The Surprising Effect of Priming on SNOT-22 Results.

BACKGROUND: Priming is a psychological phenomenon where subconscious cues in the environment impact our behavioral responses in certain situations. Well studied in the worlds of business, marketing, and even politics, it is unclear how the priming phenomenon impacts patient perception of their own disease state nor how they report that perception using tools like the Sinonasal Outcomes Test (SNOT-22), used to measure that perception in chronic rhinosinusitis. OBJECTIVE: To determine the impact of positive or negative priming on self-reported patient perception of their chronic rhinosinusitis disease using the SNOT-22 disease-specific quality of life instrument. METHODS: Single-blind, randomized, prospective cohort pilot study of 206 consecutive adult patients with a clinical diagnosis of chronic rhinosinusitis presenting to a university rhinology clinic. Patients were randomized to receive "positive priming" (103) or "negative priming" (103) by reading a passage about the positive or negative aspects of chronic sinusitis and its treatment respectively. Patients were then asked to fill out the SNOT-22 and results between the two groups were compared. RESULTS: The negative priming group had a higher median SNOT-22 score of 49 [IQR = 39] compared to the positive priming groups' score of 22 [IQR = 27], p < 0.0001), a difference of nearly three times the minimal clinical impactful difference (MCID). This effect was consistent regardless of age or sex of the patient. Subgroup analysis revealed a greater impact when priming was performed by the senior male attending regardless of patient age or sex (p < 0.001), while priming performed by the younger female research fellow had greater impact on older patients (>59 years, p = 0.001) and female patients (p = 0.003). CONCLUSIONS: Priming impacts how patient's perceive their chronic rhinosinusitis as determined by the SNOT-22. It is imperative that the rhinologist understand this when using this instrument in research applications and in clinical decision-making for patients.

Jumps beyond the realms of cricket: India's performance in One Day Internationals and stock market movements.

We examine the impact of the Indian cricket team's performance in one-day international cricket matches on return, realized volatility and jumps of the Indian stock market, based on intraday data covering the period of 30th October, 2006 to 31st March, 2017. Using a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles test, we were able to detect evidence of predictability from wins or losses for primarily volatility and jumps, especially over the lower-quantiles of the conditional distributions, with losses having stronger predictability than wins. However, the impact on the stock return is weak and restricted towards the upper end of the conditional distribution.