Normality and actual causal strength.
Cognition
; 161: 80-93, 2017 04.
Article
em En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-28157584
ABSTRACT
Existing research suggests that people's judgments of actual causation can be influenced by the degree to which they regard certain events as normal. We develop an explanation for this phenomenon that draws on standard tools from the literature on graphical causal models and, in particular, on the idea of probabilistic sampling. Using these tools, we propose a new measure of actual causal strength. This measure accurately captures three effects of normality on causal judgment that have been observed in existing studies. More importantly, the measure predicts a new effect ("abnormal deflation"). Two studies show that people's judgments do, in fact, show this new effect. Taken together, the patterns of people's causal judgments thereby provide support for the proposed explanation.
Palavras-chave
Texto completo:
1
Coleções:
01-internacional
Base de dados:
MEDLINE
Assunto principal:
Julgamento
/
Modelos Psicológicos
Tipo de estudo:
Prognostic_studies
Limite:
Humans
Idioma:
En
Revista:
Cognition
Ano de publicação:
2017
Tipo de documento:
Article