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Quantifying the impact of US state non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 transmission
Hannah M Korevaar; Alexander David Becker; Ian F Miller; Bryan T Grenfell; C. Jessica E. Metcalf; Michael J Mina.
Afiliação
  • Hannah M Korevaar; Princeton University
  • Alexander David Becker; Princeton University
  • Ian F Miller; Princeton University
  • Bryan T Grenfell; Princeton University
  • C. Jessica E. Metcalf; Princeton University
  • Michael J Mina; Harvard School of Public Health
Preprint em En | PREPRINT-MEDRXIV | ID: ppmedrxiv-20142877
ABSTRACT
COVID-19 is an ongoing public health emergency. Without a vaccine or effective antivirals, non-pharmaceutical interventions form the foundation of current response efforts. Quantifying the efficacy of these interventions is crucial. Using mortality data and a classification guide of state level responses, we relate the intensity of interventions to statistical estimates of transmission, finding that more stringent control measures are associated with larger reductions in disease proliferation. Additionally, we observe that transmission increases with population density, but not population size. These results may help inform future response efforts.
Licença
cc_no
Texto completo: 1 Coleções: 09-preprints Base de dados: PREPRINT-MEDRXIV Tipo de estudo: Experimental_studies Idioma: En Ano de publicação: 2020 Tipo de documento: Preprint
Texto completo: 1 Coleções: 09-preprints Base de dados: PREPRINT-MEDRXIV Tipo de estudo: Experimental_studies Idioma: En Ano de publicação: 2020 Tipo de documento: Preprint
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