Uterocervical angle and cervical length measurements for spontaneous preterm birth prediction in low-risk singleton pregnant women: a prospective cohort study.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Preterm birth is the leading cause of early neonatal morbidity and mortality. Strategies to predict preterm birth risk can help improve pregnancy outcomes. Even pregnant women without known risk factors for preterm birth can also experience it. This study aimed to evaluate the ability of the uterocervical angle and cervical length to predict spontaneous preterm birth in low-risk singleton pregnant women. METHODS: A prospective study on 1107 singleton pregnant women between 16+0 and 23+6 weeks gestation at low risk for spontaneous preterm birth who were treated at the Haiphong Hospital of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Vietnam, between September 2020 and September 2021 was conducted. A single sonographer assessed the cervical length and the uterocervical angle using transvaginal ultrasonography. The patients were followed up until delivery to determine the main pregnancy outcome (spontaneous preterm birth before 37 weeks gestation). The cut-off points for the uterocervical angle and cervical length were established by analyzing the receiver operating characteristic curve. The sensitivity, specificity, likelihood ratio, positive and negative predictive values, and accuracy of the uterocervical angle and cervical length for predicting spontaneous preterm birth were determined. RESULTS: A uterocervical angle ≥ 99° predicted spontaneous preterm birth at < 37 weeks, with a sensitivity and specificity of 91% and 76%, respectively. A cervical length ≤ 33.8 mm predicted preterm birth at < 37 weeks with a sensitivity and specificity of 25% and 66%, respectively. A uterocervical angle ≥ 99° combined with a cervical length ≤ 33.8 mm yielded the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, likelihood ratio, and accuracy of spontaneous preterm birth prediction of 66%, 93%, 36%, 9, and 91%, respectively; thus provided a significant increase of specificity with an acceptable reduction of sensitivity as compared to cervical length alone. CONCLUSION: Besides the cervical length, the uterocervical angle can be considered a valuable ultrasound parameter for predicting spontaneous preterm birth in low-risk singleton pregnant women. Combining the uterocervical angle and cervical length yielded stronger spontaneous preterm birth prediction values.