Novel strategy for optimizing of corn starch-based ink food 3D printing process: Printability prediction based on BP-ANN model.

Although starch has been intensively studied as a raw material for 3D printing, the relationship between several important process parameters in the preparation of starch gels and the printing results is unclear. In this study, the relationship between different processing conditions and the gel printing performance of corn starch was evaluated by printing tests, rheological tests and low-field nuclear magnetic resonance (LF-NMR) tests, and a back-propagation artificial neural network (BP-ANN) model for predicting gel printing performance was developed. The results revealed that starch gels exhibited favorable printing performance when the gelatinization temperature ranged from 75 °C to 85 °C, and the starch content was maintained between 15 % and 20 %. The R2adj of the BP-ANN models were all reached 0.894, which indicated good predictive ability. The results of the study not only provide theoretical support for the application of corn starch gels in 3D food printing, but also present a novel approach for predicting the printing performance of related materials. This method contributes to the optimization of printing parameters, thereby enhancing printing efficiency and quality.

Factor analysis and GA-BP-ANN prediction of nitrogen diffusion behavior in underground laboratory under ventilation conditions.

Nitrogen is widely used in various laboratories as a suppressive gas and a protective gas. Once nitrogen leaks and accumulates in a such confined space, it will bring serious threats to the experimental staff. Especially in underground tunnels or underground laboratories where there is no natural wind, the threat is more intense. In this work, the ventilation design factors and potential leakage factors are identified by taking the leakage and diffusion of a large liquid nitrogen tank in China Jinping Underground Laboratory (CJPL) as an example. Based on computational fluid dynamics (CFD) research, the effects of fresh air inlet position, fresh air velocity, exhaust outlet position, leakage hole position, leakage hole size, and leaked nitrogen mass flow rate on nitrogen diffusion behavior in specific environments are discussed in detail from the perspectives of nitrogen concentration field and nitrogen diffusion characteristics. The influencing factors are parameterized, and the Latin hypercube sampling (LHS) is used to uniformly sample within the specified range of each factor to obtain samples that can represent the whole sample space. The nitrogen concentration is measured by numerical value, and the nitrogen diffusion characteristics are measured by category. The GA-BP-ANN numerical regression and classification regression models for nitrogen concentration prediction and nitrogen diffusion characteristics prediction are established. By using various rating indicators to evaluate the performance of the trained model, it is found that models have high accuracy and recognition rate, indicating that it is effective in predicting and determining the concentration value and diffusion characteristics of nitrogen according to ventilation factors and potential leakage factors. The research results can provide a theoretical reference for the parametric design of the ventilation system.

The suspension stability of nanoplastics in aquatic environments revealed using meta-analysis and machine learning.

Nanoplastics (NPs) aggregation determines their bioavailability and risks in natural aquatic environments, which is driven by multiple environmental and polymer factors. The back propagation artificial neural network (BP-ANN) model in machine learning (R2 = 0.814) can fit the complex NPs aggregation, and the feature importance was in the order of surface charge of NPs > dissolved organic matter (DOM) > functional group of NPs > ionic strength and pH > concentration of NPs. Meta-analysis results specified low surface charge (0 ≤ |ζ| < 10 mV) of NPs, low concentration (< 1 mg/L) and low molecular weight (< 10 kg/mol) of DOM, NPs with amino groups, high ionic strength (IS > 700 mM) and acidic solution, and high concentration (≥ 20 mg/L) of NPs with smaller size (< 100 nm) contribute to NPs aggregation, which is consistent with the prediction in machine learning. Feature interaction synergistically (e.g., DOM and pH) or antagonistically (e.g., DOM and cation potential) changed NPs aggregation. Therefore, NPs were predicted to aggregate in the dry period and estuary of Poyang Lake. Research on aggregation of NPs with different particle size,shapes, and functional groups, heteroaggregation of NPs with coexisting particles and aging effects should be strengthened in the future. This study supports better assessments of the NPs fate and risks in environments.

Quality prediction of whole-grain rice noodles using backpropagation artificial neural network.

BACKGROUND: Whole-grain rice noodles are a kind of healthy food with rich nutritional value, and their product quality has a notable impact on consumer acceptability. The quality evaluation model is of great significance to the optimization of product quality. However, there are few methods that can establish a product quality prediction model with multiple preparation conditions as inputs and various quality evaluation indexes as outputs. In this study, an artificial neural network (ANN) model based on a backpropagation (BP) algorithm was used to predict the comprehensive quality changes of whole-grain rice noodles under different preparation conditions, which provided a new way to improve the quality of extrusion rice products. RESULTS: The results showed that the BP-ANN using the Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm and the optimal topology (4-11-8) gave the best performance. The correlation coefficients (R2) for the training, validation, testing, and global data sets of the BP neural network were 0.927, 0.873, 0.817, and 0.903, respectively. In the validation test, the percentage error in the quality prediction of whole-grain rice noodles was within 10%, indicating that the BP-ANN could accurately predict the quality of whole-grain rice noodles prepared under different conditions. CONCLUSION: This study showed that the quality prediction model of whole-grain rice noodles based on the BP-ANN algorithm was effective, and suitable for predicting the quality of whole-grain rice noodles prepared under different conditions. © 2024 Society of Chemical Industry.

Intelligence detection of oil absorption in French fries by surface profiles.

Surface profiles are important evaluation indices for oil absorption behavior of fried foods. This research established two intelligent models of partial least-squares regression (PLSR) and back propagation artificial neural network (BP-ANN) for monitoring the oil absorption behavior of French fries based on the surface characteristics. Surface morphology and texture of French fries by rapeseed oil (RO) and high-oleic peanut oil (HOPO) at different temperatures were investigated. Results showed that oil content of samples increased with frying temperature, accounting for 37.7% and 41.4% of samples fried by RO and HOPO respectively. The increase of crust ratio, roughness and texture parameters (Fm, Nwr, fwr, Wc) and the decrease of uniformity were observed with the frying temperature. Coefficients of prediction set of PLSR and BP-ANN models were more than 0.93, which indicated that surface features combined with chemometrics were rapid and precise methods for determining the oil content of French fries.

Formation and prediction of heterocyclic amines and N-nitrosamines in smoked sausages using back propagation artificial neural network.

BACKGROUND: Heterocyclic amines (HAs) and N-nitrosamines (NAs) are formed easily during the thermal processing of food, and epidemiological studies have demonstrated that consuming HAs and NAs increases the risk of cancer. However, there are few studies on the application of back propagation artificial neural network (BP-ANN) models to simultaneously predict the content of HAs and NAs in sausages. This study aimed to investigate the effects of cooking time and temperature, smoking time and temperature, and fat-to-lean ratio on the formation of HAs and NAs in smoked sausages, and to predict their total content based on the BP-ANN model. RESULTS: With an increase in processing time, processing temperature and fat ratio, the content of HAs and NAs in smoked sausages increased significantly, while the content of HA precursors and nitrite residues decreased significantly. The optimal network topology of the BP-ANN model was 5-11-2, the correlation coefficient values for training, validation, testing and all datasets were 0.99228, 0.99785, 0.99520 and 0.99369, respectively, and the mean squared error value of the best validation performance was 0.11326. The bias factor and the accuracy factor were within acceptable limits, and the predicted values approximated the true values, indicating that the model has good predictive performance. CONCLUSION: The contents of HAs and NAs in smoked sausages were significantly influenced by the cooking conditions, smoking conditions and fat ratio. The BP-ANN model has high application value in predicting the contents of HAs and NAs in sausages, which provides a theoretical basis for the suppression of carcinogen formation. © 2024 Society of Chemical Industry.

The adsorption and release mechanism of different aged microplastics toward Hg(II) via batch experiment and the deep learning method.

Aged microplastics are ubiquitous in the aquatic environment, which inevitably accumulate metals, and then alter their migration. Whereas, the synergistic behavior and effect of microplastics and Hg(II) were rarely reported. In this context, the adsorptive behavior of Hg(II) by pristine/aged microplastics involving polystyrene, polyethylene, polylactic acid, and tire microplastics were investigated via kinetic (pseudo-first and second-order dynamics, the internal diffusion model), Langmuir, and Freundlich isothermal models; the adsorption and desorption behavior was also explored under different conditions. Microplastics aged by ozone exhibited a rougher surface attached with abundant oxygen-containing groups to enhance hydrophilicity and negative surface charge, those promoted adsorption capacity of 4-20 times increment compared with the pristine microplastics. The process (except for aged tire microplastics) was dominated by a monolayer chemical reaction, which was significantly impacted by pH, salinity, fulvic acid, and co-existing ions. Furthermore, the adsorbed Hg(II) could be effectively eluted in 0.04% HCl, simulated gastric liquids, and seawater with a maximum desorption amount of 23.26 mg/g. An artificial neural network model was used to predict the performance of microplastics in complex media and accurately capture the main influencing factors and their contributions. This finding revealed that aged microplastics had the affinity to trap Hg(II) from freshwater, whereafter it released the Hg(II) once transported into the acidic medium, the organism's gastrointestinal system, or the estuary area. These indicated that aged microplastics could be the sink or the source of Hg(II) depending on the surrounding environment, meaning that aged microplastics could be the vital carrier to Hg(II).

Neutron-gamma discrimination with broaden the lower limit of energy threshold using BP neural network.

Neutron-gamma discrimination is a tough and significative in experimental neutrons measurements procedure, especially for low-energy neutrons signal discrimination. In this work, based on the Pulse Shape Discrimination (PSD) and Back-Propagation (BP) artificial neural networks, a neutron-gamma discrimination method is developed to broaden the lower limit of energy threshold with the hidden layer of 20 neurons. Compared with neutron-gamma discrimination method based on PSD only, the developed neutron-gamma discrimination method based on the PSD and BP-ANN can discriminate neutron and gamma-ray signals with low energy threshold, which can discriminate signals up to 99.93%. Moreover, this work can reduce the energy threshold from 350 keV to 70 keV, as well as the acquired data utilization increased from 60% to more than 99.9%, which overcome the hardware limitations and distinguish neutron and gamma-ray signals, effectively. The developed neutron-gamma discrimination method and the trained neural network can be directly used to other experimental neutrons measurements.

A Novel Physically Guided Data Fusion Prediction Model for Micro-EDM Drilling.

Accurate prediction of Electro-Discharge Machining (EDM) results is crucial for industrial applications, aiming to achieve high-performance and cost-efficient machining. However, both the current physical model and the standard Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model exhibit inherent limitations, failing to fully meet the accurate requirements for predicting EDM machining results. In addition, Micro-EDM Drilling can lead to the distortion of the macroscopic shape of machining pits under different input conditions, rendering the use of only the volume of machining pits as the evaluation index insufficient to express the complete morphological information. In this study, we propose a novel hybrid prediction model that combines the strengths of both physical and data-driven models to simultaneously predict Material Removal Rate (MRR) and shape parameters. Our experiment demonstrates that the hybrid model achieves a maximum prediction error of 4.92% for MRR and 5.28% for shape parameters, showcasing excellent prediction accuracy and stability compared to the physical model and the standard ANN model.

Principal component analysis-multivariate adaptive regression splines (PCA-MARS) and back propagation-artificial neural network (BP-ANN) methods for predicting the efficiency of oxidative desulfurization systems using ATR-FTIR spectroscopy.

Oxidative desulfurization (ODS) of diesel fuels has received attention in recent years due to mild working conditions and effective removal of the aromatic sulfur compounds. There is a need for rapid, accurate, and reproducible analytical tools to monitor the performance of ODS systems. During the ODS process, sulfur compounds are oxidized to their corresponding sulfones which are easily removed by extraction in polar solvents. The amount of extracted sulfones is a reliable indicator of ODS performance, showing both oxidation and extraction efficiency. This article studies the ability of a non-parametric regression algorithm, principal component analysis-multivariate adaptive regression splines (PCA-MARS) as an alternative to back propagation artificial neural network (BP-ANN) to predict the concentration of sulfone removed during the ODS process. Using PCA, variables were compressed to identify principal components (PCs) that best described the data matrix, and the scores of such PCs were used as input variables for the MARS and ANN algorithms. Thecoefficientofdeterminationincalibration (R2c), root mean square error of calibration (RMSEC) and root mean square error of prediction (RMSEP) were calculated for PCA-BP-ANN (R2c = 0.9913, RMSEC = 2.4206 and RMSEP = 5.7124) and PCA-MARS (R2c = 0.9841, RMSEC = 2.7934 and RMSEP = 5.8476) models and were compared with the genetic algorithm partial least squares (GA-PLS) (R2c = 0.9472, RMSEC = 5.5226 and RMSEP = 9.6417) and as the results reveal, both methods are better than GA-PLS in terms of prediction accuracy. The proposed PCA-MARS and PCA-BP-ANN models are robust models that provide similar predictions and can be effectively used to predict sulfone containing samples. The MARS algorithm builds a flexible model using simpler linear regression and is computationally more efficient than BPNN due to data-driven stepwise search, addition, and pruning.

Characterization of Flow Behaviors by a PSO-BP Integrated Model for a Medium Carbon Alloy Steel.

In order to characterize the flow behaviors of SAE 5137H steel, isothermal compression tests at the temperatures of 1123 K, 1213 K, 1303 K, 1393 K, and 1483 K, and the strain rates of 0.01 s-1, 0.1 s-1, 1 s-1, and 10 s-1 were performed using a Gleeble 3500 thermo-mechanical simulator. The analysis results of true stress-strain curves show that the flow stress decreases with temperature increasing and strain rate decreasing. In order to accurately and efficiently characterize the complex flow behaviors, the intelligent learning method backpropagation-artificial neural network (BP-ANN) was combined with the particle swarm optimization (PSO), namely, the PSO-BP integrated model. Detailed comparisons of the semi-physical model with improved Arrhenius-Type, BP-ANN, and PSO-BP integrated model for the flow behaviors of SAE 5137H steel in terms of generative ability, predictive ability, and modeling efficiency were presented. The comparison results show that the PSO-BP integrated model has the best comprehensive ability, BP-ANN is the second, and semi-physical model with improved Arrhenius-Type is the lowest. It indicates that the PSO-BP integrated model can accurately describe the flow behaviors of SAE 5137H steel.

Changes in polyphenolic compounds and antioxidant activities of seed-used pumpkin during hydrothermal treatment.

An environmentally friendly physical processing method, hydrothermal treatment (HT), was used to increase the content of specific compounds and antioxidant activities of seed-used pumpkin byproducts. The influence of hydrothermal temperature (80 °C-160 °C) and time (30-150 min) on changes in polyphenols and antioxidation was evaluated. The results revealed that the maximum free polyphenol content (140 °C for 120 min) was 3.96-fold higher than the untreated samples. Elevated temperature and long duration changed phenolic acid contents. For example, p-coumaric acid, rutin and chlorogenic acid exhibited a decreasing trend, and p-hydroxybenzoic acid, quercetin and cinnamic acid showed an increasing trend. Compared to controls, HT was significantly associated with increased antioxidant activities. To comprehensively reveal the influence of hydrothermal temperature and time on changes in polyphenolic content, back propagation artificial neural network (BP-ANN) models with accurate prediction ability were developed, and the results exhibited well-fitted and strong approximation ability (R2 > 0.95 and RMSE < 2 %) and stability.

A Versatile Method for Quantitative Analysis of Total Iron Content in Iron Ore Using Laser-Induced Breakdown Spectroscopy.

Focus in quality assessment of iron ore is the content of total iron (TFe). Laser-induced breakdown spectroscopy (LIBS) technology possesses the merits of rapid, in situ, real-time multielement analysis for iron ore, but its application to quantitative TFe content is subject to interference of the iron matrix effect and the lack of suitable data mining tools. Here, a new method of LIBS-based variable importance back propagation artificial neural network (VI-BP-ANN) for quantitative TFe content in iron ore was first proposed. After the LIBS spectra of 80 representative iron samples were obtained, random forest (RF) was optimized by out-of-bag (OOB) error and then used to measure and rank variable importance. The variable importance thresholds and the number of neurons were optimized with five-fold cross-validation (CV) with correlation coefficient (R2) and root mean square error (RMSE). With using only 1.40% of full spectral variables to construct BP-ANN model, the resulted R2, the root mean squared error of prediction (RMSEP) and the modeling time of the final VI-BP-ANN model was 0.9450, 0.3174 wt%, and 24 s, respectively. Compared with full spectrum-based model, for example, BP-ANN, RF, support vector machine (SVM), and PLS and VI-RF model, the VI-BP-ANN model reduced overfitting and obtained the highest R2 and the lowest RMSE both for calibration and prediction. Meanwhile, the characteristics of variables selected by VI were analyzed. In addition to the elemental emission lines of Ca, Al, Na, K, Mn, Si, Mg, Ti, Zr, and Li, partial spectral baselines of 540-610 nm and 820-970 nm were also selected as characteristic variables, which indicated that VI can take into full consideration the elemental interactions and the spectral baselines. Our approach shows that LIBS combined with VI-BP-ANN is able to quantify TFe content rapidly and accurately in iron ore.

Relative contribution of multi-source water recharge to riparian wetlands along the lower Yellow River.

Rivers play a vital role in both the formation and maintenance of riparian wetland hydrology. However, few studies have focused on the response of water recharge of riparian wetlands to altered hydrological processes induced by water-sediment regulation practices. To fill this gap, our study investigated the contribution of multi-source water recharge of riparian wetlands in the lower Yellow River, as well as its influence both during and before the water-sediment regulation scheme of Xiaolangdi Dam. Our study is based on hydrochemistry and isotopic methods, using a Bayesian mixing model and artificial neutral network model. The results showed that riparian wetlands were fed by mixed sources, including groundwater, canals, the Yellow River, and precipitation. However, seasonal evaporation introduced additional variation, which affected the relative contribution of these sources across seasons. Among these sources, the Yellow River served as the main water source for recharging riparian wetlands, and its contribution varied both spatially and temporally (across seasons). Specifically, proximity of riparian wetlands was the primary factor explaining spatial variation in the contribution of Yellow River, while climatic (12.38%) and hydrological variabilities (87.62%) explained seasonal variation. Among these climatic and hydrological variables, suspended sediment content was the most important factor-with a relative contribution of 36.33%. By determining the contribution of the Yellow River to the recharge of riparian wetlands, our study has provided information which is beneficial to adaptive management of river-fed riparian wetlands, especially under the implementation of water-sediment regulation practices.

Flow Behavior of AA5005 Alloy at High Temperature and Low Strain Rate Based on Arrhenius-Type Equation and Back Propagation Artificial Neural Network (BP-ANN) Model.

To realize the purpose of energy saving, materials with high weight are replaced by low-weight materials with eligible mechanical properties in all kinds of fields. Therefore, conducting research works on lightweight materials under specified work conditions is extremely important and profound. To understand the relationship of aluminum alloy AA5005 among flow stress, true strain, strain rate, and deformation temperature, hot isothermal tensile tests were conducted within the strain rate range 0.0003-0.03 s-1 and temperature range 633-773 K. Based on the true stress-true strain curves obtained from the experiment, a traditional constitutive regression Arrhenius-type equation was utilized to regress flow behaviors. Meanwhile, the Arrhenius-type equation was optimized by a sixth-order polynomial function for compensating strain. Thereafter, a back propagation artificial neural network (BP-ANN) model based on supervised machine learning was also employed to regress and predict flow stress in diverse deform conditions. Ultimately, by introducing statistical analyses correlation coefficient (R2), average absolute relative error (AARE), and relative error (δ) to the comparative study, it was found that the Arrhenius-type equation will lose accuracy in cases of high stress. Additionally, owning higher R2, lower AARE, and more concentrative δ value distribution, the BP-ANN model is superior in regressing and predicting than the Arrhenius-type constitutive equation.

Shelf-Life Prediction and Critical Value of Quality Index of Sichuan Sauerkraut Based on Kinetic Model and Principal Component Analysis.

Kinetic models and accelerated shelf-life testing were employed to estimate the shelf-life of Sichuan sauerkraut. The texture, color, total acid, microbe, near-infrared analysis, volatile components, taste, and sensory evaluation of Sichuan sauerkraut stored at 25, 35, and 45 °C were determined. Principal component analysis (PCA) and Fisher discriminant analysis (FDA) were used to analyze the e-tongue data. According to the above analysis, Sichuan sauerkraut with different storage times can be divided into three types: completely acceptable period, acceptable period, and unacceptable period. The model was found to be useful to determine the critical values of various quality indicators. Furthermore, the zero-order kinetic reaction model (R2, 0.8699-0.9895) was fitted better than the first-order kinetic reaction model. The Arrhenius model (Ea value was 47.23-72.09 kJ/mol, kref value was 1.076 × 106-9.220 × 1010 d-1) exhibited a higher fitting degree than the Eyring model. Based on the analysis of physical properties, the shelf-life of Sichuan sauerkraut was more accurately predicted by the combination of the zero-order kinetic reaction model and the Arrhenius model, while the error back propagation artificial neural network (BP-ANN) model could better predict the chemical properties. It is a better choice for dealers and consumers to judge the shelf life and edibility of food by shelf-life model.

Genetic algorithm based artificial neural network and partial least squares regression methods to predict of breakdown voltage for transformer oils samples in power industry using ATR-FTIR spectroscopy.

The current study proposes a novel analytical method for calculating the breakdown voltage (BV) of transformer oil samples considered as a significant method to assess the safe operation of power industry. Transformer oil samples can be analyzed using the Attenuated total reflection Fourier transform infrared (ATR-FTIR) spectroscopy combined with multivariate calibration methods. The partial least squares regression (PLSR) back propagation-artificial neural network (BP-ANN) methods and a genetic algorithm (GA) for variable selection are used to predict and assess breakdown voltage in transformer oil samples from various Iranian transformer oils. As a result, the root mean square error (RMSE) and correlation coefficient for the training and test sets of oil samples are also calculated. In the GA-PLS-R method, the squared correlation coefficient (R2pred) and root mean square prediction error (RMSEP) are 0.9437 and 2.6835, respectively. GA-BP-ANN, on the other hand, had a lower RMSEP value (0.2874) and a higher R2pred function (0.9891). Considering the complexity of transformer oil samples, the performance of GA-BP-ANN has resulted in an efficient approach for predicting breakdown voltage; consequently, it can be effectively used as a new method for quantitative breakdown voltage analysis of samples to evaluate the health of transformer oil. .

Establishment of prognostic models of adrenocortical carcinoma using machine learning and big data.

Background: Adrenocortical carcinoma (ACC) is a rare malignant tumor with a short life expectancy. It is important to identify patients at high risk so that doctors can adopt more aggressive regimens to treat their condition. Machine learning has the advantage of processing complicated data. To date, there is no research that tries to use machine learning algorithms and big data to construct prognostic models for ACC patients. Methods: Clinical data of patients with ACC were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. These records were screened according to preset inclusion and exclusion criteria. The remaining data were applied to univariate survival analysis to select meaningful outcome-related candidates. Backpropagation artificial neural network (BP-ANN), random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), and naive Bayes classifier (NBC) were chosen as alternative algorithms. The acquired cases were grouped into a training set and a test set at a ratio of 8:2, and a 10-fold cross-validation method repeated 10 times was performed. Area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curves were used as indices of efficiency. Results: The calculated 1-, 3-, 5-, and 10-year overall survival rates were 62.3%, 42.0%, 34.9%, and 26.1%, respectively. A total of 825 patients were included in the study. In the training set, the AUCs of BP-ANN, RF, SVM, and NBC for predicting 1-year survival status were 0.921, 0.885, 0.865, and 0.854; those for predicting 3-year survival status were 0.859, 0.865, 0.837, and 0.831; and those for 5-year survival status were 0.888, 0.872, 0.852, and 0.841, respectively. In the test set, AUCs of these four models for 1-year survival status were 0.899, 0.875, 0.886, and 0.862; those for 3-year survival status were 0.871, 0.858, 0.853, and 0.869; and those for 5-year survival status were 0.841, 0.783, 0.836, and 0.867, respectively. The consequences of the 10-fold cross-validation method repeated 10 times indicated that the mean values of 1-, 3-, and 5-year AUROCs of BP-ANN were 0.890, 0.847, and 0.854, respectively, which were better than those of other classifiers (P < 0.008). Conclusion: The model combined with BP-ANN and big data can precisely predict the survival status of ACC patients and has the potential for clinical application.

Prediction of Flow Stress of Annealed 7075 Al Alloy in Hot Deformation Using Strain-Compensated Arrhenius and Neural Network Models.

Hot compression experiments of annealed 7075 Al alloy were performed on TA DIL805D at different temperatures (733, 693, 653, 613 and 573 K) with different strain rates (1.0, 0.1, 0.01 and 0.001 s-1.) Based on experimental data, the strain-compensated Arrhenius model (SCAM) and the back-propagation artificial neural network model (BP-ANN) were constructed for the prediction of the flow stress. The predictive power of the two models was estimated by residual analysis, correlation coefficient (R) and average absolute relative error (AARE). The results reveal that the deformation parameters including strain, strain rate, and temperature have a significant effect on the flow stress of the alloy. Compared with the SCAM model, the flow stress predicted by the BP-ANN model is in better agreement with experimental values. For the BP-ANN model, the maximum residual is only 1 MPa, while it is as high as 8 MPa for the SCAM model. The R and AARE for the SCAM model are 0.9967 and 3.26%, while their values for the BP-ANN model are 0.99998 and 0.18%, respectively. All these reflect that the BP-ANN model has more accurate prediction ability than the SCAM model, which can be applied to predict the flow stress of the alloy under high temperature deformation.

Using Metabolic and Biochemical Indicators to Predict Diabetic Retinopathy by Back-Propagation Artificial Neural Network.

PURPOSE: Timely diagnosis of diabetic retinopathy (DR) can significantly improve the prognosis of patients. In this study, we established a prediction model by analyzing the relationship between diabetic retinopathy and related metabolic and biochemical indicators. METHODS: A total of 427 type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) patients were selected from the datadryad website data. Logistic regression (MLR) was used to input layer variables of the model were screened. Then, Tan-Sigmoid was selected as the transfer function of the hidden layer node, and the linear function was used as the output layer function to establish the back propagation artificial neural network (BP-ANN) model. The model was applied to 183 patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in our hospital to predict DR. RESULTS: A total of 167 patients (39.2%) with DR were obtained from the Datadryad database. Input variables were screened by MLR model, and it was concluded that the age, sex, albumin and creatinine, diabetes course were independently associated with the occurrence of DR. The above variables were used to establish BP-ANN model. The area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was significantly higher than that of MLR model (0.88 vs 0.74, P<0.05), the probability threshold of the model was 0.3. Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) were selected in our hospital, including 92 patients with DR (50.2%). The above BP-ANN model was used to predict the incidence of DR, and the AUC area was significantly higher than that of the MLR model (0.77 vs 0.70, P<0.05), the probability threshold was 0.7. CONCLUSION: We established the BP-ANN model and applied it to diagnose DR. Taking diabetic course, age, sex, albumin and creatinine as the inputs of BP-ANN, the existence of DR could be well predicted. Meanwhile, the generalization ability of the model could be improved by selecting different probability thresholds in different ROC curves.