A prospective cohort study regarding usability of serum RIPK3 as a biomarker in relation to early hematoma growth and neurological outcomes after acute intracerebral hemorrhage.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The receptor-interacting protein kinase 3 (RIPK3) is a pivotal component for triggering necroptosis. We intended to investigate predictive effects of serum RIPK3 levels on early hematoma growth (EHG) and poor neurological outcome after acute intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). METHODS: In this prospective cohort study, 183 ICH patients and 100 controls were enrolled for measuring serum RIPK3 levels. National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) and hematoma volume were recorded as the severity indicators. EHG and poststroke 6-month unfavorable outcome (modified Rankin Scale scores of 3-6) were registered as the two prognostic parameters. Multivariate analyses were implemented to discern relevance of serum RIPK3 to ICH severity and prognosis. RESULTS: Serum RIPK3 levels of patients, which were dramatically higher than those of controls, were independently related to NIHSS scores, hematoma volume, EHG, 6-month mRS scores and unfavorable outcome. Risks of EHG and unfavorable outcome were linearly pertinent to and efficiently discriminated by RIPK3 levels under restricted cubic spline and receiver operating characteristic curve respectively. RIPK3 levels nonsignificantly interacted with age, gender, hypertension, etc. Predictive ability of RIPK3 levels resembled those of NIHSS scores and hematoma volume. The prediction models, in which serum RIPK3, NIHSS scores and hematoma volume were integrated, were visually displayed via nomograms. The models' predictive capabilities substantially surpassed that of serum RIPK3, NIHSS scores and hematoma volumes alone. The models kept stable under calibration curve. CONCLUSION: A profound increase of serum RIPK3 levels after ICH is tightly relevant to severity, EHG and poor neurological outcomes, assuming that serum RIPK3 may emerge as a valuable prognostic predictor of ICH.