Systemic Inflammation-Based Staging System for Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Drug-Eluting Beads Transarterial Chemoembolization: A Multicenter Study.

ABSTRACT

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES: The optimal prognostic assessment for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after drug-eluting bead transarterial chemoembolization (DEB-TACE) remains unclear. This study aimed to propose a novel staging system in comparison with the current staging systems for HCC following DEB-TACE. MATERIALS AND METHODS: From four centers, patients with HCC undergoing DEB-TACE as the initial therapy were retrospectively included and classified into training and validation sets. Multivariable regression was used to determine the independent prognostic factors in the training set. A novel staging system incorporating the independent factors was proposed and externally validated in terms of discrimination and calibration compared to other staging systems in both sets. RESULTS: The training and validation sets included 335 and 99 patients, respectively. Multivariable regression revealed independent factors including alpha-fetoprotein level, aspartate aminotransferase to lymphocyte count ratio index, maximum tumor diameter, Child-Pugh class, and portal vein invasion. The novel prognostic staging system, named PADCA, was proposed and outperformed other staging systems with the highest C-index, area under the curve, Wald test value, clinical benefit, and the lowest Akaike information criterion in the training and validation sets. CONCLUSION: The PADCA staging system has a superior prognostic predictive ability compared to the current staging systems. PADCA can assist clinicians in screening out the patients most likely to derive benefit from DEB-TACE and guiding the formulation of therapy and follow-up strategy.