Equity-based carbon neutral plan induces cross-regional coal leakage and industrial relocation.
iScience
; 27(3): 109079, 2024 Mar 15.
Article
em En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-38361631
ABSTRACT
China as a major coal-consuming economy faces the challenge of balancing economic development and carbon neutrality goal. This paper incorporates both efficiency-based and equity-based carbon neutrality policies into a numerical model to quantitatively assess how coal reduction under various carbon-neutral policies affects energy mix, economic growth, and industrial structures by 2060. Results show the nationwide coal intensity will ultimately plunge by over 95% from 2017 to 2060, mainly attributed to the coal-phasing-out in most industries. National Gross Domestic Product losses reaches 4,951 billion USD in efficiency-based scenarios by 2060, and the economic losses are even more severe in less developed provinces, especially provinces in Northern China. Although the equity-based policy can reduce the economic burden for the Northern China, the equity-based policy is accompanied by a significant regional shift in coal across the country eastern coal-intense industries will be relocated northward, leading to increases in embodied coal consumption.
Texto completo:
1
Coleções:
01-internacional
Base de dados:
MEDLINE
Aspecto:
Equity_inequality
Idioma:
En
Revista:
IScience
Ano de publicação:
2024
Tipo de documento:
Article
País de afiliação:
China
País de publicação:
Estados Unidos