A nomogram based on the expression of Ki-67, steroid hormone receptors status and number of chemotherapy courses to predict pathological complete remission after preoperative chemotherapy for breast cancer.
Eur J Cancer
; 46(12): 2216-24, 2010 Aug.
Article
em En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-20471822
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND:
Tools able to predict pathological complete response (pCR) to preoperative chemotherapy might improve treatment outcome. PATIENTS ANDMETHODS:
Data from 783 patients with invasive ductal carcinoma treated with preoperative chemotherapy and operated at the European Institute of Oncology were used to develop a nomogram using logistic regression model based on both categorical (clinical T and N, HER2/neu, grade and primary therapy) and continuous variables (age, oestrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor (PgR), Ki-67 expression and number of chemotherapy courses). The performance of the resulting nomogram was internally evaluated through bootstrapping methods. Finally the model was externally validated on a patient set treated in other institutions and subsequently operated at the EIO.RESULTS:
At multivariable analysis the probability of pCR was directly associated with Ki-67 expression (OR for 10% increase in the percentage of positive cells, 1.15, 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.03, 1.29) and number of chemotherapy courses (OR for one cycle increase, 1.31, 95% CI, 1.12, 1.53) and inversely associated with ER and PgR expression (ORs for 10% increase in the percentage of positive cells, 0.86, 95% CI 0.79, 0.93 and 0.82, 95% CI 0.69, 0.99, respectively). The nomogram for pCR based on these variables had good discrimination in training as well in validation set (AUC, 0.78 and 0.77).CONCLUSION:
The use of a nomogram based on the number of preoperative courses, degree of Ki-67 and steroid hormone receptors expression may be useful for predicting the probability of pCR and for the design of the proper therapeutic algorithm in locally advanced breast cancer.
Texto completo:
1
Coleções:
01-internacional
Base de dados:
MEDLINE
Assunto principal:
Neoplasias da Mama
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Protocolos de Quimioterapia Combinada Antineoplásica
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Receptores de Esteroides
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Carcinoma Ductal de Mama
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Antígeno Ki-67
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Nomogramas
Tipo de estudo:
Diagnostic_studies
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Prognostic_studies
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Risk_factors_studies
Limite:
Adult
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Aged
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Female
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Humans
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Middle aged
Idioma:
En
Revista:
Eur J Cancer
Ano de publicação:
2010
Tipo de documento:
Article
País de afiliação:
Itália