Plasma Methylated DNA Markers for Melanoma Surveillance.

PURPOSE: Surveillance after primary melanoma treatment aims to detect early signs of low-volume systemic disease. The current standard of care, surveillance imaging, is costly and difficult to access. We therefore sought to develop methylated DNA markers (MDMs) as promising alternatives for disease surveillance. METHODS: We used reduced representation bisulfite sequencing (RRBS) to identify MDMs in DNA samples obtained from metastatic melanoma, benign nevi, and normal skin tissues. The identified MDMs underwent validation in an independent cohort of tissue and buffy coat DNA samples. Subsequently, we tested the validated MDMs in the plasma DNA of patients with metastatic melanoma undergoing surveillance with total body imaging and compared them with cancer-free controls. To estimate the overall predictive accuracy of the MDMs, we used random forest modeling with bootstrap cross-validation. RESULTS: Forty MDMs demonstrated discrimination between melanoma cases and controls consisting of benign nevi and normal skin. Nine MDMs passing biological validation in tissue were run on 77 plasma samples from individuals with a history of metastatic melanoma, 49 of whom had evidence of disease detected by imaging at the time of blood draw, and 100 cancer-free controls. The cross-validated sensitivity of the panel for imaging-positive disease was 80% with a specificity of 100% in cancer-free controls, resulting in an overall AUC of 0.88 (95% CI, 0.81 to 0.96). The survival estimates for patients with melanoma who tested positive for the panel at 6 months and 1 year were 67% and 56%, respectively, while those who tested negative had survival rates of 100% and 92%. CONCLUSION: MDMs identified by RRBS demonstrate a high degree of concordance with imaging results in the plasma of patients with metastatic melanoma. Further prospective studies in larger intended use cohorts are needed to confirm these findings.