A Nomogram Based on Atelectasis/Obstructive Pneumonitis Could Predict the Metastasis of Lymph Nodes and Postoperative Survival of Pathological N0 Classification in Non-small Cell Lung Cancer Patients.

ABSTRACT

The eighth TNM staging system proposal classifies lung cancer with partial or complete atelectasis/obstructive pneumonia into the T2 category. We aimed to develop nomograms to predict the possibility of lymph node metastasis (LNM) and the prognosis for NSCLC based on atelectasis and obstructive pneumonitis. METHODS: NSCLC patients over 20 years old diagnosed between 2004 and 2015 were selected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. The nomograms were based on risk factors that were identified by Logistic regression. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) was performed to confirm the predictive values of our nomograms. Cox proportional hazards analysis and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis were also used in this study. RESULTS: A total of 470,283 patients were enrolled. Atelectasis/obstructive pneumonitis, age, gender, race, histologic types, grade, and tumor size were defined as independent predictive factors; then, these seven factors were integrated to establish nomograms of LNM. The AUC is 0.70 (95% CI 0.694-0.704). Moreover, the Cox proportional hazards analysis and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that the scores derived from the nomograms were significantly correlated with the survival of pathological N0 classification. CONCLUSION: Nomograms based on atelectasis/obstructive pneumonitis were developed and validated to predict LNM and the postoperative prognosis of NSCLC.