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1.
BMC Public Health ; 23(1): 1894, 2023 10 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37784046

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Pelvic inflammatory disease (PID) is a widespread female public problem worldwide. And it could lead to infertility, preterm labor, chronic pelvic pain, and ectopic pregnancy (EP) among reproductive-aged women. This study aimed to assess the global burden and trends as well as the chaning correlation between PID and EP in reproductive-aged women from 1990 to 2019. METHODS: The data of PID and EP among reproductive-aged women (15 to 49 years old) were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease study 2019. The disease burden was assessed by calculating the case numbers and age-standardized rates (ASR). The changing trends and correlation were evaluated by calculating the estimated annual percentage changes (EAPC) and Pearson's correlation coefficient. RESULTS: In 2019, the ASR of PID prevalence was 53.19 per 100,000 population with a decreasing trend from 1990 (EAPC: - 0.50), while the ASR of EP incidence was 342.44 per 100,000 population with a decreasing trend from 1990 (EAPC: - 1.15). Globally, PID and EP burdens changed with a strong positive correlation (Cor = 0.89) globally from 1990 to 2019. In 2019, Western Sub-Saharan Africa, Australasia, and Central Sub-Saharan Africa had the highest ASR of PID prevalence, and Oceania, Eastern Europe, and Southern Latin America had the highest ASR of EP incidence. Only Western Europe saw significant increasing PID trends, while Eastern Europe and Western Europe saw increasing EP trends. The highest correlations between PID and EP burden were observed in Burkina Faso, Laos, and Bhutan. General negative correlations between the socio-demographic index and the ASR of PID prevalence and the ASR of EP incidence were observed at the national levels. CONCLUSION: PID and EP continue to be public health burdens with a strong correlation despite slightly decreasing trends detected in ASRs globally. Effective interventions and strategies should be established according to the local situation by policymakers.


Assuntos
Doença Inflamatória Pélvica , Gravidez Ectópica , Gravidez , Recém-Nascido , Feminino , Humanos , Adulto , Adolescente , Adulto Jovem , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Doença Inflamatória Pélvica/epidemiologia , Doença Inflamatória Pélvica/complicações , Gravidez Ectópica/epidemiologia , Gravidez Ectópica/etiologia , Reprodução , Incidência , Australásia/epidemiologia , Carga Global da Doença , Saúde Global
2.
Viruses ; 15(6)2023 06 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37376611

RESUMO

The Special Issue 'State-of-the-Art Plant Virus Research in Australasia' in Viruses provided a fascinating snapshot of plant and fungus virus research being undertaken in Australasia during the final year of the official COVID-19 pandemic [...].


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Vírus de Plantas , Humanos , Pandemias , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Australásia/epidemiologia
4.
Intern Med J ; 53(4): 619-624, 2023 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36929677

RESUMO

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in immunocompromised patients can lead to severe and prolonged illness. Data are limited with regard to management of COVID-19 in this setting, particularly in persistent or recrudescent infection. The authors conducted an online survey among infectious diseases doctors to determine current approaches to treatment across Australasia. There was marked variability in responses relating to the diagnostic modalities and use of antiviral agents in patients with immunocompromise, highlighting the need for high-quality studies to guide treatment decisions in this group.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Humanos , Antivirais/uso terapêutico , Hospedeiro Imunocomprometido , Inquéritos e Questionários , Australásia/epidemiologia
5.
Twin Res Hum Genet ; 26(1): 40-48, 2023 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36950972

RESUMO

Considerable progress continues to be made with regards to the value and use of disease associated polygenic scores (PGS). PGS aim to capture a person's genetic liability to a condition, disease, or a trait, combining information across many risk variants and incorporating their effect sizes. They are already available for clinicians and consumers to order in Australasia. However, debate is ongoing over the readiness of this information for integration into clinical practice and population health. This position statement provides the viewpoint of the Human Genetics Society of Australasia (HGSA) regarding the clinical application of disease-associated PGS in both individual patients and population health. The statement details how PGS are calculated, highlights their breadth of possible application, and examines their current challenges and limitations. We consider fundamental lessons from Mendelian genetics and their continuing relevance to PGS, while also acknowledging the distinct elements of PGS. Use of PGS in practice should be evidence based, and the evidence for the associated benefit, while rapidly emerging, remains limited. Given that clinicians and consumers can already order PGS, their current limitations and key issues warrant consideration. PGS can be developed for most complex conditions and traits and can be used across multiple clinical settings and for population health. The HGSA's view is that further evaluation, including regulatory, implementation and health system evaluation are required before PGS can be routinely implemented in the Australasian healthcare system.


Assuntos
Herança Multifatorial , Saúde da População , Humanos , Australásia/epidemiologia , Herança Multifatorial/genética , Genética Humana
6.
Pain ; 164(5): 967-976, 2023 05 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36448970

RESUMO

ABSTRACT: The increasing demand for pain management and limited resources available highlight the need to measure treatment effectiveness. We analysed data collected at 75 specialist persistent pain services located in Australia and New Zealand to calculate the overall treatment outcome for patients receiving care during 2014 to 2020. Sociodemographic and clinical information was provided for 23,915 patients, along with patient-reported measures assessing pain, pain interference, depression, anxiety, stress, pain catastrophizing, and pain self-efficacy. Latent class analysis identified 4 distinct outcomes based on patients' pattern of responses across the assessment tools at treatment end. Group 1 (n = 8369, 35%) reported low/mild severity across all clinical domains at the end of care, while group 4 (n= 7081, 30%) were more likely to report moderate/high severity on all domains. Group 2 (n = 1991, 8%) reported low/mild pain with moderate/high psychological distress at treatment end, and group 3 (n = 6474, 27%) reported moderate/high pain with low/mild psychological distress. Multivariable logistic regression identified those factors associated with the different groups. In particular, factors most predictive of a poor (group 4) vs good outcome (group 1) were unemployment (due to pain or other reasons), requiring an interpreter, widespread pain, pain of longer duration, and attributing the pain to an injury at work. The results may allow identification of those most likely to benefit from the services currently provided and inform development of alternative or enhanced services for those at risk of a poor outcome.


Assuntos
Manejo da Dor , Dor , Humanos , Análise de Classes Latentes , Dor/psicologia , Australásia/epidemiologia , Eletrônica
7.
Nephrology (Carlton) ; 27(1): 35-43, 2022 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34392579

RESUMO

AIM: There is no clear consensus on how best to treat primary membranous nephropathy (PMN). This study aimed to ascertain prevailing views among nephrologists on their choice of immunosuppressive agents to treat this disease. METHODS: The Australasian Kidney Trials Network conducted a multinational online survey among nephrologists from the South Asia-Pacific region to identify prescribing practices to treat PMN. Survey questions focused on the types of immunosuppressive therapies used, preferred first-line and second-line therapies, indications for starting immunosuppressive therapy, the preferred mode of combining corticosteroid and cyclophosphamide, the use of serum phospholipase A2 receptor antibody testing in clinical practice, indications for anticoagulation, and interest in participating in future clinical trials in PMN. RESULTS: One hundered fifty-five nephrologists from eight countries responded to the online survey. The majority of them were senior nephrologists from Australia and India with significant experience managing patients with PMN. The combination of cyclophosphamide and corticosteroid was the preferred first-line therapy. Of those who used this combination, only 34.8% followed the Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) 2012 guidelines by adding intravenous methylprednisolone. The combination of calcineurin inhibitor with corticosteroid was the most common second-line therapy. Most respondents considered prophylactic anticoagulation if serum albumin was less than 25 g/L. Most nephrologists were keen to participate in a clinical trial with a control arm consisting of cyclophosphamide and corticosteroids. CONCLUSION: The combination of corticosteroid with cyclophosphamide (without intravenous methylprednisolone) is the most commonly reported first-line immunosuppressive therapy for the management of PMN.


Assuntos
Inibidores de Calcineurina/uso terapêutico , Ciclofosfamida/uso terapêutico , Glomerulonefrite Membranosa/tratamento farmacológico , Metilprednisolona/uso terapêutico , Padrões de Prática Médica/estatística & dados numéricos , Anticoagulantes/uso terapêutico , Australásia/epidemiologia , Quimioprevenção/métodos , Consenso , Glomerulonefrite Membranosa/epidemiologia , Glomerulonefrite Membranosa/imunologia , Humanos , Imunossupressores/uso terapêutico , Nefrologistas/estatística & dados numéricos , Inquéritos e Questionários
8.
Diabetes Care ; 45(12): 2918-2925, 2022 12 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36749868

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: The relationship between diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA) at diagnosis of type 1 diabetes and long-term glycemic control varies between studies. We aimed, firstly, to characterize the association of DKA and its severity with long-term HbA1c in a large contemporary cohort, and secondly, to identify other independent determinants of long-term HbA1c. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Participants were 7,961 children and young adults diagnosed with type 1 diabetes by age 30 years from 2000 to 2019 and followed prospectively in the Australasian Diabetes Data Network (ADDN) until 31 December 2020. Linear mixed-effect models related variables to HbA1c. RESULTS: DKA at diagnosis was present in 2,647 participants (33.2%). Over a median 5.6 (interquartile range 3.2, 9.4) years of follow-up, participants with severe, but not moderate or mild, DKA at diagnosis had a higher mean HbA1c (+0.23%, 95% CI 0.11,0.28; [+2.5 mmol/mol, 95% CI 1.4,3.6]; P < 0.001) compared with those without DKA. Use of continuous subcutaneous insulin infusion (CSII) was independently associated with a lower HbA1c (-0.28%, 95% CI -0.31, -0.25; [-3.1 mmol/mol, 95% CI -3.4, -2.8]; P < 0.001) than multiple daily injections, and CSII use interacted with severe DKA to lower predicted HbA1c. Indigenous status was associated with higher HbA1c (+1.37%, 95% CI 1.15, 1.59; [+15.0 mmol/mol, 95% CI 12.6, 17.4]; P < 0.001), as was residing in postcodes of lower socioeconomic status (most vs. least disadvantaged quintile +0.43%, 95% CI 0.34, 0.52; [+4.7 mmol/mol, 95% CI 3.4, 5.6]; P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Severe, but not mild or moderate, DKA at diagnosis was associated with a marginally higher HbA1c over time, an effect that was modified by use of CSII. Indigenous status and lower socioeconomic status were independently associated with higher long-term HbA1c.


Assuntos
Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 1 , Cetoacidose Diabética , Hemoglobinas Glicadas , Adulto , Criança , Humanos , Adulto Jovem , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 1/sangue , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 1/complicações , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 1/diagnóstico , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 1/epidemiologia , Cetoacidose Diabética/diagnóstico , Cetoacidose Diabética/epidemiologia , Cetoacidose Diabética/etiologia , Hemoglobinas Glicadas/análise , Hipoglicemiantes/administração & dosagem , Hipoglicemiantes/uso terapêutico , Injeções , Insulina/administração & dosagem , Insulina/uso terapêutico , Sistemas de Infusão de Insulina , Australásia/epidemiologia , Baixo Nível Socioeconômico , Povos Aborígenes Australianos e Ilhéus do Estreito de Torres/estatística & dados numéricos
9.
Headache ; 61(10): 1539-1552, 2021 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34726783

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To describe the epidemiology of nontraumatic headache in adults presenting to emergency departments (EDs). BACKGROUND: Headache is a common reason for presentation to EDs. Little is known about the epidemiology, investigation, and treatment of nontraumatic headache in patients attending EDs internationally. METHODS: An international, multicenter, observational, cross-sectional study was conducted over one calendar month in 2019. Participants were adults (≥18 years) with nontraumatic headache as the main presenting complaint. Exclusion criteria were recent head trauma, missing records, interhospital transfers, re-presentation with same headache as a recent visit, and headache as an associated symptom. Data collected included demographics, clinical assessment, investigation, treatment, and outcome. RESULTS: We enrolled 4536 patients (67 hospitals, 10 countries). "Thunderclap" onset was noted in 14.2% of cases (644/4536). Headache was rated as severe in 27.2% (1235/4536). New neurological examination findings were uncommon (3.2%; 147/4536). Head computed tomography (CT) was performed in 36.6% of patients (1661/4536), of which 9.9% showed clinically important pathology (165/1661). There was substantial variation in CT scan utilization between countries (15.9%-75.0%). More than 30 different diagnoses were made. Presumed nonmigraine benign headache accounted for 45.4% of cases (2058/4536) with another 24.3% classified as migraine (1101/4536). A small subgroup of patients have a serious secondary cause for their headache (7.1%; 323/4536) with subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH), stroke, neoplasm, non-SAH intracranial hemorrhage/hematoma, and meningitis accounting for about 1% each. Most patients were treated with simple analgesics (paracetamol, aspirin, or nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory agents). Most patients were discharged home (83.8%; 3792/4526). In-hospital mortality was 0.3% (11/4526). CONCLUSION: Diagnosis and management of headache in the ED is challenging. A small group of patients have a serious secondary cause for their symptoms. There is wide variation in the use of neuroimaging and treatments. Further work is needed to understand the variation in practice and to better inform international guidelines regarding emergent neuroimaging and treatment.


Assuntos
Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência/estatística & dados numéricos , Cefaleia/epidemiologia , Adulto , Ásia/epidemiologia , Australásia/epidemiologia , Estudos Transversais , Diagnóstico Diferencial , Europa (Continente)/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Transtornos de Enxaqueca/epidemiologia , Neuroimagem , Exame Neurológico , Estudos Retrospectivos , Hemorragia Subaracnóidea/epidemiologia , Tomografia Computadorizada por Raios X
11.
World J Emerg Surg ; 16(1): 53, 2021 10 14.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34649583

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: It is unknown how frequently damage control (DC) laparotomy is used across trauma centers in different countries. We conducted a cross-sectional survey of trauma centers in the United States, Canada, and Australasia to study variations in use of the procedure and predictors of more frequent use of DC laparotomy. METHODS: A self-administered, electronic, cross-sectional survey of trauma centers in the United States, Canada, and Australasia was conducted. The survey collected information about trauma center and program characteristics. It also asked how often the trauma program director estimated DC laparotomy was performed on injured patients at that center on average over the last year. Multivariable logistic regression was used to identify predictors of a higher reported frequency of use of DC laparotomy. RESULTS: Of the 366 potentially eligible trauma centers sent the survey, 199 (51.8%) trauma program directors or leaders responded [United States = 156 (78.4%), Canada = 26 (13.1%), and Australasia = 17 (8.5%)]. The reported frequency of use of DC laparotomy was highly variable across trauma centers. DC laparotomy was used more frequently in level-1 than level-2 or -3 trauma centers. Further, high-volume level-1 centers used DC laparotomy significantly more often than lower volume level-1 centers (p = 0.02). Nearly half (48.4%) of high-volume volume level-1 trauma centers reported using the procedure at least once weekly. Significant adjusted predictors of more frequent use of DC laparotomy included country of origin [odds ratio (OR) for the United States vs. Canada = 7.49; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.39-40.27], level-1 verification status (OR = 6.02; 95% CI 2.01-18.06), and the assessment of a higher number of severely injured (Injury Severity Scale score > 15) patients (OR per-100 patients = 1.62; 95% CI 1.20-2.18) and patients with penetrating injuries (OR per-5% increase = 1.27; 95% CI 1.01-1.58) in the last year. CONCLUSIONS: The reported frequency of use of DC laparotomy was highly variable across trauma centers. Those centers that most need to evaluate the benefit-to-risk ratio of using DC laparotomy in different scenarios may include high-volume, level-1 trauma centers, particularly those that often manage penetrating injuries.


Assuntos
Laparotomia , Centros de Traumatologia , Australásia/epidemiologia , Estudos Transversais , Humanos , Escala de Gravidade do Ferimento , Estados Unidos
12.
Nat Rev Rheumatol ; 17(9): 515-532, 2021 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34345022

RESUMO

Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is an autoimmune disease with protean manifestations that predominantly affects young women. Certain ethnic groups are more vulnerable than others to developing SLE and experience increased morbidity and mortality. Reports of the global incidence and prevalence of SLE vary widely, owing to inherent variation in population demographics, environmental exposures and socioeconomic factors. Differences in study design and case definitions also contribute to inconsistent reporting. Very little is known about the incidence of SLE in Africa and Australasia. Identifying and remediating such gaps in epidemiology is critical to understanding the global burden of SLE and improving patient outcomes. Mortality from SLE is still two to three times higher than that of the general population. Internationally, the frequent causes of death for patients with SLE include infection and cardiovascular disease. Even without new therapies, mortality can potentially be mitigated with enhanced quality of care. This Review focuses primarily on the past 5 years of global epidemiological studies and discusses the regional incidence and prevalence of SLE and top causes of mortality.


Assuntos
Lúpus Eritematoso Sistêmico/epidemiologia , África/epidemiologia , Ásia/epidemiologia , Australásia/epidemiologia , Europa (Continente)/epidemiologia , Saúde Global/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Incidência , Lúpus Eritematoso Sistêmico/mortalidade , Prevalência , América do Sul/epidemiologia
14.
Eur J Epidemiol ; 36(6): 629-640, 2021 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34114189

RESUMO

We estimated the impact of a comprehensive set of non-pharmeceutical interventions on the COVID-19 epidemic growth rate across the 37 member states of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development during the early phase of the COVID-19 pandemic and between October and December 2020. For this task, we conducted a data-driven, longitudinal analysis using a multilevel modelling approach with both maximum likelihood and Bayesian estimation. We found that during the early phase of the epidemic: implementing restrictions on gatherings of more than 100 people, between 11 and 100 people, and 10 people or less was associated with a respective average reduction of 2.58%, 2.78% and 2.81% in the daily growth rate in weekly confirmed cases; requiring closing for some sectors or for all but essential workplaces with an average reduction of 1.51% and 1.78%; requiring closing of some school levels or all school levels with an average reduction of 1.12% or 1.65%; recommending mask wearing with an average reduction of 0.45%, requiring mask wearing country-wide in specific public spaces or in specific geographical areas within the country with an average reduction of 0.44%, requiring mask-wearing country-wide in all public places or all public places where social distancing is not possible with an average reduction of 0.96%; and number of tests per thousand population with an average reduction of 0.02% per unit increase. Between October and December 2020 work closing requirements and testing policy were significant predictors of the epidemic growth rate. These findings provide evidence to support policy decision-making regarding which NPIs to implement to control the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic.


Assuntos
COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Máscaras/estatística & dados numéricos , Organização para a Cooperação e Desenvolvimento Econômico , Distanciamento Físico , Quarentena/estatística & dados numéricos , Ásia/epidemiologia , Australásia/epidemiologia , Europa (Continente)/epidemiologia , Humanos , Estudos Longitudinais , América do Norte/epidemiologia , Pandemias , Quarentena/métodos , SARS-CoV-2
15.
Cancer ; 127(18): 3445-3456, 2021 09 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34043810

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Marked reductions in childhood cancer mortality occurred over the last decades in high-income countries and, to a lesser degree, in middle-income countries. This study aimed to monitor mortality trends in the Americas and Australasia, focusing on areas showing unsatisfactory trends. METHODS: Age-standardized mortality rates per 100,000 children (aged 0-14 years) from 1990 to 2017 (or the last available calendar year) were computed for all neoplasms and 8 leading childhood cancers in countries from the Americas and Australasia, using data from the World Health Organization database. A joinpoint regression was used to identify changes in slope of mortality trends for all neoplasms, leukemia, and neoplasms of the central nervous system (CNS) for major countries. RESULTS: Over the last decades, childhood cancer mortality continued to decrease by approximately 2% to 3% per year in Australasian countries (ie, Japan, Korea, and Australia), by approximately 1.5% to 2% in North America and Chile, and 1% in Argentina. Other Latin American countries did not show any substantial decrease. Leukemia mortality declined in most countries, whereas less favorable trends were registered for CNS neoplasms, particularly in Latin America. Around 2016, death rates from all neoplasms were 4 to 6 per 100,000 boys and 3 to 4 per 100,000 girls in Latin America, and 2 to 3 per 100,000 boys and approximately 2 per 100,000 girls in North America and Australasia. CONCLUSIONS: Childhood cancer mortality trends declined steadily in North America and Australasia, whereas they were less favorable in most Latin American countries. Priority must be given to closing the gap by providing high-quality care for all children with cancer worldwide. LAY SUMMARY: Advances in childhood cancer management have substantially improved the burden of these neoplasms over the past 40 years, particularly in high-income countries. This study aimed to monitor recent trends in America and Australasia using mortality data from the World Health Organization. Trends in childhood cancer mortality continued to decline in high-income countries by approximately 2% to 3% per year in Japan, Korea, and Australia, and 1% to 2% in North America. Only a few Latin American countries showed favorable trends, including Argentina, Chile, and Mexico, whereas other countries with limited resources still lagged behind.


Assuntos
Neoplasias , Adolescente , América/epidemiologia , Australásia/epidemiologia , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , América Latina , Masculino , Mortalidade , Organização Mundial da Saúde
16.
Hematol Oncol Clin North Am ; 35(1): 57-72, 2021 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33759773

RESUMO

Please add expansion for AL. Melanoma is the most common fatal type of skin cancer and is an important and growing public health problem in the United States, Australia, New Zealand, and Europe. The mortality rate in most of the world has been rising as well, albeit slower than that for incidence. Likely due to the availability of new treatments for stage 4 melanoma, mortality rates in the United States dropped 18% from 2013 to 2016. We further describe trends in melanoma incidence and mortality, review the literature on risk factors, and provide an up-to-date assessment of population-wide screening and some of the inherent concerns.


Assuntos
Melanoma , Neoplasias Cutâneas , Australásia/epidemiologia , China/epidemiologia , Fatores Epidemiológicos , Europa (Continente)/epidemiologia , Humanos , Incidência , Internacionalidade , Programas de Rastreamento , Melanoma/diagnóstico , Melanoma/economia , Melanoma/epidemiologia , Melanoma/mortalidade , Vigilância da População , Fatores de Risco , Neoplasias Cutâneas/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Cutâneas/economia , Neoplasias Cutâneas/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Cutâneas/mortalidade , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
17.
Respirology ; 26(4): 322-333, 2021 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33690946

RESUMO

COVID-19 has hit the world by surprise, causing substantial mortality and morbidity since 2020. This narrative review aims to provide an overview of the epidemiology, induced impact, viral kinetics and clinical spectrum of COVID-19 in the Asia-Pacific Region, focusing on regions previously exposed to outbreaks of coronavirus. COVID-19 progressed differently by regions, with some (such as China and Taiwan) featured by one to two epidemic waves and some (such as Hong Kong and South Korea) featured by multiple waves. There has been no consensus on the estimates of important epidemiological time intervals or proportions, such that using them for making inferences should be done with caution. Viral loads of patients with COVID-19 peak in the first week of illness around days 2 to 4 and hence there is very high transmission potential causing community outbreaks. Various strategies such as government-guided and suppress-and-lift strategies, trigger-based/suppression approaches and alert systems have been employed to guide the adoption and easing of control measures. Asymptomatic and pre-symptomatic transmission is a hallmark of COVID-19. Identification and isolation of symptomatic patients alone is not effective in controlling the ongoing outbreaks. However, early, prompt and coordinated enactment predisposed regions to successful disease containment. Mass COVID-19 vaccinations are likely to be the light at the end of the tunnel. There is a need to review what we have learnt in this pandemic and examine how to transfer and improve existing knowledge for ongoing and future epidemics.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Controle de Doenças Transmissíveis , SARS-CoV-2 , Ásia/epidemiologia , Australásia/epidemiologia , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/fisiopatologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , COVID-19/virologia , Defesa Civil/organização & administração , Controle de Doenças Transmissíveis/legislação & jurisprudência , Controle de Doenças Transmissíveis/métodos , Controle de Doenças Transmissíveis/organização & administração , Controle de Doenças Transmissíveis/estatística & dados numéricos , Regulamentação Governamental , Humanos , Cooperação Internacional , SARS-CoV-2/patogenicidade , SARS-CoV-2/fisiologia
18.
J Med Internet Res ; 23(2): e25454, 2021 02 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33464207

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound global impact on governments, health care systems, economies, and populations around the world. Within the East Asia and Pacific region, some countries have mitigated the spread of the novel coronavirus effectively and largely avoided severe negative consequences, while others still struggle with containment. As the second wave reaches East Asia and the Pacific, it becomes more evident that additional SARS-CoV-2 surveillance is needed to track recent shifts, rates of increase, and persistence associated with the pandemic. OBJECTIVE: The goal of this study is to provide advanced surveillance metrics for COVID-19 transmission that account for speed, acceleration, jerk, persistence, and weekly shifts, to better understand country risk for explosive growth and those countries who are managing the pandemic successfully. Existing surveillance coupled with our dynamic metrics of transmission will inform health policy to control the COVID-19 pandemic until an effective vaccine is developed. We provide novel indicators to measure disease transmission. METHODS: Using a longitudinal trend analysis study design, we extracted 330 days of COVID-19 data from public health registries. We used an empirical difference equation to measure the daily number of cases in East Asia and the Pacific as a function of the prior number of cases, the level of testing, and weekly shift variables based on a dynamic panel model that was estimated using the generalized method of moments approach by implementing the Arellano-Bond estimator in R. RESULTS: The standard surveillance metrics for Indonesia, the Philippines, and Myanmar were concerning as they had the largest new caseloads at 4301, 2588, and 1387, respectively. When looking at the acceleration of new COVID-19 infections, we found that French Polynesia, Malaysia, and the Philippines had rates at 3.17, 0.22, and 0.06 per 100,000. These three countries also ranked highest in terms of jerk at 15.45, 0.10, and 0.04, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Two of the most populous countries in East Asia and the Pacific, Indonesia and the Philippines, have alarming surveillance metrics. These two countries rank highest in new infections in the region. The highest rates of speed, acceleration, and positive upwards jerk belong to French Polynesia, Malaysia, and the Philippines, and may result in explosive growth. While all countries in East Asia and the Pacific need to be cautious about reopening their countries since outbreaks are likely to occur in the second wave of COVID-19, the country of greatest concern is the Philippines. Based on standard and enhanced surveillance, the Philippines has not gained control of the COVID-19 epidemic, which is particularly troubling because the country ranks 4th in population in the region. Without extreme and rigid social distancing, quarantines, hygiene, and masking to reverse trends, the Philippines will remain on the global top 5 list of worst COVID-19 outbreaks resulting in high morbidity and mortality. The second wave will only exacerbate existing conditions and increase COVID-19 transmissions.


Assuntos
COVID-19/epidemiologia , Sudeste Asiático/epidemiologia , Australásia/epidemiologia , COVID-19/transmissão , Ásia Oriental/epidemiologia , Política de Saúde , Humanos , Indonésia/epidemiologia , Estudos Longitudinais , Malásia/epidemiologia , Pandemias , Filipinas/epidemiologia , Polinésia/epidemiologia , Saúde Pública , Vigilância em Saúde Pública , Sistema de Registros , SARS-CoV-2
19.
J Surg Educ ; 78(1): 308-314, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32694085

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To synthesise the current evidence of pandemic-related impact on surgical training internationally and describe strategies that have been put in place to mitigate disruption. DESIGN: Rapid scoping review of publically available published web-literature. SETTING: Five large English speaking countries; United States (US), United Kingdom (UK), Canada, Australia and New Zealand (NZ). RESULTS: Recruitment and selection to residency programmes in the US, Australia and NZ has been largely unaffected. Canada has implemented video-conferencing in lieu of face-to-face interviews. The UK has relied upon trainee self-assessment for selection. Widespread postponement and cancellation of surgical board examinations was seen across the studied countries. Resident assessment-in-training and certification procedures have been heavily modified. Most didactics have moved online, with some courses and conferences cancelled where this has not been possible. None of the studied countries had a central mandate on resident operating privileges during Covid-19. CONCLUSIONS: The collective response by international surgical training bodies to the dual challenges of safeguarding residents whilst minimising disruption to training has been agile and resident centred. The pandemic has exposed weaknesses in existing training systems and has highlighted opportunity for future improvement.


Assuntos
COVID-19/epidemiologia , Educação Médica , Cirurgia Geral/educação , Australásia/epidemiologia , Canadá/epidemiologia , Humanos , Pandemias , SARS-CoV-2 , Reino Unido/epidemiologia , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
20.
Cancer Rep (Hoboken) ; 4(1): e1297, 2021 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33030308

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: There is significant variation in attitude both towards the role of microsatellite instability (MSI) in predicting prognosis, and towards its role in guiding which Stage II colon cancer patients may benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy. AIM: To examine the current status of specialist attitudes towards MSI in guiding prognosis and adjuvant therapy in stage II colon cancer. METHODS: The Pathology in Colon Cancer, Prognosis and Uptake of Adjuvant Therapy (PiCC UP) Australia and New Zealand questionnaire was distributed to colorectal surgeons, medical oncologists and pathologists after institutional board approval. A 5-scale Likert score was used to assess attitudes towards 23 pathological features for prognosis and 18 features for adjuvant therapy. Data were analysed using a rating scale and graded response model in item response theory (IRT) on STATA (Stata MP, version 15; StataCorp LP). RESULTS: 164 specialists (45 oncologists, 86 surgeons and 33 pathologists) participated. 80.5% regularly attended colorectal multidisciplinary team (MDT) meetings. 89.63% and 59.26% of specialists reported that MSI status was likely or definitely to influence prognosis in colon cancer and recommendations for adjuvant therapy in Stage II colon cancer respectively. IRT modelling was achieved in 17 pathological features for prognosis. MSI IRT score was 4.47 (95% CI: 4.05-4.68). IRT modelling was achieved in 10 pathological features for adjuvant therapy. MSI IRT score was 3.62 (2.89-4.15). MSI ranked 10 (of 17) in order of importance in determining prognosis and ranked three (of 10) in guiding adjuvant therapy. CONCLUSION: MSI status is considered an important biomarker when selecting patients for adjuvant therapy in Stage II colon cancer. MSI is also considered useful in prognostication of colon cancer. MSI status was ranked similar to the tumour grade of differentiation and the presence of perineural invasion.


Assuntos
Protocolos de Quimioterapia Combinada Antineoplásica/uso terapêutico , Colectomia/estatística & dados numéricos , Neoplasias do Colo/terapia , Instabilidade de Microssatélites , Padrões de Prática Médica/estatística & dados numéricos , Australásia/epidemiologia , Biomarcadores Tumorais/genética , Quimioterapia Adjuvante/métodos , Quimioterapia Adjuvante/estatística & dados numéricos , Tomada de Decisão Clínica/métodos , Neoplasias do Colo/diagnóstico , Neoplasias do Colo/genética , Neoplasias do Colo/mortalidade , Estudos de Viabilidade , Humanos , Invasividade Neoplásica/genética , Invasividade Neoplásica/patologia , Estadiamento de Neoplasias , Oncologistas/estatística & dados numéricos , Patologistas/estatística & dados numéricos , Prognóstico , Medição de Risco/métodos , Medição de Risco/estatística & dados numéricos , Cirurgiões/estatística & dados numéricos , Inquéritos e Questionários/estatística & dados numéricos
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