Prediction for Perioperative Stroke Using Intraoperative Parameters.
J Am Heart Assoc
; 13(16): e032216, 2024 Aug 20.
Article
em En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-39119968
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND:
Perioperative stroke is a severe complication following surgery. To identify patients at risk for perioperative stroke, several prediction models based on the preoperative factors were suggested. Prediction models often focus on preoperative patient characteristics to assess stroke risk. However, most existing models primarily base their predictions on the patient's baseline characteristics before surgery. We aimed to develop a machine-learning model incorporating both pre- and intraoperative variables to predict perioperative stroke. METHODS ANDRESULTS:
This study included patients who underwent noncardiac surgery at 2 hospitals with the data of 15 752 patients from Seoul National University Hospital used for development and temporal internal validation, and the data of 449 patients from Boramae Medical Center used for external validation. Perioperative stroke was defined as a newly developed ischemic lesion on diffusion-weighted imaging within 30 days of surgery. We developed a prediction model composed of pre- and intraoperative factors (integrated model) and compared it with a model consisting of preoperative features alone (preoperative model). Perioperative stroke developed in 109 (0.69%) patients in the Seoul National University Hospital group and 11 patients (2.45%) in the Boramae Medical Center group. The integrated model demonstrated superior predictive performance with area under the curve values of 0.824 (95% CI, 0.762-0.880) versus 0.584 (95% CI, 0.499-0.667; P<0.001) in the internal validation; and 0.716 (95% CI, 0.560-0.859) versus 0.505 (95% CI, 0.343-0.654; P=0.018) in the external validation, compared to the preoperative model.CONCLUSIONS:
We suggest that incorporating intraoperative factors into perioperative stroke prediction models can improve their accuracy.Palavras-chave
Texto completo:
1
Coleções:
01-internacional
Base de dados:
MEDLINE
Assunto principal:
Acidente Vascular Cerebral
Limite:
Aged
/
Female
/
Humans
/
Male
/
Middle aged
País/Região como assunto:
Asia
Idioma:
En
Revista:
J Am Heart Assoc
Ano de publicação:
2024
Tipo de documento:
Article