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1.
Einstein (Sao Paulo) ; 22: eAO0546, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38695477

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: The prevalent symptoms of severe dengue in pediatric patients are divided into three subgroups: severe plasma leakage, severe bleeding, and severe organ damage. In addition, the seasonal patterns of the disease and the outcomes of cure or death from dengue were evaluated. METHODS: An epidemiological, observational, analytical, cross-sectional study was conducted with data from the Notifiable Disease Information System (SINAN - Sistema de Informação de Agravos de Notificação and DATASUS - Departamento de Informática do Sistema Único de Saúde) of the Ministry of Health from 2019 to 2020. RESULTS: During the study period, 1,857 cases of severe dengue were observed in the pediatric age group, with the most common symptoms being respiratory failure, melena, hematemesis, and altered level of consciousness. The total proportion of patients hospitalized for severe dengue was 89.6%, and 51.2% of these patients died, corroborating the importance of early detection of the disease. CONCLUSION: Severe dengue is more prevalent during the seasonal period, with hot and humid characteristics owing to the mechanism involved in the viral cycle. The most prevalent symptoms of severe dengue in pediatric patients were respiratory failure alone, gastrointestinal bleeding, and altered level of consciousness. It is important to identify signs of severity for early intervention and a better prognosis, considering that death is closely related to a delayed diagnosis.


Assuntos
Estações do Ano , Dengue Grave , Humanos , Estudos Transversais , Pré-Escolar , Lactente , Dengue Grave/epidemiologia , Dengue Grave/diagnóstico , Dengue Grave/mortalidade , Masculino , Feminino , Criança , Brasil/epidemiologia , Recém-Nascido , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Prevalência
2.
J Infect Dev Ctries ; 18(4): 495-500, 2024 Apr 30.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38728633

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: After the Coronavirus Disease 2019 pandemic, a high number of cases and severe dengue in children were reported in some provinces in the south of Vietnam. This study aimed to determine the distribution of dengue virus serotypes and their correlation with demographic factors, disease severity, clinical manifestations, and laboratory findings. METHODOLOGY: This study employed a cross-sectional design. Ninety-six dengue-infected children admitted to Can Tho Children's Hospital between October 2022 and March 2023 were included. Confirmation of dengue infection was achieved through the real-time polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR). RESULTS: Among the identified serotypes, DENV-2 accounted for the highest proportion (71.87%), followed by DENV-1 (23.96%), and DENV-4 (4.17%). DENV-3 was not detected. No significant demographic, disease severity, or laboratory differences were observed among the identified dengue serotypes. However, DENV-2 was associated with a higher occurrence of mucous membrane hemorrhages and gastrointestinal bleeding compared to other serotypes. CONCLUSIONS: Although DENV-2 was the most prevalent serotype responsible for dengue in children in southern Vietnam, it did not lead to more severe cases compared to other serotypes. This finding is crucial for evaluating the illness's prognosis.


Assuntos
Vírus da Dengue , Sorogrupo , Dengue Grave , Humanos , Vietnã/epidemiologia , Dengue Grave/epidemiologia , Dengue Grave/virologia , Estudos Transversais , Masculino , Vírus da Dengue/classificação , Vírus da Dengue/genética , Vírus da Dengue/isolamento & purificação , Feminino , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Adolescente , Lactente , Índice de Gravidade de Doença
3.
Medicine (Baltimore) ; 103(17): e38000, 2024 Apr 26.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38669370

RESUMO

This study aimed to assess the clinical utility of blood lactate-to-bicarbonate (L/B) ratio, as a prognostic factor for 28-day in-hospital mortality in children with dengue shock syndrome (DSS), admitted to the pediatric intensive care unit (PICU). This single-center retrospective study was conducted at a tertiary children hospital in southern Vietnam from 2013 to mid-2022. Prognostic models for DSS mortality were developed, using a predefined set of covariates in the first 24 hours of PICU admission. Area under the curves (AUCs), multivariable logistic and Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regressions, bootstrapping and calibration slope were performed. A total of 492 children with DSS and complete clinical and biomarker data were included in the analysis, and 26 (5.3%) patients died. The predictive values for DSS mortality, regarding lactate showing AUC 0.876 (95% CI, 0.807-0.944), and that of L/B ratio 0.867 (95% CI, 0.80-0.934) (P values of both biomarkers < .001). The optimal cutoff point of the L/B ratio was 0.25, while that of lactate was 4.2 mmol/L. The multivariable model showed significant clinical predictors of DSS fatality including severe bleeding, cumulative amount of fluid infused and vasoactive-inotropic score (>30) in the first 24 hours of PICU admission. Combined with the identified clinical predictors, the L/B ratio yielded higher prognostic values (odds ratio [OR] = 8.66, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.96-38.3; P < .01) than the lactate-based model (OR = 1.35, 95% CI, 1.15-1.58; P < .001). Both the L/B and lactate models showed similarly good performances. Considering that the L/B ratio has a better prognostic value than the lactate model, it may be considered a potential prognostic biomarker in clinical use for predicting 28-day mortality in PICU-admitted children with DSS.


Assuntos
Bicarbonatos , Biomarcadores , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva Pediátrica , Ácido Láctico , Dengue Grave , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Estudos Retrospectivos , Prognóstico , Ácido Láctico/sangue , Dengue Grave/sangue , Dengue Grave/mortalidade , Dengue Grave/diagnóstico , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Biomarcadores/sangue , Bicarbonatos/sangue , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva Pediátrica/estatística & dados numéricos , Vietnã/epidemiologia , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Lactente , Área Sob a Curva
4.
J Med Virol ; 96(5): e29635, 2024 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38682660

RESUMO

Guangzhou has been the city most affected by the dengue virus (DENV) in China, with a predominance of DENV serotype 1 (DENV-1). Viral factors such as dengue serotype and genotype are associated with severe dengue (SD). However, none of the studies have investigated the relationship between DENV-1 genotypes and SD. To understand the association between DENV-1 genotypes and SD, the clinical manifestations of patients infected with different genotypes were investigated. A total of 122 patients with confirmed DENV-1 genotype infection were recruited for this study. The clinical manifestations, laboratory tests, and levels of inflammatory mediator factors were statistically analyzed to investigate the characteristics of clinical manifestations and immune response on the DENV-1 genotype. In the case of DENV-1 infection, the incidence of SD with genotype V infection was significantly higher than that with genotype I infection. Meanwhile, patients infected with genotype V were more common in ostealgia and bleeding significantly. In addition, levels of inflammatory mediator factors including IFN-γ, TNF-α, IL-10, and soluble vascular cell adhesion molecule 1 were higher in patients with SD infected with genotype V. Meanwhile, the concentrations of regulated upon activation normal T-cell expressed and secreted and growth-related gene alpha were lower in patients with SD infected with genotype V. The higher incidence of SD in patients infected with DENV-1 genotype V may be attributed to elevated cytokines and adhesion molecules, along with decreased chemokines.


Assuntos
Vírus da Dengue , Genótipo , Sorogrupo , Dengue Grave , Humanos , Vírus da Dengue/genética , Vírus da Dengue/classificação , China/epidemiologia , Masculino , Feminino , Adulto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Dengue Grave/virologia , Dengue Grave/epidemiologia , Adulto Jovem , Citocinas/sangue , Adolescente , Idoso , Incidência , Criança , Dengue/virologia , Dengue/epidemiologia
5.
PLoS Negl Trop Dis ; 18(3): e0012071, 2024 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38536887

RESUMO

Dengue shock (DS) is the most severe complication of dengue infection; endothelial hyperpermeability leads to profound plasma leakage, hypovolaemia and extravascular fluid accumulation. At present, the only treatment is supportive with intravenous fluid, but targeted endothelial stabilising therapies and host immune modulators are needed. With the aim of prioritising potential therapeutics, we conducted a prospective observational study of adults (≥16 years) with DS in Vietnam from 2019-2022, comparing the pathophysiology underlying circulatory failure with patients with septic shock (SS), and investigating the association of biomarkers with clinical severity (SOFA score, ICU admission, mortality) and pulmonary vascular leak (daily lung ultrasound for interstitial and pleural fluid). Plasma was collected at enrolment, 48 hours later and hospital discharge. We measured biomarkers of inflammation (IL-6, ferritin), endothelial activation (Ang-1, Ang-2, sTie-2, VCAM-1) and endothelial glycocalyx breakdown (hyaluronan, heparan sulfate, endocan, syndecan-1). We enrolled 135 patients with DS (median age 26, median SOFA score 7, 34 required ICU admission, 5 deaths), together with 37 patients with SS and 25 healthy controls. Within the DS group, IL-6 and ferritin were associated with admission SOFA score (IL-6: ßeta0.70, p<0.001 & ferritin: ßeta0.45, p<0.001), ICU admission (IL-6: OR 2.6, p<0.001 & ferritin: OR 1.55, p<0.001) and mortality (IL-6: OR 4.49, p = 0.005 & ferritin: OR 13.8, p = 0.02); both biomarkers discriminated survivors and non-survivors at 48 hours and all patients who died from DS had pre-mortem ferritin ≥100,000ng/ml. IL-6 most strongly correlated with severity of pulmonary vascular leakage (R = 0.41, p<0.001). Ang-2 correlated with pulmonary vascular leak (R = 0.33, p<0.001) and associated with SOFA score (ß 0.81, p<0.001) and mortality (OR 8.06, p = 0.002). Ang-1 was associated with ICU admission (OR 1.6, p = 0.005) and mortality (OR 3.62, p = 0.006). All 4 glycocalyx biomarkers were positively associated with SOFA score, but only syndecan-1 was associated with ICU admission (OR 2.02, p<0.001) and mortality (OR 6.51, p<0.001). This study highlights the central role of hyperinflammation in determining outcomes from DS; the data suggest that anti-IL-1 and anti-IL-6 immune modulators and Tie2 agonists may be considered as candidates for therapeutic trials in severe dengue.


Assuntos
Sepse , Dengue Grave , Choque Séptico , Adulto , Humanos , Sindecana-1 , Estudos Prospectivos , Vietnã/epidemiologia , Interleucina-6 , Biomarcadores , Ferritinas , Prognóstico , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva , Sepse/complicações
6.
J Infect Public Health ; 17(4): 579-587, 2024 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38368646

RESUMO

Dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF) is a severe condition resulting from the dengue virus, with four serotypes known as DEN-1, DEN-2, DEN-3, and DEN-4. Genetic variations play a crucial role in influencing susceptibility to DHF. Therefore, this investigation conducted a meta-analysis to uncover genetic changes that might have remained undetected in individual studies due to small sample sizes or methodological differences. Among 2212 initially identified studies, 23 were deemed suitable for analysis based on PRISMA guidelines. Toll-like receptors (TLR) and CD209 showed significant association with DHF (odds ratios: TLR=0.56, CD209 =0.55), indicating protective effects. However, tumor necrosis factor (TNF) and human leukocyte antigen (HLA) did not exhibit a statistically significant relationship with DHF. This study emphasizes the relevance of TLR and CD209 in DHF susceptibility and resistance across diverse geographical locations.


Assuntos
Vírus da Dengue , Dengue , Dengue Grave , Humanos , Dengue Grave/genética , Vírus da Dengue/genética , Fator de Necrose Tumoral alfa/genética , Sorogrupo , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Dengue/genética
7.
Nat Med ; 30(3): 670-674, 2024 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38321219

RESUMO

Dengue is a global epidemic causing over 100 million cases annually. The clinical symptoms range from mild fever to severe hemorrhage and shock, including some fatalities. The current paradigm is that these severe dengue cases occur mostly during secondary infections due to antibody-dependent enhancement after infection with a different dengue virus serotype. India has the highest dengue burden worldwide, but little is known about disease severity and its association with primary and secondary dengue infections. To address this issue, we examined 619 children with febrile dengue-confirmed infection from three hospitals in different regions of India. We classified primary and secondary infections based on IgM:IgG ratios using a dengue-specific enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay according to the World Health Organization guidelines. We found that primary dengue infections accounted for more than half of total clinical cases (344 of 619), severe dengue cases (112 of 202) and fatalities (5 of 7). Consistent with the classification based on binding antibody data, dengue neutralizing antibody titers were also significantly lower in primary infections compared to secondary infections (P ≤ 0.0001). Our findings question the currently widely held belief that severe dengue is associated predominantly with secondary infections and emphasizes the importance of developing vaccines or treatments to protect dengue-naive populations.


Assuntos
Coinfecção , Vírus da Dengue , Dengue , Dengue Grave , Humanos , Criança , Dengue/epidemiologia , Dengue Grave/epidemiologia , Anticorpos Antivirais , Coinfecção/epidemiologia , Febre
8.
PLoS Negl Trop Dis ; 18(2): e0011927, 2024 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38306389

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Montelukast has shown potential as a candidate treatment for dengue. This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of montelukast in preventing dengue with warning signs. METHODS: This multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial enrolled adult participants with NS1 antigenemia in Thailand. The participants were randomly assigned to receive either oral montelukast (10 mg) or a placebo for 10 days or until all symptoms resolved. RESULTS: Between January 2021 and June 2023, 358 participants were enrolled and randomly assigned (1:1) to receive either montelukast or placebo. The incidence rate of warning signs in the montelukast group and the placebo group were 9.5% and 7.8% per day, respectively. There was no difference between the two groups (HR 1.36; 95%CI 0.94-1.96, P = 0.105). No statistically significant differences were observed in the incidence rate of severe dengue, hemoconcentration, thrombocytopenia, admission, or recovery from dengue. Neither dengue shock, nor mortality occurred. The montelukast group exhibited a decreased incidence rate of transaminase elevations (0.7% vs 1.4% per day, HR: 0.48, 95%CI 0.25-0.90, P = 0.023). CONCLUSION: Oral montelukast does not reduce the incidence of warning signs among patients with dengue. Nevertheless, the observed decrease in transaminase elevations warrants further investigation to evaluate the potential effect of montelukast. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION: Clinicaltrials.gov, NCT04673422, registered on 9 December 2020.


Assuntos
Acetatos , Ciclopropanos , Quinolinas , Dengue Grave , Sulfetos , Adulto , Humanos , Resultado do Tratamento , Acetatos/uso terapêutico , Método Duplo-Cego , Transaminases
9.
J Infect Public Health ; 17(3): 535-541, 2024 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38310745

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Identifying predictors of severe dengue (SD) is key for triage and management of patients as well as for advising travellers to countries where dengue is endemic. In this, meta-analyses have raised diabetes mellitus as a risk factor for SD and a prognostic factor for dengue-related mortality. The purpose of this study was to assess whether diabetic patients (DPs) are at increased risk for SD in comparison to non-diabetic patients (NDPs) in a setting of high prevalence of type 2 diabetes mellitus and increasing endemicity for dengue. METHODS: In a cohort study conducted during the 2019 dengue epidemic on Reunion Island, we estimated the risk ratios (RR) of DPs for SD (WHO 2009 definition), hospitalisation, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, critical care need or death in the ICU, and scales rating severity or multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS), among confirmed cases of dengue (positive RT-PCR or NS1 antigen). RESULTS: In a Poisson regression model adjusted for age, gender and comorbidity, DPs were more likely to develop SD (adjusted RR: 1.46, 95%CI 1.10-1.95), to be hospitalised, admitted to the ICU, and need critical care or die in the ICU. Subgroup analyses identified female DPs, non-elderly DPs (< 65 years) and DPs with low Charlson score (< 3) to be at higher risk for SD, the two first subgroups trough more severe presentation (higher Simplified Acute Physiology Score-2 values; higher MODS scores, respectively). Male gender, age less than 65 years and mixed comorbidity were identified as prognostic factors for critical care need or death in the ICU, male and non-elderly DPs being more likely to develop MODS than their non-diabetic counterparts. CONCLUSIONS: Together, these data highlight the role of diabetes mellitus in the progression from dengue to SD through higher severity per se or the event of MODS.


Assuntos
Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Dengue Grave , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Estudos de Coortes , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicações , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiologia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Prognóstico , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva , Fatores de Risco , Dengue Grave/complicações , Dengue Grave/epidemiologia , Medição de Risco
10.
J Coll Physicians Surg Pak ; 34(2): 241-243, 2024 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38342881

RESUMO

The study aimed to determine if deranged liver function tests (LFTs) can predict severe dengue or mortality. It included 135 dengue patients, with a mean age of 30.9 ± 12.09 years. Among the patients, 82 (60.7%) were under 30 years of age. Nearly half of the patients (64, 47. 4%) had some degree of liver damage indicated by deranged LFTs, 27 (42.1%) had elevated alanine transaminase (ALT), 7 (10.9%) had increased bilirubin, and 30 (46.9%) had high values of alkaline phosphatase (ALP). However, only elevated ALP levels were positively correlated with mortality (Pearson's R = 0.282, p = <0.05). The mean bilirubin was 11.711 ± 8.602 umol/l, and the mean values of ALT and ALP were 107 ± 240 and 113.571 ± 59.91 IU/L, respectively, which were higher than the normal. The study findings suggested that hepatic derangement is a common occurrence in dengue patients, and increased ALP levels could be an indicator of a higher risk of mortality. These findings can help improve patient care by identifying the potential risk factors for mortality. Key Words: Dengue, Liver function tests, Alanine transaminase, Alkaline phosphatase.


Assuntos
Dengue , Dengue Grave , Humanos , Adolescente , Adulto Jovem , Adulto , Dengue Grave/complicações , Dengue Grave/diagnóstico , Fosfatase Alcalina , Alanina Transaminase , Fígado , Testes de Função Hepática , Bilirrubina , Aspartato Aminotransferases , Dengue/complicações , Dengue/diagnóstico
11.
Trop Doct ; 54(2): 179-181, 2024 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38225193

RESUMO

Dengue fever (DF) primarily presents with fever, headache, malaise, bleeding manifestations and haemoconcentration. World Health Organization (WHO) classifies DF according to levels of severity: (a) without warning signs; (b) with warning signs, such as abdominal pain, persistent vomiting, fluid accumulation, mucosal bleeding, lethargy, liver enlargement, increasing haematocrit and thrombocytopenia; and (c) severe dengue with severe plasma leakage, severe bleeding or organ failure. Atypical clinical presentations of DF are defined as expanded dengue syndrome: this includes renal, cardiac, hepatic or cerebral damage. We report such a severe case where a young man developed acute kidney injury, acute fulminant liver failure and acute pancreatitis secondary to DF, but recovered.


Assuntos
Dengue , Falência Hepática Aguda , Pancreatite , Dengue Grave , Masculino , Humanos , Doença Aguda , Dengue Grave/complicações , Dengue Grave/diagnóstico , Organização Mundial da Saúde , Dengue/complicações , Dengue/diagnóstico
12.
Trop Med Int Health ; 29(3): 173-191, 2024 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38263345

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Severe dengue is a significant health problem in Latin America, with children being the most affected. Understanding risk factors for severe dengue is crucial for enhancing patient care. Therefore, this study aims to systematically review the literature to identify the risk factors associated with severe dengue in Latin America through systematic review and meta-analysis. METHODS: PubMed, SciELO, LILACS and EMBASE databases were used to search for eligible scientific articles for the review. The outcomes considered were symptoms of severe dengue, hospitalisation and death. The Joanna Briggs Institute Critical Appraisal Checklist was used to assess the quality of the studies. Data analysis was performed using STATA v 13.0 software. The degree of heterogeneity between studies was quantified using the I2 measure, and statistically significant results were defined as those with p values <0.05. RESULTS: Of the 1876 articles screened, 47 articles were included in the systematic review and 45 articles were analysed through meta-analysis. Identified risk factors associated with severe dengue included secondary dengue infection, female sex, white or Caucasian ethnicity and specific signs and symptoms such as headache, myalgia and/or arthralgia, vomiting/nausea, abdominal pain or tenderness, diarrhoea, prostration, lethargy, fatigue or similar. For the death outcome, respiratory symptoms and age <18 years were identified as risk factors. On the other hand, in women, the diagnosis of positive tourniquet test, platelet count <100,000 per µL and symptoms of capillary fragility were associated with a lower probability of death. These data highlight the importance of early screening of patients, to identify possible haemorrhagic signs and reduce deaths from dengue. This study has limitations, including possible publication bias, heterogeneity of results and study design biases. CONCLUSION: These findings are significant for shaping strategies, management approaches and identifying high-risk groups, which will help establish future guidelines.


Assuntos
Dengue Grave , Criança , Humanos , Feminino , Adolescente , Dengue Grave/epidemiologia , América Latina/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco , Hospitalização
14.
Int J Biol Macromol ; 260(Pt 2): 129562, 2024 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38246445

RESUMO

Dengue virus infection has significantly increased, with reported cases soaring from 505,430 in 2000 to 2,809,818 in 2022, emphasizing the need for effective treatments. Among the eleven structural and non-structural proteins of DENV, Non-structural protein 1 (NS1) has emerged as a promising target due to its diverse role in modulating the immune response, inducing vascular leakage, and facilitating viral replication and assembly. Monoclonal antibodies are the sole therapeutics to target NS1, but concerns about their cross-reactivity persist. Given these concerns, our study focuses on designing a novel Peptide Ligand Conjugate (PLC) as a potential alternative immunotherapeutic agent against NS1. This PLC aims to mediate the immune elimination of soluble NS1 and NS1-presenting DENV-infected host cells by pre-existing vaccine-induced immunity. By employing the High Throughput Virtual Screening (HTVS) method, QikProp analysis, and Molecular Dynamics studies, we identified three hits from Asinex Biodesigned Ligands out of 220,177 compounds that show strong binding affinity towards the monoclonal binding site of NS1 protein. After a rigorous analysis of physicochemical characteristics, antigenicity, allergenicity, and toxicity using various servers, we selected two peptides: the minimum epitopic region of the Diphtheria and Tetanus toxins as the peptide components of the PLCs. A non-cleavable, non-reactive oxime linker connected the ligand with the peptide through oxime and amide bonds. DPT vaccine is widely used in dengue-endemic countries, and it has been reported that antibodies titer against MER of Diphtheria toxin and Tetanus toxins persist lifelong in DPT-vaccinated people. Therefore, once the rationally designed PLCs bind to NS1 through the ligands, the peptide will induce an immune response against NS1 by triggering pre-existing DPT antibodies and activating memory cells. This orchestrated immune response will destroy soluble NS1 and NS1-expressing DENV-infected cells, thereby reducing the illness of severe dengue hemorrhagic fever and the DENV infection, respectively. Given the increasing demand for new therapeutics for DENV treatment, further investigation into this novel immune-therapeutic strategy may offer a new avenue for treating mild and severe dengue infections.


Assuntos
Vírus da Dengue , Dengue , Dengue Grave , Humanos , Dengue/terapia , Dengue/diagnóstico , Ligantes , Toxina Tetânica , Peptídeos , Imunoterapia , Oximas , Proteínas não Estruturais Virais , Anticorpos Antivirais
15.
Stud Health Technol Inform ; 310: 881-885, 2024 Jan 25.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38269935

RESUMO

Dengue fever is a viral infectious disease transmitted through mosquito bites, and has symptoms ranging from mild flu-like symptoms to deadly complications. Dengue fever is one of the global burden diseases which annually have 50-100 million cases with 500,000 cases of severe dengue fever, of which 22,000 deaths occur mostly in children. Despite the discovery of vaccines, vector control is still the main approach for prevention efforts. Early detection and accessibility to medical care can reduce severe Dengue mortality rate from 50% to 2%. In the previous study, both statistical and machine learning methods have the potential for predicting a Dengue outbreak, but the study is still fragmented and limited on implementing the generated model into an early warning system application. In this study, we developed an artificial intelligence model with spatiotemporal to predict Dengue outbreak and Dengue incidence case which is ready to be implemented into an early warning system application. Indonesia, especially Semarang City, has experienced an endemic Dengue. We used Semarang City spatiotemporal, meteorological, climatological, and Dengue surveillance epidemiology data from January 2014 to December 2021 in 16 districts of Semarang City. We reviewed 7208 samples from 16 districts and 1 city per week during 8 years. The entire dataset was divided into training (80%) and testing (20%) to develop a prediction model. We used machine learning and Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) to predict Dengue outbreak 1 week before the event for each district. and machine learning to predict Dengue incident cases 1 week before the event for each district. Accuracy, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), precision, recall, and F1 score were considered to evaluate the Dengue outbreak prediction model. The Dengue incidence cases prediction model will evaluate using Mean Squared Error (MSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), and R-Squared (R2). Extra Trees Classifier model shown outperform in Dengue outbreak prediction, with accuracy 0.8925, AUROC 0. 9529, Recall 0.6117, precision 0.8880, and F1 score 0.7238. CatBoost Regressor model is shown to outperform in Dengue incidence cases prediction, with R2 0.5621, MAE 0.6304, MSE 1.1997, and RMSE 1.0891. The study proves that Artificial Intelligence (AI) with a spatiotemporal approach can give higher performance in Dengue outbreak and incidence cases prediction. Utilization of AI approaches that are sensitive with spatiotemporal feasibility to implement in Dengue early warning system application may contribute to increase the policy makers and community attention to do accurate community-based vector control.


Assuntos
Inteligência Artificial , Dengue Grave , Criança , Humanos , Pessoal Administrativo , Área Sob a Curva , Aprendizado de Máquina
16.
PLoS Negl Trop Dis ; 18(1): e0011922, 2024 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38289968

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Dengue is one of the most common diseases in the tropics and subtropics. Whilst mortality is a rare event when adequate supportive care can be provided, a large number of patients get hospitalised with dengue every year that places a heavy burden on local health systems. A better understanding of the support required at the time of hospitalisation is therefore of critical importance for healthcare planning, especially when resources are limited during major outbreaks. METHODS: Here we performed a retrospective analysis of clinical data from over 1500 individuals hospitalised with dengue in Vietnam between 2017 and 2019. Using a broad panel of potential biomarkers, we sought to evaluate robust predictors of prolonged hospitalisation periods. RESULTS: Our analyses revealed a lead-time bias, whereby early admission to hospital correlates with longer hospital stays - irrespective of disease severity. Importantly, taking into account the symptom duration prior to hospitalisation significantly affects observed associations between hospitalisation length and previously reported risk markers of prolonged stays, which themselves showed marked inter-annual variations. Once corrected for symptom duration, age, temperature at admission and elevated neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio were found predictive of longer hospitalisation periods. CONCLUSION: This study demonstrates that the time since dengue symptom onset is one of the most significant predictors for the length of hospital stays, independent of the assigned severity score. Pre-hospital symptom durations need to be accounted for to evaluate clinically relevant biomarkers of dengue hospitalisation trajectories.


Assuntos
Dengue Grave , Humanos , Dengue Grave/diagnóstico , Dengue Grave/epidemiologia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Hospitalização , Tempo de Internação , Biomarcadores
17.
Virus Res ; 341: 199306, 2024 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38176525

RESUMO

The immunopathogenesis of dengue severity is convoluted. The primary objective of the research was to examine the dynamics of cytokine storm and its correlation with disease development in individuals affected by DENV infection. Additionally, the study aimed to discover potential biomarkers that could indicate severe dengue infection and determine the most suitable timeframe for predicting the severity of these biomarkers during the acute stage of dengue infections. We conducted a temporal analysis of the daily viral load and cytokine levels in 60 hospitalized dengue patients until discharge. Our findings reveal a distinct cytokine profile (elevated IL-8, IL-10, IL-6, GM-CSF, MCP-1, IL-13, and IL-4 and decreased IL-12, MIP-1ß) on the third day after symptom onset is predictive of severe dengue in secondary dengue infection. The imbalanced cytokine signature may inform clinical decision-making in treating severe dengue infections.


Assuntos
Vírus da Dengue , Dengue , Dengue Grave , Humanos , Síndrome da Liberação de Citocina , Citocinas , Biomarcadores
18.
Pediatr Crit Care Med ; 25(4): e177-e185, 2024 Apr 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37966344

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: Profound dengue shock syndrome (DSS) complicated by severe respiratory failure necessitating mechanical ventilation (MV) accounts for high case fatality rates among PICU-admitted patients. A major challenge to management is the assessment of intravascular volume, which can be hampered by severe plasma leakage and the use of MV. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort, from 2013 to 2021. PATIENTS: Sixty-seven children with profound DSS supported by MV, some of whom underwent bedside point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) for assessment and monitoring of hemodynamics and fluid administration. SETTING: PICU of the tertiary Children's Hospital No. 2 in Vietnam. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: We analyzed data clinical and laboratory data during PICU stay. In particular, during use of MV (i.e., at times 0-, 6-, and 24-hr after commencement) and fluid resuscitation. The primary study outcome was 28-day in-hospital mortality, and the secondary outcomes were associations with changes in hemodynamics, blood lactate, and vasoactive-inotrope score (VIS). Patients had a median age of 7 years (interquartile range, 4-9). Use of POCUS during fluid management (39/67), as opposed to not using (28/67), was associated with lower mortality (6/39 [15%] vs. 18/28 [64%]; difference 49 % [95% CI, 28-70%], p < 0.001). Use of POCUS was associated with lower odds of death (adjusted odds ratio 0.17 [95% CI, 0.04-0.76], p = 0.02). The utilization of POCUS, versus not, was associated with greater use of resuscitation fluid, and reductions in VIS and pediatric logistic organ dysfunction (PELOD-2) score at 24 hours after MV and PICU discharge. CONCLUSIONS: In our experience of pediatric patients with profound DSS and undergoing MV (2013-2021), POCUS use was associated with lower odds of death, a higher volume of resuscitation fluid, and improvements in the blood lactate levels, VIS, and PELOD-2 score.


Assuntos
Respiração Artificial , Dengue Grave , Criança , Humanos , Lactente , Estudos Retrospectivos , Sistemas Automatizados de Assistência Junto ao Leito , Lactatos , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva Pediátrica
19.
J Eur Acad Dermatol Venereol ; 38(1): 191-196, 2024 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37611258

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Dengue is an arbovirosis affecting nearly 4 billion people worldwide. Since 2018, dengue has been re-emerging in Reunion Island. The incidence of mucocutaneous manifestations varies according to the studies and is generally called 'rash'. OBJECTIVES: To assess the prevalence of different mucocutaneous symptoms and describe the characteristics of patients developing these symptoms and the clinical signs associated with severe dengue. METHODS: A prospective study was conducted in 2019 at the University Hospital of La Réunion, in patients presenting a positive PCR for dengue. Descriptive analyses were performed. All cases in the prospective study were examined by a dermatologist. RESULTS: A total of 163 cases were included. The prevalence of mucocutaneous signs was 80.4%. A pruritus was reported in 33.7% cases, an erythematous rash in 29.4% and a mouth involvement including lip, tongue, cheek, angular cheilitis, pharyngitis, mouth ulcer and gingivitis in 31.3%. Most of symptoms appeared in the first days, but some of them could disappear only after the 3rd week. Mucocutaneous signs were not associated with a severe dengue fever (p = 0.54), but ecchymotic purpura was (p = 0.037). In multivariate analysis, skin involvement was associated with flu-like syndrome (headache, pharyngitis, rachis pain) and patient required rehydration but not invasive reanimation. CONCLUSION: This work confirms the high prevalence of skin symptoms in dengue disease, but also their wide diversity. The mucocutaneous involvement of dengue fever appears to be accompanied by a pronounced flu-like syndrome in people without severity, but careful examination to identify ecchymotic purpura or sign of dehydration in the mucous membranes would better identify cases that may worsen.


Assuntos
Dengue , Exantema , Faringite , Púrpura , Dengue Grave , Humanos , Dengue Grave/complicações , Dengue Grave/epidemiologia , Dengue/complicações , Dengue/epidemiologia , Dengue/diagnóstico , Estudos Prospectivos , Púrpura/complicações , Exantema/complicações , Equimose , Boca , Faringite/complicações
20.
Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg ; 118(1): 44-50, 2024 01 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37534814

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Judicious fluid resuscitation and stringent monitoring of clinical parameters improve the outcome of dengue haemorrhagic fever (DHF). The usefulness of serum lactate to monitor adequate fluid therapy has not been adequately explored. METHODS: An observational study was conducted in Sri Lanka, recruiting 162 DHF patients within 12 h of diagnosis of the critical phase. Venous lactate level was measured at each time of performing haematocrit (HCT), using a prevalidated handheld lactate analyser. RESULTS: The median venous lactate level was 1.3 (range 0.3-6) mmol/L in the study population and 154 (95.2%) patients had median lactate levels of <2 mmol/L. The HCT values in the study participants ranged from 28 to 62, with a median value of 43. There was no statistically significant correlation between the lactate and HCT values obtained at the same time. A significant reduction in venous lactate was not observed following the administration of fluid boluses. The expected reduction in HCT was seen following the administration of dextran and crystalloid/dextran combination. The maximum recorded lactate level positively correlated with the duration of hospital stay. CONCLUSIONS: This study concludes that venous lactate is not an appropriate parameter with which to monitor the response to fluid therapy in uncomplicated DHF.


Assuntos
Dengue , Dengue Grave , Humanos , Dengue Grave/terapia , Dengue Grave/diagnóstico , Ácido Láctico , Hematócrito , Dextranos , Hidratação
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