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1.
Ulus Travma Acil Cerrahi Derg ; 30(9): 635-643, 2024 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39222490

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The Modified Early Obstetric Warning System (MEOWS) is a score-based or color-coded system that detects changes in physiological parameters and enables earlier diagnosis and care of worsening obstetric patients. The aim of this study is to evaluate the tool's performance and contribute to its use in Türkiye by translating MEOWS into Turkish. METHODS: This prospective and descriptive study, approved by the local ethics committee, included 350 obstetric in-patients who gave birth at Samsun Training and Research Hospital, Gynecology and Children's Hospital between April and August 2022. The study involved patients with a gestational week greater than 28 weeks and up to six weeks postpartum. RESULTS: The average age of the patients was 28.9±5.9 (18-40) years, with trigger values occurring in 34.6% (n=121) and morbidity occurring in 30.9% (n=108) of the cases. The most common trigger among the individual physiological indicators was high systolic blood pressure (28.3%). When the performance of MEOWS was evaluated, a statistically significant correlation was found between trigger and morbidity (Kappa=0.605; p<0.001). The sensitivity of MEOWS in estimating morbidity was 77.78% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 68.76-85.21%), specificity was 84.71% (95% CI: 79.55-89.00%), Positive Predictive Value (PPV) was 69.42% (95% CI: 62.40-75.64%), Negative Predictive Value (NPV) was 89.52% (95% CI: 85.67-92.43%), and accuracy was 82.57% (95% CI: 78.18-86.40%). CONCLUSION: MEOWS was found to be an effective screening tool for predicting morbidity in this study and performs well in Turkish with sufficient sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy. However, the inclusion of long-term results would provide a more comprehensive understanding of the effectiveness of MEOWS.


Assuntos
Escore de Alerta Precoce , Humanos , Feminino , Gravidez , Turquia/epidemiologia , Adulto , Estudos Prospectivos , Adolescente , Adulto Jovem , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Complicações na Gravidez/diagnóstico , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Traduções
2.
BMC Emerg Med ; 24(1): 161, 2024 Sep 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39232644

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Sepsis is a severe medical condition that can be life-threatening. If sepsis progresses to septic shock, the mortality rate increases to around 40%, much higher than the 10% mortality observed in sepsis. Diabetes increases infection and sepsis risk, making management complex. Various scores of screening tools, such as Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS), Simplified Acute Physiology Score (SAPS II), Sequential Organ Failure Assessment Score (SOFA), and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE II), are used to predict the severity or mortality rate of disease. Our study aimed to compare the effectiveness and optimal cutoff points of these scores. We focused on the early prediction of septic shock in patients with diabetes in the Emergency Department (ED). METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study to collect data on patients with diabetes. We collected prediction factors and MEWS, SOFA, SAPS II and APACHE II scores to predict septic shock in these patients. We determined the optimal cutoff points for each score. Subsequently, we compared the identified scores with the gold standard for diagnosing septic shock by applying the Sepsis-3 criteria. RESULTS: Systolic blood pressure (SBP), peripheral oxygen saturation (SpO2), Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), pH, and lactate concentrations were significant predictors of septic shock (p < 0.001). The SOFA score performed well in predicting septic shock in patients with diabetes. The area under the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve for the SOFA score was 0.866 for detection within 48 h and 0.840 for detection after 2 h of admission to the ED, with the optimal cutoff score of ≥ 6. CONCLUSION: SBP, SpO2, GCS, pH, and lactate concentrations are crucial for the early prediction of septic shock in patients with diabetes. The SOFA score is a superior predictor for the onset of septic shock in patients with diabetes compared with MEWS, SAPS II, and APACHE II scores. Specifically, a cutoff of ≥ 6 in the SOFA score demonstrates high accuracy in predicting shock within 48 h post-ED visit and as early as 2 h after ED admission.


Assuntos
APACHE , Escore de Alerta Precoce , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência , Escores de Disfunção Orgânica , Choque Séptico , Humanos , Masculino , Choque Séptico/diagnóstico , Choque Séptico/complicações , Feminino , Estudos Retrospectivos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Escore Fisiológico Agudo Simplificado , Curva ROC
3.
BMC Med Inform Decis Mak ; 24(1): 241, 2024 Sep 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39223512

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Successful deployment of clinical prediction models for clinical deterioration relates not only to predictive performance but to integration into the decision making process. Models may demonstrate good discrimination and calibration, but fail to match the needs of practising acute care clinicians who receive, interpret, and act upon model outputs or alerts. We sought to understand how prediction models for clinical deterioration, also known as early warning scores (EWS), influence the decision-making of clinicians who regularly use them and elicit their perspectives on model design to guide future deterioration model development and implementation. METHODS: Nurses and doctors who regularly receive or respond to EWS alerts in two digital metropolitan hospitals were interviewed for up to one hour between February 2022 and March 2023 using semi-structured formats. We grouped interview data into sub-themes and then into general themes using reflexive thematic analysis. Themes were then mapped to a model of clinical decision making using deductive framework mapping to develop a set of practical recommendations for future deterioration model development and deployment. RESULTS: Fifteen nurses (n = 8) and doctors (n = 7) were interviewed for a mean duration of 42 min. Participants emphasised the importance of using predictive tools for supporting rather than supplanting critical thinking, avoiding over-protocolising care, incorporating important contextual information and focusing on how clinicians generate, test, and select diagnostic hypotheses when managing deteriorating patients. These themes were incorporated into a conceptual model which informed recommendations that clinical deterioration prediction models demonstrate transparency and interactivity, generate outputs tailored to the tasks and responsibilities of end-users, avoid priming clinicians with potential diagnoses before patients were physically assessed, and support the process of deciding upon subsequent management. CONCLUSIONS: Prediction models for deteriorating inpatients may be more impactful if they are designed in accordance with the decision-making processes of acute care clinicians. Models should produce actionable outputs that assist with, rather than supplant, critical thinking.


Assuntos
Tomada de Decisão Clínica , Deterioração Clínica , Escore de Alerta Precoce , Humanos , Cuidados Críticos/normas , Atitude do Pessoal de Saúde , Feminino , Masculino , Adulto , Médicos
4.
Stud Health Technol Inform ; 316: 513-517, 2024 Aug 22.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39176791

RESUMO

Clinical deterioration (CD) is the physiological decompensation that incurs care escalation, protracted hospital stays, or even death. The early warning score (EWS) calculates the occurrence of CD based on five vital signs. However, there are limited reports regarding EWS monitoring in smart home settings. This study aims to design a CD detection system for health monitoring at home (HM@H) that automatically identifies unstable vital signs and alarms the medical emergency team. We conduct a requirement analysis by interviewing experts. We use unified modeling language (UML) diagrams to define the behavioral and structural aspects of HM@H. We developed a prototype using a SQL-based database and Python to calculate the EWS in the front end. A team of five experts assessed the accuracy and validity of the designed system. The requirement analysis for four main users yielded 30 data elements and 10 functions. Three main components of HM@H are the graphical user interface (GUI), the application programming interface (API), and the server. Results show the possibility of using unobtrusive sensors to collect smart home residents' vital signs and calculate their EWS scores in real-time. However, further implementation with real data, for frail elderly and hospital-discharged patients is required.


Assuntos
Deterioração Clínica , Humanos , Serviços de Assistência Domiciliar , Monitorização Fisiológica/métodos , Interface Usuário-Computador , Sinais Vitais , Escore de Alerta Precoce , Alarmes Clínicos
5.
BMC Emerg Med ; 24(1): 111, 2024 Jul 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38982356

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Overcrowding in the emergency department (ED) is a global problem. Early and accurate recognition of a patient's disposition could limit time spend at the ED and thus improve throughput and quality of care provided. This study aims to compare the accuracy among healthcare providers and the prehospital Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS) in predicting the requirement for hospital admission. METHODS: A prospective, observational, multi-centre study was performed including adult patients brought to the ED by ambulance. Involved Emergency Medical Service (EMS) personnel, ED nurses and physicians were asked to predict the need for hospital admission using a structured questionnaire. Primary endpoint was the comparison between the accuracy of healthcare providers and prehospital MEWS in predicting patients' need for hospital admission. RESULTS: In total 798 patients were included of whom 393 (49.2%) were admitted to the hospital. Sensitivity of predicting hospital admission varied from 80.0 to 91.9%, with physicians predicting hospital admission significantly more accurately than EMS and ED nurses (p < 0.001). Specificity ranged from 56.4 to 67.0%. All healthcare providers outperformed MEWS ≥ 3 score on predicting hospital admission (sensitivity 80.0-91.9% versus 44.0%; all p < 0.001). Predictions for ward admissions specifically were significantly more accurate than MEWS (specificity 94.7-95.9% versus 60.6%, all p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Healthcare providers can accurately predict the need for hospital admission, and all providers outperformed the MEWS score.


Assuntos
Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência , Humanos , Estudos Prospectivos , Feminino , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Adulto , Serviços Médicos de Emergência , Escore de Alerta Precoce , Idoso , Admissão do Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Hospitalização
6.
J Pak Med Assoc ; 74(6): 1156-1159, 2024 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38948989

RESUMO

In the West, National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) is commonly applied to predict the severity of illness using only bedside variables unlike the extensive Pneumonia Severity Index (PSI). The objective of this study was to compare these scores as mortality predictors in patients admitted with community acquired pneumonia (CAP). This cross-sectional study was conducted in Jinnah Postgraduate Medical Centre, Karachi, Pakistan, for six months in 2020 on 116 patients presenting with CAP. Cases of aspiration pneumonia, hospital acquired pneumonia, pulmonary tuberculosis, pulmonary embolism, and pulmonary oedema were excluded. In-hospital mortality was taken as the outcome of this study. The mean age of the participants was 46.9±20.5 years. The in-hospital mortalities were 45(38.8%). NEWS2 was 97.8% sensitive but only 15.5% specific in predicting the outcome, whereas PSI was less sensitive (68.9%) but more specific (50.7%), which showed that in comparison with PSI, NEWS2 is a more sensitive mortality predicting score among hospitalised CAP patients.


Assuntos
Infecções Comunitárias Adquiridas , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Pneumonia , Humanos , Infecções Comunitárias Adquiridas/mortalidade , Masculino , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Pneumonia/mortalidade , Estudos Transversais , Paquistão/epidemiologia , Adulto , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , Escore de Alerta Precoce , Idoso
7.
Pediatr Hematol Oncol ; 41(6): 422-431, 2024 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38973711

RESUMO

Pediatric oncohematological patients frequently require PICU admission during their clinical history. The O-PEWS is a specific score developed to predict the need for PICU admission of oncohematological children. This study aimed at i) describing the trend of the O-PEWS in a cohort of patients hospitalized in the Pediatric Oncohematology ward and transferred to the PICU of Padua University Hospital, measured at different time-points in the 24 hours before PICU admission and to evaluate its association with mortality and presence of organ failure; ii) investigating the association between the recorded O-PEWS, and PIM3, number of organ failure and the need for ventilation, dialysis and inotropes.This retrospective single-center study enrolled oncohematological children admitted to the PICU between 2017 and 2021. The O-PEWS, ranging between 0 and 15, was calculated on the available medical records and the TIPNet-Network database at 24 (T-24), 12 (T-12), 6 (T-6) and 0 (T0) hours before PICU admission.RESULTS: 101 PICU admissions, related to 80 children, were registered. During the 24 hours prior to PICU admission, the O-PEWS progressively increased in all the patients. At T-24 the median O-PEWS was 3 (IQR 1-5), increasing to a median value of 6 (IQR 4-8) at T0. The O-PEWS was positively associated with mortality, organ failure and the need for ventilation at all the analyzed time-points and with the need for dialysis at T-6.The O-PEWS appears as a useful tool for predicting early clinical deterioration in oncohematological patients and for anticipating the initiation of life-support treatments.


Assuntos
Unidades de Terapia Intensiva Pediátrica , Humanos , Masculino , Criança , Feminino , Estudos Retrospectivos , Pré-Escolar , Lactente , Adolescente , Escore de Alerta Precoce , Deterioração Clínica , Cuidados Críticos/métodos , Neoplasias Hematológicas/terapia , Neoplasias Hematológicas/mortalidade
8.
Am J Emerg Med ; 83: 101-108, 2024 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39002495

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: In the context of the COVID-19 pandemic, the early and accurate identification of patients at risk of deterioration was crucial in overcrowded and resource-limited emergency departments. This study conducts an external validation for the evaluation of the performance of the National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2), the S/F ratio, and the ROX index at ED admission in a large cohort of COVID-19 patients from Colombia, South America, assessing the net clinical benefit with decision curve analysis. METHODS: A prospective cohort study was conducted on 6907 adult patients with confirmed COVID-19 admitted to a tertiary care ED in Colombia. The study evaluated the diagnostic performance of NEWS2, S/F ratio, and ROX index scores at ED admission using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) for discrimination, calibration, and decision curve analysis for the prediction of intensive care unit admission, invasive mechanical ventilation, and in-hospital mortality. RESULTS: We included 6907 patients who presented to the ED with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection from March 2020 to November 2021. Mean age was 51 (35-65) years and 50.4% of patients were males. The rate of intensive care unit admission was 28%, and in-hospital death was 9.8%. All three scores have good discriminatory performance for the three outcomes based on the AUROC. S/F ratio showed miscalibration at low predicted probabilities and decision curve analysis indicated that the NEWS2 score provided a greater net benefit compared to other scores across at a 10% threshold to decide ED admission at a high-level of care facility. CONCLUSIONS: The NEWS2, S/F ratio, and ROX index at ED admission have good discriminatory performances in COVID-19 patients for the prediction of adverse outcomes, but the NEWS2 score has a higher net benefit underscoring its clinical utility in optimizing patient management and resource allocation in emergency settings.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Humanos , COVID-19/mortalidade , COVID-19/terapia , COVID-19/diagnóstico , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Masculino , Feminino , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência/estatística & dados numéricos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Prospectivos , Adulto , Colômbia/epidemiologia , Idoso , Escore de Alerta Precoce , Curva ROC , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva/estatística & dados numéricos , SARS-CoV-2 , Respiração Artificial/estatística & dados numéricos , Medição de Risco/métodos
9.
10.
JAMA Intern Med ; 184(9): 1134-1135, 2024 Sep 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39037804
11.
J Coll Physicians Surg Pak ; 34(6): 747-748, 2024 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38840368

RESUMO

Null.


Assuntos
Escore de Alerta Precoce , Humanos
12.
Emerg Med J ; 41(8): 481-487, 2024 Jul 22.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38844334

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The optimal Early Warning System (EWS) scores for identifying patients at risk of clinical deterioration among those transported by ambulance services remain uncertain. This retrospective study compared the performance of 21 EWS scores to predict clinical deterioration using vital signs (VS) measured in the prehospital or emergency department (ED) setting. METHODS: Adult patients transported to a single ED by ambulances and subsequently admitted to the hospital between 1 January 2019 and 18 April 2019 were eligible for inclusion. The primary outcome was 30-day mortality; secondary outcomes included 3-day mortality, admission to intensive care or coronary care units, length of hospital stay and emergency call activations. The discriminative ability of the EWS scores was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). Subanalyses compared the performance of EWS scores between surgical and medical patient types. RESULTS: Of 1414 patients, 995 (70.4%) (53.1% male, mean age 68.7±17.5 years) were included. In the ED setting, 30-day mortality was best predicted by VitalPAC EWS (AUROC 0.71, 95% CI (0.65 to 0.77)) and National Early Warning Score (0.709 (0.65 to 0.77)). All EWS scores calculated in the prehospital setting had AUROC <0.70. Rapid Emergency Medicine Score (0.83 (0.73 to 0.92)) and New Zealand EWS (0.88 (0.81 to 0.95)) best predicted 3-day mortality in the prehospital and ED settings, respectively. EWS scores calculated using either prehospital or ED VS were more effective in predicting 3-day mortality in surgical patients, whereas 30-day mortality was best predicted in medical patients. Among the EWS scores that achieved AUROC ≥0.70, no statistically significant differences were detected in their discriminatory abilities to identify patients at risk of clinical deterioration. CONCLUSIONS: EWS scores better predict 3-day as opposed to 30-day mortality and are more accurate when estimated using VS measured in the ED. The discriminatory performance of EWS scores in identifying patients at higher risk of clinical deterioration may vary by patient type.


Assuntos
Ambulâncias , Deterioração Clínica , Escore de Alerta Precoce , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Estudos Retrospectivos , Idoso , Ambulâncias/estatística & dados numéricos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência/organização & administração , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência/estatística & dados numéricos , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Sinais Vitais , Curva ROC , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Serviços Médicos de Emergência/métodos , Serviços Médicos de Emergência/estatística & dados numéricos , Serviços Médicos de Emergência/normas
13.
J Med Internet Res ; 26: e46691, 2024 Jun 20.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38900529

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Early warning scores (EWS) are routinely used in hospitals to assess a patient's risk of deterioration. EWS are traditionally recorded on paper observation charts but are increasingly recorded digitally. In either case, evidence for the clinical effectiveness of such scores is mixed, and previous studies have not considered whether EWS leads to changes in how deteriorating patients are managed. OBJECTIVE: This study aims to examine whether the introduction of a digital EWS system was associated with more frequent observation of patients with abnormal vital signs, a precursor to earlier clinical intervention. METHODS: We conducted a 2-armed stepped-wedge study from February 2015 to December 2016, over 4 hospitals in 1 UK hospital trust. In the control arm, vital signs were recorded using paper observation charts. In the intervention arm, a digital EWS system was used. The primary outcome measure was time to next observation (TTNO), defined as the time between a patient's first elevated EWS (EWS ≥3) and subsequent observations set. Secondary outcomes were time to death in the hospital, length of stay, and time to unplanned intensive care unit admission. Differences between the 2 arms were analyzed using a mixed-effects Cox model. The usability of the system was assessed using the system usability score survey. RESULTS: We included 12,802 admissions, 1084 in the paper (control) arm and 11,718 in the digital EWS (intervention) arm. The system usability score was 77.6, indicating good usability. The median TTNO in the control and intervention arms were 128 (IQR 73-218) minutes and 131 (IQR 73-223) minutes, respectively. The corresponding hazard ratio for TTNO was 0.99 (95% CI 0.91-1.07; P=.73). CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrated strong clinical engagement with the system. We found no difference in any of the predefined patient outcomes, suggesting that the introduction of a highly usable electronic system can be achieved without impacting clinical care. Our findings contrast with previous claims that digital EWS systems are associated with improvement in clinical outcomes. Future research should investigate how digital EWS systems can be integrated with new clinical pathways adjusting staff behaviors to improve patient outcomes.


Assuntos
Escore de Alerta Precoce , Sinais Vitais , Humanos , Feminino , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Reino Unido , Hospitais , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva
14.
Crit Care Clin ; 40(3): 561-581, 2024 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38796228

RESUMO

Early warning systems (EWSs) are designed and deployed to create a rapid assessment and response for patients with clinical deterioration outside the intensive care unit (ICU). These models incorporate patient-level data such as vital signs and laboratory values to detect or prevent adverse clinical events, such as vital signs and laboratories to allow detection and prevention of adverse clinical events such as cardiac arrest, intensive care transfer, or sepsis. The applicability, development, clinical utility, and general perception of EWS in clinical practice vary widely. Here, we review the field as it has grown from early vital sign-based scoring systems to contemporary multidimensional algorithms and predictive technologies for clinical decompensation outside the ICU.


Assuntos
Estado Terminal , Escore de Alerta Precoce , Humanos , Estado Terminal/terapia , Sinais Vitais , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva , Deterioração Clínica , Cuidados Críticos/métodos , Cuidados Críticos/normas , Algoritmos , Monitorização Fisiológica/métodos
15.
BMC Pediatr ; 24(1): 326, 2024 May 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38734617

RESUMO

Preterm birth (< 37 weeks gestation) complications are the leading cause of neonatal mortality. Early-warning scores (EWS) are charts where vital signs (e.g., temperature, heart rate, respiratory rate) are recorded, triggering action. To evaluate whether a neonatal EWS improves clinical outcomes in low-middle income countries, a randomised trial is needed. Determining whether the use of a neonatal EWS is feasible and acceptable in newborn units, is a prerequisite to conducting a trial. We implemented a neonatal EWS in three newborn units in Kenya. Staff were asked to record infants' vital signs on the EWS during the study, triggering additional interventions as per existing local guidelines. No other aspects of care were altered. Feasibility criteria were pre-specified. We also interviewed health professionals (n = 28) and parents/family members (n = 42) to hear their opinions of the EWS. Data were collected on 465 preterm and/or low birthweight (< 2.5 kg) infants. In addition to qualitative study participants, 45 health professionals in participating hospitals also completed an online survey to share their views on the EWS. 94% of infants had the EWS completed at least once during their newborn unit admission. EWS completion was highest on the day of admission (93%). Completion rates were similar across shifts. 15% of vital signs triggered escalation to a more senior member of staff. Health professionals reported liking the EWS, though recognised the biggest barrier to implementation was poor staffing. Newborn unit infant to staff ratios varied between 10 and 53 staff per 1 infant, depending upon time of shift and staff type. A randomised trial of neonatal EWS in Kenya is possible and acceptable, though adaptations are required to the form before implementation.


Assuntos
Escore de Alerta Precoce , Estudos de Viabilidade , Recém-Nascido Prematuro , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva Neonatal , Humanos , Quênia , Recém-Nascido , Feminino , Masculino , Sinais Vitais , Atitude do Pessoal de Saúde , Recém-Nascido de Baixo Peso
16.
BMC Pulm Med ; 24(1): 261, 2024 May 29.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38811907

RESUMO

PURPOSE: This study mainly focuses on the immune function and introduces CD4+, CD8+ T cells and their ratios based on the MuLBSTA score, a previous viral pneumonia mortality risk warning model, to construct an early warning model of severe viral pneumonia risk. METHODS: A retrospective single-center observational study was operated from January 2021 to December 2022 at the People's Hospital of Liangjiang New Area, Chongqing, China. A total of 138 patients who met the criteria for viral pneumonia in hospital were selected and their data, including demographic data, comorbidities, laboratory results, CT scans, immunologic and pathogenic tests, treatment regimens, and clinical outcomes, were collected and statistically analyzed. RESULTS: Forty-one patients (29.7%) developed severe or critical illness. A viral pneumonia severe risk warning model was successfully constructed, including eight parameters: age, bacterial coinfection, CD4+, CD4+/CD8+, multiple lung lobe infiltrations, smoking, hypertension, and hospital admission days. The risk score for severe illness in patients was set at 600 points. The model had good predictive performance (AUROC = 0.94397), better than the original MuLBSTA score (AUROC = 0.8241). CONCLUSION: A warning system constructed based on immune function has a good warning effect on the risk of severe conversion in patients with viral pneumonia.


Assuntos
Linfócitos T CD8-Positivos , Pneumonia Viral , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Estudos Retrospectivos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Pneumonia Viral/imunologia , China/epidemiologia , Linfócitos T CD8-Positivos/imunologia , Idoso , Adulto , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , Linfócitos T CD4-Positivos/imunologia , Medição de Risco , Progressão da Doença , Fatores de Risco , Escore de Alerta Precoce
17.
Emerg Med J ; 41(6): 363-367, 2024 May 28.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38670792

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: The Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS) is an effective tool to identify patients in the acute care chain who are likely to deteriorate. Although it is increasingly being implemented in the ED, the optimal moment to use the MEWS is unknown. This study aimed to determine at what moment in the acute care chain MEWS has the highest accuracy in predicting critical illness. METHODS: Adult patients brought by ambulance to the ED at both locations of the Amsterdam UMC, a level 1 trauma centre, were prospectively included between 11 March and 28 October 2021. MEWS was calculated using vital parameters measured prehospital, at ED presentation, 1 hour and 3 hours thereafter, imputing for missing temperature and/or consciousness, as these values were expected not to deviate. Critical illness was defined as requiring intensive care unit admission, myocardial infarction or death within 72 hours after ED presentation. Accuracy in predicting critical illness was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC). RESULTS: Of the 790 included patients, critical illness occurred in 90 (11.4%). MEWS based on vital parameters at ED presentation had the highest performance in predicting critical illness with an AUROC of 0.73 (95% CI 0.67 to 0.79) but did not significantly differ compared with other moments. Patients with an increasing MEWS over time are significantly more likely to become critical ill compared with patients with an improving MEWS. CONCLUSION: The performance of MEWS is moderate in predicting critical illness using vital parameters measured surrounding ED admission. However, an increase of MEWS during ED admission is correlated with the development of critical illness. Therefore, early recognition of deteriorating patients at the ED may be achieved by frequent MEWS calculation. Further studies should investigate the effect of continuous monitoring of these patients at the ED.


Assuntos
Estado Terminal , Escore de Alerta Precoce , Humanos , Estudos Prospectivos , Masculino , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Países Baixos , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência/organização & administração , Fatores de Tempo , Sinais Vitais , Adulto , Curva ROC , Valor Preditivo dos Testes
18.
Artigo em Chinês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38678000

RESUMO

Acute poisoning represents a prevalent critical illness jeopardizing patient survival. Early, precise assessment of the condition and subsequent appropriate therapeutic intervention are pivotal in enhancing treatment success rates. Currently, a standardized approach to evaluating the severity of acute poisoning is lacking. Various scoring systems, including Poisoning Severity Score (PSS) , Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS) , and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation Ⅱ (APACHE Ⅱ) , offer valuable insights into acute poisoning assessment. Nevertheless, the distinct attributes of each scoring system constrain their broad clinical utility. Confronted with the intricate clinical demands of acute poisoning, the adoption of staged and dynamic assessment strategies is imperative to ascertain the condition of acute poisoning patients with greater accuracy.


Assuntos
Intoxicação , Humanos , Doença Aguda , APACHE , Escore de Alerta Precoce , Intoxicação/diagnóstico , Intoxicação/terapia , Índice de Gravidade de Doença
19.
Clin Med (Lond) ; 24(3): 100208, 2024 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38643832

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to evaluate three prehospital early warning scores (EWSs): RTS, MGAP and MREMS, to predict short-term mortality in acute life-threatening trauma and injury/illness by comparing United States (US) and Spanish cohorts. METHODS: A total of 8,854 patients, 8,598/256 survivors/nonsurvivors, comprised the unified cohort. Datasets were randomly divided into training and test sets. Training sets were used to analyse the discriminative power of the scores in terms of the area under the curve (AUC), and the score performance was assessed in the test set in terms of sensitivity (SE), specificity (SP), accuracy (ACC) and balanced accuracy (BAC). RESULTS: The three scores showed great discriminative power with AUCs>0.90, and no significant differences between cohorts were found. In the test set, RTS/MREMS/MGAP showed SE/SP/ACC/BAC values of 86.0/89.9/89.6/87.1%, 91.0/86.9/87.5/88.5%, and 87.7/82.9/83.4/85.2%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: All EWSs showed excellent ability to predict the risk of short-term mortality, independent of the country.


Assuntos
Serviços Médicos de Emergência , Ferimentos e Lesões , Humanos , Feminino , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Adulto , Ferimentos e Lesões/mortalidade , Espanha/epidemiologia , Serviços Médicos de Emergência/normas , Idoso , Estudos de Coortes , Escore de Alerta Precoce
20.
J Clin Nurs ; 33(9): 3381-3398, 2024 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38661093

RESUMO

AIM: Ascertain the impact of mandated use of early warning systems (EWSs) on the development of registered nurses' higher-order thinking. DESIGN: A systematic literature review was conducted, following Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines and checklist (Page et al., 2021). DATA SOURCES: CINAHL, Medline, Embase, PyscInfo. REVIEW METHODS: Eligible articles were quality appraised using the MMAT tool. Data extraction was conducted independently by four reviewers. Three investigators thematically analysed the data. RESULTS: Our review found that EWSs can support or suppress the development of nurses' higher-order thinking. EWS supports the development of higher-order thinking in two ways; by confirming nurses' subjective clinical assessment of patients and/or by providing a rationale for the escalation of care. Of note, more experienced nurses expressed their view that junior nurses are inhibited from developing effective higher-order thinking due to reliance on the tool. CONCLUSION: EWSs facilitate early identification of clinical deterioration in hospitalised patients. The impact of EWSs on the development of nurses' higher-order thinking is under-explored. We found that EWSs can support and suppress nurses' higher-order thinking. EWS as a supportive factor reinforces the development of nurses' heuristics, the mental shortcuts experienced clinicians call on when interpreting their subjective clinical assessment of patients. Conversely, EWS as a suppressive factor inhibits the development of nurses' higher-order thinking and heuristics, restricting the development of muscle memory regarding similar presentations they may encounter in the future. Clinicians' ability to refine and expand on their catalogue of heuristics is important as it endorses the future provision of safe and effective care for patients who present with similar physiological signs and symptoms. IMPACT: This research impacts health services and education providers as EWS and nurses' development of higher-order thinking skills are essential aspects of delivering safe, quality care. NO PATIENT OR PUBLIC CONTRIBUTION: This is a systematic review, and therefore, comprises no contribution from patients or the public.


Assuntos
Recursos Humanos de Enfermagem Hospitalar , Humanos , Recursos Humanos de Enfermagem Hospitalar/psicologia , Pensamento , Escore de Alerta Precoce
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