The effect of the shock index and scoring systems for predicting mortality among geriatric patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding: a prospective cohort study
São Paulo med. j
; 140(4): 531-539, July-Aug. 2022. tab, graf
Article
em En
|
LILACS-Express
| LILACS
| ID: biblio-1410197
Biblioteca responsável:
BR1.1
ABSTRACT
ABSTRACT BACKGROUND:
Gastrointestinal (GI) bleeding is an important cause of mortality and morbidity among geriatric patients.OBJECTIVE:
To investigate whether the shock index and other scoring systems are effective predictors of mortality and prognosis among geriatric patients presenting to the emergency department with complaints of upper GI bleeding. DESIGN ANDSETTING:
Prospective cohort study in an emergency department in Bursa, Turkey.METHODS:
Patients over 65 years admitted to a single-center, tertiary emergency service between May 8, 2019, and April 30, 2020, and diagnosed with upper GI bleeding were analyzed. 30, 180 and 360-day mortality prediction performances of the shock index and the Rockall, Glasgow-Blatchford and AIMS-65 scores were evaluated.RESULTS:
A total of 111 patients who met the criteria were included in the study. The shock index (P < 0.001) and AIMS-65 score (P < 0.05) of the patients who died within the 30-day period were found to be significantly different, while the shock index (P < 0.001), Rockall score (P < 0.001) and AIMS-65 score (P < 0.05) of patients who died within the 180-day and 360-day periods were statistically different. In the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis for predicting 360-day mortality, the area under the curve (AUC) value was found to be 0.988 (95% confidence interval, CI, 0.971-1.000; P < 0.001).CONCLUSION:
The shock index measured among geriatric patients with upper GI bleeding at admission seems to be a more effective predictor of prognosis than other scoring systems.
Texto completo:
1
Coleções:
01-internacional
Base de dados:
LILACS
Tipo de estudo:
Etiology_studies
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Observational_studies
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Prognostic_studies
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Risk_factors_studies
Idioma:
En
Revista:
São Paulo med. j
Assunto da revista:
Cirurgia Geral
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Cincia
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Ginecologia
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MEDICINA
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Medicina Interna
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Obstetr¡cia
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Pediatria
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Sa£de Mental
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Sa£de P£blica
Ano de publicação:
2022
Tipo de documento:
Article
País de afiliação:
Turquia