Influence of meteorological variables on dengue incidence in the municipality of Arapiraca, Alagoas, Brazil
Rev. Soc. Bras. Med. Trop
; 50(3): 309-314, May-June 2017. tab, graf
Artigo
em Inglês
| LILACS
| ID: biblio-896981
Biblioteca responsável:
BR1.1
ABSTRACT
Abstract INTRODUCTION: Meteorological influences along with the lack of basic sanitation has contributed to disease outbreaks, resulting in large socio-economic losses, especially in terms of dengue. This study aimed to evaluate the meteorological influences on the monthly incidence of dengue in Arapiraca-AL, Brazil during 2008-2015. METHODS: We used generalized linear models constructed via logistic regression to assess the association between the monthly incidence of dengue (MID) of and 8 meteorological variables [rainfall (R), air temperature (AT), dew point temperature (DPT), relative humidity (RH), pressure surface, wind speed (WS), wind direction (WD), and gust], based on data obtained from DATASUS and meteorological station databases, respectively. The dengue-1 model included R, AT, DPT, and RH and the dengue-2 model included AT, DPT, RH, WS, and WD. A MID >100 (classified as moderate incidence) indicated an abnormal month. RESULTS: Based on the dengue-1 model, variables with the highest odds ratio included R-lag1, DPT-lag1, and AT-lag1 with a 10.1, 18.3, and 26.7 times greater probability of a moderate MID, respectively. Based on the dengue-2 model, variables with the highest odds ratio were AT-lag1 and RH-lag0 indicating an 8.9 and 18.1 times greater probability of a moderate MID, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: AT, DPT, R, RH and WS influenced the occurrence of a moderate MID.
Texto completo:
Disponível
Coleções:
Bases de dados internacionais
Contexto em Saúde:
Doenças Negligenciadas
Problema de saúde:
Dengue
/
Doenças Negligenciadas
Base de dados:
LILACS
Assunto principal:
Dengue
/
Conceitos Meteorológicos
Tipo de estudo:
Estudo de incidência
/
Estudo prognóstico
/
Fatores de risco
Limite:
Humanos
País/Região como assunto:
América do Sul
/
Brasil
Idioma:
Inglês
Revista:
Rev. Soc. Bras. Med. Trop
Assunto da revista:
Medicina Tropical
Ano de publicação:
2017
Tipo de documento:
Artigo
País de afiliação:
Brasil
Instituição/País de afiliação:
Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte/BR