(Re)Emerging disease and conflict risk in Africa, 1997-2019.
Nat Hum Behav
; 8(8): 1506-1513, 2024 Aug.
Article
em En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-39009715
ABSTRACT
While the number of infectious zoonotic disease outbreaks has been rising, their impact on civil war and social conflict is poorly understood. This study addresses this fundamental limitation using a geolocated monthly dataset on 22 zoonotic diseases in Africa. Zoonotic disease is a key driver of new epidemics, making such pathogens a useful test case. Results suggest that over the January 1997 to December 2019 period, zoonotic disease was negatively associated with state initiation of civil conflict and positively associated with social conflict involving identity militias. Additional analyses find that the effect for identity militias is consistent with a causal interpretation. Rebel violence is not significantly associated with outbreaks. The results are robust to endogeneity concerns and additional sensitivity analyses.
Texto completo:
1
Coleções:
01-internacional
Base de dados:
MEDLINE
Assunto principal:
Zoonoses
/
Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes
Limite:
Animals
/
Humans
País/Região como assunto:
Africa
Idioma:
En
Revista:
Nat Hum Behav
Ano de publicação:
2024
Tipo de documento:
Article
País de afiliação:
Estados Unidos
País de publicação:
Reino Unido