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1.
Lancet Reg Health West Pac ; 47: 101085, 2024 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38751727

RESUMO

Background: Recent studies have shown significant associations between education and premature mortality. However, the relationship differs across countries. We aimed to present the latest evidence on the educational inequalities in premature mortality in the Chinese population. Methods: We linked two databases, to establish a population-based, ten-year cohort spanning 2010 to 2020. Cox proportional hazard regression analyses adjusting for age, sex and urbanicity were conducted for all-cause mortality, and competing risk models were fitted for cause-specific mortality. We calculated population attributable fraction (PAF) using the hazard ratios (HRs) obtained by regression analyses. Additionally, we fitted models adjusting for risk factors and investigated the mediating effect of income, smoking, alcohol consumption and diets. Findings: Compared with individuals with upper secondary and above education, the HR for premature all-cause mortality for those with less than primary education was 1.93 (95% CI: 1.72-2.19). The HRs were the highest for deaths from respiratory diseases (HR = 3.09, 95% CI 1.82-5.27). The excess risk of premature mortality associated with low education was higher among women and urban population. The association of education remained significant after accounting for risk factors, and income was the main mediator, which accounted for 23.0% of mediation in men and 11.1% in women. Interpretation: The study's findings support the increased risk of premature mortality associated with low education, particularly in women and urban populations. The considerable number of deaths attributed to educational inequality underscores the necessity for more effective and targeted public health interventions. Funding: Chinese Central Government.

2.
Lancet Reg Health Am ; 34: 100762, 2024 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38779655

RESUMO

Background: Immigrants in high-income countries experienced inequities in COVID-19 severe outcomes. We examined hospitalization and death throughout the pandemic, and change during the vaccine era, in Ontario, Canada. Methods: We conducted a population-based study using linked immigration and health data, following two cohorts for 20 months from January 1, 2020 (pre-vaccine) and September 1, 2021 (vaccine era). We used multivariable Poisson generalized estimating equation regression to estimate adjusted rate ratios (aRR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI), accounting for age, sex and co-morbidities. We calculated age-standardized years of life lost (ASYRs) rates by immigrant category. Findings: Of 11,692,387 community-dwelling adults in the pre-vaccine era cohort and 11,878,304 community-dwelling adults in the vaccine era cohort, 21.6% and 21.4% of adults in each era respectively were immigrants. Females accounted for 57.9% and 57.8% of sponsored family, and 68.4% and 67.6% of economic caregivers, in each era respectively. Compared to other Ontarians in the pre-vaccine era cohort, hospitalization rates were highest for refugees (aRR [95% CI] 3.41 [3.39-3.44]) and caregivers (3.13 [3.07-3.18]), followed by sponsored family and other economic immigrants. Compared to other Ontarians, aRRs were highest for immigrants from Central America (5.00 [4.92-5.09]), parts of South Asia (3.95 [3.89-4.01]) and Jamaica (3.56 [3.51-3.61]) with East Asians having lower aRRs. Mortality aRRs were similar to hospitalization aRRs. In the vaccine era, all aRRs were attenuated and most were similar to or lower than other Ontarians, with refugees and a few regions maintaining higher rates. In the pre-vaccine era ASYRs were higher for all immigrant groups. ASYRs dropped in the vaccine era with only refugees continuing to have higher rates. Interpretation: Immigrants, particularly refugees, experienced greater premature mortality. aRRs for most immigrant groups dropped substantially after high vaccine coverage was achieved. Vaccine outreach and improvements in the social determinants of health are needed. Funding: Canadian Institutes of Health Research, Canada Research Chairs Program.

3.
Environ Int ; 188: 108742, 2024 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38749120

RESUMO

To confront the challenges posed by air pollution and climate change, China has undertaken significant initiatives to develop strategies that address both issues concurrently. However, the health benefits of these initiatives have not been clearly articulated. In this study, the dynamic changes in health impacts under air pollution and carbon reduction actions in China are evaluated by employing the latest concentration-response models and projected PM2.5 concentrations under future scenarios. From 2020 to 2060, the enforcement of clean air and climate mitigation policies is expected to increase the percentage of the population living with PM2.5 concentrations meeting the 10 µg/m3 standard by 79 %. Without the implementation of relevant mitigation measures, PM2.5-associated deaths are projected to double due to an aging population. In comparison to the 2060 reference scenario, the joint implementation of clean air and carbon neutrality measures is expected to reduce nationwide PM2.5-associated mortality by 62 %, equivalent to 2.15 (95 % CI: 1.80-2.48) million deaths. Stringent pollution controls are crucial for reducing PM2.5-associated deaths before 2030, after which carbon neutrality actions become increasingly significant from 2030 to 2060. The challenges of mitigating future PM2.5-associated deaths vary greatly across regions, showing a critical response to pollution control and carbon reduction. The research proves the effectiveness of China's future air pollution control and carbon reduction policies in mitigating PM2.5-associated deaths.


Assuntos
Poluentes Atmosféricos , Poluição do Ar , Material Particulado , China , Poluição do Ar/prevenção & controle , Material Particulado/análise , Humanos , Poluentes Atmosféricos/análise , Mudança Climática , Carbono/análise , Mortalidade/tendências , Política Ambiental , Exposição Ambiental
4.
Eur Urol Oncol ; 2024 Apr 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38575410

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Men diagnosed with prostate cancer (PC) have an increased risk of depression; however, it is unclear to what extent depression affects long-term survival. A better understanding of such effects is needed to improve long-term care and outcomes for men with PC. OBJECTIVE: To determine the associations between major depression and mortality in a national cohort of men with PC. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: A national cohort study was conducted of all 180 189 men diagnosed with PC in Sweden during 1998-2017. Subsequent diagnoses of major depression were ascertained from nationwide outpatient and inpatient records through 2018. OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: Deaths were identified from nationwide records through 2018. Cox regression was used to compute hazard ratios (HRs) for all-cause mortality associated with major depression, adjusting for sociodemographic factors and comorbidities. Subanalyses assessed differences by PC treatment during 2005-2017. PC-specific mortality was examined using competing risks models. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: In 1.3 million person-years of follow-up, 16 134 (9%) men with PC were diagnosed with major depression and 65 643 (36%) men died. After adjusting for sociodemographic factors and comorbidities, major depression was associated with significantly higher all-cause mortality in men with high-risk PC (HR, 1.50; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.44-1.55) or low- or intermediate-risk PC (1.64; 1.56-1.71). These risks were elevated regardless of PC treatment or age at PC diagnosis, except for youngest men (<55 yr) in whom the risks were nonsignificant. Major depression was also associated with increased PC-specific mortality in men with either high-risk PC (HR, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.28-1.43) or low- or intermediate-risk PC (1.42; 1.27-1.59). This study was limited to Sweden and will need replication in other countries when feasible. CONCLUSIONS: In this national cohort of men with PC, major depression was associated with ∼50% higher all-cause mortality. Men with PC need timely detection and treatment of depression to support their long-term outcomes and survival. PATIENT SUMMARY: In this report, we examined the effects of depression on survival in men with prostate cancer. We found that among all men with prostate cancer, those who developed depression had a 50% higher risk of dying than those without depression. Men with prostate cancer need close monitoring for the detection and treatment of depression to improve their long-term health outcomes.

5.
Head Neck ; 46(6): 1263-1269, 2024 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38622958

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: India contributes two-thirds of the global mortality due to oral cancer and has a younger population at risk. The societal costs of this premature mortality are barely discussed. METHODS: Using the human capital approach, we aimed to estimate the productivity lost due to premature mortality, valued using individual socioeconomic data, related to oral cancer in India. A bottom-up approach was used to prospectively collect data of 100 consecutive patients with oral cancer treated between 2019 and 2020, with a follow-up of 36 months. RESULTS: The disease-specific survival for early and advanced stage was 85% and 70%, with a median age of 47 years. With 671 years lost prematurely, the loss of productivity was $41 900/early and $96 044/advanced stage. Based on population level rates, the total cost of premature mortality was $5.6 billion, representing 0.18% of GDP. CONCLUSION: India needs to implement tailored strategies to reduce the economic burden from premature mortality.


Assuntos
Eficiência , Mortalidade Prematura , Neoplasias Bucais , Humanos , Índia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Feminino , Estudos Prospectivos , Neoplasias Bucais/mortalidade , Neoplasias Bucais/economia , Adulto , Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Idoso
6.
Artigo em Alemão | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38587641

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Earlier mortality in socioeconomically disadvantaged population groups represents an extreme manifestation of health inequity. This study examines the extent, time trends, and mitigation potentials of area-level socioeconomic inequalities in premature mortality in Germany. METHODS: Nationwide data from official cause-of-death statistics were linked at the district level with official population data and the German Index of Socioeconomic Deprivation (GISD). Age-standardized mortality rates before the age of 75 were calculated stratified by sex and deprivation quintile. A what-if analysis with counterfactual scenarios was applied to calculate how much lower premature mortality would be overall if socioeconomic mortality inequalities were reduced. RESULTS: Men and women in the highest deprivation quintile had a 43% and 33% higher risk of premature death, respectively, than those in the lowest deprivation quintile of the same age. Higher mortality rates with increasing deprivation were found for cardiovascular and cancer mortality, but also for other causes of death. Socioeconomic mortality inequalities had started to increase before the COVID-19 pandemic and further exacerbated in the first years of the pandemic. If all regions had the same mortality rate as those in the lowest deprivation quintile, premature mortality would be 13% lower overall. DISCUSSION: The widening gap in premature mortality between deprived and affluent regions emphasizes that creating equivalent living conditions across Germany is also an important field of action for reducing health inequity.


Assuntos
Causas de Morte , Mortalidade Prematura , Humanos , Mortalidade Prematura/tendências , Alemanha/epidemiologia , Masculino , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Adulto , Idoso , Disparidades nos Níveis de Saúde , COVID-19/mortalidade , Pré-Escolar , Adulto Jovem , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Adolescente , Criança , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , SARS-CoV-2
7.
Lancet Reg Health West Pac ; 43: 100987, 2024 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38456088

RESUMO

Background: Long-term projections of premature mortality (defined as deaths age <75 years) help to inform decisions about public health priorities. This study aimed to project premature mortality rates in Australia to 2044, and to estimate numbers of deaths and potential years of life lost (PYLL) due to premature mortality overall and for 59 causes. Methods: We examined the past trends in premature mortality rates using Australian mortality data by sex, 5-year age group and 5-year calendar period up to 2019. Cigarette smoking exposure data (1945-2019) were included to project lung cancer mortality. Age-period-cohort or generalised linear models were developed and validated for each cause to project premature mortality rates to 2044. Findings: Over the 25-year period from 1990-1994 to 2015-2019, there was a 44.4% decrease in the overall age-standardised premature mortality rate. This decline is expected to continue, from 162.4 deaths/100,000 population in 2015-2019 to 141.7/100,000 in 2040-2044 (12.7% decrease). Despite declining rates, total numbers of premature deaths are projected to increase by 22.8%, rising from 272,815 deaths in 2015-2019 to 334,894 deaths in 2040-2044. This is expected to result in 1.58 million premature deaths over the 25-year period 2020-2044, accounting for 24.5 million PYLL. Of the high-level cause categories, cancer is projected to remain the most common cause of premature death in Australia by 2044, followed by cardiovascular disease, external causes (including injury, poisoning, and suicide), and respiratory diseases. Interpretation: Despite continuously declining overall premature mortality rates, the total number of premature deaths in Australia is projected to remain substantial, and cancer will continue to be the leading cause. These projections can inform the targeting of public health efforts and can serve as benchmarks against which to measure the impact of future interventions. They emphasise the ongoing importance of accelerating the prevention, early detection, and treatment of key health conditions. Funding: No funding was provided for this study.

8.
BJPsych Open ; 10(2): e55, 2024 Mar 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38425039

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: One-third to half of people with intellectual disabilities suffer from chronic constipation (defined as two or fewer bowel movements weekly or taking regular laxatives three or more times weekly), a cause of significant morbidity and premature mortality. Research on risk factors associated with constipation is limited. AIMS: To enumerate risk factors associated with constipation in this population. METHOD: A questionnaire was developed on possible risk factors for constipation. The questionnaire was sent to carers of people with intellectual disabilities on the case-loads of four specialist intellectual disability services in England. Data analysis focused on descriptively summarising responses and comparing those reported with and without constipation. RESULTS: Of the 181 people with intellectual disabilities whose carers returned the questionnaire, 42% reported chronic constipation. Constipation was significantly associated with more severe intellectual disability, dysphagia, cerebral palsy, poor mobility, polypharmacy including antipsychotics and antiseizure medication, and the need for greater toileting support. There were no associations with age or gender. CONCLUSIONS: People with intellectual disabilities may be more vulnerable to chronic constipation if they are more severely intellectually disabled. The associations of constipation with dysphagia, cerebral palsy, poor mobility and the need for greater toileting support suggests people with intellectual disabilities with significant physical disabilities are more at risk. People with the above disabilities need closer monitoring of their bowel health. Reducing medication to the minimum necessary may reduce the risk of constipation and is a modifiable risk factor that it is important to monitor. By screening patients using the constipation questionnaire, individualised bowel care plans could be implemented.

9.
SSM Popul Health ; 25: 101638, 2024 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38426028

RESUMO

Background: Premature deaths are a strong population health indicator. There is a persistent and widening pattern of income inequities for premature mortality. We sought to understand the combined effect of health behaviours and income on premature mortality in a large population-based cohort. Methods: We analyzed a cohort of 121,197 adults in the 2005-2014 Canadian Community Health Surveys, linked to vital statistics data to ascertain deaths for up to 5 years following baseline. Information on household income quintile and mortality-relevant risk factors (smoking status, alcohol use, body mass index (BMI), and physical activity) was captured from the survey. Hazard ratios (HR) for combined income-risk factor groups were estimated using Cox proportional hazards models. Stratified Cox models were used to identify quintile-specific HR for each risk factor. Results: For each risk factor, HR of premature mortality was highest in the lowest-income, highest-risk group. Additionally, an income gradient was seen for premature mortality HR for every exposure level of each risk factor. In the stratified models, risk factor HRs did not vary meaningfully between income groups. All findings were consistent in the unadjusted and adjusted models. Conclusion: These findings highlight the need for targeted strategies to reduce health inequities and more careful attention to how policies and interventions are distributed at the population level. This includes targeting and tailoring resources to those in lower income groups who disproportionately experience premature mortality risk to prevent further widening health inequities.

10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38472630

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Current US hepatitis B mortality rates remain three times higher than the national target. Mortality reduction will depend on addressing hepatitis B disparities influenced by social determinants of health. OBJECTIVES: This study aims to describe characteristics of hepatitis B-listed decedents, which included US birthplace status and county social vulnerability attributes and quantify premature mortality. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of 17,483 hepatitis B-listed decedents using the 2010-2019 US Multiple-Cause-of-Death data merged with the county-level Social Vulnerability Index (SVI). Outcomes included the distribution of decedents according to US birthplace status and residence in higher versus lower death burden counties by sociodemographic characteristics, years of potential life lost (YPLL), and SVI quartiles. RESULTS: Most hepatitis B-listed decedents were US-born, male, and born during 1945-1965. Median YPLL was 17.2; 90.0% died prematurely. US-born decedents were more frequently White, non-college graduates, unmarried, and had resided in a county with < 500,000 people; non-US-born decedents were more frequently Asian/Pacific Islander, college graduates, married, and had resided in a county with ≥ 1 million people. Higher death burden (≥ 20) counties were principally located in coastal states. US-born decedents more frequently resided in counties in the highest SVI quartile for "Household Characteristics" and "Uninsured," whereas non-US-born decedents more frequently resided in counties in the highest SVI quartile for "Racial/Ethnic Minority Status" and "Housing Type/Transportation." CONCLUSION: This analysis found substantial premature hepatitis B mortality and residence in counties ranked high in social vulnerability. Successful interventions should be tailored to disproportionately affected populations and the social vulnerability features of their geographic areas.

11.
Sleep Med ; 115: 14-20, 2024 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38301491

RESUMO

STUDY OBJECTIVES: The correlation of daytime napping and nighttime sleep duration on mortality was inconsistent. We aimed to explore their separate links to all-cause/premature mortality, and evaluate their combined impact on all-cause mortality risk. METHODS: All of 20617 (mean age: 56.90 ± 10.19, 52.18 % females) participants from China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study were followed for a median of 7 years (interquartile range: 4-7) to detect death status. Baseline self-reported napping and sleep duration was categorized: napping as none, <60 min, 60-90 min, and ≥90 min, sleep as <6 h/night, 6-8 h/night, and ≥8 h/night. Death event was tracked, and premature death was defined using 2015 China's average life expectancy (73.64 years for men, and 79.43 years for women). Cox regression models analyzed the data. RESULTS: During follow-up, 1621 participants (7.86 %) died, including 985 (4.78 %) premature deaths. Compared to none nappers, napping ≥90 min associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality (Hazard ratio, [HR] 1.23, 95 % confidence interval [CI] 1.06-1.42) and premature mortality (HR 1.23, 95 % CI 1.02-1.49), while napping <60 min correlated with a lower risk of premature mortality (HR 0.71, 95 % CI 0.54-0.95), after adjustment. Compared to sleep 6-8 h/night, nighttime sleep ≥8 h was associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality (HR 1.20, 95 % CI 1.04-1.37) and premature mortality (HR 1.28, 95 % CI 1.08-1.52). Participants napping ≥90 min and sleeping ≥8 h had a multi-adjusted HR (95%CI) of 1.50 (95 % CI 1.17-1.92) for all-cause mortality, versus no napping and 6-8 h/night sleep. CONCLUSIONS: Prolonged napping and extended nighttime sleep linked to increased mortality risk, particularly in combination. Optimizing sleep patterns may have potential implication in mortality prevention.


Assuntos
Aposentadoria , Sono , Masculino , Humanos , Feminino , Estudos Longitudinais , Estudos Prospectivos , China/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco
12.
BMC Public Health ; 24(1): 470, 2024 Feb 14.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38355531

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Higher levels of socioeconomic deprivation have been consistently associated with increased risk of premature mortality, but a detailed analysis by causes of death is lacking in Belgium. We aim to investigate the association between area deprivation and all-cause and cause-specific premature mortality in Belgium over the period 1998-2019. METHODS: We used the 2001 and 2011 Belgian Indices of Multiple Deprivation to assign statistical sectors, the smallest geographical units in the country, into deprivation deciles. All-cause and cause-specific premature mortality rates, population attributable fraction, and potential years of life lost due to inequality were estimated by period, sex, and deprivation deciles. RESULTS: Men and women living in the most deprived areas were 1.96 and 1.78 times more likely to die prematurely compared to those living in the least deprived areas over the period under study (1998-2019). About 28% of all premature deaths could be attributed to socioeconomic inequality and about 30% of potential years of life lost would be averted if the whole population of Belgium faced the premature mortality rates of the least deprived areas. CONCLUSION: Premature mortality rates have declined over time, but inequality has increased due to a faster pace of decrease in the least deprived areas compared to the most deprived areas. As the causes of death related to poor lifestyle choices contribute the most to the inequality gap, more effective, country-level interventions should be put in place to target segments of the population living in the most deprived areas as they are facing disproportionately high risks of dying.


Assuntos
Disparidades nos Níveis de Saúde , Mortalidade Prematura , Masculino , Humanos , Feminino , Bélgica/epidemiologia , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Causas de Morte , Mortalidade
13.
Int J Epidemiol ; 53(1)2024 Feb 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38224273

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Socio-economic status (SES) disparities in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) mortality have been reported but complete information and time trends are scarce. In this study, we analysed the years of life lost (YLL) due to COVID-19 premature mortality during the pandemic in Chile and its evolution according to SES and sex compared with a counterfactual scenario [cerebrovascular accidents (stroke)]. METHOD: We used Chile's national mortality databases from 2020 to 2022. YLL and age-standardized YLL and mortality rates by sex and by epidemic waves were determined. The 346 communes were stratified into SES groups according to their poverty index quintile. Negative binomial regression models were used to test trends. RESULTS: In >2 years of the pandemic, the COVID-19 YLL was 975 937, corresponding to 61 174 deaths. The YLL rate per 100 000 inhabitants was 1027 for males and 594 for females. There was a heterogeneous distribution of YLL rates and the regional level. Communes in the most advantaged SES quintile (Q5) had the highest YLL during the first wave compared with those in the lowest SES quintile (Q1) (P < 0.001) but the opposite was true during the second wave. COVID-19 YLL trends declined and differences between Q1 and Q2 vs Q5 converged from the second to the fourth waves (0.33 and 0.15, Ptrend < 0.001 and Ptrend = 0.024). YLL declined but differences persisted in stroke (-0.002, Ptrend = 0.979). CONCLUSIONS: COVID-19 deaths resulted in a higher impact on premature death in Chile, especially in men, with a heterogeneous geographic distribution along the territory. SES and sex disparities in COVID-19 premature mortality had narrowed by the end of the pandemic.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Acidente Vascular Cerebral , Masculino , Feminino , Humanos , Mortalidade Prematura , Chile/epidemiologia , Status Econômico , Mortalidade
14.
Lancet Reg Health Eur ; 36: 100776, 2024 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38188276

RESUMO

Background: Previous research has shown that people who have been diagnosed autistic are more likely to die prematurely than the general population. However, statistics on premature mortality in autistic people have often been misinterpreted. In this study we aimed to estimate the life expectancy and years of life lost experienced by autistic people living in the UK. Methods: We studied people in the IQVIA Medical Research Database with an autism diagnosis between January 1, 1989 and January 16, 2019. For each participant diagnosed autistic, we included ten comparison participants without an autism diagnosis, matched by age, sex, and primary care practice. We calculated age- and sex-standardised mortality ratios comparing people diagnosed autistic to the reference group. We used Poisson regression to estimate age-specific mortality rates, and life tables to estimate life expectancy at age 18 and years of life lost. We analysed the data separately by sex, and for people with and without a record of intellectual disability. We discuss the findings in the light of the prevalence of recorded diagnosis of autism in primary care compared to community estimates. Findings: From a cohort of nearly 10 million people, we identified 17,130 participants diagnosed autistic without an intellectual disability (matched with 171,300 comparison participants), and 6450 participants diagnosed autistic with an intellectual disability (matched with 64,500 comparison participants). The apparent estimates indicated that people diagnosed with autism but not intellectual disability had 1.71 (95% CI: 1.39-2.11) times the mortality rate of people without these diagnoses. People diagnosed with autism and intellectual disability had 2.83 (95% CI: 2.33-3.43) times the mortality rate of people without these diagnoses. Likewise, the apparent reduction in life expectancy for people diagnosed with autism but not intellectual disability was 6.14 years (95% CI: 2.84-9.07) for men and 6.45 years (95% CI: 1.37-11.58 years) for women. The apparent reduction in life expectancy for people diagnosed with autism and intellectual disability was 7.28 years (95% CI: 3.78-10.27) for men and 14.59 years (95% CI: 9.45-19.02 years) for women. However, these findings are likely to be subject to exposure misclassification biases: very few autistic adults and older-adults have been diagnosed, meaning that we could only study a fraction of the total autistic population. Those who have been diagnosed may well be those with greater support needs and more co-occurring health conditions than autistic people on average. Interpretation: The findings indicate that there is a group of autistic people who experience premature mortality, which is of significant concern. There is an urgent need for investigation into the reasons behind this. However, our estimates suggest that the widely reported statistic that autistic people live 16-years less on average is likely incorrect. Nine out of 10 autistic people may have been undiagnosed across the time-period studied. Hence, the results of our study do not generalise to all autistic people. Diagnosed autistic adults, and particularly older adults, are likely those with greater-than-average support needs. Therefore, we may have over-estimated the reduction in life expectancy experienced by autistic people on average. The larger reduction in life expectancy for women diagnosed with autism and intellectual disability vs. men may in part reflect disproportionate underdiagnosis of autism and/or intellectual disability in women. Funding: Dunhill Medical Trust, Medical Research Council, National Institute for Health and Care Research, and the Royal College of Psychiatrists.

15.
Sci Total Environ ; 914: 169910, 2024 Mar 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38185177

RESUMO

This is a study to identify the applicable/preferable short- and long-term metrics/schemes to evaluate the premature mortality attributable to the ozone pollution in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area (GBA), one of the most representative populous ozone pollution regions in China, by comprehensively accounting the uncertainty sources. The discrepancy between the observation and the CAQRA reanalysis datasets (2013-2019) was investigated in terms of the concentration variation pattern, which determines the exposure metric change. A set of domestic short-term C-R coefficients for the all-age population were integrated using the meta-analysis respectively corresponding to the metrics of MDA1, MDA8, and Daily average. The dataset-based deviations of the short-term attributable factors (AFs) and their corresponding premature mortalities were respectively about 16.9 ± 13.3 % and <5 % based on MDA8, much smaller than other two metrics; and the MDA8-based evaluation results were the most sensitive to the deteriorative ozone pollution, with the maximum upward trends of 0.095-0.129 %/year. Accordingly, MDA8 was recognized as the most applicable short-term metric. For the long-term exposure, the domestic summer metric SMDA8 could not exactly represent the peak-season ozone maximum level in the GBA, with the deviation from 6MMDA8 as much as 30 %. By considering the ability of metric to represent the peak-season ozone, the relatively smaller dataset-based discrepancies of AFs (6MMDA8-WHO2021: 23.3 ± 16.9 %, AMDA8-T2016: 20.7 ± 15.8 %) and the attributable premature mortalities (6MMDA8-WHO2021: 5 %, AMDA8-T2016: 8 %), and the higher sensitivity of the evaluation results to the deteriorative ozone pollution (6MMDA8-WHO2021: 0.13 %;year, p = 0.01; AMDA8-T2016: 0.15 %/year, p = 0.03), the schemes of 6MMDA8-WHO2021 and AMDA8-T2016 were recognized relatively more preferable for the adult (≥25-year) long-term evaluation. Based on the recognized metric/schemes, the central and the eastern PRE areas of higher NO2 level in the GBA were experiencing the highest health burdens from 2013 to 2019.


Assuntos
Poluentes Atmosféricos , Poluição do Ar , Ozônio , Adulto , Humanos , Hong Kong/epidemiologia , Ozônio/toxicidade , Ozônio/análise , Macau , Poluição do Ar/análise , Poluentes Atmosféricos/toxicidade , Poluentes Atmosféricos/análise , China
16.
Nervenarzt ; 2024 Jan 22.
Artigo em Alemão | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38252160

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Sudden unexpected death in epilepsy (SUDEP) is in most cases probably due to a fatal complication of tonic-clonic seizures and plays a significant role in the premature mortality of individuals with epilepsy. The reported risks of SUDEP vary considerably depending on the study population, so that an up-dated systematic review of SUDEP incidence including most recent studies is required to improve the estimated SUDEP risk and the counseling of individuals with epilepsy. OBJECTIVE: To provide an overview of the current research landscape concerning SUDEP incidence across different patient populations and discuss potential conclusions and existing limitations. MATERIAL AND METHODS: A systematic literature review on SUDEP incidence was conducted in MEDLINE and EMBASE, supplemented by a manual search in June 2023. Out of a total of 3324 publications, 50 were reviewed for this study. RESULTS: The analyzed studies showed significant heterogeneity concerning cohorts, study design and data sources. Studies conducted without specific criteria and relying on comprehensive registers indicated an incidence of 0.78-1.2 per 1000 patient-years. Research providing incidences across various age groups predominantly show an increase with age, peaking in middle age. DISCUSSION: Due to varying methods of data collection and incidence calculation, comparing between studies is challenging. The association with age might be due to an underrepresentation of children, adolescents and patients over 60 years. CONCLUSION: Considering all age groups and types of epilepsy it is estimated that about 1 in 1000 individuals with epilepsy dies of SUDEP annually. With an assumed epilepsy prevalence of 0.6% in Germany, this could lead to more than one SUDEP case daily. Standardization of research methods is essential to gain more profound insights.

17.
Paediatr Perinat Epidemiol ; 38(3): 219-226, 2024 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37969031

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Multifetal gestation could be associated with higher long-term maternal mortality because it increases the risk of pregnancy complications such as preeclampsia and preterm birth, which are in turn linked to postpartum cardiovascular risk. OBJECTIVES: We examined whether spontaneously conceived multifetal versus singleton gestation was associated with long-term maternal mortality in a racially diverse U.S. METHODS: We ascertained vital status as of 2016 via linkage to the National Death Index and Social Security Death Master File of 44,174 mothers from the Collaborative Perinatal Project (CPP; 1959-1966). Cox proportional hazards models with maternal age as the time scale assessed associations between history of spontaneous multifetal gestation (in the last CPP observed pregnancy or prior pregnancy) and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, adjusted for demographics, smoking status, and preexisting medical conditions. We calculated hazard ratios (HR) for all-cause and cause-specific mortality over the study period and until age 50, 60, and 70 years (premature mortality). RESULTS: Of eligible participants, 1672 (3.8%) had a history of multifetal gestation. Participants with versus without a history of multifetal gestation were older, more likely to have a preexisting condition, and more likely to smoke. By 2016, 51% of participants with and 38% of participants without a history of multifetal gestation had died (unadjusted all-cause HR 1.14, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.07, 1.23). After adjustment for smoking and preexisting conditions, a history of multifetal gestation was not associated with all-cause (adjusted HR 1.00, 95% CI 0.93, 1.08) or cardiovascular mortality (adjusted HR 0.99, 95% CI 0.87, 1.11) over the study period. However, history of multifetal gestation was associated with an 11% lower risk of premature all-cause mortality (adjusted HR 0.89, 95% CI 0.82, 0.96). CONCLUSIONS: In a cohort with over 50 years of follow-up, history of multifetal gestation was not associated with all-cause mortality, but may be associated with a lower risk of premature mortality.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares , Complicações na Gravidez , Nascimento Prematuro , Gravidez , Feminino , Recém-Nascido , Humanos , Mortalidade Materna , Idade Materna
18.
Curr Probl Cardiol ; 49(2): 102343, 2024 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38103812

RESUMO

The association between long-term systolic blood pressure variability (SBPV) and cardiovascular (CV) outcomes after being adjusted with mean blood pressure (BP) is questionable. This systematic review aims to evaluate the associations between mean BP adjusted long-term SBPV and CV outcomes. A systematic search was conducted on PubMed, Scopus, and Science Direct on January 4, 2023. A total of 9,944,254 subjects from 43 studies were included in this meta-analysis. Long-term SBPV increased the risk of all-cause mortality (HR 1.21 [95%CI 1.16-1.25], I2=100%), CV mortality (HR 1.10 [95%CI 1.07-11.4], I2 = 90%), MACE (HR 1.10 [1.07-1.13], I2 = 91%), cerebrovascular stroke (HR 1.22 [1.16-1.29], I2=100%), and myocardial infarction (HR 1.13 [95%CI (1.07-1.19)], I2=91%). European populations generally had higher risk compared to other continents. In conclusion, long-term SBPV is associated with all-cause mortality, CV mortality, MACE, MI, and stroke. Poor outcomes related to long-term SBPV seem more dominated by cerebrovascular than coronary events.


Assuntos
Infarto do Miocárdio , Acidente Vascular Cerebral , Humanos , Pressão Sanguínea/fisiologia , Infarto do Miocárdio/etiologia , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/epidemiologia , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/etiologia
19.
Am J Cardiol ; 213: 72-75, 2024 Feb 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38110025

RESUMO

Cardiovascular disease is the leading cause of mortality in American Indian and Alaska Native (AI/AN) groups. They are disproportionately found to have a higher rate of premature myocardial infarction (MI). The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Wide-ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research were queried to identify premature MI deaths (female <65 years and male <55 years) occurring within the United States between 1999 and 2020. We investigated proportionate mortality trends related to premature MI in AI/ANs stratified by gender. Deaths attributed to acute MI (AMI) were identified using the International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification codes I21 to I22. We compared the proportional mortality rate because of premature MI with that of a non-AI/AN racial group, which comprised all other races (Blacks, Whites, and Asian/Pacific Islander populations). In AI/ANs, we analyzed a total of 14,055 AMI deaths, of which 3,211 were premature MI deaths corresponding to a proportionate mortality rate of 22.8% (male 20.8%, female 26.2%). The non-AI/AN population had a lower proportionate mortality of 14.8% (male 13.7%, female 16%), p <0.01). On trend analysis, there was no significant improvement over time in the proportionate mortality of AI/ANs (19.8% in 1999 to 21.7% in 2020, p = 0.09). Upon comparison of gender, proportionate mortality of premature MI in women showed a statistically nonsignificant increase from 21.6% in 1999 to 27.3% in 2020 [average annual percent change of 0.7, p = 0.06)]. However, men had a statistically significant decrease in proportionate mortality of premature MI from 18.5% in 1999 to 18.2% in 2020 [average annual percent change of -0.8, p = 0.01)]. AI/ANs have an alarmingly higher rate of proportionate mortality of premature MI than that of other races, with no improvement in the proportionate mortality rates over 20 years, despite an overall downtrend in AMI mortality. Further research to address the reasons for the lack of improvement in premature MI is needed to improve outcomes in this patient population.


Assuntos
Indígena Americano ou Nativo do Alasca , Mortalidade Prematura , Infarto do Miocárdio , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Infarto do Miocárdio/mortalidade , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso
20.
J UOEH ; 45(4): 217-220, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38057110

RESUMO

In this technical note, we primarily demonstrate the computation of confidence limits for a novel measure of average lifespan shortened (ALSS). We identified women who had died from cervical and ovarian cancer between 2000 and 2020 from the Alberta cancer registry. Years of life lost (YLL) was calculated using the national life tables of Canada. We estimated the ALSS as a ratio of YLL in relation to the expected lifespan. We computed the confidence limits of the measure using various approaches, including the normal distribution, gamma distribution, and bootstrap method. The new ALSS measure shows a modest gain in lifespan of women, particularly women with ovarian cancer, over the study period.


Assuntos
Longevidade , Neoplasias Ovarianas , Humanos , Feminino , Expectativa de Vida , Alberta , Tábuas de Vida
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