Boletim epidemiológico: monitoramento dos casos de arboviroses em Goiás da semana epidemiológica 01 a 18 de 2023 / Epidemiological bulletin: monitoring of cases of arboviruses in Goiás from the epidemiological week 01 to 18 of 2023

As arboviroses transmitidas pelo mosquito Aedes aegypti são um dos principais problemas de saúde pública no Estado de Goiás. O boletim epidemiológico das arboviroses tem o objetivo de apresentar a situação epidemiológica dos casos no estado, e utiliza como fonte de dados os registros de casos suspeitos e confirmados ocorridos nos últimos anos, disponíveis no Sinan Online e Sinan Net. Também é apresentado dados relativos à Síndrome Congênita associada à infecção pelo Zika Vírus, disponíveis no Sistema de Registro de Eventos em Saúde Pública (RESP) ­ Microcefalias

Arboviruses transmitted by the Aedes aegypti mosquito are one of the main public health problems in the State of Goiás. The epidemiological bulletin of arboviruses aims to present the epidemiological situation of cases in the state, and uses as a data source the records of suspected and confirmed cases that occurred in recent years, available on Sinan Online and Sinan Net. It also presents data related to Congenital Syndrome associated with Zika Virus infection, available in the Public Health Event Registration System (RESP) ­ Microcephaly

Boletim epidemiológico: monitoramento dos casos de arboviroses em Goiás da semana epidemiológica 01 de 2022 até a semana epidemiológica 14 de 2023 / Epidemiological bulletin: monitoring of cases of arboviruses in Goiás from epidemiological week 01 of 2022 to epidemiological week 14 of 2023

As arboviroses transmitidas pelo mosquito Aedes aegypti são um dos principais problemas de saúde pública no Estado de Goiás. Este boletim uma produção mensal, com o objetivo de apresentar a situação epidemiológica dos casos no estado, utilizando como fonte de dados os registros de casos suspeitos e confirmados ocorridos nos últimos anos, disponíveis no Sinan Online e Sinan Net. Adicionalmente, também é apresentado dados relativos à Síndrome Congênita associada à infecção pelo Zika Vírus, disponíveis no Sistema de Registro de Eventos em Saúde Pública (RESP) ­ Microcefalias

The arboviruses transmitted by the Aedes aegypti mosquito are one of the main public health problems in the State of Goiás. This bulletin is a monthly production, with the objective of presenting the epidemiological situation of the cases in the state, using as a source of data the records of suspected cases and confirmed occurrences in recent years, available on Sinan Online and Sinan Net. In addition, data on the Congenital Syndrome associated with Zika Virus infection are also presented, available on the Public Health Event Registration System (RESP) ­ Microcephaly

Plano de contingência para controle arboviroses - 2023/2024 (Dengue - Chikungunya - Zika) / Contingency Plan for Arbovirus Control - 2023/2024 (Dengue - Chikungunya - Zika)

O quadro epidemiológico atual das arboviroses no estado de Goiás caracteriza-se pela ampla distribuição do Aedes aegypti em todas as regiões, com circulação simultânea de sorotipos virais 1 e 2 da dengue e confirmação de casos de zika e chikungunya, objetivando a prevenção e controle de epidemias das arboviroses: dengue, chikungunya e zika a Secretaria de Estado da Saúde de Goiás apresenta o Plano de contingência para o controle de arboviroses 2023 - 2024

The current epidemiological picture of arboviruses in the state of Goiás is characterized by the wide distribution of Aedes aegypti in all regions, with simultaneous circulation of viral serotypes 1 and 2 of dengue and confirmation of cases of zika and chikungunya, aiming at the prevention and control of epidemics of arboviruses: dengue, chikungunya and zika the State Department of Health of Goiás presents the Plan of contingency for the control of arboviruses 2023 - 2024

The timing setting in kinetic dengue studies: A systematic review.

Dengue is classified as an endemic infectious disease, which is transmitted by Aedes mosquitos. Kinetic studies, which monitor the viral load of the disease, have been the mainstay for several decades in humanity's quest to control this disease. Our study aims to systematically evaluate the usage of different timing systems in dengue kinetic studies. A search in nine electronic databases and manual search of reference and citation lists were conducted to find relevant studies. A quality assessment using the National Institute of Health tools for observational cohort and cross-sectional studies was performed. The protocol was registered in PROSPERO with number CRD42018086435. As results, among included 87 studies, 71 studies (81.6%) use a timing system which is based on the day of illness onset, of which, 11 studies designate the day of illness onset as "day 0″ (type 1A) while 60 studies designate it as "day 1″ (type 1B). Only ten articles (11.5%) designate the day of defervescence as "day 0″, the day before and after defervescence as "day -1″ and "day +1″, respectively. Four articles (4.6%) use a timing system based on the day of hospital admission. Lastly, two studies (2.3%) designate the day of hemorrhagic manifestation as "day 0″ and two studies (2.3%) designate the day of pharmacological treatment as "day 1″. Therefore, the timing system which designates the day of illness onset as "day 1″ (type 1B) was most commonly used. Inconsistent definitions of "day 0″ and "day 1″ may lead to disparities in results across the studies and may have a negative impact on treatment guidelines implementation.

Development of a bedside score to predict dengue severity.

BACKGROUND: In 2017, New Caledonia experienced an outbreak of severe dengue causing high hospital burden (4379 cases, 416 hospital admissions, 15 deaths). We decided to build a local operational model predictive of dengue severity, which was needed to ease the healthcare circuit. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed clinical and biological parameters associated with severe dengue in the cohort of patients hospitalized at the Territorial Hospital between January and July 2017 with confirmed dengue, in order to elaborate a comprehensive patient's score. Patients were compared in univariate and multivariate analyses. Predictive models for severity were built using a descending step-wise method. RESULTS: Out of 383 included patients, 130 (34%) developed severe dengue and 13 (3.4%) died. Major risk factors identified in univariate analysis were: age, comorbidities, presence of at least one alert sign, platelets count < 30 × 109/L, prothrombin time < 60%, AST and/or ALT > 10 N, and previous dengue infection. Severity was not influenced by the infecting dengue serotype nor by previous Zika infection. Two models to predict dengue severity were built according to sex. Best models for females and males had respectively a median Area Under the Curve = 0.80 and 0.88, a sensitivity = 84.5 and 84.5%, a specificity = 78.6 and 95.5%, a positive predictive value = 63.3 and 92.9%, a negative predictive value = 92.8 and 91.3%. Models were secondarily validated on 130 patients hospitalized for dengue in 2018. CONCLUSION: We built robust and efficient models to calculate a bedside score able to predict dengue severity in our setting. We propose the spreadsheet for dengue severity score calculations to health practitioners facing dengue outbreaks of enhanced severity in order to improve patients' medical management and hospitalization flow.

Surveillance and Epidemiology of Dengue in Medellín, Colombia from 2009 to 2017.

Dengue is the most prevalent arthropod-borne viral disease in humans, primarily transmitted by the Aedes aegypti mosquito. We conducted a descriptive analysis of dengue cases from 2009 to 2017 in Medellín, Colombia, using data available from the Secretariat of Health. We analyzed the burden of outbreak years on the healthcare system, risk of cases exhibiting severe illness, potential disease surveillance problems, gender and age as risk factors, and spatiotemporal patterns of disease occurrence. Our data consisted of 50,083 cases, separated based on whether they were diagnostic test negative, diagnostic test positive (primarily IgM ELISA), clinically confirmed, epidemiologically linked, or probable. We used dengue incidence to analyze epidemiological trends between our study years, related to human movement patterns, between gender and age-groups, and spatiotemporally. We used risk to analyze the severity of dengue cases between the study years. We identified human movement could contributed to dengue spread, and male individuals (incidence rate: 0.86; 95% CI: 0.76-0.96) and individuals younger than 15 years (incidence rate: 1.24; 95% CI: 1.13-1.34) have higher incidence of dengue and located critical parts of the city where dengue incidence was high. Analysis was limited by participant diagnostic information, data concerning circulating strains, and a lack of phylogenetic information. Understanding the characteristics of dengue is a fundamental part of improving the health outcomes of at-risk populations. This analysis will be useful to support studies and initiatives to counteract dengue and provide context to the surveillance data collected by the health authorities in Medellín.

Comparative Analyses of Historical Trends in Confirmed Dengue Illnesses Detected at Public Hospitals in Bangkok and Northern Thailand, 2002-2018.

Dengue is a re-emerging global public health problem, the most common arbovirus causing human disease in the world, and a major cause of hospitalization in endemic countries causing significant economic burden. Data were analyzed from passive surveillance of hospital-attended dengue cases from 2002 to 2018 at Phramongkutklao Hospital (PMKH) located in Bangkok, Thailand, and Kamphaeng Phet Provincial Hospital (KPPH) located in the lower northern region of Thailand. At PMKH, serotype 1 proved to be the most common strain of the virus, whereas at KPPH, serotypes 1, 2, and 3 were the most common strains from 2006 to 2008, 2009 to 2012, and 2013 to 2015, respectively. The 11-17 years age-group made up the largest proportion of patients impacted by dengue illnesses during the study period at both sites. At KPPH, dengue virus (DENV)-3 was responsible for most cases of dengue fever (DF), whereas it was DENV-1 at PMKH. In cases where dengue hemorrhagic fever was the clinical diagnosis, DENV-2 was the predominant serotype at KPPH, whereas at PMKH, it was DENV-1. The overall disease prevalence remained consistent across the two study sites with DF being the predominant clinical diagnosis as the result of an acute secondary dengue infection, representing 40.7% of overall cases at KPPH and 56.8% at PMKH. The differences seen between these sites could be a result of climate change increasing the length of dengue season and shifts in migration patterns of these populations from rural to urban areas and vice versa.

Dengue epidemic in a non-endemic zone of Bangladesh: Clinical and laboratory profiles of patients.

BACKGROUNDS: Approximately, half of the population in the world including tropical and sub-tropical climates region is at risk of dengue. Being an endemic country, Bangladesh has experienced the largest dengue epidemic in 2019. The present study aimed at evaluating the clinical and laboratory profile of dengue patients in northern Bangladesh during the epidemic. METHODS: This cross-sectional study included 319 serologically confirmed dengue patients admitted in Shaheed Ziaur Rahman Medical College Hospital in Bogra district. It is one of the main tertiary care hospitals in northern Bangladesh. Data were collected from July to September 2019. Patients' clinical and laboratory data were extracted from clinical records. Patients were classified into two classes according to the WHO 2009 dengue classification such as (i) non-severe dengue and (ii) severe dengue. Chi-square test and independent t-test were used in this study. RESULTS: Of the 319 patients, 94.1% had non-severe dengue and the remaining 5.9% had severe dengue (severe plasma leakage 68.4%, severe organ involvement 68.4%, and severe clinical bleeding 10.5%). Most of the patients were suffering from primary dengue infection. The most common clinical presentation was fever followed by headache and myalgia. Vomiting and abdominal pain were the most prevalent warning signs. The common hematological findings on admission were leukopenia (63.3%), thrombocytopenia (30.4%) and increased hematocrit (26.6%). Raised serum ALT or AST was observed in 14.1% cases whereas raised serum creatinine was observed in 6.6% cases. Signs of plasma leakage (pleural effusion, respiratory distress, and ascites, rise of hematocrit >20% during hospital stay) and hepatic or renal involvement (serum ALT >42UI/L or serum creatinine >1.2 mg/dL) on admission were mostly associated with severe dengue. CONCLUSION: The study provides clinical evidence on presentation as well as hematological and biochemical profile of dengue patients in northern Bangladesh that should be implicated in effective patient management.

Chikungunya Case Classification after the Experience with Dengue Classification: How Much Time Will We Lose?

In 2013, cases of chikungunya virus (CHIKV) infection were first detected in the Caribbean. Chikungunya virus rapidly spread through Central and South America, causing explosive outbreaks in naive populations. Since its emergence in 2004, the number of case and series reports describing severe, atypical manifestations seen in chikungunya patients has increased substantially, calling into question whether clinicians and health services are failing to diagnose these atypical cases because of not only insufficient knowledge but also limitations in the case classification. Although this classification based on the duration of the musculoskeletal (acute, subacute, and chronic forms) complaints helped guide therapeutic approaches directed to these manifestations, patients presenting severe or complicated forms, which are less frequent but produce most of the fatal outcomes, were not properly addressed. In Brazil and the Caribbean, a clear temporal and spatial association between excess overall mortality and the occurrence of chikungunya epidemics has been shown, supporting the hypothesis that many of these excess deaths were a consequence of CHIKV infections. Thus, accumulated experience has highlighted that the current chikungunya case classification does not encompass the actual needs presented by certain cases with atypical features nor does it contribute to early detection and management of potentially severe cases. With continued CHIKV circulation in three continents and recent reemergence in Asia and Europe, we need a classification that is prospective and informed both by initial clinical presentation and by progression of signs and symptoms.

Association of Allergic Symptoms with Dengue Infection and Severity: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

The relationship between the severity of dengue infection and allergy is still obscure. We conducted an electronic search across 12 databases for relevant articles reporting allergic symptoms, dengue infection, and dengue classification. These studies were categorized according to dengue severity and allergy symptoms, and a meta-analysis was performed by pooling the studies in each category. Among the included 57 articles, pruritus was the most common allergic sign followed by non-specified allergy and asthma (28.6%, 13%, and 6.5%, respectively). Despite the reported significant association of dengue with pruritus and total IgE level (P < 0.05), in comparison with non-dengue cases and healthy controls, there was no association between the different severe dengue group with pruritus, skin allergy, food allergy or asthma. However, removing the largest study revealed a significant association between asthma with dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF) rather than dengue fever (DF). In comparison with DF, DHF was associated with IgE positivity. Furthermore, specific-IgE level was higher in secondary DF rather than primary DF. There was a possible association between allergy symptoms and dengue severity progression. Further studies are needed to clarify this association.

Geographical distribution of primary & secondary dengue cases in India - 2017: A cross-sectional multicentric study.

Background & objectives: Dengue virus infection is endemic in India with all the four serotypes of dengue virus in circulation. This study was aimed to determine the geographic distribution of the primary and secondary dengue cases in India. Methods: A multicentre cross-sectional study was conducted at Department of Health Research / Indian Council of Medical Research (DHR)/(ICMR) viral research and diagnostic laboratories (VRDLs) and selected ICMR institutes located in India. Only laboratory-confirmed dengue cases with date of onset of illness less than or equal to seven days were included between September and October 2017. Dengue NS1 antigen ELISA and anti-dengue IgM capture ELISA were used to diagnose dengue cases while anti-dengue IgG capture ELISA was used for identifying the secondary dengue cases. Results: Of the 1372 dengue cases, 897 (65%) were classified as primary dengue and 475 (35%) as secondary dengue cases. However, the proportion varied widely geographically, with Theni, Tamil Nadu; Tirupati, Andhra Pradesh and Udupi-Manipal, Karnataka reporting more than 65 per cent secondary dengue cases while Srinagar, Jammu and Kashmir reporting as low as 10 per cent of the same. The median age of primary dengue cases was 25 yr [interquartile range (IQR 17-35] while that of secondary dengue cases was 23 yr (IQR 13.5-34). Secondary dengue was around 50 per cent among the children belonging to the age group 6-10 yr while it ranged between 20-43 per cent among other age groups. Interpretation & conclusions: Our findings showed a wide geographical variation in the distribution of primary and secondary dengue cases in India. It would prove beneficial to include primary and secondary dengue differentiation protocol in the national dengue surveillance programme.

Assessment of the new World Health Organization's dengue classification for predicting severity of illness and level of healthcare required.

The objective of this study was to assess the validity of the new dengue classification proposed by the World Health Organization (WHO) in 2009 and to develop pragmatic guidelines for case triage and management. This retrospective study involved 357 laboratory-confirmed cases of dengue infection diagnosed at King Abdulaziz University Hospital, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia over a 4-year period from 2014 to 2017. The sensitivity of the new classification for identifying severe cases was limited (65%) but higher than the old one (30%). It had a higher sensitivity for identifying patients who needed advanced healthcare compared to the old one (72% versus 32%, respectively). We propose adding decompensation of chronic diseases and thrombocytopenia-related bleeding to the category of severe dengue in the new classification. This modification improves sensitivity from 72% to 98% for identifying patients who need advanced healthcare without altering specificity (97%). It also improves sensitivity in predicting severe outcomes from 32% to 88%. In conclusion, the new classification had a low sensitivity for identifying patients needing advanced care and for predicting morbidity and mortality. We propose to include decompensation of chronic diseases and thrombocytopenia-related bleeding to the category of severe dengue in the new classification to improve the sensitivity of predicting cases requiring advanced care.

Comparison between the traditional (1997) and revised (2009) WHO classifications of dengue disease: a retrospective study of 30 670 patients.

OBJECTIVE: To compare WHO's traditional (1997) and revised (2009) guidelines for dengue classification, using a large sample of patients of all ages with varying clinical conditions from a dengue-endemic area in Brazil. METHODS: We compared 30 670 laboratory-confirmed dengue cases (1998-2012) using both WHO's dengue classification guidelines. Stereotype ordinal logistic regressions were used to analyse the association between patients' demographics and signs and symptoms related to dengue infection severity, as defined in the 1997 and 2009 guidelines. We then compared the degree of agreement in dengue classification of both guidelines. RESULTS: Dengue signs and symptoms in patients were poorly correlated to disease severity as defined by both guidelines (Cramer's V test <0.2). Hypotensive shock was the exception for both classifications, presenting dependence (Z = 56.42; P < 0.001, and Z = 55.24; P < 0.001) and high agreement (Cramers's V = 1; P < 0.001, and Cramers's V = 0.97; P < 0.001) for WHO 1997 and 2009, respectively. Last, we also found substantial agreement in disease classification between both guidelines (Kendall tau-b = 0.79; P < 0.001), although 2009 guidelines were more sensitive in the detection of severe cases. CONCLUSIONS: We hope our results will inform the debate about dengue classification guidelines, particularly concerning clinical value, study comparability, and ways in which future guidelines can support the clinical management of dengue. Our results suggest that caution should be taken when using WHO guidelines to assess dengue severity to improve clinical management of patients.

Classification of dengue cases in Southwest India based on the WHO systems-a retrospective analysis.

Background: The WHO dengue classification 1997 was revised in 2009 and the revised classification system has now been in use for the past decade. This study was carried out to compare the 1997 and revised classifications in assessing the severity of dengue infection among all age groups during a dengue outbreak in southwest India. Methodology: This retrospective cross-sectional study was carried out including serologically confirmed dengue cases. A total of 1033 dengue cases were classified on the basis of the 1997 WHO classification and 2009 revised classification. The statistical analysis was carried out using SPSS 15.0 for Windows (SPSSTM Inc, Chicago, IL, USA). Results: Both the 1997 and revised WHO classifications were applied to 1033 confirmed dengue cases, including 692 males (67%) and 341 females (33%). The median age of the study participants was 23 years (IQR 10-33), including 112 (10.8%) children at and below the age of 5 years. The level of agreement between the two systems of classification was poor (kappa=0.143, 0.055-0.198, p-value <0.001). Conclusion: A greater sensitivity and specificity of the revised classification was observed in comparison with the 1997 WHO classification. In the context of changing dengue epidemiology and geographical expansion, the revised classification is helpful in the identification of severe cases, facilitating timely management.

Aplicación y aceptabilidad de la Guía Clínica de Dengue OMS-2009: la percepción de Ecuador / Aplicability and Aceptability and of the Dengue Clinical Guidelines WHO 2009: Ecuador's perception

Introducción: la infección por virus dengue se ha diseminado a más de 100 países a nivel mundial, con un cambio en su patrón que hizo que la clasificación OMS 1997 no sea aplicable. Objetivo: determinar la aceptabilidad y aplicabilidad de la guía OMS-2009. Materiales y métodos: fue conducido un estudio de corte transversal con diseño mixto, entre abril a noviembre del 2009 posterior a una intervención formativa dirigida a médicos, para lo cual se aplicó un cuestionario previamente elaborado y se realizó un trabajo de grupos focales. Resultados: los médicos mostraron una aceptación del 91,9% por la clasificación OMS-2009. El 100% realiza monitoreo de los signos vitales, considerando plaquetas (98,4%) y hematocrito (96.9%). El 96,9% utiliza las plaquetas como signos de alarma, seguido de letargia o inquietud (95,3%), dolor abdominal (95,3%), vómitos persistentes (92,2%). Los participantes refieren que es útil en la clasificación de los pacientes, especialmente los graves (30,56%), fácil de entender y manejar (30,56%), y como una ventaja que ayuda en el manejo y tratamiento de los casos (44,4%). El 80% considera que es necesaria su difusión a través de capacitaciones. De los grupos focales se considera que es sencilla, practica y didáctica para los niveles de severidad, orienta al triage de los pacientes y permite mejor su clasificación. Conclusiones: la guía OMS-2009 tiene una amplia aceptación por el personal de salud (AU).

Introduction: dengue virus infection has spread to more than 100 countries worldwide, with a change in its pattern that made the 1997 WHO classification not applicable. Objective: to determine the acceptability and applicability of the WHO-2009 guide. Materials and methods: a cross-sectional study with a mixed design was conducted between April and November 2009 following a training intervention directed at physicians, for which a previously elaborated questionnaire was applied and a focus group work was carried out. Results: physicians showed an acceptance of 91.9% for the WHO-2009 classification. 100% performed vital signs monitoring, considering platelets (98.4%) and hematocrit (96.9%). 96.9% used platelets as warning signs, followed by lethargy or restlessness (95.3%), abdominal pain (95.3%), persistent vomiting (92.2%). Participants report that it is useful in the classification of patients, especially severe (30.56%), easy to understand and manage (30.56%), and as an aid to the management and treatment of cases (44.4%). Eighty percent consider it necessary to disseminate it through training. Conclusions: gráficothe WHO-2009 guide has a wide acceptance by the health personnel, the health professionals, the health professionals, the health professionals (AU).

Aplicación y aceptabilidad de la Guía Clínica de Dengue OMS-2009: la percepción de Ecuador / Aplicability and Aceptability and of the Dengue Clinical Guidelines WHO 2009: Ecuador's perception

Introducción: la infección por virus dengue se ha diseminado a más de 100 países a nivel mundial, con un cambio en su patrón que hizo que la clasificación OMS 1997 no sea aplicable. Objetivo: determinar la aceptabilidad y aplicabilidad de la guía OMS-2009. Materiales y métodos: fue conducido un estudio de corte transversal con diseño mixto, entre abril a noviembre del 2009 posterior a una intervención formativa dirigida a médicos, para lo cual se aplicó un cuestionario previamente elaborado y se realizó un trabajo de grupos focales. Resultados: los médicos mostraron una aceptación del 91,9% por la clasificación OMS-2009. El 100% realiza monitoreo de los signos vitales, considerando plaquetas (98,4%) y hematocrito (96.9%). El 96,9% utiliza las plaquetas como signos de alarma, seguido de letargia o inquietud (95,3%), dolor abdominal (95,3%), vómitos persistentes (92,2%). Los participantes refieren que es útil en la clasificación de los pacientes, especialmente los graves (30,56%), fácil de entender y manejar (30,56%), y como una ventaja que ayuda en el manejo y tratamiento de los casos (44,4%). El 80% considera que es necesaria su difusión a través de capacitaciones. De los grupos focales se considera que es sencilla, practica y didáctica para los niveles de severidad, orienta al triage de los pacientes y permite mejor su clasificación. Conclusiones: la guía OMS-2009 tiene una amplia aceptación por el personal de salud (AU).

Introduction: dengue virus infection has spread to more than 100 countries worldwide, with a change in its pattern that made the 1997 WHO classification not applicable. Objective: to determine the acceptability and applicability of the WHO-2009 guide. Materials and methods: a cross-sectional study with a mixed design was conducted between April and November 2009 following a training intervention directed at physicians, for which a previously elaborated questionnaire was applied and a focus group work was carried out. Results: physicians showed an acceptance of 91.9% for the WHO-2009 classification. 100% performed vital signs monitoring, considering platelets (98.4%) and hematocrit (96.9%). 96.9% used platelets as warning signs, followed by lethargy or restlessness (95.3%), abdominal pain (95.3%), persistent vomiting (92.2%). Participants report that it is useful in the classification of patients, especially severe (30.56%), easy to understand and manage (30.56%), and as an aid to the management and treatment of cases (44.4%). Eighty percent consider it necessary to disseminate it through training. Conclusions: gráficothe WHO-2009 guide has a wide acceptance by the health personnel, the health professionals, the health professionals, the health professionals (AU).

Validity of International Classification of Diseases (ICD) coding for dengue infections in hospital discharge records in Malaysia.

BACKGROUND: Hospitalization due to dengue illness is an important measure of dengue morbidity. However, limited studies are based on administrative database because the validity of the diagnosis codes is unknown. We validated the International Classification of Diseases, 10th revision (ICD) diagnosis coding for dengue infections in the Malaysian Ministry of Health's (MOH) hospital discharge database. METHODS: This validation study involves retrospective review of available hospital discharge records and hand-search medical records for years 2010 and 2013. We randomly selected 3219 hospital discharge records coded with dengue and non-dengue infections as their discharge diagnoses from the national hospital discharge database. We then randomly sampled 216 and 144 records for patients with and without codes for dengue respectively, in keeping with their relative frequency in the MOH database, for chart review. The ICD codes for dengue were validated against lab-based diagnostic standard (NS1 or IgM). RESULTS: The ICD-10-CM codes for dengue had a sensitivity of 94%, modest specificity of 83%, positive predictive value of 87% and negative predictive value 92%. These results were stable between 2010 and 2013. However, its specificity decreased substantially when patients manifested with bleeding or low platelet count. CONCLUSION: The diagnostic performance of the ICD codes for dengue in the MOH's hospital discharge database is adequate for use in health services research on dengue.

Global dengue death before and after the new World Health Organization 2009 case classification: A systematic review and meta-regression analysis.

BACKGROUND: Since the introduction of 2009 WHO dengue case classification, no literature was found regarding its effect on dengue death. This study was to evaluate the effect of 2009 WHO dengue case classification towards dengue case fatality rate. METHODS: Various databases were used to search relevant articles since 1995. Studies included were cohort and cross-sectional studies, all patients with dengue infection and must report the number of death or case fatality rate. The Joanna Briggs Institute appraisal checklist was used to evaluate the risk of bias of the full-texts. The studies were grouped according to the classification adopted: WHO 1997 and WHO 2009. Meta-regression was employed using a logistic transformation (log-odds) of the case fatality rate. The result of the meta-regression was the adjusted case fatality rate and odds ratio on the explanatory variables. RESULTS: A total of 77 studies were included in the meta-regression analysis. The case fatality rate for all studies combined was 1.14% with 95% confidence interval (CI) of 0.82-1.58%. The combined (unadjusted) case fatality rate for 69 studies which adopted WHO 1997 dengue case classification was 1.09% with 95% CI of 0.77-1.55%; and for eight studies with WHO 2009 was 1.62% with 95% CI of 0.64-4.02%. The unadjusted and adjusted odds ratio of case fatality using WHO 2009 dengue case classification was 1.49 (95% CI: 0.52, 4.24) and 0.83 (95% CI: 0.26, 2.63) respectively, compared to WHO 1997 dengue case classification. There was an apparent increase in trend of case fatality rate from the year 1992-2016. Neither was statistically significant. CONCLUSIONS: The WHO 2009 dengue case classification might have no effect towards the case fatality rate although the adjusted results indicated a lower case fatality rate. Future studies are required for an update in the meta-regression analysis to confirm the findings.

Evaluation of the WHO 2009 classification for diagnosis of acute dengue in a large cohort of adults and children in Sri Lanka during a dengue-1 epidemic.

BACKGROUND: Dengue is a leading cause of fever and mimics other acute febrile illnesses (AFI). In 2009, the World Health Organization (WHO) revised criteria for clinical diagnosis of dengue. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: The new WHO 2009 classification of dengue divides suspected cases into three categories: dengue without warning signs, dengue with warning signs and severe dengue. We evaluated the WHO 2009 classification vs physicians' subjective clinical diagnosis (gestalt clinical impression) in a large cohort of patients presenting to a tertiary care center in southern Sri Lanka hospitalized with acute febrile illness. We confirmed acute dengue in 388 patients (305 adults ≥ 18 years and 83 children), including 103 primary and 245 secondary cases, of 976 patients prospectively enrolled with AFI. At presentation, both adults and children with acute dengue were more likely than those with other AFI to have leukopenia and thrombocytopenia. Additionally, adults were more likely than those with other AFI to have joint pain, higher temperatures, and absence of crackles on examination whereas children with dengue were more likely than others to have sore throat, fatigue, oliguria, and elevated hematocrit and transaminases. Similarly, presence of joint pain, thrombocytopenia, and absence of cough were independently associated with secondary vs primary dengue in adults whereas no variables were different in children. The 2009 WHO dengue classification was more sensitive than physicians' clinical diagnosis for identification of acute dengue (71.5% vs 67.1%), but was less specific. However, despite the absence of on-site diagnostic confirmation of dengue, clinical diagnosis was more sensitive on discharge (75.2%). The 2009 WHO criteria classified almost 75% as having warning signs, even though only 9 (2.3%) patients had evidence of plasma leakage and 16 (4.1%) had evidence of bleeding. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: In a large cohort with AFI, we identified features predictive of dengue vs other AFI and secondary vs primary dengue in adults versus children. The 2009 WHO dengue classification criteria had high sensitivity but low specificity compared to physicians' gestaldt diagnosis. Large cohort studies will be needed to validate the diagnostic yield of clinical impression and specific features for dengue relative to the 2009 WHO classification criteria.