Effectiveness of Endoscopic Screening on Esophageal Cancer Incidence and Mortality: A 9-Year Report of the Endoscopic Screening for Esophageal Cancer in China (ESECC) Randomized Trial.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the effectiveness of endoscopic screening against incidence of and mortality from esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). METHODS: From January 2012 to September 2016, we conducted a community-based cluster randomized controlled trial involving permanent residents age 45-69 years in a high-risk region for ESCC in northern China. A total of 668 targeted villages were randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to the screening group (offered Lugol's chromoendoscopy) or control group (no screening). Intention-to-treat and per-protocol analyses were performed to compare esophageal cancer (EC) incidence and mortality between the two groups. The per-protocol analysis adjusted for nonadherence to the screening procedure. RESULTS: A total of 33,847 participants were included in the analysis: 17,104 in the screening group, 15,165 (88.7%) of whom underwent screening, and 16,743 in the control group. During a maximum follow-up of 9 years, EC incidence in the screening and control groups were 60.9 and 72.5 per 100,000 person-years, respectively; mortality in the screening and control groups were 29.7 and 32.4 per 100,000 person-years, respectively. Compared with the control group, the incidence and mortality of the screening group reduced by 19% (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.81 [95% CI, 0.60 to 1.09]) and 18% (aHR, 0.82 [95% CI, 0.53 to 1.26]), respectively, in the intention-to-treat analysis; and by 22% (aHR, 0.78 [95% CI, 0.56 to 1.10]) and 21% (aHR, 0.79 [95% CI, 0.49 to 1.30]), respectively, in the per-protocol analysis. CONCLUSION: With a 9-year follow-up, our trial suggests that chromoendoscopic screening induces modest reductions in EC incidence and mortality. A more efficient strategy for EC screening and subsequent patient management should be established to guarantee the effectiveness of endoscopic screening.

Global burden of esophageal cancer attributable to high BMI in 204 countries and territories: 1990-2019.

BACKGROUND: Esophageal cancer (EC), a common and fatal disease, includes two histological subtypes; esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) and esophageal adenocarcinoma (ECA). To aid policymakers in the allocation of resources for the prevention and treatment of EC, updated data on EC deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) attributable to high body mass index (BMI) are necessary. The objective of this study was to identify trends in EC associated with high BMI between 1990 and 2019 using 2019 Global Burden of Disease data. METHODS: In this observational population-based study, epidemiological data on the association between high BMI and EC were obtained from GBD 2019. The age-standardized mortality rate (ASMRs) and disability-adjusted life year rate (ASDRs) attributable to high BMI-related EC were stratified by year, age, country, and sociodemographic index (SDI). The estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) was calculated to evaluate the temporal trends of the ASMRs and ASDRs between 1990 and 2019. RESULTS: In 2019, the proportion of EC deaths and DALYs attributed to high BMI was 18.1% and 18.9%, respectively, resulting in 89 904 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 27 879-171 255) deaths and 2 202 314 (95% CI: 681 901-4 173 080) DALYs. High BMI-related deaths and DALYs showed a strong upward trend, increasing by more than two-fold since 1990. East Asia and Western Europe showed the highest risk of EC mortality and DALYs attributable to high BMI; China and the USA bear the greatest burden. The ASMR and ASDR increased in five SDI regions. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of EC is increasing, particularly in developing nations, which may be attributed to the prevalence of high BMI. To mitigate the impact of high BMI on the incidence of EC, it is important to increase awareness of its deleterious effects, which may alleviate the burden of this disease.

Poor oral health and the risk of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma in Malawi.

Esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) is the second most common cancer in Malawi. Risk factors for this cancer in Malawi are poorly understood. Poor oral health has previously been linked to increased ESCC risk in other high-incidence regions, including parts of Eastern and Southern Africa. We assessed the relationship between oral health and ESCC risk in a sex, age and location frequency-matched case-control study based at two hospitals in Lilongwe, Malawi from 2017 to 2020. Trained interviewers used a structured questionnaire and direct observation to collect data on demographics; behaviors; oral hygiene habits; the sum of decayed, missing or filled teeth (DMFT score); oral mucosa status; lip depigmentation and dental fluorosis via a visual scale. Logistic regression was used to estimate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI), adjusted for known and suspected ESCC risk factors. During the study period, 300 cases and 300 controls were enrolled. Subjects in the highest tertile of DMFT score (≥7) had an increased risk of ESCC with an adjusted OR of 1.96 (95% CI: 1.16-3.36) compared to those with a DMFT score of 0. Severe dental fluorosis was associated with a statistically nonsignificant increased risk of ESCC (adjusted OR = 2.24, 95% CI: 0.97-5.49) compared to individuals with no fluorosis. Associations with oral mucosa status, lip depigmentation and toothbrushing method and frequency were mostly null or uncertain. Poor oral health, indicated by a higher DMFT score, was associated with increased ESCC risk in Malawi. Dental fluorosis is another possible risk factor in this population, but further evaluation is necessary to clarify any effects of fluorosis on ESCC risk.

Exposure to polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons, volatile organic compounds, and tobacco-specific nitrosamines and incidence of esophageal cancer.

BACKGROUND: Studying carcinogens in tobacco and nontobacco sources may be key to understanding the pathogenesis and geographic distribution of esophageal cancer. METHODS: The Golestan Cohort Study has been conducted since 2004 in a region with high rates of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma. For this nested study, the cases comprised of all incident cases by January 1, 2018; controls were matched to the case by age, sex, residence, time in cohort, and tobacco use. We measured urinary concentrations of 33 exposure biomarkers of nicotine, polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons, volatile organic compounds, and tobacco-specific nitrosamines. We used conditional logistic regression to calculate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals for associations between the 90th vs the 10th percentiles of the biomarker concentrations and incident esophageal squamous cell carcinoma. RESULTS: Among individuals who did not currently use tobacco (148 cases and 163 controls), 2 acrolein metabolites, 2 acrylonitrile metabolites, 1 propylene oxide metabolite, and one 1,3-butadiene metabolite were significantly associated with incident esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (adjusted odds ratios between 1.8 and 4.3). Among tobacco users (57 cases and 63 controls), metabolites of 2 other volatile organic compounds (styrene and xylene) were associated with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (OR = 6.2 and 9.0, respectively). In tobacco users, 2 tobacco-specific nitrosamines (NNN and N'-Nitrosoanatabine) were also associated with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma. Suggestive associations were seen with some polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (especially 2-hydroxynaphthalene) in nonusers of tobacco products and other tobacco-specific nitrosamines in tobacco users. CONCLUSION: These novel associations based on individual-level data and samples collected many years before cancer diagnosis, from a population without occupational exposure, have important public health implications.

Environmental and life-style risk factors for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma in Africa: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: The African Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma (ESCC) corridor, which spans from Ethiopia down to South Africa, is an esophageal cancer hotspot. Disproportionately high incidence and mortality rates of esophageal cancer have been reported from this region. The aim of this study was to systematically assess the evidence on environmental and life-style risk factors associated with ESCC in African populations. METHODS: We followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines and carried out a comprehensive search of all African published studies up to March 2023 using PubMed, Embase, Scopus, and African Index Medicus databases. RESULTS: We identified 45 studies with measures of association [odds ratio (OR), relative risk (RR), and 95% confidence intervals (95%CI)], which reported on several environmental and lifestyle risk factors for ESCC in Africa. We performed a meta-analysis on 38 studies investigating tobacco, alcohol use, combined tobacco and alcohol use, polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbon exposure, hot food and beverages consumption (which served as a proxy for esophageal injury through exposure to high temperature), and poor oral health. We found significant associations between all the risk factors and ESCC development. Analysis of fruit and vegetable consumption showed a protective effect. Using population attributable fraction (PAF) analysis, we calculated the proportion of ESCC attributable to tobacco (18%), alcohol use (12%), combined tobacco and alcohol use (18%), polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbon exposure (12%), hot food and beverages intake (16%), poor oral health (37%), and fruit and vegetable consumption (-12%). CONCLUSIONS: Tobacco smoking and alcohol consumption were the most studied risk factors overall. Areas where there is an emerging body of evidence include hot food and beverages and oral health. Concurrently, new avenues of research are also emerging in PAH exposure, and diet as risk factors. Our results point to a multifactorial etiology of ESCC in African populations with further evidence on prevention potential.

Absence of Lugol staining indicates initiation of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: A combined genomic and epidemiologic study.

The genomic characteristics during the carcinogenic process of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) remain largely unknown. We report here the genomic characteristics of 106 esophageal tissues of various stages from a population-based screening cohort in China ("Endoscopic Screening for Esophageal Cancer in China" trial) and 57 ESCC tissues from a local hospital. A significant increase in somatic mutation and copy number alterations is observed in the non-dysplastic Lugol unstaining lesions (ND-LULs). Extensive clonal expansion has emerged in the ND-LULs to an extent similar to that in higher-stage lesions. The burden of genomic alterations correlates with the size of LULs in the ND-LULs. 8-year follow-up shows that ND-LULs harbor an increased risk of progression to ESCC (adjusted IRR6-10 mm vs. none = 4.66, adjusted IRR>10 mm vs. none = 40.70), and the risk is correlated with LUL size for both non-dysplastic and dysplastic lesions. Lugol unstaining can be the initial stage in the carcinogenic process of ESCC.

Statin use and its association with decreased risk of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma in betel nut chewers.

BACKGROUND: Betel nut chewing involves the chewing of areca nuts or betel quid (areca nuts wrapped in betel leaves), which is associated with an increased risk of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). Statins have anticancer properties. We investigated the association between statin use and ESCC risk in betel nut chewers. METHODS: The study included 105 387 betel nut chewers matched statin users and nonusers. Statin use was defined as the use of ≥28 cumulative defined daily doses (cDDDs) of statin. The primary outcome was incidence of ESCC. RESULTS: The incidence rate of ESCC was significantly lower in statin users than in nonusers (2.03 vs. 3.02 per 100 000 person-years). Statin users had a lower incidence rate ratio of 0.66 for ESCC (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.43-0.85) relative to nonusers. After potential confounders were adjusted for, statin use was determined to be associated with a reduced risk of ESCC (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.68; 95% CI: 0.51-0.91). A dose-response relationship was observed between statin use and ESCC risk; the aHRs for statin use at 28-182 cDDDs, 183-488 cDDDs, 489-1043 cDDDs, and > 1043 cDDDs were 0.92, 0.89, 0.66, and 0.64, respectively. CONCLUSION: Statin use was revealed to be associated with a reduced risk of ESCC in betel nut chewers.

Increased risk of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma in patients with squamous dysplasia: a nationwide cohort study in the Netherlands.

Squamous dysplasia is the histological precursor of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). The optimal management for distinct squamous dysplasia grades remains unclear because the corresponding risk of developing ESCC is unknown. We aimed to assess the ESCC risk in patients with esophageal squamous dysplasia in a Western country. This nationwide cohort study included all patients with esophageal squamous dysplasia, diagnosed between 1991 and 2020 in the Dutch nationwide pathology databank (Palga). Squamous dysplasia was divided in mild-to-moderate dysplasia (mild, low-grade, and moderate dysplasia) and higher-grade dysplasia (high-grade dysplasia, severe dysplasia, carcinoma in situ). ESCC were identified in Palga and the Netherlands Cancer Registry. The primary endpoint was diagnosis of prevalent (≤6 months) and incident (>6 months after squamous dysplasia) ESCC. In total, 873 patients (55% male, aged 68 years SD ± 13.2) were diagnosed with esophageal squamous dysplasia, comprising mild-to-moderate dysplasia (n = 456), higher-grade dysplasia (n = 393), and dysplasia not otherwise specified (n = 24). ESCC was diagnosed in 77 (17%) patients with mild-to-moderate dysplasia (49 prevalent, 28 incident ESCC) and in 162 (41%) patients with higher-grade dysplasia (128 prevalent, 34 incident ESCC). After excluding prevalent ESCC, the annual risk of ESCC was 4.0% (95% CI: 2.7-5.7%) in patients with mild-to-moderate dysplasia and 8.5% (95% CI: 5.9-11.7%) in patients with higher-grade dysplasia. All patients with squamous dysplasia, including those with mild-to-moderate dysplasia, have a substantial risk of developing ESCC. Consequently, endoscopic surveillance of the esophageal mucosa or endoscopic resection of dysplasia should be considered for patients with mild-to-moderate dysplasia in Western countries. KEY MESSAGES What is already known on this topic? Squamous dysplasia is the histological precursor of ESCC and is divided in distinct grades, based on the proportion of the squamous epithelium with histopathological abnormalities. In Western countries, the optimal management for distinct squamous dysplasia grades remains unclear because the corresponding risk of developing ESCC is unknown. What this study adds The ESCC risk of patients with squamous dysplasia was increased for all patients with squamous dysplasia in a Western country; 2.1% for patients with mild dysplasia, 5.1% for low-grade dysplasia, and 5.2% for moderate dysplasia. Increasing grades of squamous dysplasia were associated with an increased ESCC risk. How this study might affect research, practice, or policy We recommend that endoscopic follow-up or treatment should be considered in all patients with esophageal squamous dysplasia in Western countries: 1) for patients with mild, low-grade, and moderate dysplasia, endoscopic surveillance with careful inspection with narrow band imaging or dye-based chromoendoscopy of the esophageal mucosa is indicated; and 2) for patients with high-grade dysplasia, severe dysplasia and carcinoma in situ adequate endoscopic staging and in case of suspected neoplasia endoscopic treatment should be performed.

Resected lymph nodes and survival of patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: an observational study.

BACKGROUND: The incidence and mortality of esophageal cancer are high. Therefore, the authors aimed to investigate how the number of dissected lymph nodes (LNs) during esophagectomy for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma impacts overall survival (OS), particularly that of patients with positive LNs. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data from 2010 to 2017 were obtained from the Sichuan Cancer Hospital and Institute Esophageal Cancer Case Management Database. Participants were divided into two groups: patients with negative lymph nodes (N0) and patients with positive lymph nodes (N+). The median number of resected LNs during surgery was 24; therefore, patients with 15-23 and those with 24 or more resected LNs were assigned to subgroups A and B, respectively. RESULTS: After a median follow-up of 60.33 months, 1624 patients who underwent esophagectomy were evaluated; 60.53 and 39.47% had a pathological diagnosis of N+ or N0, respectively. The median OS was 33.9 months for the N+ group; however, the N0 group did not achieve the median OS. The mean OS was 84.9 months. In the N+ group, the median OS times of subgroups A and B were 31.2 and 37.1 months, respectively. The OS rates at 1, 3, and 5 years were 82, 43, and 34%, respectively, for subgroup A of the N+ group; they were 86, 51, and 38%, respectively, for subgroup B of the N+ group. Subgroups A and B of the N0 group exhibited no statistically significant differences. CONCLUSION: Increasing the number of LNs harvested during surgery to 24 or more could improve the OS of patients with positive LNs but not that of patients with negative LNs.

Body mass index and esophageal and gastric cancer: A pooled analysis of 10 population-based cohort studies in Japan.

The effect of body mass index (BMI) on esophageal and gastric carcinogenesis might be heterogeneous, depending on subtype or subsite. However, findings from prospective evaluations of BMI associated with these cancers among Asian populations have been inconsistent and limited, especially for esophageal adenocarcinoma and gastric cardia cancer. We performed a pooled analysis of 10 population-based cohort studies to examine this association in 394,247 Japanese individuals. We used Cox proportional hazards regression to estimate study-specific hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs), then pooled these estimates to calculate summary HRs with a random effects model. During 5,750,107 person-years of follow-up, 1569 esophageal cancer (1038 squamous cell carcinoma and 86 adenocarcinoma) and 11,095 gastric (728 cardia and 5620 noncardia) cancer incident cases were identified. An inverse association was observed between BMI and esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (HR per 5-kg/m2 increase 0.57, 95% CI 0.50-0.65), whereas a positive association was seen in gastric cardia cancer (HR 1.15, 95% CI 1.00-1.32). A nonsignificant and significant positive association for overweight or obese (BMI ≥25 kg/m2 ) relative to BMI <25 kg/m2 was observed with esophageal adenocarcinoma (HR 1.32, 95% CI 0.80-2.17) and gastric cardia cancer (HR 1.24, 95% CI 1.05-1.46), respectively. No clear association with BMI was found for gastric noncardia cancer. This prospective study-the largest in an Asian country-provides a comprehensive quantitative estimate of the association of BMI with upper gastrointestinal cancer and confirms the subtype- or subsite-specific carcinogenic impact of BMI in a Japanese population.

Machine learning-based automated sponge cytology for screening of oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma and adenocarcinoma of the oesophagogastric junction: a nationwide, multicohort, prospective study.

BACKGROUND: Oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma and adenocarcinoma of the oesophagogastric junction have a dismal prognosis, and early detection is key to reduce mortality. However, early detection depends on upper gastrointestinal endoscopy, which is not feasible to implement at a population level. We aimed to develop and validate a fully automated machine learning-based prediction tool integrating a minimally invasive sponge cytology test and epidemiological risk factors for screening of oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma and adenocarcinoma of the oesophagogastric junction before endoscopy. METHODS: For this multicohort prospective study, we enrolled participants aged 40-75 years undergoing upper gastrointestinal endoscopy screening at 39 tertiary or secondary hospitals in China for model training and testing, and included community-based screening participants for further validation. All participants underwent questionnaire surveys, sponge cytology testing, and endoscopy in a sequential manner. We trained machine learning models to predict a composite outcome of high-grade lesions, defined as histology-confirmed high-grade intraepithelial neoplasia and carcinoma of the oesophagus and oesophagogastric junction. The predictive features included 105 cytological and 15 epidemiological features. Model performance was primarily measured with the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and average precision. The performance measures for cytologists with AI assistance was also assessed. FINDINGS: Between Jan 1, 2021, and June 30, 2022, 17 498 eligible participants were involved in model training and validation. In the testing set, the AUROC of the final model was 0·960 (95% CI 0·937 to 0·977) and the average precision was 0·482 (0·470 to 0·494). The model achieved similar performance to consensus of cytologists with AI assistance (AUROC 0·955 [95% CI 0·933 to 0·975]; p=0·749; difference 0·005, 95% CI, -0·011 to 0·020). If the model-defined moderate-risk and high-risk groups were referred for endoscopy, the sensitivity was 94·5% (95% CI 88·8 to 97·5), specificity was 91·9% (91·2 to 92·5), and the predictive positive value was 18·4% (15·6 to 21·6), and 90·3% of endoscopies could be avoided. Further validation in community-based screening showed that the AUROC of the model was 0·964 (95% CI 0·920 to 0·990), and 92·8% of endoscopies could be avoided after risk stratification. INTERPRETATION: We developed a prediction tool with favourable performance for screening of oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma and adenocarcinoma of the oesophagogastric junction. This approach could prevent the need for endoscopy screening in many low-risk individuals and ensure resource optimisation by prioritising high-risk individuals. FUNDING: Science and Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality.

The contribution of smoking and smokeless tobacco to oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma risk in the African oesophageal cancer corridor: Results from the ESCCAPE multicentre case-control studies.

Tobacco use is a well-established risk factor for oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) but the extent of its contribution to the disease burden in the African oesophageal cancer corridor has not been comprehensively elucidated, including by type of tobacco use. We investigated the contribution of tobacco use (smoking and smokeless) to ESCC in Tanzania, Malawi and Kenya. Hospital-based ESCC case-control studies were conducted in the three countries. Incident cases and controls were interviewed using a comprehensive questionnaire which included questions on tobacco smoking and smokeless tobacco use. Logistic regression models were used to estimate odds ratios (OR) and their 95% confidence intervals (CI) of ESCC associated with tobacco, adjusted for age, sex, alcohol use, religion, education and area of residence. One thousand two hundred seventy-nine cases and 1345 controls were recruited between August 5, 2013, and May 24, 2020. Ever-tobacco use was associated with increased ESCC risk in all countries: Tanzania (OR 3.09, 95%CI 1.83-5.23), and in Malawi (OR 2.45, 95%CI 1.80-3.33) and lesser in Kenya (OR 1.37, 95%CI 0.94-2.00). Exclusive smokeless tobacco use was positively associated with ESCC risk, in Tanzania, Malawi and Kenya combined (OR 1.92, 95%CI 1.26-2.92). ESCC risk increased with tobacco smoking intensity and duration of smoking. Tobacco use is an important risk factor of ESCC in Tanzania, Malawi and Kenya. Our study provides evidence that smoking and smokeless tobacco cessation are imperative in reducing ESCC risk.

Development and Validation of Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Risk Prediction Models Based on an Endoscopic Screening Program.

Importance: Assessment tools are lacking for screening of esophageal squamous cell cancer (ESCC) in China, especially for the follow-up stage. Risk prediction to optimize the screening procedure is urgently needed. Objective: To develop and validate ESCC prediction models for identifying people at high risk for follow-up decision-making. Design, Setting, and Participants: This open, prospective multicenter diagnostic study has been performed since September 1, 2006, in Shandong Province, China. This study used baseline and follow-up data until December 31, 2021. The data were analyzed between April 6 and May 31, 2022. Eligibility criteria consisted of rural residents aged 40 to 69 years who had no contraindications for endoscopy. Among 161 212 eligible participants, those diagnosed with cancer or who had cancer at baseline, did not complete the questionnaire, were younger than 40 years or older than 69 years, or were detected with severe dysplasia or worse lesions were eliminated from the analysis. Exposures: Risk factors obtained by questionnaire and endoscopy. Main Outcomes and Measures: Pathological diagnosis of ESCC and confirmation by cancer registry data. Results: In this diagnostic study of 104 129 participants (56.39% women; mean [SD] age, 54.31 [7.64] years), 59 481 (mean [SD] age, 53.83 [7.64] years; 58.55% women) formed the derivation set while 44 648 (mean [SD] age, 54.95 [7.60] years; 53.51% women) formed the validation set. A total of 252 new cases of ESCC were diagnosed during 424 903.50 person-years of follow-up in the derivation cohort and 61 new cases from 177 094.10 person-years follow-up in the validation cohort. Model A included the covariates age, sex, and number of lesions; model B included age, sex, smoking status, alcohol use status, body mass index, annual household income, history of gastrointestinal tract diseases, consumption of pickled food, number of lesions, distinct lesions, and mild or moderate dysplasia. The Harrell C statistic of model A was 0.80 (95% CI, 0.77-0.83) in the derivation set and 0.90 (95% CI, 0.87-0.93) in the validation set; the Harrell C statistic of model B was 0.83 (95% CI, 0.81-0.86) and 0.91 (95% CI, 0.88-0.95), respectively. The models also had good calibration performance and clinical usefulness. Conclusions and Relevance: The findings of this diagnostic study suggest that the models developed are suitable for selecting high-risk populations for follow-up decision-making and optimizing the cancer screening process.

Sex and smoking differences in the association between gastroesophageal reflux and risk of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma in a high-incidence area: Golestan Cohort Study.

Prior studies have conflicting findings regarding the association between gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) and esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). We examined this relationship in a prospective cohort in a region of high ESCC incidence. Baseline exposure data were collected from 50 045 individuals using in-person interviews at the time of cohort entry. Participants were followed until they developed cancer, died, or were lost to follow up. Participants with GERD symptoms were categorized into any GERD (heartburn or regurgitation), mixed symptoms, or heartburn alone. Multivariable Cox regression was used to assess the relationship between GERD symptom group and histologically confirmed ESCC. The model was adjusted for known risk factors for GERD and ESCC. 49 559 individuals were included in this study, of which 9005 had GERD symptoms. Over 13.0 years of median follow up, 290 individuals were diagnosed with ESCC. We found no association between any GERD and risk of ESCC (aHR 0.90, 95% CI: 0.66-1.24, P = .54). Similar findings were observed for the GERD symptom subtypes. Significant interactions between any GERD and sex (P = .013) as well as tobacco smoking (P = .028) were observed. In post-hoc analyses, GERD was associated with a decreased risk of ESCC in men (aHR 0.51, 95% CI: 0.27-0.98 P = .04) and in smokers (aHR 0.26, 95% CI: 0.08-0.83 P = .02). While there was little evidence for an overall association between GERD symptoms and ESCC risk, significant interactions with sex and smoking were observed. Men and smokers with GERD symptoms had a lower risk of ESCC development.

Prevalence of lung tumors in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma and vice versa: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

PURPOSE: Recent reports suggest an increased prevalence of lung second primary tumors (LSPTs) in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients and vice versa. However, the exact prevalence of SPTs remains unclear and screening for these SPTs is currently not routinely performed in western countries. We aimed to report on the prevalence of LSPTs in patients with ESCC and esophageal second primary tumors (ESPTs) in patients with lung cancer (LC). METHODS: Databases were searched until 25 March 2021 for studies reporting the prevalence of LSPTs in ESCC or vice versa. Pooled prevalences with 95% confidence intervals (CI) of SPTs were calculated with inverse variance, random-effects models and Clopper-Pearson. RESULTS: Nineteen studies in ESCC patients and 20 studies in LC patients were included. The pooled prevalence of LSPTs in patients with ESCC was 1.8% (95% CI 1.4-2.3%). For ESPTs in LC patients, the pooled prevalence was 0.2% (95% CI 0.1-0.4%). The prevalence of LSPTs in ESCC patients was significantly higher in patients treated curatively compared to studies also including palliative patients (median 2.5% versus 1.3%). This difference was consistent for the ESPT prevalence in LC patients (treated curatively median 1.3% versus 0.1% for all treatments). Over 50% of the detected SPTs were squamous cell carcinomas and were diagnosed metachronously. CONCLUSION: Patients with ESCC and LC have an increased risk of developing SPTs in the lungs and esophagus. However, the relatively low SPT prevalence rates do not justify screening in these patients. Further research should focus on risk stratification to identify subgroups of patients at highest risk of SPT development.

Progression of precancerous lesions of esophageal squamous cell carcinomas in a high-risk, rural Chinese population.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: This study investigated the natural history of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) in rural Chinese. We sought to help provide more data to support ESCC screenings. METHODS: This study was based on an existing Screening Program in Feicheng, China. Esophageal precancerous lesions were identified in 1753 cases, diagnosed from esophageal cancer screenings from 2006 to 2016. We followed up with them through endoscopic screening until October 1, 2017. Pathology results from various grades of precancerous lesions were recorded and the annual transition probabilities and incidence density of ESCC were calculated. RESULTS: As of October 1, 2017, a total of 4055.8 person-years has been observed. The ESCC incidence density of mild, moderate, and severe dysplasia (SD) was 0.17, 0.79, and 1.77 per 100 person-years, respectively. The median follow-up time of mild, moderate, and SD was 3.5, 2.3, and 2.2 years, respectively. The annual transition probability of mild, moderate, and SD to the next pathological level was 0.025, 0.038, and 0.016, respectively. The ESCC incidence density of males was 2.6 times higher than females (0.58 vs. 0.22), and the older age group (56-69 age group) had a ESCC incidence density 1.2 times higher than the younger group (40-55 age group) (0.45 vs. 0.39). CONCLUSIONS: The higher the grade of precancerous lesions, the higher the incidence density of ESCC. Screening of esophageal cancer in males and the elderly should be strengthened. It is recommended to reinforce follow-up management for untreated patients with SD/carcinoma in situ. For patients with mild and moderate dysplasia in high-risk rural Chinese populations, endoscopic follow-up intervals can be appropriately adjusted to once every 2 years.

Effectiveness of screening endoscopy for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma in Japanese males.

BACKGROUND: Esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) has a poor prognosis; therefore, early detection is essential. In Japan, more than 90% of esophageal cancers are ESCC. Endoscopy is effective to detect ESCC in the early stage, but there is a limited number of reports examining its efficacy and effectiveness. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy of screening endoscopy for detecting ESCC. METHODS: This retrospective study analyzed the prevalence of ESCC, annual transition of prevalence, and the stage of each ESCC among 128,520 medical check-up patients who underwent esophagogastroduodenoscopy from April 2015 to March 2020 at Yamanashi Koseiren Health Care Center. Furthermore, a case-control study utilized the multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to assess the risk factor of ESCC. RESULTS: Among a total of 128,520 subjects, 42 ESCC patients were detected, with 95.2% being diagnosed at early stages. Annual prevalence in males was 0.015% (2/13,122) in 2015, 0.044% (6/13,562) in 2016, 0.044% (6/13,676) in 2017, 0.074% (10/13,488) in 2018%, and 0.11% (16/14,386) in 2019. ESCC prevalence has been increasing each year. A significant increase was observed between 2015 and 2018 (p = 0.039). ESCC prevalence was 0.102% (25/24,272) when focusing on males aged over 50 years with a history of smoking and drinking. Regarding the case-control study, the multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed smoking (p = 0.044), mean corpuscular volume (MCV) (p = 0.0018), and severe gastric atrophy (p = 0.048) as positively correlated with ESCC. CONCLUSION: In conclusion, ESCC has been increasing in our center from 2015 to 2019, and the prevalence has been approaching that of gastric cancer in 2019 in male subjects. ESCC can be detected efficiently by targeting males with high MCV who have a history of drinking and smoking.

Esophageal squamous cell carcinoma and adenocarcinoma in Malaysia - Pooled data from upper gastrointestinal centers in a multiethnic Asian population.

BACKGROUND: Esophageal cancer is the sixth leading cause of cancer death worldwide with considerable geographical histological variation There is a paucity of data in esophageal cancer in demographics, histology, and survival among the multi-ethnic Malaysian population. This paper is a review of esophageal cancer epidemiology and survival among esophageal cancer patients from data collected by the Malaysian Upper Gastrointestinal Surgical Society. METHODS: This is a multicenter retrospective observational study of esophageal cancer patients from six upper gastrointestinal surgical centers in Malaysia between 2005 and 2019. Patient characteristics, histological type and stage were compared and survival analyzed. RESULTS: There were 820 patients with esophageal cancer included, where 442 (53.9 %) cases had squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) and 378 (46.1 %) had adenocarcinomas (AC). Malays were the predominant ethnicity with AC (66.7 %) while Indians were the ethnic majority (74.6 %) with SCC. Majority of patients (56.8 %) presented as stage IV disease. Overall, the 1-, 3-, and 5-years' survival were 35.8 %, 13.8 % and 11.0 %, respectively. Surgical resection with curative intent yielded the best 5-year survival (29.4 %). Intervention in stage IV AC yielded superior survival when compared to SCC (median survival, 7.9 months vs 4.8 months; p, 0.018) Our series demonstrated an increase in AC to SCC over the last 15 years. CONCLUSIONS: There was an ethnic preponderance seen between different histology in this region, not previously discussed. An increase in AC was observed over the last 15 years. Late diagnosis seen in most patients imparts poor prognosis as curative surgery affords the best outcome.

A very-hot food and beverage thermal exposure index and esophageal cancer risk in Malawi and Tanzania: findings from the ESCCAPE case-control studies.

BACKGROUND: Consumption of very-hot beverages/food is a probable carcinogen. In East Africa, we investigated esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) risk in relation to four thermal exposure metrics separately and in a combined score. METHODS: From the ESCCAPE case-control studies in Blantyre, Malawi (2017-20) and Kilimanjaro, Tanzania (2015-19), we used logistic regression models adjusted for country, age, sex, alcohol and tobacco, to estimate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for self-reported thermal exposures whilst consuming tea, coffee and/or porridge. RESULTS: The study included 849 cases and 906 controls. All metrics were positively associated with ESCC: temperature of drink/food (OR 1.92 (95% CI: 1.50, 2.46) for 'very hot' vs 'hot'), waiting time before drinking/eating (1.76 (1.37, 2.26) for <2 vs 2-5 minutes), consumption speed (2.23 (1.78, 2.79) for 'normal' vs 'slow') and mouth burning (1.90 (1.19, 3.01) for ≥6 burns per month vs none). Amongst consumers, the composite score ranged from 1 to 12, and ESCC risk increased with higher scores, reaching an OR of 4.6 (2.1, 10.0) for scores of ≥9 vs 3. CONCLUSIONS: Thermal exposure metrics were strongly associated with ESCC risk. Avoidance of very-hot food/beverage consumption may contribute to the prevention of ESCC in East Africa.