Clinicopathological prognostic stratification for proteinuria and kidney survival in IgA nephropathy: a Japanese prospective cohort study.

Background: We require a clinicopathological risk stratification method for immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN) to predict kidney outcomes. We examined a renal failure risk group (RF-RG) classification system created following a prior multicentre, retrospective study to determine if RF-RG could predict kidney outcomes. Methods: We collected data from Japanese patients with IgAN registered between 1 April 2005 and 31 August 2015. The primary outcome was a composite 50% increase in serum creatinine from baseline or dialysis induction. The secondary outcomes were times to proteinuria remission (ProR) and haematuria remission (HemR). Results: The enrolled 991 patients from 44 facilities were followed for a median of 5.5 years (interquartile range 2.5-7.5), during which 87 composite events (8.8%) occurred. RF-RG was significantly associated with the primary outcome {hazard ratio [HR] II 2.78 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.12-6.93], III 7.15 (2.90-17.6), IV 33.4 (14.1-79.0), I as a reference, P < .001}.The discrimination performance was good [C-statistic 0.81 (95% CI 0.76-0.86)] and the time-dependent C-statistics exceeded 0.8 over 10 years. Among the 764 patients with proteinuria and 879 patients with haematuria at baseline, 515 and 645 patients showed ProR and HemR, respectively. ProR was significantly less frequent in patients with advanced disease [subdistribution HR: II 0.79 (95% CI 0.67-0.94), III 0.53 (0.41-0.66), IV 0.15 (0.09-0.23), I as a reference, P < .001]. We also observed an association between HemR and RF-RG. Conclusions: RF-RG demonstrated good predictive ability for kidney outcomes.

Comparative study on clinicopathological features and prognosis of IgA vasculitis nephritis and IgA nephropathy in children.

BACKGROUND: IgA vasculitis nephritis (IgAVN) and IgA nephropathy (IgAN) share several clinical and pathological characteristics, though distinctions also exist. Their interrelation, however, remains undefined. This study investigates the clinicopathological divergences and prognostic disparities in pediatric patients with IgAVN and IgAN. METHODS: Our study encompasses 809 pediatric patients with IgAVN and 236 with IgAN, all of whom underwent kidney biopsy. We utilized the Semiquantitative Classification (SQC) scoring system to juxtapose the pathologies of the two conditions, and performed a COX regression analysis to examine factors influencing their prognoses. RESULTS: Both patient groups demonstrated a predominance of males. A seasonality was observed, with a higher incidence of IgAN in the summer, and IgAVN in the fall (P < 0.0001). Patients with IgAN exhibited more severe tubulointerstitial injury, higher chronicity index, and total biopsy scores compared to those with IgAVN (P < 0.0001). Mesangial deposition intensity of complement C3, and the rate of pure IgA deposition, were found to be greater in patients with IgAVN compared to those with IgAN (P < 0.0001). The intensity of IgA deposition was also significantly higher in IgAVN patients (P = 0.003). IgAVN demonstrated a superior prognosis, with a higher rate of kidney remission (P < 0.0001). COX regression analysis indicated that interstitial fibrosis, as identified in the SQC pathology system, was associated with the prognosis of both conditions. Furthermore, the findings suggest that IgA deposition levels (IgA + + and IgA + + +) could potentially influence the prognosis of IgAVN. CONCLUSIONS: Compared to IgAVN, IgAN manifests more severely with regard to renal impairment, interstitial damage, and prognosis. The disparities in immune complex deposition levels and locations within the kidneys support the hypothesis of IgAVN and IgAN as distinct diseases. Interstitial fibrosis may serve as a key pathological indicator within the SQC system associated with kidney prognosis in children with IgAVN and IgAN. The degree of IgA deposition could also be linked with the prognosis of IgAVN.

Prognostic value of complement serum C3 level and glomerular C3 deposits in anti-glomerular basement membrane disease.

Background and objectives: Activation of the complement system is involved in the pathogenesis of anti-glomerular basement membrane (anti-GBM) disease. Glomerular deposits of complement 3 (C3) are often detected on kidney biopsies. The primary objective of this study was to analyze the prognostic value of the serum C3 level and the presence of C3 glomerular deposits in patients with anti-GBM disease. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 150 single-positive patients with anti-GBM disease diagnosed between 1997 and 2017. Patients were categorized according to the serum C3 level (forming a low C3 (C3<1.23 g/L) and a high C3 (C3≥1.23 g/L) groups) and positivity for C3 glomerular staining (forming the C3+ and C3- groups). The main outcomes were kidney survival and patient survival. Results: Of the 150 patients included, 89 (65%) were men. The median [interquartile range (IQR)] age was 45 [26-64]. At diagnosis, kidney involvement was characterized by a median [IQR] peak serum creatinine (SCr) level of 578 [298-977] µmol/L, and 106 (71%) patients required dialysis. Patients in the low C3 group (72 patients) had more severe kidney disease at presentation, as characterized by higher prevalences of oligoanuria, peak SCr ≥500 µmol/L (69%, vs. 53% in the high C3 group; p=0.03), nephrotic syndrome (42%, vs. 24%, respectively; p=0.02) and fibrous forms on the kidney biopsy (21%, vs. 8%, respectively; p=0.04). Similarly, we observed a negative association between the presence of C3 glomerular deposits (in 52 (41%) patients) and the prevalence of cellular forms (83%, vs. 58% in the C3- group; p=0.003) and acute tubulo-interstitial lesions (60%, vs. 36% in the C3- group; p=0.007). When considering patients not on dialysis at diagnosis, the kidney survival rate at 12 months was poorer in the C3+ group (50% [25-76], vs. 91% [78-100] in the C3- group; p=0.01), with a hazard ratio [95% confidence interval] of 5.71 [1.13-28.85] (p=0.04, after adjusting for SCr). Conclusion: In patients with anti-GBM disease, a low serum C3 level and the presence of C3 glomerular deposits were associated with more severe disease and histological kidney involvement at diagnosis. In patients not on dialysis at diagnosis, the presence of C3 deposits was associated with worse kidney survival.

Performance of the renal resistive index and usual clinical indicators in predicting persistent AKI.

BACKGROUND: Early recognition of persistent acute kidney injury (AKI) could optimize management and prevent deterioration of kidney function. The Doppler-based renal resistive index (RI) has shown promising results for predicting persistent AKI in preliminary studies. Here, we aimed to evaluate the performance of renal RI, clinical indicators, and their combinations to predict short-term kidney prognosis in septic shock patients. METHOD: We performed a retrospective study based on data from a prospective study in a single-center general ICU between November 2017 and October 2018. Patients with septic shock were included. Clinical indicators were evaluated immediately at inclusion, and renal RI was measured within the first 12 h of ICU admission after hemodynamic stabilization. Persistent AKI was defined as AKI without recovery within 72 h. A multivariable logistic regression was used to select significant variables associated with persistent AKI. The discriminative power was evaluated by a receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. RESULT: Overall, 102 patients were included, 39 of whom had persistent AKI. Renal RI was higher in the persistent AKI patients than in those without persistent AKI: 0.70 ± 0.05 vs. 0.66 ± 0.05; p = 0.001. The performance of RI to predict persistent AKI was poor, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.699 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.600-0.786]. A clinical prediction model combining serum creatinine at inclusion and the nonrenal SOFA score showed a better prediction ability for nonrecovery, with an AUROC of 0.877 (95% CI 0.797-0.933, p = 0.0012). The addition of renal RI to this model did not improve the predictive performance. CONCLUSION: The Doppler-based renal resistive index performed poorly in predicting persistent AKI and did not improve the clinical prediction provided by a combination of serum creatinine at inclusion and the nonrenal SOFA score in patients with septic shock.

Predicting Progression of Kidney Injury Based on Elastography Ultrasound and Radiomics Signatures.

Background: Shear wave elastography ultrasound (SWE) is an emerging non-invasive candidate for assessing kidney stiffness. However, its prognostic value regarding kidney injury is unclear. Methods: A prospective cohort was created from kidney biopsy patients in our hospital from May 2019 to June 2020. The primary outcome was the initiation of renal replacement therapy or death, while the secondary outcome was eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2. Ultrasound, biochemical, and biopsy examinations were performed on the same day. Radiomics signatures were extracted from the SWE images. Results: In total, 187 patients were included and followed up for 24.57 ± 5.52 months. The median SWE value of the left kidney cortex (L_C_median) is an independent risk factor for kidney prognosis for stage 3 or over (HR 0.890 (0.796−0.994), p < 0.05). The inclusion of 9 out of 2511 extracted radiomics signatures improved the prognostic performance of the Cox regression models containing the SWE and the traditional index (chi-square test, p < 0.001). The traditional Cox regression model had a c-index of 0.9051 (0.8460−0.9196), which was no worse than the machine learning models, Support Vector Machine (SVM), SurvivalTree, Random survival forest (RSF), Coxboost, and Deepsurv. Conclusions: SWE can predict kidney injury progression with an improved performance by radiomics and Cox regression modeling.

N-Terminal Pro-B-Type Natriuretic Peptide Is a Predictor of Chronic Kidney Disease in an Asian General Population　- The Ohasama Study.

Background: N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) is known to increase in heart failure patients. Given that no reports have described the association between NT-proBNP and chronic kidney disease (CKD) incidence in Asian populations, we investigated this association in the Japanese population. Methods and Results: We followed up 867 participants without CKD from the general population of Ohasama, Japan. We defined CKD as estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 and/or proteinuria. In accordance with previous studies, the participants were classified into 4 groups according to NT-proBNP level (<30.0, 30.0-54.9, 55.0-124.9, and ≥125.0 pg/mL). The Cox model was applied to assess adjusted hazard ratios (HR) for CKD incidence after full adjustment including baseline eGFR. Participant mean age was 59.1 years, and 587 (67.7%) were women. During the mean follow-up period of 9.7 years, 177 participants developed CKD. When the group with NT-proBNP <30.0 pg/mL was used as the reference, adjusted HR for CKD incidence in the 30.0-54.9, 55.0-124.9, and ≥125.0 pg/mL groups were 1.34 (95% CI: 0.90-2.01), 1.25 (95% CI: 0.81-1.92), and 1.83 (95% CI: 1.05-3.18), respectively. Conclusions: NT-proBNP can be significantly predictive for CKD incidence in Asian populations.