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1.
BMJ Ment Health ; 27(1)2024 Jun 17.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38886095

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Individuals with psychiatric disorders have an increased risk of developing dementia. Most cross-sectional studies suffer from selection bias, underdiagnosis and poor population representation, while there is only limited evidence from longitudinal studies on the role of anxiety, bipolar and psychotic disorders. Electronic health records (EHRs) permit large cohorts to be followed across the lifespan and include a wide range of diagnostic information. OBJECTIVE: To assess the association between four groups of psychiatric disorders (schizophrenia, bipolar disorder/mania, depression and anxiety) with dementia in two large population-based samples with EHR. METHODS: Using EHR on nearly 1 million adult individuals in Wales, and from 228 937 UK Biobank participants, we studied the relationships between schizophrenia, mania/bipolar disorder, depression, anxiety and subsequent risk of dementia. FINDINGS: In Secure Anonymised Information Linkage, there was a steep increase in the incidence of a first diagnosis of psychiatric disorder in the years prior to the diagnosis of dementia, reaching a peak in the year prior to dementia diagnosis for all psychiatric diagnoses. Psychiatric disorders, except anxiety, were highly significantly associated with a subsequent diagnosis of dementia: HRs=2.87, 2.80, 1.63 for schizophrenia, mania/bipolar disorder and depression, respectively. A similar pattern was found in the UK Biobank (HRs=4.46, 3.65, 2.39, respectively) and anxiety was also associated with dementia (HR=1.34). Increased risk of dementia was observed for all ages at onset of psychiatric diagnoses when these were divided into 10-year bins. CONCLUSIONS: Psychiatric disorders are associated with an increased risk of subsequent dementia, with a greater risk of more severe disorders. CLINICAL IMPLICATIONS: A late onset of psychiatric disorders should alert clinicians of possible incipient dementia.


Assuntos
Demência , Transtornos Mentais , Humanos , Demência/epidemiologia , Demência/etiologia , Demência/diagnóstico , Feminino , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Adulto , Transtornos Mentais/epidemiologia , Transtornos Mentais/diagnóstico , País de Gales/epidemiologia , Registros Eletrônicos de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Transtorno Bipolar/epidemiologia , Transtorno Bipolar/diagnóstico , Reino Unido/epidemiologia , Esquizofrenia/epidemiologia , Esquizofrenia/diagnóstico , Fatores de Risco , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Incidência
2.
BMJ Open ; 14(6): e079169, 2024 Jun 19.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38904124

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: To compare the patterns of multimorbidity between people with and without rheumatic and musculoskeletal diseases (RMDs) and to describe how these patterns change by age and sex over time, between 2010 and 2019. PARTICIPANTS: 103 426 people with RMDs and 2.9 million comparators registered in 395 Wales general practices (GPs). Each patient with an RMD aged 0-100 years between January 2010 and December 2019 registered in Clinical Practice Research Welsh practices was matched with up to five comparators without an RMD, based on age, gender and GP code. PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURES: The prevalence of 29 Elixhauser-defined comorbidities in people with RMDs and comparators categorised by age, gender and GP practices. Conditional logistic regression models were fitted to calculate differences (OR, 95% CI) in associations with comorbidities between cohorts. RESULTS: The most prevalent comorbidities were cardiovascular risk factors, hypertension and diabetes. Having an RMD diagnosis was associated with a significantly higher odds for many conditions including deficiency anaemia (OR 1.39, 95% CI (1.32 to 1.46)), hypothyroidism (OR 1.34, 95% CI (1.19 to 1.50)), pulmonary circulation disorders (OR 1.39, 95% CI 1.12 to 1.73) diabetes (OR 1.17, 95% CI (1.11 to 1.23)) and fluid and electrolyte disorders (OR 1.27, 95% CI (1.17 to 1.38)). RMDs have a higher proportion of multimorbidity (two or more conditions in addition to the RMD) compared with non-RMD group (81% and 73%, respectively in 2019) and the mean number of comorbidities was higher in women from the age of 25 and 50 in men than in non-RMDs group. CONCLUSION: People with RMDs are approximately 1.5 times as likely to have multimorbidity as the general population and provide a high-risk group for targeted intervention studies. The individuals with RMDs experience a greater load of coexisting health conditions, which tend to manifest at earlier ages. This phenomenon is particularly pronounced among women. Additionally, there is an under-reporting of comorbidities in individuals with RMDs.


Assuntos
Registros Eletrônicos de Saúde , Multimorbidade , Doenças Musculoesqueléticas , Doenças Reumáticas , Humanos , Feminino , Masculino , Doenças Musculoesqueléticas/epidemiologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , País de Gales/epidemiologia , Adulto , Idoso , Doenças Reumáticas/epidemiologia , Registros Eletrônicos de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Adolescente , Adulto Jovem , Criança , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Pré-Escolar , Lactente , Prevalência , Recém-Nascido , Estudos de Coortes , Fatores de Risco
4.
Br J Gen Pract ; 74(743): e371-e378, 2024 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38806210

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Childhood urinary tract infection (UTI) can cause renal scarring, and possibly hypertension, chronic kidney disease (CKD), and end-stage renal failure (ESRF). Previous studies have focused on selected populations, with severe illness or underlying risk factors. The risk for most children with UTI is unclear. AIM: To examine the association between childhood UTI and outcomes in an unselected population of children. DESIGN AND SETTING: A retrospective population-based cohort study using linked GP, hospital, and microbiology records in Wales, UK. METHOD: Participants were all children born in 2005-2009, with follow-up until 31 December 2017. The exposure was microbiologically confirmed UTI before the age of 5 years. The key outcome measures were renal scarring, hypertension, CKD, and ESRF. RESULTS: In total, 159 201 children were included; 77 524 (48.7%) were female and 7% (n = 11 099) had UTI before the age of 5 years. A total of 0.16% (n = 245) were diagnosed with renal scarring by the age of 7 years. Odds of renal scarring were higher in children by age 7 years with UTI (1.24%; adjusted odds ratio 4.60 [95% confidence interval [CI] = 3.33 to 6.35]). Mean follow-up was 9.53 years. Adjusted hazard ratios were: 1.44 (95% CI = 0.84 to 2.46) for hypertension; 1.67 (95% CI = 0.85 to 3.31) for CKD; and 1.16 (95% CI = 0.56 to 2.37) for ESRF. CONCLUSION: The prevalence of renal scarring in an unselected population of children with UTI is low. Without underlying risk factors, UTI is not associated with CKD, hypertension, or ESRF by the age of 10 years. Further research with systematic scanning of children's kidneys, including those with less severe UTI and without UTI, is needed to increase the certainty of these results, as most children are not scanned. Longer follow-up is needed to establish if UTI, without additional risk factors, is associated with hypertension, CKD, or ESRF later in life.


Assuntos
Infecções Urinárias , Humanos , Infecções Urinárias/epidemiologia , Feminino , Masculino , País de Gales/epidemiologia , Pré-Escolar , Criança , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Lactente , Insuficiência Renal Crônica/epidemiologia , Atenção Secundária à Saúde , Hipertensão/epidemiologia , Atenção Primária à Saúde , Falência Renal Crônica/epidemiologia , Cicatriz/etiologia
5.
Epidemics ; 47: 100773, 2024 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38781911

RESUMO

Tracking pathogen transmissibility during infectious disease outbreaks is essential for assessing the effectiveness of public health measures and planning future control strategies. A key measure of transmissibility is the time-dependent reproduction number, which has been estimated in real-time during outbreaks of a range of pathogens from disease incidence time series data. While commonly used approaches for estimating the time-dependent reproduction number can be reliable when disease incidence is recorded frequently, such incidence data are often aggregated temporally (for example, numbers of cases may be reported weekly rather than daily). As we show, commonly used methods for estimating transmissibility can be unreliable when the timescale of transmission is shorter than the timescale of data recording. To address this, here we develop a simulation-based approach involving Approximate Bayesian Computation for estimating the time-dependent reproduction number from temporally aggregated disease incidence time series data. We first use a simulated dataset representative of a situation in which daily disease incidence data are unavailable and only weekly summary values are reported, demonstrating that our method provides accurate estimates of the time-dependent reproduction number under such circumstances. We then apply our method to two outbreak datasets consisting of weekly influenza case numbers in 2019-20 and 2022-23 in Wales (in the United Kingdom). Our simple-to-use approach will allow accurate estimates of time-dependent reproduction numbers to be obtained from temporally aggregated data during future infectious disease outbreaks.


Assuntos
Número Básico de Reprodução , Teorema de Bayes , Surtos de Doenças , Influenza Humana , Humanos , Incidência , Influenza Humana/epidemiologia , Influenza Humana/transmissão , Surtos de Doenças/estatística & dados numéricos , Número Básico de Reprodução/estatística & dados numéricos , Fatores de Tempo , Simulação por Computador , País de Gales/epidemiologia , Modelos Epidemiológicos
6.
Euro Surveill ; 29(22)2024 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38818747

RESUMO

BackgroundHuman T-cell lymphotropic virus type 1 (HTLV-1) is a neglected virus that can cause severe disease and be transmitted from mother to child through breastfeeding. Avoidance of breastfeeding prevents 80% of vertical transmission. The United Kingdom (UK) is currently assessing whether HTLV-1-targeted antenatal screening should be implemented.AimWe aimed to assess the impact and cost-effectiveness of a targeted programme to prevent HTLV-1 vertical transmission in England and Wales.MethodsWe estimated the number of pregnant women who have high risk of HTLV-1 infection based on their or their partner's country of birth. With data from 2021, we used a mathematical model to assess cost-effectiveness of HTLV-1 antenatal screening. We also estimated the annual number of infant infections and the number that could be prevented with screening and intervention.ResultsWe estimate that ca 99,000 pregnant women in England and Wales have high risk of HTLV-1 infection. In the absence of screening, 74 (range: 25-211) HTLV-1 infections in infants would be expected to occur every year in England and Wales. Implementation of targeted screening would prevent 58 (range: 19-164) infant infections annually. The intervention is effective (incremental 0.00333 quality-adjusted life years (QALY)) and cost-saving (GBP -57.56 (EUR -66.85)).ConclusionOur findings support implementation of HTLV-1 targeted antenatal screening to reduce vertical transmission from mothers to infants in the UK.


Assuntos
Análise Custo-Benefício , Infecções por HTLV-I , Vírus Linfotrópico T Tipo 1 Humano , Transmissão Vertical de Doenças Infecciosas , Programas de Rastreamento , Diagnóstico Pré-Natal , Humanos , Infecções por HTLV-I/prevenção & controle , Infecções por HTLV-I/epidemiologia , Infecções por HTLV-I/transmissão , Infecções por HTLV-I/diagnóstico , Feminino , Gravidez , País de Gales/epidemiologia , Vírus Linfotrópico T Tipo 1 Humano/isolamento & purificação , Inglaterra/epidemiologia , Transmissão Vertical de Doenças Infecciosas/prevenção & controle , Diagnóstico Pré-Natal/economia , Programas de Rastreamento/economia , Complicações Infecciosas na Gravidez/diagnóstico , Complicações Infecciosas na Gravidez/prevenção & controle , Complicações Infecciosas na Gravidez/epidemiologia , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Adulto
7.
Injury ; 55(7): 111609, 2024 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38781619

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Periprosthetic femoral fractures (PPFFs) represent an important healthcare problem, with a rising incidence noted due to an increase in the number of arthroplasty surgeries being performed. There is a current lack of national consensus as to how these complex, often frail patients are managed. AIMS: Our primary aim was to present the epidemiology of PPFFs in England and Wales over the first two years of data collection by the National Hip Fracture Database (NHFD). Secondary aims included how well the NHFD Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) are met for PPFF patients, whether centres reporting a higher burden of PPFF patients are more likely to meet KPIs compared to lower volume centres, and to also identify if regional variation in care for these patients exist. METHODS: Patients aged 60 years or over, admitted to any acute hospital in England or Wales with a PPFF within the period 1st January 2020 to 31st December 2021 were included. Fractures were classified using the Vancouver system. The primary outcome of interest was the incidence of PPFF in England and Wales. Secondary outcomes included i) geographical distribution, ii) pattern of injury, iii) treatment received, iv) KPI performance nationally, v) KPI performance by top 5 highest volume hospitals vs the rest, vi) KPI performance by region and vii) KPI performance compared with native hip fracture patients. RESULTS: A total of 5,566 PPFFs were reported during our study period. A 31 % increase in cases was seen between 2020 and 2021 (2,405 to 3,161). The South-West of England reported the highest burden of PPFFs (14 % of all cases reported in 2021). Vancouver B subtypes were most common around hip replacements (62 %) and C subtype around knee replacements (55 %). A total of 4,598 patients (82.6 %) underwent operative management. There was regional variation in KPI attainment. When compared to KPI attainment for native hip fractures PPFF care under performed in most regions and domains. High volume PPFF centres were not associated with improved attainment of KPIs. CONCLUSION: We have described the incidence, nature, and management of PPFF at national and regional levels using routinely collected NHFD data. Both numerically and due to case complexity, PPFF are a considerable challenge to patients and health services alike. This epidemiology is not captured by other existing datasets and increased case contribution to the NHFD is encouraged to improve understanding and enable prioritisation and delivery of further care and research.


Assuntos
Artroplastia de Quadril , Bases de Dados Factuais , Fraturas Periprotéticas , Humanos , País de Gales/epidemiologia , Inglaterra/epidemiologia , Feminino , Masculino , Fraturas Periprotéticas/epidemiologia , Fraturas Periprotéticas/cirurgia , Idoso , Incidência , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Fraturas do Fêmur/cirurgia , Fraturas do Fêmur/epidemiologia , Fraturas do Quadril/cirurgia , Fraturas do Quadril/epidemiologia
8.
PLoS One ; 19(5): e0300221, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38728312

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Routine monitoring of Body Mass Index (BMI) in general practice, and via national surveillance programmes, is essential for the identification, prevention, and management of unhealthy childhood weight. We examined and compared the presence and representativeness of children and young people's (CYPs) BMI recorded in two routinely collected administrative datasets: general practice electronic health records (GP-BMI) and the Child Measurement Programme for Wales (CMP-BMI), which measures height and weight in 4-5-year-old school children. We also assessed the feasibility of combining GP-BMI and CMP-BMI data for longitudinal analyses. METHODS: We accessed de-identified population-level GP-BMI data for calendar years 2011 to 2019 for 246,817 CYP, and CMP-BMI measures for 222,772 CYP, held within the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage Databank. We examined the proportion of CYP in Wales with at least one GP-BMI record, its distribution by child socio-demographic characteristics, and trends over time. We compared GP-BMI and CMP-BMI distributions. We quantified the proportion of children with a CMP-BMI measure and a follow-up GP-BMI recorded at an older age and explored the representativeness of these measures. RESULTS: We identified a GP-BMI record in 246,817 (41%) CYP, present in a higher proportion of females (54.2%), infants (20.7%) and adolescents. There was no difference in the deprivation profile of those with a GP-BMI measurement. 31,521 CYP with a CMP-BMI had at least one follow-up GP-BMI; those with a CMP-BMI considered underweight or very overweight were 87% and 70% more likely to have at least one follow-up GP-BMI record respectively compared to those with a healthy weight, as were males and CYP living in the most deprived areas of Wales. CONCLUSIONS: Records of childhood weight status extracted from general practice are not representative of the population and are biased with respect to weight status. Linkage of information from the national programme to GP records has the potential to enhance discussions around healthy weight at the point of care but does not provide a representative estimate of population level weight trajectories, essential to provide insights into factors determining a healthy weight gain across the early life course. A second CMP measurement is required in Wales.


Assuntos
Índice de Massa Corporal , Humanos , País de Gales/epidemiologia , Feminino , Masculino , Pré-Escolar , Criança , Adolescente , Armazenamento e Recuperação da Informação , Registros Eletrônicos de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Peso Corporal , Fonte de Informação
9.
PLoS One ; 19(5): e0298871, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38771782

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Subclinical hypothyroidism (SCH) is a biochemical thyroid disorder characterised by elevated levels of Thyroid Stimulating Hormone (TSH) together with normal levels of thyroid hormones. Evidence on the benefits of treatment is limited, resulting in persistent controversies relating to its clinical management. AIM: This study describes the demographic and clinical characteristics of patients identified as having subclinical hypothyroidism in Wales between 2000 and 2021, the annual cumulative incidence during this period and the testing and treatment patterns associated with this disorder. METHODS: We used linked electronic health records from SAIL Databank. Eligible patients were identified using a combination of diagnostic codes and Thyroid Function Test results. Descriptive analyses were then performed. RESULTS: 199,520 individuals (63.8% female) were identified as having SCH, 23.6% (n = 47,104) of whom received levothyroxine for treatment over the study period. The median study follow-up time was 5.75 person-years (IQR 2.65-9.65). Annual cumulative incidence was highest in 2012 at 502 cases per 100,000 people. 92.5% (n = 184,484) of the study population had TSH levels between the upper limit of normal and 10mIU/L on their first test. 61.9% (n = 5,071) of patients identified using Read v2 codes were in the treated group. 41.9% (n = 19,716) of treated patients had a history of a single abnormal test result before their first prescription. CONCLUSION: In Wales, the number of incident cases of SCH has risen unevenly between 2000 and 2021. Most of the study population had mild SCH on their index test, but more than a third of the identified patients received levothyroxine after a single abnormal test result. Patients with clinically recorded diagnoses were more likely to be treated. Given the expectation of steadily increasing patient numbers, more evidence is required to support the clinical management of subclinical hypothyroidism.


Assuntos
Registros Eletrônicos de Saúde , Hipotireoidismo , Tiroxina , Humanos , Hipotireoidismo/epidemiologia , Hipotireoidismo/tratamento farmacológico , Feminino , Masculino , País de Gales/epidemiologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Adulto , Idoso , Tiroxina/uso terapêutico , Tiroxina/sangue , Tireotropina/sangue , Incidência , Estudos de Coortes , Adolescente , Adulto Jovem , Testes de Função Tireóidea
11.
Nat Commun ; 15(1): 4289, 2024 May 23.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38782899

RESUMO

Extreme weather and coronavirus-type pandemics are both leading global health concerns. Until now, no study has quantified the compound health consequences of the co-occurrence of them. We estimate the mortality attributable to extreme heat and cold events, which dominate the UK health burden from weather hazards, in England and Wales in the period 2020-2022, during which the COVID-19 pandemic peaked in terms of mortality. We show that temperature-related mortality exceeded COVID-19 mortality by 8% in South West England. Combined, extreme temperatures and COVID-19 led to 19 (95% confidence interval: 16-22 in North West England) to 24 (95% confidence interval: 20-29 in Wales) excess deaths per 100,000 population during heatwaves, and 80 (95% confidence interval: 75-86 in Yorkshire and the Humber) to 127 (95% confidence interval: 123-132 in East of England) excess deaths per 100,000 population during cold snaps. These numbers are at least ~2 times higher than the previous decade. Society must increase preparedness for compound health crises such as extreme weather coinciding with pandemics.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Pandemias , SARS-CoV-2 , COVID-19/mortalidade , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Humanos , Inglaterra/epidemiologia , País de Gales/epidemiologia , Mortalidade/tendências , Clima Extremo , Calor Extremo/efeitos adversos
13.
BMC Public Health ; 24(1): 1233, 2024 May 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38702710

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Air pollution has been recognised as a potential risk factor for dementia. Yet recent epidemiological research shows mixed evidence. The aim of this study is to investigate the longitudinal associations between ambient air pollution exposure and dementia in older people across five urban and rural areas in the UK. METHODS: This study was based on two population-based cohort studies of 11329 people aged ≥ 65 in the Cognitive Function and Ageing Study II (2008-2011) and Wales (2011-2013). An algorithmic diagnosis method was used to identify dementia cases. Annual concentrations of four air pollutants (NO2, O3, PM10, PM2.5) were modelled for the year 2012 and linked via the participants' postcodes. Multistate modelling was used to examine the effects of exposure to air pollutants on incident dementia incorporating death and adjusting for sociodemographic factors and area deprivation. A random-effect meta-analysis was carried out to summarise results from the current and nine existing cohort studies. RESULTS: Higher exposure levels of NO2 (HR: 1.04; 95% CI: 0.94, 1.14), O3 (HR: 0.90; 95% CI: 0.70, 1.15), PM10 (HR: 1.17; 95% CI: 0.86, 1.58), PM2.5 (HR: 1.41; 95% CI: 0.71, 2.79) were not strongly associated with dementia in the two UK-based cohorts. Inconsistent directions and strengths of the associations were observed across the two cohorts, five areas, and nine existing studies. CONCLUSIONS: In contrast to the literature, this study did not find clear associations between air pollution and dementia. Future research needs to investigate how methodological and contextual factors can affect evidence in this field and clarity the influence of air pollution exposure on cognitive health over the lifecourse.


Assuntos
Poluição do Ar , Demência , Exposição Ambiental , Humanos , Demência/epidemiologia , Demência/induzido quimicamente , Demência/etiologia , Idoso , Poluição do Ar/efeitos adversos , Poluição do Ar/análise , Masculino , Feminino , País de Gales/epidemiologia , Exposição Ambiental/efeitos adversos , Estudos Longitudinais , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Poluentes Atmosféricos/análise , Poluentes Atmosféricos/efeitos adversos , Material Particulado/análise , Material Particulado/efeitos adversos , Reino Unido/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco , Estudos de Coortes
14.
Clin Med (Lond) ; 24(3): 100204, 2024 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38663521

RESUMO

The Chief Medical Officer's annual report 2023 presents an incomplete and skewed picture of the geography of older people in England. We show that there are higher absolute numbers of older people in urban areas in England and Wales, in contrast to key messages from the CMO report which suggest greater need in rural areas based on relative metrics. The absolute size of the urban-rural difference in the population of older people is projected to grow by 2043. Older adults in urban areas are much more likely to live in deprived areas than older adults in rural areas. The absolute number and prevalence of older adults in poorer health is also higher in urban areas, leading to greater healthcare needs. Policy-makers need to consider both absolute and relative demographic trends as well as making use of direct measures of health when planning how healthcare services for older adults are distributed geographically in England.


Assuntos
População Rural , Humanos , Idoso , Inglaterra/epidemiologia , População Rural/estatística & dados numéricos , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Feminino , País de Gales/epidemiologia , Masculino , População Urbana/estatística & dados numéricos , Necessidades e Demandas de Serviços de Saúde
15.
JAMA ; 331(17): 1460-1470, 2024 05 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38581198

RESUMO

Importance: The Cluster Randomized Trial of PSA Testing for Prostate Cancer (CAP) reported no effect of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening on prostate cancer mortality at a median 10-year follow-up (primary outcome), but the long-term effects of PSA screening on prostate cancer mortality remain unclear. Objective: To evaluate the effect of a single invitation for PSA screening on prostate cancer-specific mortality at a median 15-year follow-up compared with no invitation for screening. Design, Setting, and Participants: This secondary analysis of the CAP randomized clinical trial included men aged 50 to 69 years identified at 573 primary care practices in England and Wales. Primary care practices were randomized between September 25, 2001, and August 24, 2007, and men were enrolled between January 8, 2002, and January 20, 2009. Follow-up was completed on March 31, 2021. Intervention: Men received a single invitation for a PSA screening test with subsequent diagnostic tests if the PSA level was 3.0 ng/mL or higher. The control group received standard practice (no invitation). Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was reported previously. Of 8 prespecified secondary outcomes, results of 4 were reported previously. The 4 remaining prespecified secondary outcomes at 15-year follow-up were prostate cancer-specific mortality, all-cause mortality, and prostate cancer stage and Gleason grade at diagnosis. Results: Of 415 357 eligible men (mean [SD] age, 59.0 [5.6] years), 98% were included in these analyses. Overall, 12 013 and 12 958 men with a prostate cancer diagnosis were in the intervention and control groups, respectively (15-year cumulative risk, 7.08% [95% CI, 6.95%-7.21%] and 6.94% [95% CI, 6.82%-7.06%], respectively). At a median 15-year follow-up, 1199 men in the intervention group (0.69% [95% CI, 0.65%-0.73%]) and 1451 men in the control group (0.78% [95% CI, 0.73%-0.82%]) died of prostate cancer (rate ratio [RR], 0.92 [95% CI, 0.85-0.99]; P = .03). Compared with the control, the PSA screening intervention increased detection of low-grade (Gleason score [GS] ≤6: 2.2% vs 1.6%; P < .001) and localized (T1/T2: 3.6% vs 3.1%; P < .001) disease but not intermediate (GS of 7), high-grade (GS ≥8), locally advanced (T3), or distally advanced (T4/N1/M1) tumors. There were 45 084 all-cause deaths in the intervention group (23.2% [95% CI, 23.0%-23.4%]) and 50 336 deaths in the control group (23.3% [95% CI, 23.1%-23.5%]) (RR, 0.97 [95% CI, 0.94-1.01]; P = .11). Eight of the prostate cancer deaths in the intervention group (0.7%) and 7 deaths in the control group (0.5%) were related to a diagnostic biopsy or prostate cancer treatment. Conclusions and Relevance: In this secondary analysis of a randomized clinical trial, a single invitation for PSA screening compared with standard practice without routine screening reduced prostate cancer deaths at a median follow-up of 15 years. However, the absolute reduction in deaths was small. Trial Registration: isrctn.org Identifier: ISRCTN92187251.


Assuntos
Detecção Precoce de Câncer , Antígeno Prostático Específico , Neoplasias da Próstata , Idoso , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Detecção Precoce de Câncer/métodos , Detecção Precoce de Câncer/estatística & dados numéricos , Inglaterra/epidemiologia , Seguimentos , Programas de Rastreamento/métodos , Programas de Rastreamento/estatística & dados numéricos , Gradação de Tumores , Antígeno Prostático Específico/sangue , Neoplasias da Próstata/diagnóstico , Neoplasias da Próstata/epidemiologia , Neoplasias da Próstata/mortalidade , Neoplasias da Próstata/terapia , País de Gales/epidemiologia , Ultrassonografia , Biópsia Guiada por Imagem
16.
PLoS One ; 19(4): e0291278, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38598518

RESUMO

The COVID-19 pandemic caused far-reaching societal changes, including significant educational impacts affecting over 1.6 billion pupils and 100 million education practitioners globally. Senior school leaders were at the forefront and were exposed to particularly high demands during a period of "crisis leadership". This occupation were already reporting high work-related stress and large numbers leaving the profession preceding COVID-19. This cross-sectional descriptive study through the international COVID-Health Literacy network aimed to examine the well-being and work-related stress of senior school leaders (n = 323) in Wales (n = 172) and Northern Ireland (n = 151) during COVID-19 (2021-2022). Findings suggest that senior school leaders reported high workloads (54.22±11.30 hours/week), low well-being (65.2% n = 202, mean WHO-5 40.85±21.57), depressive symptoms (WHO-5 34.8% n = 108) and high work-related stress (PSS-10: 29.91±4.92). High exhaustion (BAT: high/very high 89.0% n = 285) and specific psychosomatic complaints (experiencing muscle pain 48.2% n = 151) were also reported, and females had statistically higher outcomes in these areas. School leaders were engaging in self-endangering working behaviours; 74.7% (n = 239) gave up leisure activities in favour of work and 63.4% (n = 202) sacrificed sufficient sleep, which was statistically higher for females. These findings are concerning given that the UK is currently experiencing a "crisis" in educational leadership against a backdrop of pandemic-related pressures. Senior leaders' high attrition rates further exacerbate this, proving costly to educational systems and placing additional financial and other pressures on educational settings and policy response. This has implications for senior leaders and pupil-level outcomes including health, well-being and educational attainment, requiring urgent tailored and targeted support from the education and health sectors. This is particularly pertinent for Wales and Northern Ireland as devolved nations in the UK, who are both implementing or contemplating major education system level reforms, including new statutory national curricula, requiring significant leadership, engagement and ownership from the education profession.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Estresse Ocupacional , Feminino , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Irlanda do Norte/epidemiologia , País de Gales/epidemiologia , Liderança , Estudos Transversais , Pandemias , Instituições Acadêmicas , Escolaridade
18.
J Infect ; 88(6): 106167, 2024 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38679203

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: Urinary tract infections (UTIs) frequently cause hospitalisation and death in people living with dementia (PLWD). We examine UTI incidence and associated mortality among PLWD relative to matched controls and people with diabetes and investigate whether delayed or withheld treatment further impacts mortality. METHODS: Data were extracted for n = 2,449,814 people aged ≥ 50 in Wales from 2000-2021, with groups matched by age, sex, and multimorbidity. Poisson regression was used to estimate incidences of UTI and mortality. Cox regression was used to study the effects of treatment timing. RESULTS: UTIs in dementia (HR=2.18, 95 %CI [1.88-2.53], p < .0) and diabetes (1.21[1.01-1.45], p = .035) were associated with high mortality, with the highest risk in individuals with diabetes and dementia (both) (2.83[2.40-3.34], p < .0) compared to matched individuals with neither dementia nor diabetes. 5.4 % of untreated PLWD died within 60 days of GP diagnosis-increasing to 5.9 % in PLWD with diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: Incidences of UTI and associated mortality are high in PLWD, especially in those with diabetes and dementia. Delayed treatment for UTI is further associated with high mortality.


Assuntos
Demência , Infecções Urinárias , Humanos , Demência/epidemiologia , Demência/complicações , Demência/mortalidade , Infecções Urinárias/epidemiologia , Infecções Urinárias/mortalidade , Infecções Urinárias/complicações , Masculino , Feminino , Idoso , Incidência , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , País de Gales/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiologia
19.
Medicine (Baltimore) ; 103(15): e37673, 2024 Apr 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38608100

RESUMO

This study aimed to investigate the trends in diseases of the digestive system hospital admissions (DDSHA) in England and Wales between (1999-2019). Secondary objectives were to investigate the type of admission and medication prescribing related to the digestive system in England. This is an ecological study using data from the Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) database and the Patient Episode Database between April 1999 and March 2019. The rate of hospital admissions with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) was calculated by dividing the number of DDSHA by the mid-year population. The trend in hospital admissions was assessed using a Poisson model. Overall, the rate of DDSHA rose by 84.2% (from 2231.27 [95% CI 2227.26-2235.28] in 1999 to 4109.33 [95% CI 4104.29-4114.38] in 2019 per 100,000 persons, trend test, P < .001). The most remarkable rise in hospital admission was seen in liver diseases, followed by other diseases of intestines with 1.85-fold, and 1.59-fold, respectively. Between 2004 and 2019, the overall prescribing rate for medications related to the gastrointestinal system increased by 74.6%, and stoma care related medications prescribing rate increased by 2.25-fold, followed by drugs affecting intestinal secretions and antisecretory drugs and mucosal protectants. There was an increase in hospital admission rate due to GI diseases in the United Kingdom (UK) by 84.2% from 1999 to 2019. The most remarkable rise in the rate of hospital admissions was seen in diseases of the liver and intestine.


Assuntos
Trato Gastrointestinal , Hospitais , Humanos , País de Gales/epidemiologia , Inglaterra/epidemiologia , Reino Unido
20.
Tumori ; 110(3): 186-192, 2024 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38553430

RESUMO

AIM: To review a five-year clinical practice of radical chemoradiotherapy (CRT) for anal cancers at a cancer centre in Wales. METHODS: A retrospective audit examined the quality of radical CRT for anal cancers treated between November 2016 and November 2021 by investigating seven critical indicators set by Radiation Therapy Oncology Group and ACT II trials, (1) 95% completion of computed tomography simulation within 14 days of consent, (2) 100% CRT delivery within 28 days of computed tomography simulation, (3) 100% CRT delivery within 28 days of consent, (4) overall treatment time of RT 38 days with > 2 days breaks <5%, (5) 75% completion of concurrent chemotherapy, (6) <2% CRT related colostomies, and (7) <2% the 30-days mortality rate. RESULTS: A total of 80 anal cancers received CRT over five years. Around 95.0% underwent computed tomography simulation within 14 days of consent. The observed slight deviation was related to the Covid pandemic in 2020. About 96.3% started CRT within 28 days of computed tomography simulation. The mean duration of CRT was 37.9 days. Radiotherapy (RT) interruptions > 2 days were about 5%, and 67.5% started CRT within 28 days of consent. About 92.5% and 76.2% completed mitomycin and capecitabine without breaks, respectively. The colostomy rate was 1.2%, and the 30-day mortality was 1.2%. CONCLUSION: Audit results matched with the standards in six domains. Overall treatment time of 37.9 days, colostomy rates of 1.2%, and the 30-day mortality rate of 1.2% were commendable. Overall time interval between consent and CRT delivery can be achieved by time-constrained measures.


Assuntos
Neoplasias do Ânus , Quimiorradioterapia , Humanos , Neoplasias do Ânus/terapia , Neoplasias do Ânus/mortalidade , Neoplasias do Ânus/patologia , Quimiorradioterapia/métodos , Masculino , Feminino , Estudos Retrospectivos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , País de Gales/epidemiologia , Adulto , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Tomografia Computadorizada por Raios X , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Mitomicina/administração & dosagem , Auditoria Médica , Capecitabina/administração & dosagem , Institutos de Câncer/estatística & dados numéricos
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