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1.
Clin Infect Dis ; 77(2): 212-219, 2023 07 26.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36947142

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Public health programs varied in ability to reach people with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and their contacts to encourage separation from others. For both adult case patients with COVID-19 and their contacts, we estimated the impact of contact tracing activities on separation behaviors from January 2020 until March 2022. METHODS: We used a probability-based panel survey of a nationally representative sample to gather data for estimates and comparisons. RESULTS: An estimated 64 255 351 adults reported a positive severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 test result; 79.6% isolated for ≥5 days, 60.2% isolated for ≥10 days, and 79.2% self-notified contacts. A total of, 24 057 139 (37.7%) completed a case investigation, and 46.2% of them reported contacts to health officials. More adults who completed a case investigation isolated than those who did not complete a case investigation (≥5 days, 82.6% vs 78.2%, respectively; ≥10 days, 69.8% vs 54.8%; both P < .05). A total of 84 946 636 adults were contacts of a COVID-19 case patient. Of these, 73.1% learned of their exposure directly from a case patient; 49.4% quarantined for ≥5 days, 18.7% quarantined for ≥14 days, and 13.5% completed a contact tracing call. More quarantined among those who completed a contact tracing call than among those who did not complete a tracing call (≥5 days, 61.2% vs 48.5%, respectively; ≥14 days, 25.2% vs 18.0%; both P < .05). CONCLUSIONS: Engagement in contact tracing was positively correlated with isolation and quarantine. However, most adults with COVID-19 isolated and self-notified contacts regardless of whether the public health workforce was able to reach them. Identifying and reaching contacts was challenging and limited the ability to promote quarantining, and testing.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Isolamento de Pacientes , Quarentena , Isolamento de Pacientes/estatística & dados numéricos , Quarentena/estatística & dados numéricos , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Busca de Comunicante , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Adolescente , Adulto Jovem , Adulto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso
2.
PLoS One ; 16(7): e0254012, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34264966

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: In response to the spread of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), plenty of control measures were proposed. To assess the impact of current control measures on the number of new case indices 14 countries with the highest confirmed cases, highest mortality rate, and having a close relationship with the outbreak's origin; were selected and analyzed. METHODS: In the study, we analyzed the impact of five control measures, including centralized isolation of all confirmed cases, closure of schools, closure of public areas, closure of cities, and closure of borders of the 14 targeted countries according to their timing; by comparing its absolute effect average, its absolute effect cumulative, and its relative effect average. RESULTS: Our analysis determined that early centralized isolation of all confirmed cases was represented as a core intervention in significantly disrupting the pandemic's spread. This strategy helped in successfully controlling the early stage of the outbreak when the total number of cases were under 100, without the requirement of the closure of cities and public areas, which would impose a negative impact on the society and its economy. However, when the number of cases increased with the apparition of new clusters, coordination between centralized isolation and non-pharmaceutical interventions facilitated control of the crisis efficiently. CONCLUSION: Early centralized isolation of all confirmed cases should be implemented at the time of the first detected infectious case.


Assuntos
COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Isolamento de Pacientes/estatística & dados numéricos , Quarentena/estatística & dados numéricos , COVID-19/transmissão , Notificação de Doenças/estatística & dados numéricos , Transmissão de Doença Infecciosa/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Modelos Estatísticos
3.
Medicine (Baltimore) ; 100(28): e26634, 2021 Jul 16.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34260556

RESUMO

ABSTRACT: Emergency departments (EDs) are on the frontline of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak. To resolve the abrupt overloading of COVID-19-suspected patients in a community, each ED needs to respond in various ways. In our hospital, we increased the isolation beds through temporary remodeling and by performing in-hospital COVID-19 polymerase chain reaction testing rather than outsourcing them. The aim of this study was to verify the effects of our response to the newly developed viral outbreak.The medical records of patients who presented to an ED were analyzed retrospectively. We divided the study period into 3: pre-COVID-19, transition period of response (the period before fully implementing the response measures), and post-response (the period after complete response). We compared the parameters of the National Emergency Department Information System and information about isolation and COVID-19.The number of daily ED patients was 86.8 ±â€Š15.4 in the pre-COVID-19, 36.3 ±â€Š13.6 in the transition period, and 67.2 ±â€Š10.0 in the post-response period (P < .001). The lengths of stay in the ED were significantly higher in transition period than in the other periods [pre-COVID-19 period, 219.0 (121.0-378.0) min; transition period, 301 (150.0-766.5) min; post-response period, 281.0 (114.0-575.0) min; P < .001]. The ratios of use of an isolation room and fever (≥37.5°C) were highest in the post-response period [use of isolation room: pre-COVID-19 period, 0.6 (0.7%); transition period, 1.2 (3.3%); post-response period, 16.1 (24.0%); P < .001; fever: pre-COVID-19 period, 14.8(17.3%); transition period, 6.8 (19.1%); post-response period, 14.5 (21.9%), P < .001].During an outbreak of a novel infectious disease, increasing the number of isolation rooms in the ED and applying a rapid confirmation test would enable the accommodation of more suspected patients, which could help reduce the risk posed to the community and thus prevent strain on the local emergency medical system.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Surtos de Doenças/estatística & dados numéricos , Serviços Médicos de Emergência/estatística & dados numéricos , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência/estatística & dados numéricos , Controle de Infecções/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Idoso , Continuidade da Assistência ao Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Isolamento de Pacientes/estatística & dados numéricos , República da Coreia , Estudos Retrospectivos , SARS-CoV-2
5.
J Med Virol ; 93(8): 5146-5151, 2021 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33559907

RESUMO

Despite vaccination programs and antivirals, influenza remains a prominent cause of morbidity and mortality. The Xpert Xpress Flu/respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) test is a leading influenza point-of-care test, but its evaluation has been limited to nasopharyngeal samples. In addition, the clinical impacts of Xpress Flu/RSV have not yet been quantified. We evaluated the performance of Xpress Flu/RSV at three locations in a UK Hospital Trust against an existing laboratory assay. Multiple upper respiratory tract sample types were included. In addition, we calculated time saved by Xpert, and the associations between Xpert use and rates of early patient isolation and antiviral prescription as recorded at the time of the laboratory result being telephoned out. A total of 642 patients were included in the diagnostic performance analysis. There were 177 laboratory-confirmed cases of influenza A, 7 influenza B and 86 RSV. For influenza A, sensitivity and specificity were 96.6% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 92.8%-98.8%) and 98.1% (CI: 96.4%-99.1%), respectively. This was sustained across all locations and sample types. The negative predictive value was 98.7% (CI: 97.2%-99.4%). The median amount of time saved was 27.1 h. Xpert use was associated with sixfold higher rates of isolation and threefold higher rates of antiviral prescribing by the time the laboratory result was available. Sensitivity for RSV was lower at 86.0% (95% CI: 76.9%-92.6%). Xpert Xpress Flu/RSV reliably detects influenza A infection and has significant clinical impacts. Cartridge optimization is required to enable accurate multiplexing, including from a range of sample types.


Assuntos
Hospitais/estatística & dados numéricos , Influenza Humana/diagnóstico , Testes Imediatos , Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial/diagnóstico , Adulto , Antivirais/uso terapêutico , Criança , Humanos , Vírus da Influenza A/isolamento & purificação , Vírus da Influenza B/isolamento & purificação , Influenza Humana/tratamento farmacológico , Nasofaringe/virologia , Isolamento de Pacientes/estatística & dados numéricos , Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial/tratamento farmacológico , Vírus Sincicial Respiratório Humano/isolamento & purificação , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Fatores de Tempo , Reino Unido
6.
J Prim Care Community Health ; 12: 2150132720987711, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33525985

RESUMO

SARS-CoV-2 initially emerged in Wuhan, China in late 2019. It has since been recognized as a pandemic and has led to great social and economic disruption globally. The Reverse Transcriptase Real-Time Polymerase Chain Reaction (rtRT-PCR) has become the primary method for COVID-19 testing worldwide. The method requires a specialized laboratory set up. Long-term persistence of SARS-CoV-2 RNA in nasopharyngeal secretion after full clinical recovery of the patient is regularly observed nowadays. This forces the patients to spend a longer period in isolation and test repeatedly to obtain evidence of viral clearance. Repeated COVID-19 testing in asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic cases often leads to extra workload for laboratories that are already struggling with a high specimen turnover. Here, we present 5 purposively selected cases with different patterns of clinical presentations in which nasopharyngeal shedding of SARS-CoV-2 RNA was observed in patients for a long time. From these case studies, we emphasized the adoption of a symptom-based approach for discontinuing transmission-based precautions over a test-based strategy to reduce the time spent by asymptomatic and mildly symptomatic COVID-19 patients in isolation. A symptom-based approach will also help reduce laboratory burden for COVID-19 testing as well as conserve valuable resources and supplies utilized for rtRT-PCR testing in an emerging lower-middle-income setting. Most importantly, it will also make room for critically ill COVID-19 patients to visit or avail COVID-19 testing at their convenience.


Assuntos
Teste para COVID-19/métodos , COVID-19/diagnóstico , Alocação de Recursos para a Atenção à Saúde/métodos , Avaliação de Sintomas , Adulto , COVID-19/complicações , Teste para COVID-19/estatística & dados numéricos , Países em Desenvolvimento , Feminino , Humanos , Laboratórios/estatística & dados numéricos , Masculino , Isolamento de Pacientes/estatística & dados numéricos , RNA Viral/isolamento & purificação , Reação em Cadeia da Polimerase Via Transcriptase Reversa , SARS-CoV-2/genética , SARS-CoV-2/isolamento & purificação , Adulto Jovem
7.
J Med Syst ; 45(4): 42, 2021 Feb 19.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33608811

RESUMO

In confronting the sudden epidemic of COVID-19, China and other countries have been under great deal of pressure to block virus transmission and reduce death cases. Fangcang shelter hospital, which is converted from large-scale public venue, is proposed and proven to be an effective way for administering medical care and social isolation. This paper presents the practice in information technology support for a Fangcang shelter hospital in Wuhan, China. The experiences include the deployment strategy of IT infrastructure, the redesign of function modules in the hospital information system (HIS), equipment maintenance and medical staff training. The deployment strategy and HIS modules have ensured smoothness and efficiency of clinical work. The team established a quick response mechanism and adhered to the principle of nosocomial infection control. Deployment of network and modification of HIS was finished in the 48 hours before patient admittance. A repair hotline and remote support for equipment and software were available whenever medical workers met with any questions. No engineer ever entered the contaminated areas and no one was infected by the coronavirus during the hospital operation. Up to now, Fangcang shelter hospital is adopted by many regions around the world facing the collapse of their medical systems. This valuable experience in informatization construction and service in Wuhan may help participators involving in Fangcang shelter hospital get better information technology support, and find more practical interventions to fight the epidemic.


Assuntos
COVID-19/terapia , Abrigo de Emergência/organização & administração , Hospitais Especializados/organização & administração , Unidades Móveis de Saúde/organização & administração , Isolamento de Pacientes/estatística & dados numéricos , COVID-19/epidemiologia , China , Emergências , Arquitetura de Instituições de Saúde , Hospitais de Isolamento , Humanos , Tecnologia da Informação , Fatores de Risco
8.
Trauma Violence Abuse ; 22(2): 318-338, 2021 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31122160

RESUMO

Children placed in residential treatment centers (RTCs) typically present challenging behavior including aggression. In this context, restraint and seclusion (R&S) are seen as "last resort" strategies for educators to manage youth aggression. The use of R&S is controversial, as they can lead to psychological and physical consequences for both the client and the care provider and have yet to be empirically validated as therapeutic. The objectives of this systematic review are to identify the factors related to R&S use in RTCs for youth and to review the interventions aiming to reduce the use of R&S. The identification of these factors is the first step to gaining a better understanding of the decision-making process leading to the use of R&S and ultimately to reducing the use of these strategies to a minimum. Thus, the present systematic review was conducted by searching PubMed, CINAHL, ERIC, and PsycNET for articles published between 2002 and 2017. Key words used were synonyms of R&S, youth, and RTCs. Thirty-one studies met the inclusion criteria: must report on factors affecting the use of R&S in RTCs, must be conducted in RTCs for youth under the age of 21, and must report on original and empirical data. Factors related to the characteristics of the client, the care provider, and the environment, as well as to the implementation of programs for the reduction of R&S, were found to influence the use of R&S in RTCs. A conceptual model is presented. The implementation of programs to reduce R&S use is discussed.


Assuntos
Isolamento de Pacientes , Tratamento Domiciliar , Restrição Física , Adolescente , Agressão , Criança , Humanos , Isolamento de Pacientes/estatística & dados numéricos , Restrição Física/estatística & dados numéricos , Fatores de Risco
9.
Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol ; 42(3): 344-347, 2021 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32829726

RESUMO

We describe an approach to the evaluation and isolation of hospitalized persons under investigation (PUIs) for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) at a large US academic medical center. Only a small proportion (2.9%) of PUIs with 1 or more repeated severe acute respiratory coronavirus virus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) nucleic acid amplification tests (NAATs) after a negative NAAT were diagnosed with COVID-19.


Assuntos
Teste para COVID-19/estatística & dados numéricos , COVID-19/diagnóstico , Isolamento de Pacientes/estatística & dados numéricos , Padrões de Prática Médica/normas , Centros Médicos Acadêmicos , Boston , Controle de Doenças Transmissíveis/métodos , Hospitalização , Humanos , Técnicas de Amplificação de Ácido Nucleico , Padrões de Prática Médica/organização & administração , Estudos Retrospectivos , SARS-CoV-2
10.
Epidemiol Psychiatr Sci ; 29: e190, 2020 Dec 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33261713

RESUMO

AIMS: The use of mechanical restraint is a challenging area for psychiatry. Although mechanical restraint remains accepted as standard practice in some regions, there are ethical, legal and medical reasons to minimise or abolish its use. These concerns have intensified following the Convention on the Rights of Persons with Disabilities. Despite national policies to reduce use, the reporting of mechanical restraint has been poor, hampering a reasonable understanding of the epidemiology of restraint. This paper aims to develop a consistent measure of mechanical restraint and compare the measure within and across countries in the Pacific Rim. METHODS: We used the publicly available data from four Pacific Rim countries (Australia, New Zealand, Japan and the United States) to compare and contrast the reported rates of mechanical restraint. Summary measures were computed so as to enable international comparisons. Variation within each jurisdiction was also analysed. RESULTS: International rates of mechanical restraint in 2017 varied from 0.03 (New Zealand) to 98.9 (Japan) restraint events per million population per day, a variation greater than 3000-fold. Restraint in Australia (0.17 events per million) and the United States (0.37 events per million) fell between these two extremes. Variation as measured by restraint events per 1000 bed-days was less extreme but still substantial. Within all four countries there was also significant variation in restraint across districts. Variation across time did not show a steady reduction in restraint in any country during the period for which data were available (starting from 2003 at the earliest). CONCLUSIONS: Policies to reduce or abolish mechanical restraint do not appear to be effecting change. It is improbable that the variation in restraint within the four examined Pacific Rim countries is accountable for by psychopathology. Greater efforts at reporting, monitoring and carrying out interventions to achieve the stated aim of reducing restraint are urgently needed.


Assuntos
Hospitais Psiquiátricos/estatística & dados numéricos , Isolamento de Pacientes/estatística & dados numéricos , Restrição Física/estatística & dados numéricos , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Austrália , Coerção , Comparação Transcultural , Estudos Epidemiológicos , Humanos , Japão , Transtornos Mentais/epidemiologia , Transtornos Mentais/terapia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Nova Zelândia , Estados Unidos
11.
Rev. clín. esp. (Ed. impr.) ; 220(8): 495-500, nov. 2020. mapas, graf
Artigo em Espanhol | IBECS | ID: ibc-187746

RESUMO

ANTECEDENTES Y OBJETIVO: Desde diciembre del 2019, se está detectando en el mundo un incremento de casos de una nueva enfermedad causada por el coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19). El objetivo de este artículo es proporcionar recomendaciones científicas para la prevención y el control de la COVID-19 en todo el mundo. MÉTODOS: Se han recopilado características demográficas generales, antecedentes epidemiológicos y síntomas clínicos de la COVID-19 recogidos en los sitios web de múltiples Comisiones Municipales de Salud en China. Aquí describimos las distribuciones temporales, geográficas y de población de la COVID-19. RESULTADOS: Hasta la medianoche del 10 de febrero del 2020, el número de casos confirmados de COVID-19 en China fue de 42.638, siendo Hubei la provincia con un mayor número de casos confirmados (31.728), seguida por Guangdong (1.177), Zhejiang (1.117) y la provincia de Henan (1.105), en China. El número de casos y la velocidad de confirmación en otras provincias fue más moderada que en la provincia de Hubei. La mediana (rango intecuartílico) de edad de 1.740 pacientes de COVID-19 fue de 44 años (33, 54), con un rango desde los 10 meses a los 89 años. CONCLUSIONES: La epidemia de COVID-19 se ha de considerar como una amenaza mundial, y los pasos encaminados para su control incluyen el diagnóstico temprano y su tratamiento, así como el aislamiento


BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Since December 2019, increasing cases of novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) are being detected worldwide. The purpose of this paper is to provide a scientific reference for the global prevention and control of COVID-19. METHODS: General demographic characteristics, epidemiological history, and clinical symptoms of COVID-19 were collected that had been reported on the websites of multiple Municipal Health Commissions in China. We herein describe distributions in time, place, and population of COVID-19. RESULTS: As of midnight on February 10, 2020, the number of confirmed cases of COVID-19 in China was 42,638, and the province with the largest number of confirmed cases was Hubei (31728), followed by Guangdong (1177), Zhejiang (1117), and Henan (1105) province. The number of cases and the speed of confirmed cases in provinces other than Hubei were more moderate than those of the Hubei province. The median (interquartile range) age of 1740 patients with COVID-19 was 44 (33, 54) years, with a range of 10 months to 89 years. CONCLUSIONS: The COVID-19 epidemic should be considered a global threat and the steps for control include early diagnosis and treatment, as well as isolation


Assuntos
Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Lactente , Pré-Escolar , Criança , Adolescente , Adulto Jovem , Adulto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Infecções por Coronavirus/epidemiologia , Coronavírus Relacionado à Síndrome Respiratória Aguda Grave/patogenicidade , Pneumonia Viral/epidemiologia , Pandemias/estatística & dados numéricos , China/epidemiologia , Distribuição Temporal , Sistemas de Informação Geográfica/organização & administração , Estudos Ecológicos , Ameaças/análise , Isolamento de Pacientes/estatística & dados numéricos , Diagnóstico Precoce
12.
Med Care ; 58(10): 889-894, 2020 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32925415

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Patients in inpatient psychiatry settings are uniquely vulnerable to harm. As sources of harm, research and policy efforts have specifically focused on minimizing and eliminating restraint and seclusion. The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid's Inpatient Psychiatric Facility Quality Reporting (IPFQR) program attempts to systematically measure and reduce restraint and seclusion. We evaluated facilities' response to the IPFQR program and differences by ownership, hypothesizing that facilities reporting these measures for the first time will show a greater reduction and that ownership will moderate this effect. METHODS: Using a difference-in-differences design and exploiting variation among facilities that previously reported on these measures to The Joint Commission, we examined the effect of the IPFQR public reporting program on the use and duration of restraint and seclusion from the end of 2012 through 2017. RESULTS: There were a total of 9705 observations of facilities among 1841 unique facilities. Results suggest the IPFQR program reduced duration of restraint by 48.96% [95% confidence interval (95% CI), 16.69%-68.73%] and seclusion by 53.54% (95% CI, 19.71%-73.12%). There was no change in odds of zero restraint and, among for-profits only, a decrease of 36.89% (95% CI, 9.32%-56.07%) in the odds of zero seclusion. CONCLUSIONS: This is the first examination of the effect of the IPFQR program on restraint and seclusion, suggesting the program was successful in reducing their use. We did not find support for ownership moderating this effect. Additional research is needed to understand mechanisms of response and the impact of the program on nontargeted aspects of quality.


Assuntos
Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, U.S./normas , Transtornos Mentais , Isolamento de Pacientes/estatística & dados numéricos , Unidade Hospitalar de Psiquiatria/estatística & dados numéricos , Restrição Física/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Pacientes Internados , Propriedade , Registros Públicos de Dados de Cuidados de Saúde , Fatores de Tempo , Estados Unidos
13.
Child Abuse Negl ; 109: 104702, 2020 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32891971

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Many children and youth living in residential units have experienced multiple traumas that may result in challenging behaviors. Among a range of professional responses, staff may use restraint, seclusion and time-out to manage these behaviors. OBJECTIVE: To enhance our understanding of these restrictive interventions in residential units as a means of improving professional practices involving children and youth in out-of-home care. PARTICIPANTS AND SETTING: Administrative data were used. Restrictive intervention data for 324 children and youth (29 units) over a 6-month period were extracted. METHODS: Latent profile analysis was used to identify subgroups of children and youth with distinct restrictive intervention profiles. Children and youth in these profiles were compared on individual (age, sex, ethnic group, length of stay in unit, reasons for services) and environmental characteristics (unit type, type of services, specialized designation). RESULTS: Restrictive interventions, especially time-outs, were frequent (5136 interventions; 69% time-outs), yet approximately half of the sample did not experience any. Restraints, seclusions and time-outs differed in frequency, duration and reason for use. A two-profile model was favored for children and youth who were subjected to restrictive interventions (classification accuracy = 94%). Children and youth in these two profiles differed from each other, and from those not subjected to restrictive interventions, on numerous individual and environmental characteristics. CONCLUSION: The use of restrictive interventions is frequent, and attention should be paid to individual and environmental risk factors identified in this study (i.e., being a boy, non-Caucasian, taken into care for neglect, and having a longer stay in unit).


Assuntos
Lares para Grupos/estatística & dados numéricos , Isolamento de Pacientes/métodos , Tratamento Domiciliar/métodos , Restrição Física/métodos , Adolescente , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Isolamento de Pacientes/psicologia , Isolamento de Pacientes/estatística & dados numéricos , Quebeque , Tratamento Domiciliar/estatística & dados numéricos , Restrição Física/psicologia , Restrição Física/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto Jovem
14.
Math Biosci Eng ; 17(4): 4165-4183, 2020 06 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32987574

RESUMO

In this paper we develop a compartmental epidemic model to study the transmission dynamics of the COVID-19 epidemic outbreak, with Mexico as a practical example. In particular, we evaluate the theoretical impact of plausible control interventions such as home quarantine, social distancing, cautious behavior and other self-imposed measures. We also investigate the impact of environmental cleaning and disinfection, and government-imposed isolation of infected individuals. We use a Bayesian approach and officially published data to estimate some of the model parameters, including the basic reproduction number. Our findings suggest that social distancing and quarantine are the winning strategies to reduce the impact of the outbreak. Environmental cleaning can also be relevant, but its cost and effort required to bring the maximum of the outbreak under control indicate that its cost-efficacy is low.


Assuntos
Betacoronavirus , Infecções por Coronavirus/transmissão , Modelos Biológicos , Pandemias , Pneumonia Viral/transmissão , Número Básico de Reprodução/estatística & dados numéricos , Teorema de Bayes , COVID-19 , Simulação por Computador , Infecções por Coronavirus/epidemiologia , Infecções por Coronavirus/prevenção & controle , Desinfecção/estatística & dados numéricos , Epidemias/prevenção & controle , Epidemias/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Controle de Infecções/métodos , Controle de Infecções/estatística & dados numéricos , Conceitos Matemáticos , México/epidemiologia , Pandemias/prevenção & controle , Pandemias/estatística & dados numéricos , Isolamento de Pacientes/estatística & dados numéricos , Pneumonia Viral/epidemiologia , Pneumonia Viral/prevenção & controle , Quarentena/estatística & dados numéricos , SARS-CoV-2
15.
Emerg Med Australas ; 32(6): 1034-1039, 2020 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32794298

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: The number of patients with suspected COVID-19 presenting to Australian EDs continues to impose a burden on healthcare services. Isolation is an important aspect of infection prevention and control, but has been associated with undesirable consequences among hospital inpatients. The aim of the present study was to determine if isolation is associated with an increased length of stay (LOS) in the ED. METHODS: The Registry for Emergency Care Project is a prospective cohort study with a series of nested sub-studies. The present study was a retrospective analysis of adult patients allocated an Australasian Triage Scale category of 1 or 2 who presented to a tertiary ED between 18 and 31 May 2020. The primary outcome was ED LOS. Regression methods were used to determine the independent association between ED isolation and LOS. RESULTS: There were 447 patients who met inclusion criteria, of which 123 (28%) were managed in isolation. The median (interquartile range) ED LOS was 259 (210-377) min for the isolation group and 204 (126-297) min for the non-isolation group, a difference in median ED LOS of 55 min (P < 0.001). Isolation was independently associated with a 23% increase in ED LOS (P = 0.002) and doubled the odds of an ED stay of more than 4 h (adjusted odds ratio 2.2 [1.4-3.4], P = 0.001). CONCLUSION: Consistent with the anecdotal experience of Australian ED clinicians, the present study demonstrated an increased ED LOS for patients managed in isolation. Enhanced infection prevention and control precautions will be required during and beyond the current pandemic, creating significant ongoing challenges for emergency care systems.


Assuntos
Infecções por Coronavirus/epidemiologia , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência/estatística & dados numéricos , Tempo de Internação/estatística & dados numéricos , Isolamento de Pacientes/estatística & dados numéricos , Pneumonia Viral/epidemiologia , Austrália/epidemiologia , COVID-19 , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Pandemias , Sistema de Registros , Estudos Retrospectivos
16.
Eur J Pediatr ; 179(12): 1949-1955, 2020 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32767137

RESUMO

Since February 21, 2020, SARS-CoV-2 has spread exponentially worldwide. Neonatal patients needing intensive care are considered a vulnerable population. To report the results of a policy based on multi-timepoint surveillance for SARS-CoV-2 of all neonates admitted to the neonatal intensive care unit (NICU), their parents, and all healthcare providers in a part of Italy with a high prevalence of the infection. Observational study conducted from 21 February to 21 April 2020. Intervention consisted of (a) parental triage on arrival at the neonatal ward; (b) universal testing with nasopharyngeal swabs and blood testing for SARS-CoV-2 IgM and IgG antibodies; (c) use of continuous personal protective equipment at the NICU by parents and staff. A total of 6726 triage procedures were performed on 114 parents, and 954 nasopharyngeal swabs were collected from 226 individuals. Five (2.2%) asymptomatic individuals (2 parents and 3 healthcare providers) tested positive on nasopharyngeal swabs and were kept isolated for 14 days. Of 75 admitted newborn, no one tested positive on nasopharyngeal swabs or antibody tests. Three parents presented with fever or flu-like symptoms at triage; they tested negative on swabs.Conclusion: With universal screening of neonates, parents, and staff, there were no cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection among the neonates admitted to a NICU in an area with a high incidence of SARS-CoV-2. Our experience could be usefully compared with other strategies with a view to developing future evidence-based guidelines for managing high-risk neonates in case of new epidemics. What is Known: • The novel coronavirus named SARS-CoV-2 has since spread worldwide at a remarkable rate, with more than 2.5 million confirmed cases. • Pediatric population may be less affected from COVID-19 than adult population but infants and newborn babies seem to be more vulnerable to SARS-CoV-2 infection. What is New: • Using an approach based on triage; testing with nasopharyngeal swabs and serology; and use of personal protective equipment, there were no cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection among neonates in a NICU in a high incidence of SARS-CoV-2 area. • Positive and asymptomatic individuals were identified and isolated early allowing the containment of infection's spread among healthcare providers and parents.


Assuntos
Infecções por Coronavirus/diagnóstico , Transmissão de Doença Infecciosa/prevenção & controle , Recém-Nascido Prematuro , Controle de Infecções/métodos , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva Neonatal/estatística & dados numéricos , Triagem Neonatal/métodos , Pneumonia Viral/diagnóstico , COVID-19 , Infecções por Coronavirus/epidemiologia , Feminino , Pessoal de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Recém-Nascido , Itália , Masculino , Pandemias/prevenção & controle , Pandemias/estatística & dados numéricos , Pais , Isolamento de Pacientes/estatística & dados numéricos , Pneumonia Viral/epidemiologia , Prevalência , Medição de Risco , Síndrome Respiratória Aguda Grave/diagnóstico , Síndrome Respiratória Aguda Grave/epidemiologia , Triagem , Populações Vulneráveis
17.
Infect Dis Poverty ; 9(1): 104, 2020 Jul 23.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32703281

RESUMO

From December 25, 2019 to January 31, 2020, 33 cases of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) were identified in the Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine of Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, China, yet none of the affiliated HCWs was infected. Here we analyzed the infection control measures used in three different departments in the Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University and correlated the measures with the corresponding infection data of HCWs affiliated with these departments. We found that three infection control measures, namely the isolation of the presumed positive patients, the use of facemasks and intensified hand hygiene play important roles in preventing nosocomial transmission of COVID-19.


Assuntos
Infecções por Coronavirus/prevenção & controle , Infecção Hospitalar/prevenção & controle , Higiene das Mãos/estatística & dados numéricos , Pessoal de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Máscaras/estatística & dados numéricos , Pandemias/prevenção & controle , Isolamento de Pacientes/estatística & dados numéricos , Pneumonia Viral/prevenção & controle , Adulto , Idoso , Betacoronavirus/fisiologia , COVID-19 , China , Infecções por Coronavirus/transmissão , Infecção Hospitalar/transmissão , Feminino , Hospitais Universitários , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Pneumonia Viral/transmissão , SARS-CoV-2 , Adulto Jovem
19.
Int J Health Policy Manag ; 9(11): 475-483, 2020 11 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32654437

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Allocation of adequate healthcare facilities is one of the most important factors that public health policymakers consider when preparing for infectious disease outbreaks. Negative pressure isolation rooms (NPIRs) are one of the critical resources for control of infectious respiratory diseases, such as the novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak. However, there is insufficient attention to efficient allocation of NPIR-equipped hospitals. METHODS: We aim to explore any insufficiency and spatial disparity of NPIRs in South Korea in response to infectious disease outbreaks based on a simple analytic approach. We examined the history of installing NPIRs in South Korea between the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) outbreak in 2003 and the Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-Cov) in 2015 to evaluate the allocation process and spatial distribution of NPIRs across the country. Then, for two types of infectious diseases (a highly contagious disease like COVID-19 vs. a hospital-based transmission like MERS-Cov), we estimated the level of disparity between NPIR capacity and demand at the sub-regional level in South Korea by applying the two-step floating catchment area (2SFCA) method. RESULTS: Geospatial information system (GIS) mapping reveals a substantial shortage and misallocation of NPIRs, indicating that the Korean government should consider a simple but evidence-based spatial method to identify the areas that need NPIRs most and allocate funds wisely. The 2SFCA method suggests that, despite the recent addition of NPIRs across the country, there should still be more NPIRs regardless of the spread pattern of the disease. It also illustrates high levels of regional disparity in allocation of those facilities in preparation for an infectious disease, due to the lack of evidence-based approach. CONCLUSION: These findings highlight the importance of evidence-based decision-making processes in allocating public health facilities, as misallocation of facilities could impede the responsiveness of the public health system during an epidemic. This study provides some evidence to be used to allocate the resources for NPIRs, the urgency of which is heightened in the face of rapidly evolving threats from the novel COVID-19 outbreak.


Assuntos
COVID-19/terapia , Alocação de Recursos para a Atenção à Saúde/métodos , Hospitais/estatística & dados numéricos , Isolamento de Pacientes/métodos , Isolamento de Pacientes/estatística & dados numéricos , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Infecções por Coronavirus/prevenção & controle , Infecções por Coronavirus/terapia , Surtos de Doenças , Humanos , República da Coreia , SARS-CoV-2
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