Impact of prenatal and postnatal maternal IBD status on offspring's risk of IBD: a population-based cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: In utero exposure to maternal inflammation may impact immune system development and subsequent risk of disease. We investigated whether a maternal diagnosis of IBD before childbirth is linked to a higher risk of IBD in offspring compared with a diagnosis after childbirth. Further, we analysed paternal IBD status for comparison. DESIGN: Using Danish health registers, we identified all individuals born in Denmark between 1997 and 2022 and their legal parents, as well as their IBD status. Cox proportional hazards regression analyses adjusted for calendar period and mode of delivery were used to estimate offspring IBD risk by maternal and paternal IBD status before and after childbirth. RESULTS: Of 1 290 358 children, 10 041 (0.8%) had mothers with IBD diagnosis before childbirth and 9985 (0.8%) had mothers with IBD diagnosis after childbirth. Over 18 370 420 person-years, 3537 individuals were diagnosed with IBD. Offspring of mothers with IBD before childbirth had an adjusted HR of IBD of 6.27 (95% CI 5.21, 7.54) compared with those without maternal IBD, while offspring of mothers with IBD after childbirth had an adjusted HR of 3.88 (95% CI 3.27, 4.60). Corresponding adjusted HRs were 5.26 (95% CI 4.22, 6.56) among offspring with paternal IBD before childbirth and 3.73 (95% CI 3.10, 4.50) for paternal IBD after childbirth. CONCLUSION: Offspring had a greater risk of IBD when either parent was diagnosed before childbirth rather than later, emphasising genetic predisposition and environmental risk factors rather than maternal inflammation in utero as risk factors for IBD.

Specific gut pathobionts escape antibody coating and are enriched during flares in patients with severe Crohn's disease.

OBJECTIVE: Patients with Crohn's disease (CD) exhibit great heterogeneity in disease presentation and treatment responses, where distinct gut bacteria and immune interactions may play part in the yet unresolved disease aetiology. Given the role of antibodies in the barrier defence against microbes, we hypothesised that gut bacterial antibody-coating patterns may influence underlying disease-mediated processes. DESIGN: Absolute and relative single and multicoating of gut bacteria with IgA, IgG1, IgG2, IgG3 and IgG4 in patients with CD and healthy controls were characterised and compared with disease activity. IgG2-coated and non-coated taxa from patients with severe CD were identified, profiled for pathogenic characteristics and monitored for enrichment during active disease across cohorts. RESULTS: Patients with severe CD exhibited higher gut bacterial IgG2-coating. Supervised clustering identified 25 bacteria to be enriched in CD patients with high IgG2-coating. Sorting, sequencing and in silico-based assessments of the virulent potential of IgG2-coated and bulk stool bacteria were performed to evaluate the nature and pathogenicity of IgG2-coated and non-coated bacteria. The analyses demonstrated IgG2-coating of both known pathogenic and non-pathogenic bacteria that co-occurred with two non-coated pathobionts, Campylobacter and Mannheimia. The two non-coated pathobionts exhibited low prevalence, rarely coincided and were strongly enriched during disease flares in patients with CD across independent and geographically distant cohorts. CONCLUSION: Distinct gut bacterial IgG2-coating was demonstrated in patients with severe CD and during disease flares. Co-occurrence of non-coated pathobionts with IgG2-coated bacteria points to an uncontrolled inflammatory condition in severe CD mediated via escape from antibody coating by two gut pathobionts.

Tumor Necrosis Factor Inhibitors in Inflammatory Bowel Disease and Risk of Immune Mediated Inflammatory Diseases.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Tumor necrosis factor inhibitors (anti-TNF) are effective therapies for several immune-mediated inflammatory diseases (IMIDs). However, case reports have identified the paradoxical occurrence of IMIDs in patients treated with anti-TNF. We studied the risk of rheumatoid arthritis, psoriasis, and hidradenitis suppurativa after the initiation of anti-TNF therapy for inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). METHODS: We conducted 2 nationwide cohort studies comprising all patients with IBD in Denmark (2005-2018) and France (2008-2018). We obtained individual-level information on exposure to anti-TNF, diagnoses of IMIDs including rheumatoid arthritis, psoriasis, and hidradenitis suppurativa, and potential confounders from healthcare registers in the respective countries. We used Cox models to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for the association between anti-TNF exposure and IMIDs and then pooled the estimates from the 2 cohorts. To test the robustness of our results, we performed an active comparator analysis of anti-TNF monotherapy vs azathioprine monotherapy. RESULTS: The Danish and French cohorts comprised 18,258 and 88,786 subjects with IBD, respectively, contributing a total of 516,055 person-years of follow-up. Anti-TNF was associated with an increased risk of rheumatoid arthritis, psoriasis, and hidradenitis suppurativa in both the Danish (HR, 1.66; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.34-2.07) and the French cohort (HR, 1.78; 95% CI, 1.63-1.94), with a pooled HR of 1.76 (95% CI, 1.63-1.91). Anti-TNF was also associated with an increased risk of the outcomes when compared with azathioprine (pooled HR, 2.94; 95% CI, 2.33-3.70). CONCLUSIONS: In 2 nationwide cohorts of IBD patients, anti-TNF therapy was associated with an increased risk of rheumatoid arthritis, psoriasis, and hidradenitis suppurativa.

Early Ileocecal Resection for Crohn's Disease Is Associated With Improved Long-term Outcomes Compared With Anti-Tumor Necrosis Factor Therapy: A Population-Based Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Early Crohn's disease (CD) treatment involves anti-tumor necrosis factor (TNF) agents, whereas ileocecal resection (ICR) is reserved for complicated CD or treatment failure. We compared long-term outcomes of primary ICR and anti-TNF therapy for ileocecal CD. METHODS: Using cross-linked nationwide registers, we identified all individuals diagnosed with ileal or ileocecal CD between 2003 and 2018 and treated with ICR or anti-TNF agents within 1 year of diagnosis. The primary outcome was a composite of ≥1 of the following: CD-related hospitalization, systemic corticosteroid exposure, CD-related surgery, and perianal CD. We conducted adjusted Cox's proportional hazards regression analyses and determined the cumulative risk of different treatments after primary ICR or anti-TNF therapy. RESULTS: Of 16,443 individuals diagnosed with CD, 1279 individuals fulfilled the inclusion criteria. Of these, 45.4% underwent ICR and 54.6% received anti-TNF. The composite outcome occurred in 273 individuals (incidence rate, 110/1000 person-years) in the ICR group and in 318 individuals (incidence rate, 202/1000 person-years) in the anti-TNF group. The risk of the composite outcome was 33% lower with ICR compared with anti-TNF (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.67; 95% confidence interval, 0.54-0.83). ICR was associated with reduced risk of systemic corticosteroid exposure and CD-related surgery, but not other secondary outcomes. The proportion of individuals on immunomodulator, anti-TNF, who underwent subsequent resection, or were on no therapy 5 years post-ICR was 46.3%, 16.8%, 1.8%, and 49.7%, respectively. CONCLUSION: These data suggest that ICR may have a role as first-line therapy in CD management and challenge the current paradigm of reserving surgery for complicated CD refractory or intolerant to medications. Yet, given inherent biases associated with observational data, our findings should be interpreted and applied cautiously in clinical decision making.

Breastfeeding Duration Is Not Associated With Offspring Inflammatory Bowel Disease Risk in Three Population-Based Birth Cohorts.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Breastfeeding is critical for offspring health and development. Although many observational studies report a protective effect between breastfeeding and inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), the relationship is not well-understood. METHODS: We used prospectively collected data from 3 population-based birth cohorts (Danish National Birth Cohort, Norwegian Mother, Father, and Child Cohort, and All Babies in Southeast Sweden) and cross-linked national registers to ascertain the impact of breastfeeding duration on offspring IBD risk in each country, using adjusted Cox proportional regression analyses. We performed meta-analyses to determine pooled estimates. RESULTS: We included 148,737 offspring and 169,510 offspring in analyses of exclusive and any breastfeeding duration, respectively. During median follow-up of 16.3-22.3 years, between 1996 and 2021, 543 offspring were diagnosed with IBD. In each country, there was no association between exclusive breastfeeding duration and offspring IBD risk after adjusting for birth year (Denmark), offspring sex, parental IBD status, maternal education, smoking during pregnancy, age at delivery, mode of delivery, preterm birth, and small for gestational age. The pooled adjusted hazard ratio for IBD was 1.24 (95% confidence interval, 0.94-1.62; Q = 0.16, I2 = 0.0%) and 1.02 (95% confidence interval, 0.85-1.21; Q = 1.45, I 2= 0.0%) among offspring breastfed exclusively for ≥6 months and <4 months, respectively, compared with 4-5 months. Similarly, we found null associations in pooled analyses of any breastfeeding duration and IBD, subtypes Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis, as well as in cohort-specific analyses. CONCLUSIONS: In prospectively collected data from 3 population-based birth cohorts, the duration of exclusive or any breastfeeding was not associated with offspring IBD risk.

Antibiotic use as a risk factor for inflammatory bowel disease across the ages: a population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: There is an increasing incidence of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) for which environmental factors are suspected. Antibiotics have been associated with development of IBD in earlier generations, but their influence on IBD risk in adults is uncertain. OBJECTIVE: To assess the impact of antibiotic exposure, including dose-response, timing and antibiotic class, on the risk of IBD in all individuals aged ≥10 years. DESIGN: Using Denmark nationwide registries, a population-based cohort of residents aged ≥10 years was established between 2000 and 2018. Incidence rate ratios (IRRs) for IBD following antibiotic exposure were calculated using Poisson regression. RESULTS: There were a total of 6 104 245 individuals, resulting in 87 112 328 person-years of follow-up, and 52 898 new cases of IBD. Antibiotic exposure was associated with an increased risk of IBD as compared with no antibiotic exposure for all age groups, although was greatest among individuals aged 40-60 years and ≥60 years (age 10-40 years, IRR 1.28, 95% CI 1.25 to 1.32; age 40-60 years, IRR 1.48, 95% CI 1.43 to 1.54; age ≥60 years, IRR 1.47, 95% CI 1.42 to 1.53). For all age groups a positive dose-response was observed, with similar results seen for both ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease. The highest risk of developing IBD was seen 1-2 years after antibiotic exposure, and after use of antibiotic classes often prescribed to treat gastrointestinal pathogens. CONCLUSION: Antibiotic exposure is associated with an increased risk of IBD, and was highest among individuals aged 40 years and older. This risk increased with cumulative antibiotic exposure, with antibiotics targeting gastrointestinal pathogens and within 1-2 years after antibiotic exposure.

Increasing Incidence of Pouchitis Between 1996 and 2018: A Population-Based Danish Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Current knowledge regarding the epidemiology of pouchitis is based on highly selected, mostly single-center, patient cohorts. Our objective was to prospectively determine the population-based incidence of pouchitis in patients with ulcerative colitis in the first 2 years after ileal pouch-anal anastomosis and analyze time trends of the incidence of pouchitis. METHODS: Using national registries, we established a population-based cohort of all Danish patients undergoing proctocolectomy with ileal pouch-anal anastomosis for ulcerative colitis between 1996 and 2018. The primary outcome was the development of pouchitis within the first 2 years after surgery, evaluated by time period. We used Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazard modeling to evaluate the time to development of pouchitis. RESULTS: Overall, 1664 patients underwent an ileal pouch-anal anastomosis. The cumulative incidence of pouchitis in the 2 years after ileal pouch-anal anastomosis increased throughout the study period, from 40% in the period from 1996 to 2000 (95% CI, 35%-46%) to 55% in the period from 2015 to 2018 (95% CI, 48%-63%). Patients undergoing surgery between 2015 and 2018 also showed an increased risk of pouchitis compared with the earliest study period (1996-2000) after adjusting for sex, age, and socioeconomic status (hazard ratio, 1.57; 95% CI, 1.20-2.05). CONCLUSIONS: This population-based study showed a 15% absolute and 38% relative increase in the incidence of pouchitis among patients undergoing surgery between 1996 and 2018, with the greatest cumulative incidence of pouchitis shown in the most recent era (2015-2018). The striking increase in the incidence of pouchitis highlights the need for further research into causes and prevention of pouchitis.

The Rising Burden of Inflammatory Bowel Disease in Denmark Over Two Decades: A Nationwide Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Shifts in epidemiological stages of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) carry implications toward understanding IBD etiology and managing clinical care. We conducted a temporal analysis of the epidemiology of IBD between 1995 and 2016 in the Danish nationwide cohort. METHODS: We used the Danish registers to obtain data on demographics and IBD-related outpatient and inpatient contacts between 1995 and 2016. IBD diagnosis was defined as having ≥2 registrations related to Crohn's disease (CD) or ulcerative colitis (UC) within a 2-year period. We estimated overall and annual incidence rates and prevalence of CD and UC standardized with respect to age and sex. RESULTS: A total of 47,830 individuals met the criteria for IBD diagnosis, of which 33% were diagnosed with CD and 67% with UC. Between 1995 and 2016, the incidence rate (95% confidence interval) per 100,000 person-years rose from 9.1 (8.3-10.0) to 17.8 (16.8-19.0) for CD, and from 21.0 (19.8-22.3) to 28.4 (27.0-29.8) for UC. The highest increase in CD and UC incidence rates occurred in children and young adults, respectively. The prevalence of IBD doubled from 1995 to 2016; the greatest increase (2.5-fold) was in UC prevalence among individuals aged >40 years. During this period, the median age of the IBD population increased by 6 to 7 years. CONCLUSIONS: In Denmark, the incidence and prevalence of IBD have increased during the last 2 decades. The IBD population is shifting toward an older age. These findings have implications towards understanding environmental shifts as well as preparing health care systems for an aging IBD population.

Medication-Wide Study: Exploring Medication Use 10 Years Before a Diagnosis of Inflammatory Bowel Disease.

INTRODUCTION: There is growing interest in the prediagnostic phase of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) and in the overlap of IBD with other diseases. We described and compared use of any prescription medication between individuals with and without IBD in a 10-year period preceding diagnosis. METHODS: Based on cross-linked nationwide registers, we identified 29,219 individuals diagnosed with IBD in Denmark between 2005 and 2018 and matched to 292,190 IBD-free individuals. The primary outcome was use of any prescription medication in years 1-10 before IBD diagnosis/matching date. Participants were considered as medication users if they redeemed ≥1 prescription for any medication in the World Health Organization Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical (ATC) main groups or subgroups before diagnosis/matching. RESULTS: The IBD population had a universally increased use of medications compared with the matched population before IBD diagnosis. At 10 years before diagnosis, the proportion of users was 1.1-fold to 1.8-fold higher in the IBD population in 12 of 14 ATC main groups of medication ( P -value < 0.0001). This applied across age, sex, and IBD subtypes, although it was the most pronounced for Crohn's disease (CD). Two years before diagnosis, the IBD population had a steep increase in medication use for several organ systems. When analyzing therapeutic subgroups of medication, the CD population exhibited 2.7, 2.3, 1.9, and 1.9 times more users of immunosuppressants, antianemic preparations, analgesics, and psycholeptics, respectively, than the matched population 10 years before diagnosis ( P -value < 0.0001). DISCUSSION: Our findings demonstrate universally increased medication use years before IBD, especially CD, diagnosis and indicates multiorgan involvement in IBD.

Less prevalent use of biologics for inflammatory bowel disease in patients from Non-Academic hospitals - a Danish register-based study of a region with 580,000 citizens.

INTRODUCTION: Biologic therapy is widely used for inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) and may decrease surgery rates. However, it remains uncertain if there is unwarranted geographic variation in access to biologic therapy. The aim of the study was to explore if all patients had equal access to biologic therapy in the North Denmark Region. METHODS: A cross-sectional register-based study of use of biologics, hospital contacts and surgery among all IBD patients having a hospital contact in the geographically well-defined North Denmark Region during 2016-2018. ICD-10 diagnosis codes, hospital contacts and procedure codes were retrieved from the region's hospital registry. The population is served by an Academic Hospital and two Non-Academic Hospitals constituting three referral areas (according to postal codes). RESULTS: In total, 2371 patients with ulcerative colitis (UC) and 1383 patients with Crohn's disease (CD) had a hospital contact in the region during 2016-2018. Compared to patients from the Academic Hospital, patients from the Non-Academic Hospitals experienced a lower incidence of biologic therapy for UC IRR 0.786 (0.621: 0.994), as well as for CD IRR 0.912 (0.781: 1.065). The incidence of bowel related hospital contacts were higher in patients from Non-Academic hospitals for both UC IRR 1.318 (1.207: 1.438) and CD IRR 1.165 (0.915: 1.483). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with IBD living in a referral area to a Non-Academic Hospital in the North Denmark Region are less likely to receive biologics. This was associated with an increased prevalence of IBD related surgical procedures.

Risk of anorectal cancer in patients with Crohn's disease and perianal fistula: a nationwide Danish cohort study.

AIM: Patients with Crohn's disease (CD) often suffer from perianal fistulizing disease. Their risk of anorectal cancer remains uncertain. We aimed to examine the long-term risk of anorectal cancer in a population-based cohort of CD patients with anorectal fistula. METHOD: Our study population covered all individuals (n = 7 987 520) aged 15+ years living in Denmark from 1978 to 2018. We identified all patients with CD and anorectal fistula in the Danish National Patient Register (NPR) and 50 matched noninflammatory bowel disease (IBD) individuals from the general population. Using Cox regression analyses, we examined the risk of anorectal cancer in CD fistula patients versus non-IBD individuals. All patients with CD were identified using codes from the International Classification of Diseases and their data extracted from the NPR. The main outcome measure was cases of anorectal cancer. RESULTS: A total of 2786 CD patients with anorectal fistula and 139 300 non-IBD individuals were followed for 1 553 917 person-years. During follow-up, anorectal cancer was observed in 19 CD patients (0.68%) and 340 non-IBD individuals (0.24%), corresponding to a 2.9-fold increased hazard ratio (HR) of anorectal cancer in CD fistula patients (95% CI 1.80-4.53), with a particularly high risk of anal cancer (HR 15.13, 95% CI 6.88-33.31) and a mean time from CD fistula diagnosis to anorectal cancer of 6.7 (SD 6.5) years. The risk was slightly higher in women than men and had no apparent relation to treatment with tumour necrosis factor-α inhibitors. Sensitivity analyses using CD nonfistula patients for comparison revealed similar results. Individual data on smoking and infection with human papilloma virus were not available. CONCLUSION: Patients with CD and anorectal fistula have a three-fold increased risk of anorectal cancer compared with the general population. The number needed to surveil to detect one case of anorectal cancer in this patient population was 2160 patients per year in patients with long-standing fistula (>6 years).

Rare and low-frequency coding variants alter human adult height.

Height is a highly heritable, classic polygenic trait with approximately 700 common associated variants identified through genome-wide association studies so far. Here, we report 83 height-associated coding variants with lower minor-allele frequencies (in the range of 0.1-4.8%) and effects of up to 2 centimetres per allele (such as those in IHH, STC2, AR and CRISPLD2), greater than ten times the average effect of common variants. In functional follow-up studies, rare height-increasing alleles of STC2 (giving an increase of 1-2 centimetres per allele) compromised proteolytic inhibition of PAPP-A and increased cleavage of IGFBP-4 in vitro, resulting in higher bioavailability of insulin-like growth factors. These 83 height-associated variants overlap genes that are mutated in monogenic growth disorders and highlight new biological candidates (such as ADAMTS3, IL11RA and NOX4) and pathways (such as proteoglycan and glycosaminoglycan synthesis) involved in growth. Our results demonstrate that sufficiently large sample sizes can uncover rare and low-frequency variants of moderate-to-large effect associated with polygenic human phenotypes, and that these variants implicate relevant genes and pathways.

Early-Life Mebendazole Exposure Increases the Risk of Adult-Onset Ulcerative Colitis: A Population-Based Cohort Study.

INTRODUCTION: According to the hygiene hypothesis, exposure to parasites may protect against inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). Our aim was to examine the risk of IBD with childhood exposure to mebendazole, a broad-spectrum antihelminthic agent. METHODS: We conducted a population-based cohort study using prospectively collected historical data of all individuals born in Denmark between 1995 and 2018. We identified mebendazole exposure at age younger than 18 years and during early life (younger than 5 years). We performed adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression analysis to determine the risk of IBD, ulcerative colitis (UC), and Crohn's disease with mebendazole exposure after adjusting for potential confounders. RESULTS: Of 1,520,290 individuals in the cohort, 615,794 had childhood or adolescence mebendazole exposure. One thousand five hundred fifty-five and 1,499 individuals were subsequently diagnosed with pediatric-onset and adult-onset IBD, respectively. On multivariable analysis, mebendazole exposure at age younger than 18 years did not affect pediatric-onset or adult-onset IBD risk (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 0.97, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.87, 1.07, and 1.08, 95% CI 0.97, 1.19, respectively). On limiting mebendazole exposure to age younger than 5 years while there was no association with pediatric-onset IBD (aHR 0.98, 95% CI 0.87, 1.11), adult-onset IBD risk was increased (aHR 1.17, 95% CI 1.04, 1.31). This increase in risk was driven by UC (aHR 1.32, 95% CI 1.12, 1.55), but not Crohn's disease (1.03, 95% CI 0.87, 1.22). DISCUSSION: Early-life mebendazole exposure is associated with an increase in the risk of adult-onset UC. These findings suggest the importance of early-life exposures in shaping the risk of IBD later in life.

Risk of Urolithiasis in Patients With Inflammatory Bowel Disease: A Nationwide Danish Cohort Study 1977-2018.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) are suggested to be at increased risk of urolithiasis, but the magnitude of risk and the impact of medical and surgical treatment on this risk remain unknown. We therefore aimed to determine overall and treatment-related risk of urolithiasis in patients with IBD in a nationwide population-based cohort study. METHODS: Using national registers, we identified all patients with IBD and all cases of urolithiasis in Denmark during 1977-2018. We obtained information on all IBD medications and surgical procedures during 1995-2018. IBD cases were matched 1:10 on age and sex to non-IBD individuals. RESULTS: In total, 2,549 (3%) of 75,236 IBD patients and 11,258 (2%) of 767,403 non-IBD individuals developed urolithiasis, resulting in a 2-fold increased risk of urolithiasis (HR, 2.27; 95% CI, 2.17-2.38) in patients with IBD. The patients were also at increased risk of repetitive urolithiasis events (RR, 1.09; 95% CI: 1.04-1.15) and had increased risk of urolithiasis prior to IBD diagnosis (OR, 1.42; 95% CI: 1.34-1.50). After IBD diagnosis, risk of urolithiasis was associated with anti-TNF therapy and surgery. CONCLUSION: Patients with IBD had a 2-fold increased risk of urolithiasis after IBD diagnosis and a 42% increased risk prior to IBD diagnosis. Risk was increased in anti-TNF exposed patients, and after surgery, suggesting that IBD severity per se and surgery, with altered intestinal absorption, increase risk of urolithiasis. Since stone formation is associated with adverse outcomes including sepsis, subpopulations of IBD patients, especially those undergoing strong immunosuppression might benefit from additional urolithiasis screening.

Predicting and elucidating the etiology of fatty liver disease: A machine learning modeling and validation study in the IMI DIRECT cohorts.

BACKGROUND: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is highly prevalent and causes serious health complications in individuals with and without type 2 diabetes (T2D). Early diagnosis of NAFLD is important, as this can help prevent irreversible damage to the liver and, ultimately, hepatocellular carcinomas. We sought to expand etiological understanding and develop a diagnostic tool for NAFLD using machine learning. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We utilized the baseline data from IMI DIRECT, a multicenter prospective cohort study of 3,029 European-ancestry adults recently diagnosed with T2D (n = 795) or at high risk of developing the disease (n = 2,234). Multi-omics (genetic, transcriptomic, proteomic, and metabolomic) and clinical (liver enzymes and other serological biomarkers, anthropometry, measures of beta-cell function, insulin sensitivity, and lifestyle) data comprised the key input variables. The models were trained on MRI-image-derived liver fat content (<5% or ≥5%) available for 1,514 participants. We applied LASSO (least absolute shrinkage and selection operator) to select features from the different layers of omics data and random forest analysis to develop the models. The prediction models included clinical and omics variables separately or in combination. A model including all omics and clinical variables yielded a cross-validated receiver operating characteristic area under the curve (ROCAUC) of 0.84 (95% CI 0.82, 0.86; p < 0.001), which compared with a ROCAUC of 0.82 (95% CI 0.81, 0.83; p < 0.001) for a model including 9 clinically accessible variables. The IMI DIRECT prediction models outperformed existing noninvasive NAFLD prediction tools. One limitation is that these analyses were performed in adults of European ancestry residing in northern Europe, and it is unknown how well these findings will translate to people of other ancestries and exposed to environmental risk factors that differ from those of the present cohort. Another key limitation of this study is that the prediction was done on a binary outcome of liver fat quantity (<5% or ≥5%) rather than a continuous one. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, we developed several models with different combinations of clinical and omics data and identified biological features that appear to be associated with liver fat accumulation. In general, the clinical variables showed better prediction ability than the complex omics variables. However, the combination of omics and clinical variables yielded the highest accuracy. We have incorporated the developed clinical models into a web interface (see: https://www.predictliverfat.org/) and made it available to the community. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT03814915.

Inflammatory Bowel Diseases Increase Risk of Type 2 Diabetes in a Nationwide Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The intestine regulates glucose homeostasis, but it is not clear whether chronic intestinal inflammation affects risk for type 2 diabetes. We investigated the long-term risk of type 2 diabetes in patients with inflammatory bowel diseases (IBD) in a nationwide cohort study in Denmark. METHODS: In a nationwide population-based cohort of 6,028,844 persons in Denmark, we compared data from individuals with a diagnosis of IBD (Crohn's disease [CD] or ulcerative colitis UC]) with data from individuals from the general population from 1977 through 2014. Persons with type 2 diabetes were identified in the National Patient Register. Risk is presented as standardized incidence ratios (SIR) with 95% CIs. RESULTS: During 736,072 person-years of follow-up, 3436 patients with IBD developed type 2 diabetes vs 2224 expected (SIR, 1.54; 95% CI, 1.49-1.60). The risk was significantly increased in patients with UC (SIR, 1.54; 95% CI, 1.48-1.60), in patients with CD (SIR, 1.57; 95% CI, 1.47-1.67), in women (SIR, 1.51; 95% CI, 1.44-1.59), and in men (SIR, 1.57; 95% CI, 1.50-1.65). The risk was highest the first year after a diagnosis of IBD (SIR, 4.48; 95% CI, 4.16-4.83), but remained increased for 20 or more years following the diagnosis (SIR, 1.26; 95% CI, 1.16-1.38). The increased risk could not be accounted for by frequency of health care contacts or corticosteroid exposure. Patients who received a diagnosis of IBD from 2003 through 2014 (SIR, 1.79; 95% CI, 1.67-1.91) had a significantly higher risk of type 2 diabetes than patients who received a diagnosis of IBD from 1977 through 1988 (SIR, 1.47; 95% CI, 1.39-1.56) or 1989 through 2002 (SIR, 1.48; 95% CI, 1.41-1.56) (P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: In a population-based cohort study, we found an increased risk of type 2 diabetes in patients with UC or CD, with highest risk estimates from 2003 through 2014, compared with earlier years. Studies are needed to determine the effects of IBD treatment on risk of type 2 diabetes.

Stopping Mesalamine Therapy in Patients With Crohn's Disease Starting Biologic Therapy Does Not Increase Risk of Adverse Outcomes.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Little is known about the effects of discontinuing mesalamine therapy for patients with Crohn's disease (CD) who initiate therapy with an anti-tumor necrosis factor (anti-TNF) agent. We analyzed data from 2 national population cohorts to compare outcomes of patients with CD already on mesalamine therapy who started treatment with an anti-TNF agent and then either stopped or continued mesalamine. METHODS: The primary outcome was any adverse clinical event, defined as a composite of new corticosteroid use or CD-related hospitalization or surgery. We collected data from the Truven MarketScan (IBM, Armonk, NY) health claims database in the United States and the Danish health registers. Our analysis included patients with CD who started anti-TNF therapy after at least 90 days of oral mesalamine therapy. Patients were classified as stopping mesalamine if therapy was discontinued within 90 days of starting anti-TNF. We performed multivariable Cox regression models controlling for demographics, clinical factors, and health care utilization. Adjusted hazard ratios with 95% CIs were calculated, comparing stopping mesalamine with continuing mesalamine. RESULTS: A total of 3178 patients with CD were included in our final analysis (2960 in the United States and 218 in Denmark). Stopping mesalamine after initiating anti-TNF therapy was not associated with an increased risk of adverse clinical events in the US cohort (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.77-1.03; P = .13) or in the Danish cohort (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.13; 95% CI, 0.68-1.87; P = .63). Similar results were obtained from sensitivity analyses of concomitant immunomodulator use and duration of mesalamine treatment before initiation of anti-TNF therapy. CONCLUSIONS: In a retrospective analysis of 2 national databases, we found that stopping mesalamine therapy for patients with CD who were starting anti-TNF therapy did not increase their risk of adverse clinical events. These results should be validated in a prospective study.

Antibiotic treatment during early childhood and risk of type 1 diabetes in children: A national birth cohort study.

OBJECTIVE/BACKGROUND: Antibiotics are widely used during childhood infections and influence the composition of the microbiota, which is established during the first years of life. Evidence from animal models of type 1 diabetes shows that antibiotics might accelerate disease progression, and altered intestinal microbiota has been reported in association with type 1 diabetes in humans. We aimed to test the hypothesis that early exposure to antibiotics (0-24 months of age) was associated with an increased risk of childhood type 1 diabetes development. METHODS: We studied 75 615 mother-child dyads from the Danish National Birth Cohort. Information on the use of antibiotics during early childhood and type 1 diabetes development in childhood was available for all children via linkage to the Danish National Prescription Registry and the Danish National Patient Register, respectively. The mean follow-up time was 14.3 years (range 11.5 to 18.4 years, SD 1.4). RESULTS: After adjustment for confounders, we found no association between antibiotic exposure and risk of type 1 diabetes (HR 1.26, 95% CI 0.89-1.79). The number of antibiotic courses during early childhood was not associated with type 1 diabetes development when analyzing for one (HR 1.31, 95% CI 0.87-1.99), two (HR 0.99, 95% CI 0.61-1.63), or 3 or more (HR 1.42, 95% CI 0.95-2.11) courses. Furthermore, no specific types of antibiotics (penicillins/beta-lactam antibacterials, sulfonamide/trimethroprim, or macrolides/lincosamides/streptogramins) were associated with increased risk of type 1 diabetes. CONCLUSION: Our nationwide cohort study suggests that postnatal exposure to antibiotics does not influence the development of childhood type 1 diabetes.

Body mass index and risk of infections: a Mendelian randomization study of 101,447 individuals.

Body mass index (BMI) has been related to risk of infections. The aim of this study was to assess the shape of the association between BMI and risk of infections and to evaluate whether such associations represent causality. We included 101,447 individuals from The Copenhagen General Population Study who had BMI measured. Outcome was hospital contacts related to infections. The shape of the association between BMI and risk of infections was examined using restricted cubic spline Cox regression. To evaluate causality, we used Mendelian randomization, an epidemiological method that counteracts confounding and reverse causality by using genetic variation as instrumental variables. We created a genetic risk score based on five genetic variants causing lifelong higher BMI and used this score in instrumental variable analysis. During median follow-up of 8.8 years, 10,263 hospital contacts related to infections were recorded. We found a U-shaped association between BMI and risk of any infection and pneumonia, and a linear association between BMI and risk of skin infection, urinary tract infection, and sepsis. In instrumental variable analyses, higher BMI was associated with increased risk of skin infection: odds ratio 1.12 (95% CI 1.03-1.22) for a genetically induced 1 unit increase in BMI. Observationally, low as well as high BMI was associated with increased risk of any infection and pneumonia, whereas only high BMI was associated with increased risk of skin infection, urinary tract infection, and sepsis. High BMI was causally associated with increased risk of skin infection.