Exploring the prognostic landscape of oral squamous cell carcinoma through mitochondrial damage-related genes.

ABSTRACT

Oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC), the most prevalent form of oral cancer, poses significant challenges to the medical community due to its high recurrence rate and low survival rate. Mitochondrial Damage-Related Genes (MDGs) have been closely associated with the occurrence, metastasis, and progression of OSCC. Consequently, we constructed a prognostic model for OSCC based on MDGs and identified potential mitochondrial damage-related biomarkers. Gene expression profiles and relevant clinical information were obtained from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database. Differential analysis was conducted to identify MDGs associated with OSCC. COX analysis was employed to screen seven prognosis-related MDGs and build a prognostic prediction model for OSCC. Cases were categorized into low-risk or high-risk groups based on the optimal risk score threshold. Kaplan-Meier (KM) analysis revealed significant survival differences (P < 0.05). Additionally, the area under the ROC curve (AUC) for patient survival at 1 year, 3 years, and 5 years were 0.687, 0.704, and 0.70, respectively, indicating a high long-term predictive accuracy of the prognostic model. To enhance predictive accuracy, age, gender, risk score, and TN staging were incorporated into a nomogram and verified using calibration curves. Risk scoring based on MDGs was identified as a potential independent prognostic biomarker. Furthermore, BID and SLC25A20 were identified as two potential independent mitochondrial damage-related prognostic biomarkers, offering new therapeutic targets for OSCC.