to 0.159] and 0.129 [CI 0.097 to 0.161], respectively) but less sensitive (delta -0.339 [CI -0.424 to -0.253] and -0.340 [CI -0.425 to -0.255], respectively) than the Reflex and SemiRestrictive approaches for detecting NIFTP or cancer. Conclusions: Repeat FNA cytology can guide the selection of cytologically indeterminate thyroid nodules that warrant MT. The Restrictive model of performing Afirma GEC only on nodules with two separate biopsies showing Bethesda III/IV cytology would reduce the rate of diagnostic surgery for histologically benign nodules while missing only rare low-risk tumors. Given the low but nontrivial risks of thyroidectomy, the higher specificity of the Restrictive testing approach disproportionately outweighs the potential harms.

Single Institution Experience with Afirma and Thyroseq Testing in Indeterminate Thyroid Nodules.

Background: Thyroid nodules are a very common often incidental finding on physical examination or imaging. Of those who undergo fine needle aspiration, cytology is indeterminate in up to 15%. Molecular testing is increasingly being used to help identify which nodules may be high risk for malignancy and guide management with regard to clinical follow-up or surgical intervention. Recently there has been an increase in publication of independent studies assessing the performance of these molecular tests and comparing "real-world" data with the validation studies. Methods: This retrospective study identified all thyroid nodules at our institution that had Afirma gene expression classifier (GEC), genomic sequencing classifier (GSC), or Thyroseq v3 molecular testing from January 2014 to January 2020 and compared measurements of test performance between them at our institution, and then with the original validation studies and other published institutional data. Results: Overall, the benign call rate was highest in the Afirma GSC group (78%) compared with the GEC group (60%) and Thyroseq group (66%). Surgical histopathology revealed malignancy in 6 of 31of biopsied nodules in the GEC group, 8 of 13 in the GSC group, and 3 of 16 in the Thyroseq v3 group. Based on our data, the GSC specificity (73.7%) and positive predictive value (PPV) (61.5%) were higher than the GEC specificity (60.4%) and PPV (22.2%) as well as Thyroseq v3 specificity (55.2%) and PPV (18.8%). Conclusions: From our short-term institutional experience, we found that the GSC classified more cytologically indeterminate nodules as benign compared with the Afirma GEC, and had improved specificity and PPV, which is similar to the validation study and other institutions' reported experiences. We also found that the Thyroseq v3 was similar to the Afirma GEC in terms of specificity and PPV, both of which are much lower than the validation studies.