Protocol for a systematic review of the application of the kidney failure risk equation and Oxford classification in estimating prognosis in IgA nephropathy.

BACKGROUND: IgA nephropathy (IgAN) is a common cause of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and end-stage renal disease (ESRD). Outcomes are highly variable and predicting risk of disease progression at an individual level is challenging. Accurate risk stratification is important to identify individuals most likely to benefit from treatment. The Kidney Failure Risk Equation (KFRE) has been extensively validated in CKD populations and predicts the risk of ESRD at 2 and 5 years using non-invasive tests; however, its predictive performance in IgAN is unknown. The Oxford classification (OC) describes pathological features demonstrated on renal biopsy that are associated with adverse clinical outcomes that may also inform prognosis. The objective of this systematic review is to compare the KFRE with the OC in determining prognosis in IgAN. METHODS: A systematic review will be conducted and reported in line with PRISMA guidelines (PRISMA-P checklist attached as Additional file 1). Inclusion criteria will be cohort studies that apply the KFRE or OC to determine the risk of CKD progression or ESRD in individuals with IgAN. Multiple databases will be searched in duplicate to identify relevant studies, which will be screened first by title, then by abstract and then by full-text analysis. Results will be collated for comparison. Risk of bias and confidence assessments will be conducted independently by two reviewers, with a third reviewer available if required. DISCUSSION: Identifying individuals at the highest risk of progression to ESRD is challenging in IgAN, due to the heterogeneity of clinical outcomes. Risk prediction tools have been developed to guide clinicians; however, it is imperative that these aids are accurate and reproducible. The OC is based on observations made by specialist renal pathologists and may be open to observer bias, therefore the utility of prediction models incorporating this classification may be diminished, particularly as in the future novel biomarkers may be incorporated into clinical practice. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION: PROSPERO CRD42022364569.

Evidence from the large VALIGA cohort validates the subclassification of focal segmental glomerulosclerosis in IgA nephropathy.

Evidence from the Oxford IgA nephropathy (IgAN) cohort supports the clinical value of subclassifying focal segmental glomerulosclerosis lesions (S1). Using the larger Validation in IgA (VALIGA) study cohort, we investigated the association between podocytopathic changes and higher proteinuria, kidney outcome and response to immunosuppressive therapy. All biopsies were evaluated for glomeruli with segmental capillary occlusion by matrix ("not otherwise specified", NOS lesion), simple capsular adhesion without capillary occlusion (Adh), tip lesions, and podocyte hypertrophy (PH). S1 required a NOS lesion and/or Adh. A Chi-Squared Automatic Interaction Detection method was used to identify subgroups of FSGS lesions associated with distinctive proteinuria at biopsy. We assessed survival from a combined event (kidney failure or 50% decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate). Finally, we evaluated within each subgroup if immunosuppression was associated with a favorable outcome using propensity analysis. In 1147 patients, S1 was found in 70% of biopsies. Subclassification found NOS lesions in 44%, Adh in 59%, PH in 13%, and tip lesions in 3%, with much overlap. Four subgroups were identified with progressively higher proteinuria: from lowest, S1 without NOS, S1 with NOS but without Adh/PH, to highest, S1 with NOS and Adh but without PH, and S1 with NOS and PH. These four subgroups showed progressively worse kidney survival. Immunosuppression was associated with a better outcome only in the two highest proteinuria subgroups. Propensity analysis in these two groups, adjusted for clinical and pathological findings, found a significantly reduced time-dependent hazard of combined outcome with corticosteroids. Podocyte hypertrophy and glomeruli with simple adhesions appeared to reflect active lesions associated with a response to corticosteroids, while other S1 lesions defined chronicity. Thus, our findings support subclassifying S1 lesions in IgAN.

Predictability of the Oxford classification of IgA nephropathy in Henoch-Schonlein purpura nephritis.

BACKGROUND: Whether the Oxford classification of immunoglobulin A nephropathy can be utilized to predict the adverse renal outcome of Henoch-Schonlein purpura nephritis (HSPN) has been long-debated. We, therefore, performed a meta-analysis to evaluate the prognostic value of Oxford classification lesions in HSPN. METHODS: We systematically searched Medline, EMBASE, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library for articles published from January 1970 to August 2020. Cohort and case-control studies investigating the correlation between the Oxford classification and renal outcome were included, the quality of which was assessed by the Newcastle-Ottawa scale criteria. The pooled odds ratios (ORs) with their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated with a random-effects model or a fixed-effects model depending on the heterogeneity. RESULTS: A total of 485 papers were reviewed and eventually 9 comparisons were included, providing data of 1688 patients with HSPN. ORs for adverse renal events were 2.83 (95% CI 1.84-4.35; P < 0.001), 1.96 (95% CI 1.28-2.98; P < 0.05), and 5.45 (95% CI, 3.15-9.45; P < 0.001) for patients with lesions of endocapillary hypercellularity (E), segmental sclerosis (S), and tubular atrophy /interstitial fibrosis (T), respectively, without significant heterogeneity (E: I2 = 0.0%; P = 0.498; S: I2 = 22.4%; P = 0.258; T: I2 = 33.6%; P = 0.171). Subgroup analysis adjusted for age also supported the results that E, S, and T lesions could serve as poor predictors (P < 0.05). Additionally, crescents (C) were strongly associated with renal outcome (OR 2.22; 95% CI 1.62-3.04; P < 0.001), with moderate heterogeneity (I2 = 49.3%; P = 0.066). However, it should be noted that it is not the presence but the proportions of crescent lesions that were related to the high risk of progression to adverse renal events, because the predictability of lower rates of crescent (C1, with crescents > 0 and ≤ 25%) was uncertain (OR 2.21; 95% CI 0.75-6.51; P > 0.05). Although the pooled OR revealed that lesions of mesangial hypercellularity (M) were correlated with poor renal prognosis (OR 2.41; 95% CI 1.07-5.43; P < 0.05), subgroup analysis separating children from adults indicated that there seemed to be no significant difference. CONCLUSIONS: Oxford classification, especially for E, S, T, and C, might be recommended for patients with HSPN, regardless of children and adults.

Predictive value of sub classification of focal segmental glomerular sclerosis in Oxford classification of IgA nephropathy.

BACKGROUND: The Oxford classification of IgA nephropathy (IgAN) was revised in 2016 which lacked sufficient evidence for prognostic value of subclassification of focal segmental glomerular sclerosis (S lesion), and the proper proportion of S lesion for subclassification remains undetermined. AIM: This study aimed to explore the predictive value of the new subclassification of S score on renal outcomes of IgAN patients. METHODS: 348 patients with IgAN-associated S lesion were enrolled. According to the optimal cut-off of 25% established by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, we divided S1 patients into two groups: S1a group (S lesion < 25%) and S1b group (S lesion ≥ 25%). IgAN patients with mild lesion (M0E0S0T0C0) were set as the control group. The clinical features at renal biopsy, pathological findings, and follow-up parameters (follow-up time ranged from 1 to 5 years) were collected. We used univariate and multivariate analyses to assess whether the subclassification of S score could refine risk prediction and clinical utility. RESULTS: We demonstrated that S lesion ≥ 25% was associated with a more rapid GFR loss and a lower rate of complete remission of proteinuria even adjusted for multiple clinic pathological variables, compared to S1a group (All p values <.05). And the ratio of glomeruli with T lesion and crescents were higher in patients with S lesion ≥ 25%. Data showed that IgAN patients with S lesion ≥ 25% were at an increased risk of poor renal outcomes even with immunosuppression. CONCLUSION: This study might recommend new subclassification of S scores (S0 (no S lesion), S1 (S lesion <25% of glomeruli), and S2 (S lesion ≥ 25% of glomeruli)) for the Oxford classification. This model may also help to evaluate pros and cons of immunosuppressive therapy in IgAN patients with different level of S lesion.KEY MESSAGESS lesion ≥ 25% is an independent risk factor for poor renal outcome in IgAN patients.This new subclassification of S scores may help to evaluate pros and cons of immunotherapy in IgAN patients with different level of S lesion.

Validation of an international prediction model including the Oxford classification in Korean patients with IgA nephropathy.

BACKGROUND: Recently, a new international risk prediction model including the Oxford classification was published which was validated in a large multi-ethnic cohort. Therefore, we aimed to validate this risk prediction model in Korean patients with IgA nephropathy. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study was conducted with 545 patients who diagnosed IgA nephropathy with renal biopsy in three medical centers. The primary outcome was defined as a reduction in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of >50% or incident end-stage renal disease (ESRD). Continuous net reclassification improvement (cNRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) were used to validate models. RESULTS: During the median 3.6 years of follow-up period, 53 (9.7%) renal events occurred. In multivariable Cox regression model, M1 (hazard ratio [HR], 2.22; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.02-4.82; p = .043), T1 (HR, 2.98; 95% CI, 1.39-6.39; p = .005) and T2 (HR, 4.80; 95% CI, 2.06-11.18; p < .001) lesions were associated with increased risk of renal outcome. When applied the international prediction model, the area under curve (AUC) for 5-year risk of renal outcome was 0.69, which was lower than previous validation and internally derived models. Moreover, cNRI and IDI analyses showed that discrimination and reclassification performance of the international model was inferior to the internally derived models. CONCLUSION: The international risk prediction model for IgA nephropathy showed not as good performance in Korean patients as previous validation in other ethnic group. Further validation of risk prediction model is needed for Korean patients with IgA nephropathy.

Grading system utilising the total score of Oxford classification for predicting renal prognosis in IgA nephropathy.

The Oxford classification of IgA nephropathy (IgAN) can evaluate each MEST-C score individually. We analysed a new grading system that utilised the total MEST-C score in predicting renal prognosis. Altogether, 871 IgAN patients were classified into three groups using the new Oxford classification system (O-grade) that utilised the total MEST-C score (O-grade I: 0-1, II: 2-4, and III: 5-7 points), and the 10-year renal prognosis was analysed. The clinical findings became significantly severer with increasing O-grades, and the renal survival rate by the Kaplan-Meier method was 94.1%, 86.9%, and 74.1% for O-grades I, II, and III, respectively. The hazard ratios (HRs) for O-grades II and III with reference to O-grade I were 2.8 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.3-6.0) and 6.3 (95% CI 2.7-14.5), respectively. In the multivariate analysis, mean arterial pressure and eGFR, proteinuria at the time of biopsy, treatment of corticosteroids/immunosuppressors, and O-grade (HR 1.63; 95% CI 1.11-2.38) were the independent factors predicting renal prognosis. Among the nine groups classified using the O-grade and Japanese clinical-grade, the renal prognosis had an HR of 15.2 (95% CI 3.5-67) in the severest group. The O-grade classified by the total score of the Oxford classification was associated with renal prognosis.

Nefropatía IgA: efectos a corto plazo del tratamiento con prednisona sobre la proteinuria, función renal y relación con la clasificación de Oxford / IgA nephropathy: Short term effects of prednisone treatment on proteinuria, renal function and relation with Oxford classification

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Combining clinical features and MEST-C score in IgA nephropathy may be a better determinant of kidney survival.

Introduction. IgA nephropathy (IgAN) is a heterogeneous disease with highly variable clinical and histopathological features. We investigated the effects of Oxford classification and clinical features on renal survival in patients with IgAN.Methods. This retrospective observational study conducted from 2013 to 2017. Ninety-seven patients who were followed up more than six months were examined.Results. A total of 97 patients (68% male and median age 40 years) were enrolled in this study. 13% of patients developed end stage renal disease (ESRD) within the median of 37 months of follow-up. Need for renal replacement therapy at the time of diagnosis, serum creatinine level of higher than 1.97 mg/dl, serum albumin level less than 3.5 gr/dl, 24-hour urine protein level of higher than > 3.5 g/day, the percentage of glomerulosclerosis higher than 53%, T2 score and total MEST-C score higher than two were found to be significant predictors of development of ESRD. None of the clinical or histopathological features were found to be significant predictor of steroid treatment sensitivity except T1-2 scores.Conclusion. We think that IgA nephropathy is a heterogeneous disease that requires clinical and histopathological features to be evaluated together, but not individually, to determine renal survival.What is new. Iga nephropathy is a heterogeneous disease and modern pathologic classification systems is not enough to predict to prognosis. Histopathological features to be evaluated with clinical features, but not individually, to determine renal survival. Also glucocorticoid treatment response seems to be independent from clinical and histopathological features except T1-2 score.

Validation of the revised Oxford classification for IgA nephropathy considering treatment with corticosteroids/immunosuppressors.

The Oxford classification for IgA nephropathy (IgAN) was updated in 2017. We have validated the revised Oxford classification considering treatment with corticosteroids/immunosuppressors. In this retrospective analysis, 871 IgAN patients were enrolled. Patients were divided into two groups, those treated with or without corticosteroids/immunosuppressors. The 20-year renal prognosis up to end-stage renal disease was assessed using the Oxford classification. In all patients, the renal survival rate was 87.5% at 10 years and 72.6% at 20 years. The T score alone was significantly related to renal prognosis in the Kaplan-Meier analysis and multivariate Cox regression analysis. In the non-treatment group (n = 445), E, S, T, and C scores were significantly related to renal survival rates, however, in the treatment group (n = 426), T score alone was significantly related to renal prognosis on Kaplan-Meier analysis, indicating that corticosteroids/immunosuppressors improved renal prognosis in E1, S1, and C1. In patients with E1, S1, or C1, the treatment group showed significantly better renal prognosis than the non-treatment group in univariate and multivariate analysis. The Oxford classification and T score were used to determine renal prognosis in IgAN patients. Corticosteroids/immunosuppressors improved renal prognosis, especially E1, S1, and C1 scores.

The correlation analysis between the Oxford classification of Chinese IgA nephropathy children and renal outcome - a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The 2016 Oxford Classification's MEST-C scoring system predicts outcomes in adults with IgA nephropathy (IgAN), but it lacks tremendous cohort validation in children with IgAN in China. We sought to verify whether the Oxford classification could be used to predict the renal outcome of children with IgAN. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, 1243 Chinese IgAN children who underwent renal biopsy in Jinling Hospital were enregistered from 2000 to 2017. The combined endpoint was defined as either a ≥ 50% reduction in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) or end-stage renal disease (ESRD). We probed into the relevance betwixt the Oxford classification and renal prognosis. RESULTS: There were 29% of children with mesangial proliferation(M1), 35% with endocapillary proliferation (E1), 37% with segmental sclerosis/adhesion lesion (S1), 23% with moderate tubular atrophy/interstitial fibrosis (T1 25-50% of cortical area involved), 4.3% with severe tubular atrophy/interstitial fibrosis (T2 > 50% of cortical area involved), 44% with crescent in< 25% of glomeruli(C1), and 4.6% with crescent in> 25% of glomeruli (C2). All children were followed for a medial of 7.2 (4.6-11.7) years, 171 children (14%) arrived at the combined endpoint. The multivariate COX regression model revealed that the presence of lesions S (HR2.7,95%CI 1.8 ~ 4.2, P<0.001) and T (HR6.6,95%CI 3.9 ~ 11.3, P<0.001) may be the reason for poorer prognosis in the whole cohort. In contrast, C lesion showed a significant association with the outcome only in children received no immunosuppressive treatment. CONCLUSIONS: This study revealed that S and T lesions were useful as the long-term renal prognostic factors among Chinese IgAN children.

Shear wave elastography findings in Immunoglobulin A Nephropathy patients: is it more specific and sensitive for interstitial fibrosis or interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy?

Background: Prediction of prognosis in Immunoglobulin A Nephropathy (IgAN) and taking appropriate precautions may reduce annual incidence of chronic kidney disease. This may be possible by close follow-up for the development and progression of interstitial fibrosis (IF) or interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy (IFTA) in IgAN patients.Aim: To investigate whether Young's elastic modulus (YM) which measured shear wave elastography (SWE) might be used for follow-up of IF or IFTA in IgAN patients.Methods: Prospective study was approved by Human Research Ethics Committee. Group 1 consisted of patients with IgAN. Group 2 consisted of healthy control participants. Young's elastic modulus which is a value of stiffness along with longitudinal stiffness was used to evaluate tissue elasticity. Specificity, sensitivity, positive predictive value (PPV) of YM for the presence of IF and IFTA were evaluated.Results: Group 1 consisted of 30 participants, and group 2 consisted of 32 participants. Sensitivity and specificity of SWE to diagnose presence of IF for YM > 15 kPa were 89% and 90%, respectively. PPV among the ones whom IF was diagnosed by YM >15 kPa was 91%. Sensitivity and specificity of SWE to diagnose presence of IFTA for YM > 15 were 65% and 51%, respectively. PPV among the ones whom IFTA was diagnosed by YM >15 kPa was 78.1%.Conclusions: YM which measured SWE is highly specific and sensitive in the diagnosis of IF, but not for IFTA in IgAN patients. Therefore, progression for IF in IgAN may be followed by SWE.

Prognostic value of the Oxford classification and the Oxford score in IgA nephropathy: A Tunisian study.

Immunoglobulin A nephropathy is the most common primary glomerular disease. The main challenge in this disease is the evaluation of prognostic factors for end-stage renal disease. The aim of our study was to describe the characteristics of immunoglobulin A nephropathy, to evaluate the histological data according to Oxford classification, and to identify factors associated with renal survival. This was a retrospective study, including adults with primary immunoglobulin A nephropathy. The study was conducted over a period of 10 years. Renal biopsies were scored according to Oxford classification. Oxford score, based on the sum of the different histological lesions of Oxford classification, was calculated for each patient. We included 50 patients with a gender ratio (male:female) of 2.8. The average age was 35.6 ± 10.6 years. Fifty-eight percent of the patients had hypertension (HTN). The median proteinuria was 1.9 g/day. The median of the glomerular filtration rate was 47.6 mL/min/1.73 m2. According to Oxford classification, mesangial proliferation, endocapillary proliferation, glomerulosclerosis, interstitial fibrosis, and/or tubular atrophy and crescents were present in 40%, 38%, 88%, 36%, and 22% of the cases, respectively. The median Oxford score was 2. The median follow-up duration was 30 months. Ten patients (20%) reached end-stage renal disease. At univariate analysis, HTN, glomerular filtration rate, proteinuria, tubular involvement, and Oxford score >3 were associated with progression to end-stage renal disease (ESRD). Tubular involvement was an independent risk factor for ESRD. Our study confirms the prognostic value of the Oxford classification in immunoglobulin A nephropathy.

Is there long-term value of pathology scoring in immunoglobulin A nephropathy? A validation study of the Oxford Classification for IgA Nephropathy (VALIGA) update.

BACKGROUND: It is unknown whether renal pathology lesions in immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN) correlate with renal outcomes over decades of follow-up. METHODS: In 1130 patients of the original Validation Study of the Oxford Classification for IgA Nephropathy (VALIGA) cohort, we studied the relationship between the MEST score (mesangial hypercellularity, M; endocapillary hypercellularity, E; segmental glomerulosclerosis, S; tubular atrophy/interstitial fibrosis, T), crescents (C) and other histological lesions with both a combined renal endpoint [50% estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) loss or kidney failure] and the rate of eGFR decline over a follow-up period extending to 35 years [median 7 years (interquartile range 4.1-10.8)]. RESULTS: In this extended analysis, M1, S1 and T1-T2 lesions as well as the whole MEST score were independently related with the combined endpoint (P < 0.01), and there was no effect modification by age for these associations, suggesting that they may be valid in children and in adults as well. Only T lesions were associated with the rate of eGFR loss in the whole cohort, whereas C showed this association only in patients not treated with immunosuppression. In separate prognostic analyses, the whole set of pathology lesions provided a gain in discrimination power over the clinical variables alone, which was similar at 5 years (+2.0%) and for the whole follow-up (+1.8%). A similar benefit was observed for risk reclassification analyses (+2.7% and +2.4%). CONCLUSION: Long-term follow-up analyses of the VALIGA cohort showed that the independent relationship between kidney biopsy findings and the risk of progression towards kidney failure in IgAN remains unchanged across all age groups and decades after the renal biopsy.

Repeat renal biopsy improves the Oxford classification-based prediction of immunoglobulin A nephropathy outcome.

BACKGROUND: The prognosis of IgA nephropathy (IgAN) is very heterogeneous. Predicting the nature and the rate of the disease progression is crucial for refining patient treatment. The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic impact of an Oxford classification-based repeat kidney tissue evaluation to predict end-stage renal disease (ESRD). METHODS: Patients with biopsy-proven primary IgAN who underwent two renal biopsies at our centre were analyzed retrospectively. Renal biopsies were scored by two pathologists blinded to the clinical data and according to the updated Oxford classification. Cox models were generated to evaluate the prognostic impact considering the Oxford classification elementary lesions from the first (Model 1) or the second (Model 2) biopsy, adjusted on clinical data at time of reevaluation. The prognostic impacts of the dynamic evolution of each elementary lesion between biopsies were also assessed through univariate and multivariate evaluation. RESULTS: A total of 168 adult patients were included, with a median follow-up duration of 18 (range 11-24) years. The second biopsy was performed either systematically (n = 112) of for-cause (n = 56), after a median time of 5.4 years. The prognostic performances of Model 2 (second biopsy) were significantly better than Model 1 (first biopsy, analysis of deviance P < 0.0001). The dynamic changes of C and T lesions were significantly associated with the progression toward ESRD after adjustment on variables from Model 2. CONCLUSION: Both static and dynamic Oxford-based histological evaluation offered by a repeat biopsy improves the prediction of ESRD in patients with IgAN.

Relationship between complement deposition and the Oxford classification score and their combined effects on renal outcome in immunoglobulin A nephropathy.

BACKGROUND: Complement activation has been highlighted in immunoglobulin (Ig) A nephropathy pathogenesis. However, whether the complement system can affect the downstream phenotype of IgA nephropathy remains unknown. Herein, we investigated the association of mesangial C3 deposition with the Oxford classification and their joint effects on worsening kidney function. METHODS: We investigated 453 patients with biopsy-proven IgA nephropathy. C3 deposition was defined as an immunofluorescence intensity of C3 ≥2+ within the mesangium. The subjects were classified according to the combination of C3 deposition and Oxford classification lesions. The primary endpoint was a composite of ≥30% decline in the estimated glomerular filtration rate or an increase in proteinuria ≥3.5 g/g during follow-up. RESULTS: Among the Oxford classification lesions, mesangial hypercellularity (M1), segmental glomerulosclerosis (S1) and tubulointerstitial fibrosis (T1-2) and crescentic lesion significantly correlated with C3 deposition. During a median follow-up of 33.0 months, the primary endpoint occurred more in patients with M1, S1, T1-2 and mesangial C3 deposition than in those without. In individual multivariable-adjusted Cox analyses, the presence of M1, S1, T1-2 and C3 deposition was significantly associated with higher risk of reaching primary endpoint. In the combined analyses of C3 deposition and the Oxford classification lesions, the hazard ratios for the composite outcome were significantly higher in the presence of C3/M1, C3/S1 and C3/crescent than in the presence of each lesion alone. CONCLUSIONS: Complement deposition can strengthen the significance of the Oxford classification, and the presence of both components portends a poorer prognosis in IgA nephropathy.

Predictive Capabilities of Three Widely Used Pathology Classification Systems and a Simplified Classification (Beijing Classification) in Primary IgA Nephropathy.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Several pathological classification systems were commonly used in clinical practice to predict the prognosis of IgA nephropathy (IgAN). However, how prognostic value differs between these systems is unclear. The aim of this study was to compare the Lee grade, the Oxford classification, and the Haas classification and to find a simplified classification. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed IgAN cases diagnosed between January 2002 and December 2007. The endpoints were progression to end-stage renal disease (ESRD) or a ≥50% decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). The predictive capabilities were evaluated by comparing the ability of discrimination (continuous net reclassification) and calibration (Akaike information criterion [AIC]). RESULTS: A total of 412 IgAN patients were included in the study. The average follow-up period was 80.62 ± 23.63 months. A total of 44 (10.68%) patients progressed to ESRD, and 70 (16.99%) patients showed a ≥50% decline in eGFR. All multivariate Cox regression models had limited power for high AIC values. The prognostic values of the Lee grade and the Oxford classification were higher than those of models containing only established baseline clinical indicators for progression to ESRD or a ≥50% decline in eGFR (Lee grade 0.50, 95% CI 0.21-0.74; Oxford classification 0.48, 95% CI 0.28-0.71). The prognostic value of the Haas classification was lower than that of the other pathological classification systems for progression to ESRD or a ≥50% decline in eGFR (Lee grade 0.53, 95% CI 0.23-0.92; Oxford classification 0.59, 95% CI 0.10-0.74). The prognostic value of hierarchical classification (Beijing classification) using M and T lesion was similar to the Oxford classification. CONCLUSIONS: Both the Lee grade and the Oxford classification showed incremental prognostic values beyond established baseline clinical indicators. The Haas classification was slightly inferior to the Lee grade and the Oxford classification. The hierarchical classification (Beijing classification) using less pathological parameters does not lose predictive efficiency.

Clinical importance of the updated Oxford classification in allograft IgA nephropathy.

With the recent update to the Oxford classification for allograft IgA nephropathy (IgAN), additional investigations on the clinical significance of the updated components are warranted. We performed a retrospective cohort study at two tertiary hospitals. Kidney transplant recipients diagnosed with allograft IgAN were included in the study after additional review by specialized pathologists. We applied the updated Oxford classification and determined the MEST-C scores of the patients. The main study outcome was death-censored graft failure within 10 years after the establishment of allograft IgAN diagnosis and was assessed using the Cox regression analysis. Three hundred thirty-three allograft IgAN patients were reviewed: 100 patients with confirmed native IgAN and 233 patients with other, clinical, or unknown primary causes for end-stage renal disease (ESRD). The updated Oxford classification for allograft IgAN demonstrated prognostic value for graft failure, and patients with multiple MEST-C components had worse outcomes. M, E, S, and C were significantly associated with the prognosis of recurred IgAN and T was the only independent prognostic parameter for allograft IgAN without confirmed native IgAN. Therefore, we suggest reporting MEST-C scores in allograft biopsies and careful interpretation of the results according to the primary cause of ESRD.

Is it possible to predict the evolution of IgAN? Validation of the IgA nephropathy progression calculator and its relationship with MEST-C score in our population. / ¿Es posible predecir la evolución de la nefropatia IgA? Validamos la calculadora de progresión de nefropatia IgA y su relación con Oxford score en nuestra población.

INTRODUCTION: IgA nephropathy (IgAN) is the most common and heterogeneous glomerular nephropathy. Several strategies have been used to determine the risk of progression to ESRD. We evaluate the prognostic significance and correlate the IgAN progression calculator (IgANPC) and the Oxford/MEST-C score in our population. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We performed a retrospective study of biopsied patients with diagnosis of IgA nephropathy from 1990 to 2015. We classified the biopsies using MEST-C score and we correlated the score to clinical evolution. We also calculated the risk of progression with the online IgANPC at the time of the biopsy. RESULTS: We analysed 48 biopsies, 83% of which were men with a mean age of 45 years at the time of the biopsy. Patients with a biopsy E1 according to MEST-C score had a higher IgANPC score than those with E0 (P=.021). The Pearson's correlation for the percentage of crescents and the IgANPC risk score was statistically significant (P=.014) with r=0.357. The percentage of patients with eGFR above 30 ml/min at 10 years was 100% for the low-risk group (group 1 of IgANPC), and 0% for the high-risk group (group 3), log rank P=0.001. The log rank comparison for variables of the MEST-C score, presented statistically significant results between E (0.036) and S (0.022) and the eGFR time<30 ml/min. A statistically significant relationship was also observed between T1 and eGFR<30 ml/min. The multivariate Cox regression analysis for IgANPC and eGFR<30 ml/min demonstrated a strong correlation (P=.016) between the risk group and eGFR <30 ml/min. CONCLUSION: In our study population, the IgANPC predicts the time to eGFR<30 ml/min, and adds information independent of the MEST. The MEST-C classification and IgANPC are useful and independent ÿolos for prognostic prediction, but more studies are needed to validate its use in the general population.

Clinical Significance of Crescent Formation in IgA Nephropathy - a Multicenter Validation Study.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Additional validation study was warranted to confirm the clinical significance of C score, which was recently added to the Oxford classification for immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN). METHODS: We performed a multicenter retrospective cohort study in four hospitals in Korea. Patients who had biopsied glomeruli less than eight or inadequate follow-up information were excluded. Clinicopathologic parameters, including the degree of cellular or fibrocellular crescents, were collected and included in multivariable models for Cox regression analysis. The main outcome was a composite renal outcome, defined as a merge of progression to end-stage renal disease (ESRD) and halving of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) from baseline. RESULTS: Among included 3,380 biopsy-confirmed IgAN patients, there were 664 (19.6%) patients with C1 and 60 (1.8%) patients with C2 scores in the study population. Although C0 and C1 patients shared similar baseline characteristics, C2 patients frequently had more clinicopathologic risk factors for poor prognosis of IgAN. Both C1 [adjusted HR 1.33 (1.11-1.58), P=0.002] and C2 [adjusted HR 2.24 (1.46-3.43), P< 0.001] scores were associated with an increased risk of the composite outcome. C2 was a strong predictive parameter associated with both progression to ESRD and halving of eGFR, whereas C1 was mainly associated with the increased risk of halving of eGFR. Notably, the proportion of crescent showed a linear association with the risk of adverse renal outcome. CONCLUSION: The C score in the Oxford classification is a valid predictive parameter for IgAN prognosis. Additional clinical attention is necessary for IgAN patients with identified cellular or fibrocellular crescents.

Crescents and Global Glomerulosclerosis in Chinese IgA Nephropathy Patients: A Five-Year Follow-Up.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: This study aims to evaluate the clinical significance of crescent and global glomerulosclerosis formation on renal outcome in patients with IgA nephropathy (IgAN). METHODS: Biopsy-proven primary IgAN patients from West China Hospital of Sichuan University were studied retrospectively between 2008 and 2015. Clinicopathological features and treatment modalities were recorded. The patients were divided into several groups on the basis of cellular and/or fibrocellular crescents scores and global glomerulosclerosis scores. Crescent (C) was scored according to the updated Oxford classification (C0/C1/C2). Global glomerulosclerosis (G) was scored according to the frequency of global glomerulosclerosis: G0 (≤25% of glomeruli), G1 (26-50% of glomeruli), and G2 (> 50% of glomeruli). The primary endpoint was defined as a 50% reduction in renal function or end stage renal disease. Patients were followed up for at least 12 months, or shorter if they reached study endpoints. 1328 patients with IgAN were recruited. Mean follow-up time was 46.1±23.6 months. The percentage of patients with C1 and C2 was 19.3% and 5.9% respectively. Higher crescent scores was associated with lower estimated glomerular filtration rates (eGFR), decreased serum albumin levels, increased amounts of urine protein, higher serum creatinine, as well as greater proportions of M1 and E1. The percentage of patients with G0, G1 and G2 was 70.5%, 20.7% and 8.8%, respectively. Elevated glomerulosclerosis scores were associated with lower eGFR levels, increased amounts of urine protein, higher levels of serum creatinine, higher incidences of arterial hypertension, as well as greater proportions of M1. There was a significantly higher proportion of T1/2 in patients with G2. In a multivariate model, crescent and global glomerulosclerosis were identified as independent predictors of decreased renal survival. CONCLUSION: Global glomerulosclerosis and crescents, as detected in renal biopsies, are strong predictors of long-term renal outcome of IgAN.