Comparative effectiveness of chemotherapy in different histological types of pancreatic cancer: a PSM-based study using the SEER database.

This study aimed to compare the effectiveness of chemotherapy in different histological types of pancreatic cancer using data collected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Patients who were diagnosed with pancreatic cancer between 2004 and 2015 were selected from the SEER database. Propensity score matching (PSM) was employed to minimize the selection bias. The Kaplan-Meier survival curves and the log-rank test were utilized to compare the overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) among different groups. Of the 7,653 pancreatic cancer patients, both OS and CSS were higher in the chemotherapy group than those in the non-chemotherapy group (p < 0.001). After PSM, 2381 pairs were generated. The Kaplan-Meier survival curved indicated that both OS and CSS for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), pancreatic adenosquamous carcinoma (PASC), and pancreatic mucin-producing adenocarcinoma (PMPAC) (p < 0.001) in the chemotherapy group were superior to those in the non-chemotherapy group, while there was no significant difference in pancreatic mucinous adenocarcinoma (PMAC) (p = 0.2586). Compared with PASC and PMPAC, PDAC exhibited longer OS and CSS. The results of statistical analysis showed that PASC tumors were mainly poorly differentiated, and the majority of patients with PMPAC had distant metastasis. Chemotherapy could prolong pancreatic cancer patients' survival, especially for patients with advanced disease. PMPAC patients had a higher rate of metastasis, accompanying with the worse survival.

Medicaid Expansion Increases Access for Rural and Impoverished Patients with Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma in Southern States.

INTRODUCTION: Medicaid expansion (ME) impacted patients when assessed at a national level. However, of the 32 states in which Medicaid expansion occurred, only 3 were Southern states. Whether results apply to Southern states that share similar geopolitical perspectives remains elusive. We aimed to assess the impact of ME on pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) treatment in eight Southern states in the USA. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We identified uninsured or Medicaid patients (age 40-64 years) diagnosed with PDAC between 2011 and 2018 in Southern states from the North American Association of Central Cancer Registries-Cancer in North America (NAACCR-CiNA) research dataset. Medicaid-expanded states (MES; Louisiana, Kentucky, and Arkansas) were compared with non-MES (NMES; Tennessee, Alabama, Mississippi, Texas, and Oklahoma) using multivariate logistic regression. P < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. RESULTS: Among 3036 patients, MES significantly increased odds of Medicaid insurance by 36%, and increased proportions of insured Black patients by 3.7%, rural patients by 3.8%, and impoverished patients by 18.4%. After adjusting for age, race, rural-urban status, poverty status, and summary stage, the odds of receiving radiation therapy decreased by 26% for each year of expansion in expanded states (P = 0.01). Last, ME did not result in a significant difference between MES and NMES in diagnosing early stage disease (P = 0.98) nor in receipt of chemotherapy or surgery (P = 0.23 and P = 0.63, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: ME in Southern states increased insurance access to traditionally underserved groups. Interestingly, ME decreased the odds of receiving radiation therapy yearly and had no significant impact on receipt of chemotherapy or surgery.

Evidence for a causal link between intra-pancreatic fat deposition and pancreatic cancer: A prospective cohort and Mendelian randomization study.

Prior observational studies suggest an association between intra-pancreatic fat deposition (IPFD) and pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC); however, the causal relationship is unclear. To elucidate causality, we conduct a prospective observational study using magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-measured IPFD data and also perform a Mendelian randomization study using genetic instruments for IPFD. In the observational study, we use UK Biobank data (N = 29,463, median follow-up: 4.5 years) and find that high IPFD (>10%) is associated with PDAC risk (adjusted hazard ratio [HR]: 3.35, 95% confidence interval [95% CI]: 1.60-7.00). In the Mendelian randomization study, we leverage eight out of nine IPFD-associated genetic variants (p < 5 × 10-8) from a genome-wide association study in the UK Biobank (N = 25,617) and find that genetically determined IPFD is associated with PDAC (odds ratio [OR] per 1-standard deviation [SD] increase in IPFD: 2.46, 95% CI: 1.38-4.40) in the Pancreatic Cancer Cohort Consortium I, II, III (PanScan I-III)/Pancreatic Cancer Case-Control Consortium (PanC4) dataset (8,275 PDAC cases and 6,723 non-cases). This study provides evidence for a potential causal role of IPFD in the pathogenesis of PDAC. Thus, reducing IPFD may lower PDAC risk.

Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms in High-Risk Individuals: Incidence, Growth Rate, and Malignancy Risk.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: In high-risk individuals (HRIs), we aimed to assess the cumulative incidence of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) and compare IPMN growth, neoplastic progression rate, and the value of growth as predictor for neoplastic progression to these in sporadic IPMNs. METHODS: We performed annual surveillance of Dutch HRIs, involving carriers of germline pathogenic variants (PVs) and PV-negative familial pancreatic cancer kindreds. HRIs with IPMNs were compared with Italian individuals without familial risk under surveillance for sporadic IPMNs. RESULTS: A total of 457 HRIs were followed for 48 (range 2-172) months; the estimated cumulative IPMN incidence was 46% (95% confidence interval, 28%-64%). In comparison with 442 control individuals, IPMNs in HRIs were more likely to grow ≥2.5 mm/y (31% vs 7%; P < .001) and develop worrisome features (32% vs 19%; P = .010). PV carriers with IPMNs more often displayed neoplastic progression (n = 3 [11%] vs n = 6 [1%]; P = .011), while familial pancreatic cancer kindreds did not (n = 0 [0%]; P = 1.000). The malignancy risk in a PV carrier with an IPMN was 23% for growth rates ≥2.5 mm/y (n = 13), 30% for ≥5 mm/y (n = 10), and 60% for ≥10 mm/y (n = 5). CONCLUSIONS: The cumulative incidence of IPMNs in HRIs is higher than previously reported in the general population. Compared with sporadic IPMNs, they have an increased growth rate. PV carriers with IPMNs are suggested to be at a higher malignancy risk. Intensive follow-up should be considered for PV carriers with an IPMN growing ≥2.5 mm/y, and surgical resection for those growing ≥5 mm/y.

Risk Factors for Progression in Patients Undergoing Surveillance for Pancreatic Cysts.

OBJECTIVE: To identify risk factors associated with the progression of pancreatic cysts in patients undergoing surveillance. BACKGROUND: Previous studies of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) rely on surgical series to determine malignancy risk and have inconsistently identified characteristics associated with IPMN progression. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective review of 2197 patients presenting with imaging concerning for IPMN from 2010 to 2019 at a single institution. Cyst progression was defined as resection or pancreatic cancer development. RESULTS: The median follow-up time was 84 months from the presentation. The median age was 66 years, and 62% were female. Ten percent had a first-degree relative with pancreatic cancer, and 3.2% had a germline mutation or genetic syndrome associated with an increased risk of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). Cumulative incidence of progression was 17.8% and 20.0% at 12 and 60 months postpresentation, respectively. Surgical pathology for 417 resected cases showed noninvasive IPMN in 39% of cases and PDAC with or without associated IPMN in 20%. Only 18 patients developed PDAC after 6 months of surveillance (0.8%). On multivariable analysis, symptomatic disease [hazard ratio (HR)=1.58; 95% CI: 1.25-2.01], current smoker status (HR=1.58; 95% CI: 1.16-2.15), cyst size (HR=1.26; 95% CI: 1.20-1.33), main duct dilation (HR=3.17; 95% CI: 2.44-4.11), and solid components (HR=1.89; 95% CI: 1.34-2.66) were associated with progression. CONCLUSIONS: Worrisome features on imaging at presentation, current smoker status, and symptomatic presentation are associated with IPMN progression. Most patients progressed within the first year of presentation to Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC). Further investigation is necessary to develop personalized cyst surveillance strategies.

The benefit of pancreatic cancer surveillance in carriers of germline BRCA1/2 pathogenic variants.

BACKGROUND: Surveillance of high-risk individuals for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is recommended. This study aimed to determine the prevalence and outcomes of PDAC and its precursor lesions in BRCA1/2 pathogenic variants (PVs) carriers undergoing pancreatic surveillance. METHODS: A retrospective multicenter cohort study of pancreatic surveillance outcomes in Israeli BRCA1/2 carriers preferably with a family history of PDAC. RESULTS: A total of 180 asymptomatic carriers participated in the screening programs, including 57 (31.7%) with BRCA1 PVs, 121 (67.2%) with BRCA2 PVs, and 12 (6.6%) with PVs in BRCA1/2 and other genes, for a median follow-up period of 4 years. Ninety-one individuals (50.5%) fulfilled the International Cancer of the Pancreas Screening (CAPS) criteria for surveillance whereas 116 (64.4%) fulfilled the American College of Gastroenterology (ACG) criteria. There were four cases of adenocarcinoma and four cases of grade 1-neuroendocrine tumor (G1-NET). All were BRCA2 carriers, and two had no family history of PDAC. Three cancer patients were at resectable stages (IA, IIA, IIB) whereas one had a stage IIIB tumor. Of the G1-NET cases, one had surgery and the others were only followed. Success rate for detection of confined pancreatic carcinoma was thus 1.6% (three of 180) in the whole cohort, 1.6% (two of 116) among individuals who fulfilled ACG criteria and 2.2% (two of 91) in those fulfilling CAPS criteria for surveillance. CONCLUSIONS: Despite the low detection rate of PDAC and its' high-risk neoplastic precursor lesions among BRCA1/2 carriers undergoing pancreatic surveillance, 75% of cancer cases were detected at a resectable stage.

Metabolic Syndrome Accelerates the Age-Related Increase of Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm of the Pancreas.

OBJECTIVES: Aging is associated with a high prevalence of pancreatic cysts and intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs). Metabolic syndrome (MS) may increase the risk of neoplasms, including those that develop in the pancreas. However, the influence of factors associated with MS on the development of IPMN remains unclear. METHODS: A total of 9363 patients who underwent abdominal ultrasound examinations between April 2012 and May 2013 were included in this study. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to identify factors associated with the presence of IPMN by age. RESULTS: Pancreatic cysts were detected in 198 of 9363 patients, of whom 129 were found to have IPMNs. The presence of IPMN significantly correlated with age (10-year increments; odds ratio, 2.73; 95% CI, 2.28-3.29; P < 0.001). High body mass index, history of smoking, hyperlipidemia, hypertension, and MS were associated with a higher prevalence of IPMN with advancing age. In multivariate analysis, the presence of IPMN was more frequent in elderly patients with MS (odds ratio, 3.14; 95% CI, 3.14-6.72; P = 0.003). CONCLUSIONS: The present study suggests that the incidence of IPMN increases with age and is accelerated in the presence of MS.

Risk perception and surveillance uptake in individuals at increased risk for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Surveillance for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is recommended for high-risk individuals with genetic variants in PDAC-associated genes and/or family history. Surveillance uptake and adherence may depend on the perception of PDAC risk and cancer worry. We aimed to determine PDAC risk perception in at-risk individuals and assess factors associated with PDAC surveillance uptake. METHODS: At-risk individuals identified from a prospective academic registry were sent a survey electronically. PDAC risk perception, cancer worry and surveillance uptake were surveyed. Factors associated with increased risk perception and surveillance were assessed. Five-year PDAC risk was calculated using the PancPRO risk assessment model, and correlation with subjective risk assessment was assessed. RESULTS: The overall survey response rate was 34% (279/816). The median perceived PDAC risk was twofold (IQR 1-4) above respondents' estimates of general population risk. Factors significantly associated with higher perceived PDAC risk included non-Hispanic white race, post-graduate education level, PDAC-affected first-degree relative, genetic variants and lack of personal cancer history. Cancer worry had a very weak correlation across PDAC risk estimates (r=0.16). No correlation between perceived PDAC risk and 5-year calculated PDAC risk was found. Older age, having a first-degree relative with PDAC, meeting with a medical provider about PDAC cancer risk and awareness of surveillance modalities were significant predictors of undergoing PDAC surveillance. CONCLUSIONS: Individuals at risk for PDAC do not report risk perception that correlates with calculated risk. This presents an opportunity for counselling of at-risk patients to individualise management and improve surveillance uptake for eligible individuals.

Surveillance Outcome and Genetic Findings in Individuals at High Risk of Pancreatic Cancer.

INTRODUCTION: Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) has a poor 5-year survival rate. PDAC surveillance is recommended in high-risk individuals (HRIs) with strong PDAC family history or a pathogenic germline variant (PGV) in a PDAC susceptibility gene. We aimed to explore a potential correlation between genetic status, extent of family history, pancreatic findings, and surveillance implications in heterogeneous PDAC HRIs. METHODS: A total of 239 HRIs from 202 families were tested genetically and underwent prospective pancreatic surveillance for 6 years. RESULTS: The cohort was divided into 3 groups: familial pancreatic cancer (FPC; 70 individuals, 54 families), familial non-FPC (81 individuals, 73 families), and hereditary pancreatic cancer (PC) (88 individuals, 75 families). PGVs were detected in 37.6% of all families, including 11.1% of FPC families and 9.6% of familial non-FPC families. The hereditary PC group had earlier onset of PDAC compared with the other 2 groups. BRCA2 PGV carriers showed earlier onset of PDAC and pancreatic cysts. Of the 239 HRIs, PDAC was detected in 11 individuals (4.6%), with 73% diagnosed at an early stage; 4 (1.67%) had pancreatic neuroendocrine tumor; 6 (2.5%) had main-duct intraductal papillary neoplasm (IPMN); and 41 (17.15%) had side-branch IPMN. Seventeen individuals were referred to surgery, and 12 were alive at the end of the study. DISCUSSION: The percentage of PDAC was similar in the 3 groups studied. The hereditary PC group, and particularly BRCA2 PGV carriers, had an earlier age of PDAC onset. PGVs were detected in a significant percentage of HRIs with PC. Surveillance seems effective for detection of early-stage PDAC and precursor lesions.

Risk factors for early-onset pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma: A systematic literature review.

BACKGROUND: Emerging cancer trends suggest an increase in pancreatic cancer incidence in individuals younger than its typical age of onset, potentially reflecting changes in population exposures and lifestyles. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We conducted a PRISMA-standard systematic literature review to identify non-heritable risk factors for early-onset pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) (PROSPERO number: CRD42022299397). Systematic searches of MEDLINE and Embase bibliographic databases were performed (January 2022), and publications were screened against predetermined eligibility criteria; data were extracted using standardised data fields. The STROBE checklist was used to assess the completeness of reporting as a proxy for publication quality. Data were categorised by risk factor and analysed descriptively. RESULTS: In total, 24 publications were included. All publications reported observational study data; thresholds for age group comparisons ranged between 40 and 65 years. Lifestyle factors investigated included smoking, alcohol consumption, obesity, physical inactivity, meat intake, socioeconomic status and geographical residence. Clinical factors investigated included pancreatitis, diabetes/insulin resistance, prior cancer and cancer stage at diagnosis, hepatitis B infection, metabolic syndrome and long-term proton pump inhibitor exposure. Publication STROBE scores were 6-21 (maximum, 22). Eight studies reported results adjusted for confounders. Potential non-heritable risk factors for early-onset PDAC that warrant further investigation included smoking, alcohol consumption, pancreatitis and hepatitis B infection. CONCLUSION: Evidence for non-heritable risk factors for early-onset PDAC is heterogeneous, but four factors were identified that might aid the identification of at-risk individuals who may benefit from screening and risk reduction strategies.

Early-onset pancreatic cancer: A national cancer registry study from the Czech Republic and review of the literature.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to compare trends in mortality and incidence, clinicopathological features and survival of patients diagnosed with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma under 50 years of age (early-onset pancreatic cancer [EOPC]) with patients diagnosed over 50 years of age (late-onset pancreatic cancer [LOPC]). METHODS: The national oncological registry of the Czech Republic was reviewed to identify all patients with histologically confirmed pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma diagnosed between the years 1985 and 2015. Incidence, mortality, clinicopathological and survival data were analyzed and compared between patients with EOPC and LOPC. RESULTS: From a total of 18 888 patients included in the study, 1324 patients were under the age of 50 years (7.0%). The average annual percentage changes (AAPC) in incidence of all patients with EOPC was -1.0%. The APPC for male patients with EOPC was -2.0% and for female patients was +0.6%. The AAPC in incidence for LOPC was +1.3%. There were no differences in tumor stage, grade or location between EOPC and LOPC. Young patients were more frequently male (64.4% vs. 52.9%), more frequently underwent treatment and had better overall survival. The median survival interval for EOPC was 5.9 months and for LOPC was 4.5 months (p < .001). CONCLUSIONS: The clinicopathological features of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma were similar in patients under and over the age of 50 years. Patients with EOPC survived longer than patients with LOPC. Continued efforts should be made to diagnose early and treat young patients aggressively.

Long-term surveillance of branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms without worrisome or high-risk features.

INTRODUCTION: Long-term data evaluating clinical outcomes in patients with branch-duct Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (BD-IPMN) without high-risk stigmata (HRS) or worrisome features (WF) remain limited. METHODS: This observational cohort study included all patients diagnosed with BD-IPMN without HRS or WF between 2003 and 2019 who were enrolled in a prospective surveillance program. Time-to-progression analysis was performed using a cumulative incidence function plot and survival analysis was conducted using Kaplan-Meier. RESULTS: The median follow-up time for the 267 patient cohort was 44.5 months (interquartile range [IQR]: 24.1-72.2). Radiographic cyst growth was observed in 123 (46.1%) patients; 65 (24.3%) patients progressed to WF/HRS. Twenty-six (9.7%) patients were selected for resection during surveillance: 21 (80.8%) WF, 4 (15.4%) HRS; 1 (3.9%) transformed to mixed-duct. Of all the patients who underwent resection, 5 (19.2%) had adenocarcinoma, and 1 (3.8%) had carcinoma-in-situ. The probability of any radiographic progression was 21.3% (5-year) and 51.3% (10-year). For the entire cohort, there was 1.1% mortality secondary to pancreatic adenocarcinoma and 8.2% all-cause mortality. The 5-year overall survival rate was 91.5%, and at 10 years, 81.5%. CONCLUSION: Approximately one in four patients with nonworrisome BD-IPMN have progression to WF/HRS stigmata during surveillance. However, the risk of malignant transformation remains low. Surveillance strategy remains prudent in this patient population.

The Evaluation of Gallstone Disease in the Year Before Pancreatic Cancer Diagnosis.

INTRODUCTION: Patients with pancreatic cancer can present with a variety of insidious abdominal symptoms, complicating initial diagnosis. Early symptoms of pancreatic cancer often mirror those associated with gallstone disease, which has been demonstrated to be a risk factor for this malignancy. This study aims to compare the incidence of gallstone disease in the year before diagnosis of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) as compared to the general population, and evaluate the association of gallstone disease with stage at diagnosis and surgical intervention. METHODS: Patients with PDAC were identified from SEER-Medicare (2008-2015). The incidence of gallstone disease (defined as cholelithiasis, cholecystitis and/or cholecystectomy) in the 1 year before cancer diagnosis was compared to the annual incidence in an age-matched, sex-matched, and race-matched noncancer Medicare cohort. RESULTS: Among 14,654 patients with PDAC, 4.4% had gallstone disease in the year before cancer diagnosis. Among the noncancer controls (n = 14,654), 1.9% had gallstone disease. Both cohorts had similar age, sex and race distributions. PDAC patients with gallstone disease were diagnosed at an earlier stage (stage 0/I-II, 45.8% versus 38.1%, P < 0.0001) and a higher proportion underwent resection (22.7% versus 17.4%, P = 0.0004) compared to patients without gallstone disease. CONCLUSIONS: In the year before PDAC diagnosis, patients present with gallstone disease more often than the general population. Improving follow-up care and differential diagnosis strategies may help combat the high mortality rate in PDAC by providing an opportunity for earlier stage of diagnosis and earlier intervention.

Risk of pancreatic cancer in people with new-onset diabetes: A Danish nationwide population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: New onset diabetes (NOD) in people 50 years or older may indicate underlying pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). The cumulative incidence of PDAC among people with NOD remains uncertain on a population-based level. METHODS: This was a nationwide population-based retrospective cohort study based on the Danish national health registries. We investigated the 3-year cumulative incidence of PDAC in people 50 years or older with NOD. We further characterised people with pancreatic cancer-related diabetes (PCRD) in relation to demographic and clinical characteristics, including trajectories of routine biochemical parameters, using people with type 2 diabetes (T2D) as a comparator group. RESULTS: During a 21-year observation period, we identified 353,970 people with NOD. Among them, 2105 people were subsequently diagnosed with pancreatic cancer within 3 years (0.59%, 95% CI [0.57-0.62%]). People with PCRD were older than people with T2D at diabetes diagnosis (median age 70.9 vs. 66.0 years (P < 0.001) and had a higher burden of comorbidities (P = 0.007) and more prescriptions of medications used to treat cardiovascular diseases (all P < 0.001). Distinct trajectories of HbA1c and plasma triglycerides were observed in PCRD vs. T2D, with group differences observed for up to three years prior to NOD diagnosis for HbA1c and up to two years for plasma triglyceride levels. CONCLUSIONS: The 3-year cumulative incidence of PDAC is approximately 0.6% among people 50 years or older with NOD in a nationwide population-based setting. Compared to T2D, people with PCRD are characterised by distinct demographic and clinical profiles, including distinctive trajectories of plasma HbA1c and triglyceride levels.

Correlations of demographical and clinicopathological features with patient outcome of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma: A retrospective study (2010-2018) from a Libyan Cohort.

Objective: The aim of the study was to study the correlations of demographical and clinicopathological variables of patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) and evaluate the association of these variables with patients' survival outcomes. Patients and Methods: A retrospective analysis of 123 patients with PDAC were diagnosed and treated at the National Cancer Institute, Misurata, Libya during the 2010-2108 period. Data for demographics, clinicopathological, biological variables, risk factors, presentation, treatment, and survival-related data were collected from the patients' medical records. Results: The mean age of patient was 61.2 years (range: 19-90 years) and most of patients (80.5%) were aged >50 years. For gender distribution, PDAC was more frequent in males (59.3%). Abdominal pain was the most frequent presenting symptom (84.6%) and 78% (96 patients) among them had head tumors. Most patients (80.5%) presented with unresectable tumor at diagnosis. Disease-free survival was better in patients with early stage (P < 0.0001), low-grade tumor (P = 0.001), resectable tumor (P < 0.0001), and with carcinoembryonic antigen levels <5 ng/ml (P = 0.004). Multivariate Cox's regression analysis showed that tumor stage is an independent poor survival factor (P = 0.002). Age at diagnosis, gender, family history, and position of tumor did not show any significant associations with patient outcome. Conclusion: Libyan patients with PDAC had different demographics, clinicopathological, and biological variables. Typically, they presented with unresectable tumor, advanced stages, and had very short survival times. These results urge us to conduct in-depth biomolecular research studies to identify effective early diagnostics and therapeutics biomarkers in order to fight this disease before it escalates.

Racial, Ethnic, and Sex-based Disparities among High-risk Individuals Undergoing Pancreatic Cancer Surveillance.

Since its inception two years ago, the international, multicenter Pancreatic Cancer Early Detection (PRECEDE) Consortium has enrolled high-risk individuals (HRI) undergoing pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) surveillance. Herein we aim to evaluate enrollment disparities in PRECEDE. Data on HRIs enrolled between May 2020 and March 2022 were collected, with HRIs defined as participants enrolled in PRECEDE meeting guideline-based criteria for PDAC surveillance. Of 1,273 HRIs enrolled, 1,113 were eligible for inclusion, with 47.2% meeting familial pancreatic cancer criteria without a known pathogenic variant (PV) and the remainder having a pathogenic variant in a PDAC-risk gene (CDKN2A, STK11, PRSS1, BRCA1, BRCA2, PALB2, ATM, MLH1, MSH2, MSH6, PMS2, or EPCAM). Study participants were predominantly from the United States (82.7%), the most common age range at enrollment was 60-69 years (37.4%), and a non-PDAC cancer was present in 32.4%. There were racial/ethnic- and sex-based disparities among enrolled subjects, as the majority of participants were female (65.9%) and self-reported white (87.7%), with only 2.9% having Hispanic ethnicity. While more than 97% of participants consented to utilize imaging data and biosamples for research, there was no difference in rate of consent based on race/ethnicity, sex, or age, thereby demonstrating uniform participation in research activities among all subgroups after enrollment. Ensuring that diversity of HRIs in PDAC surveillance programs mirrors the communities served by participating centers is important. Substantial racial/ethnic- and sex-based disparities persist among recently enrolled HRIs undergoing PDAC surveillance, and therefore reducing these disparities will be a major focus of the PRECEDE Consortium moving forward. PREVENTION RELEVANCE: Pancreatic cancer surveillance is critical to decreasing pancreatic cancer mortality; therefore, it is important that pancreatic cancer surveillance studies enroll diverse patients. We demonstrate that substantial racial/ethnic- and sex-based disparities exist amongst enrollment in the international PRECEDE consortium, highlighting the dire need for future efforts to reduce these disparities. See related Spotlight, p. 305.

Malignancy risk factors and prognostic variables of pancreatic mucinous cystic neoplasms in Chinese patients.

BACKGROUND: Pancreatic mucinous cystic neoplasms (MCNs) represent one of the precursor lesions of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma, and their detection has been facilitated by advances in preoperative imaging. Due primarily to the rarity of MCNs, however, there is limited knowledge regarding the prognostic variables and high-risk factors for malignant transformation. A more comprehensive and nuanced approach is necessary to fill this gap and provide a basis for improved treatment decisions and patient outcomes. AIM: To investigate the high-risk factors associated with malignant MCNs and to explore the prognostic factors of MCN with associated invasive carcinoma (MCN-AIC). METHODS: All cases of resected MCNs from a single high-volume institution between January 2012 and January 2022 were retrospectively reviewed. Only cases with ovarian-type stroma verified by progesterone receptor staining were included. Preoperative features, histological findings and postoperative course were documented. Multivariate logistic regression was employed to investigate variables related to malignancy. Survival analysis was performed using the Kaplan-Meier curve, and the prognostic factors were assessed to evaluate the postoperative course of patients with MCN-AIC. RESULTS: Among the 48 patients, 36 had benign MCNs, and 12 had malignant MCNs (1 high-grade atypical hyperplasia and 11 MCN-AIC). Age, tumour size, presence of solid components or mural nodules and pancreatic duct dilatation were identified as independent risk factors associated with malignancy. The follow-up period ranged from 12 mo to 120 mo, with a median overall survival of 58.2 mo. Only three patients with MCN-AIC died, and the 5-year survival rate was 70.1%. All 11 cases of MCN-AIC were stage I, and extracapsular invasion was identified as a prognostic factor for poorer outcomes. CONCLUSION: The risk factors independently associated with malignant transformation of MCNs included age, tumour size, presence of solid components or mural nodules, and pancreatic duct dilatation. Our study also revealed that encapsulated invasion was a favourable prognostic factor in MCN-AIC patients.

Hallazgos clínicos, epidemiológicos, histológicos y anatómicos en pacientes adultos con diagnóstico de cáncer de páncreas / Clinical, Epidemiological, Histological and Anatomical Findings in Adult Patients Diagnosed with Pancreatic Cancer

Introducción: El cáncer de páncreas constituye un problema de salud debido al diagnóstico tardío, su agresividad biológica y la ausencia de un tratamiento sistémico efectivo. Objetivo: Caracterizar clínica, epidemiológica, histológica y anatómicamente a pacientes con cáncer de páncreas. Métodos: Se realizó un estudio descriptivo de casos clínicos, en pacientes con cáncer de páncreas que acudieron al Hospital Oncológico Conrado Benítez; de Santiago de Cuba, en el período comprendido diciembre 2017 hasta diciembre 2018. El universo estuvo conformado por el total de los pacientes de ambos sexos, cuya cifra ascendió a 19 que cumplieron con los criterios de inclusión. Resultados: No existió predominio significativo según el sexo, prevaleció el grupo de edades entre 61-70 años en un 31,6 por ciento, el 84,2 por ciento de los pacientes presentó como factor de riesgo la dieta rica en grasas y pobre en verduras y el tabaquismo, en el 63,2 por ciento coexistió la hipertensión arterial, la pérdida de peso fue el signo que sobresalió en el 79,0 por ciento. El 47,4 por ciento se les diagnosticó adenocarcinoma poco diferenciado, siendo la localización más frecuente de los tumores (31,6 por ciento) la cabeza del páncreas. Conclusiones: El cáncer de páncreas es una enfermedad maligna que se relacionada con la edad y sus síntomas se manifiestan tardíamente, se asocia con la presencia de factores de riesgo por lo que es necesario identificarlos precozmente, modificarlos y/o atenuarlos(AU)

Introduction: Pancreatic cancer constitutes a health problem due to late diagnosis, its biological aggressiveness and the absence of effective systemic treatment. Objective: To clinically, epidemiologically, histologically and anatomically characterize patients with pancreatic cancer. Methods: A descriptive study of clinical cases was carried out in patients with pancreatic cancer who attended the Conrado Benítez; Oncological Hospital of Santiago de Cuba, in the period from December 2017 to December 2018. The universe was made up of the total number of patients of both genders, which amounted to 19 meeting the inclusion criteria. Results: There was no significant predominance according to gender, the age group between 61-70 years prevailed in 31.6 percent, 84.2 percent of patients presented as risk factor the diet rich in fat and poor in vegetables and smoking, in 63.2 percent coexisted arterial hypertension, weight loss was the sign that stood out in 79.0 percent. The 47.4 percent were diagnosed with poorly differentiated adenocarcinoma, being the pancreatic head the most frequent location of the tumors (31.6 percent). Conclusions: Pancreatic cancer is an age-related malignant disease and its symptoms manifest late that is associated with the presence of risk factors, so it is necessary to identify them early, modify and/or attenuate them(AU)

Machine learning versus regression for prediction of sporadic pancreatic cancer.

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: There is currently no widely accepted approach to identify patients at increased risk for sporadic pancreatic cancer (PC). We aimed to compare the performance of two machine-learning models with a regression-based model in predicting pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), the most common form of PC. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study consisted of patients 50-84 years of age enrolled in either Kaiser Permanente Southern California (KPSC, model training, internal validation) or the Veterans Affairs (VA, external testing) between 2008 and 2017. The performance of random survival forests (RSF) and eXtreme gradient boosting (XGB) models were compared to that of COX proportional hazards regression (COX). Heterogeneity of the three models were assessed. RESULTS: The KPSC and the VA cohorts consisted of 1.8 and 2.7 million patients with 1792 and 4582 incident PDAC cases within 18 months, respectively. Predictors selected into all three models included age, abdominal pain, weight change, and glycated hemoglobin (A1c). Additionally, RSF selected change in alanine transaminase (ALT), whereas the XGB and COX selected the rate of change in ALT. The COX model appeared to have lower AUC (KPSC: 0.737, 95% CI 0.710-0.764; VA: 0.706, 0.699-0.714), compared to those of RSF (KPSC: 0.767, 0.744-0.791; VA: 0.731, 0.724-0.739) and XGB (KPSC: 0.779, 0.755-0.802; VA: 0.742, 0.735-0.750). Among patients with top 5% predicted risk from all three models (N = 29,663), 117 developed PDAC, of which RSF, XGB and COX captured 84 (9 unique), 87 (4 unique), 87 (19 unique) cases, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The three models complement each other, but each has unique contributions.

Risk of Syndrome-Associated Cancers Among First-Degree Relatives of Patients With Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma With Pathogenic or Likely Pathogenic Germline Variants.

Importance: Increased cancer risk in first-degree relatives of probands with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC probands) who carry pathogenic or likely pathogenic germline variants (PGVs) in cancer syndrome-associated genes encourages cascade genetic testing. To date, unbiased risk estimates for the development of cancers on a gene-specific basis have not been assessed. Objective: To quantify the risk of development of PDAC and extra-PDAC among first-degree relatives of PDAC probands who carry a PGV in 1 of 9 cancer syndrome-associated genes-ATM, BRCA1, BRCA2, PALB2, MLH1, MSH2, MSH6, PMS2, and CDKN2A. Design, Setting, and Participants: This case series focused on first-degree relatives of PDAC probands carrying PGVs in specific cancer syndrome-associated genes. The cohort comprised clinic-ascertained patients enrolled in the Mayo Clinic Biospecimen Resource for Pancreas Research registry with germline genetic testing. In total, 234 PDAC probands carrying PGVs were drawn from the prospective research registry of 4562 participants who had undergone genetic testing of cancer syndrome-associated genes. Demographic and cancer-related family histories were obtained by questionnaire. The data were collected from October 1, 2000, to December 31, 2021. Main Outcomes and Measures: For the PDAC probands, the genetic test results of the presence of PGVs in 9 cancer syndrome-associated genes were obtained by clinical testing. Cancers (ovary, breast, uterus or endometrial, colon, malignant melanoma, and pancreas) among first-degree relatives were reported by the probands. Standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) were used to estimate cancer risks among first-degree relatives of PDAC probands carrying a PGV. Results: In total, 1670 first-degree relatives (mean [SD] age, 58.1 [17.8] years; 853 male [51.1%]) of 234 PDAC probands (mean [SD] age, 62.5 [10.1] years; 124 male [53.0%]; 219 [94.4%] White; 225 [98.7%] non-Hispanic or non-Latino]) were included in the study. There was a significantly increased risk of ovarian cancer in female first-degree relatives of probands who had variants in BRCA1 (SIR, 9.49; 95% CI, 3.06-22.14) and BRCA2 (SIR, 3.72; 95% CI, 1.36-8.11). Breast cancer risks were higher with BRCA2 variants (SIR, 2.62; 95% CI, 1.89-3.54). The risks of uterine or endometrial cancer (SIR, 6.53; 95% CI, 2.81-12.86) and colon cancer (SIR, 5.83; 95% CI, 3.70-8.75) were increased in first-degree relatives of probands who carried Lynch syndrome mismatch repair variants. Risk of PDAC was also increased for variants in ATM (SIR, 4.53; 95% CI, 2.69-7.16), BRCA2 (SIR, 3.45; 95% CI, 1.72-6.17), CDKN2A (SIR, 7.38; 95% CI, 3.18-14.54), and PALB2 (SIR, 5.39; 95% CI, 1.45-13.79). Melanoma risk was elevated for first-degree relatives of probands with CDKN2A variants (SIR, 7.47; 95% CI, 3.97-12.77). Conclusions and Relevance: In this case series, the presence of PGVs in 9 cancer syndrome-associated genes in PDAC probands was found to be associated with increased risk of 6 types of cancers in first-degree relatives. These gene-specific PDAC and extra-PDAC cancer risks may provide justification for clinicians to counsel first-degree relatives about the relevance and importance of genetic cascade testing, with the goal of higher uptake of testing.