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BACKGROUND: Little is known about the trends of imported infectious diseases among travelers to non-endemic countries during the novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. This article aimed to describe those among travelers to Japan. METHODS: This is a descriptive study based on national surveillance data. Imported infectious disease cases were defined as those with a reported overseas source of infection among 15 diseases pre-selected based on the probability and impact of importation. The number of notified cases from April 2016 to March 2021 were described by disease and time of diagnosis. The relative ratio and absolute difference in case counts-both by number and per arrival-were calculated by disease comparing those from the pandemic period (April 2020-March 2021) to the pre-pandemic period (April 2016-March 2020). RESULTS: A total of 3,524 imported infectious disease cases were diagnosed during the study period, including 3,439 cases before and 85 cases during the pandemic. The proportionate distribution of diseases changed but notification counts of all 15 diseases decreased during the pandemic. Accounting for arrivals, however, seven diseases showed a two-fold or greater increase, with a notable absolute increase per million arrivals for amebiasis (60.1; 95% confidence interval [CI], 41.5-78.7), malaria (21.7; 95% CI, 10.5-33.0), and typhoid fever (9.3; 95% CI, 1.9-16.8). CONCLUSION: The epidemiology of imported infectious diseases changed during the pandemic. While the number of imported infectious disease cases decreased, the number of cases per arrivals increased considerably both in relative and absolute terms for several diseases of public health and clinical importance.
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COVID-19 , Doenças Transmissíveis Importadas , Humanos , Doenças Transmissíveis Importadas/epidemiologia , Pandemias , Viagem , Japão/epidemiologia , COVID-19/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The CD4 cell count of patients during diagnosis and distribution of CD4 cell counts in the patient population are important to understand infection-diagnosis interval and incidence rate of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection, respectively. However, this information has not been published in Japan. This study aimed to describe the change in CD4 cell count trends and clarify the change in patients' characteristics in association with the CD4 cell count information. METHODS: A descriptive study was conducted to analyze the medical records of patients with HIV who visited one of the largest acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) core hospitals in western Japan. The basic characteristics, CD4 cell counts, viral loads, and diagnosis-treatment intervals between the first (2003-2010) and second (2011-2017) halves of the study duration were compared. RESULTS: The distribution of CD4 cell counts significantly changed between 2003-2010 and 2011-2017 (χ2 = 20.42, P < 0.001). The proportion of CD4 cell count <200 cells/mm3 increased (38.8% in 2003 to 45.9% in 2017), whereas CD4 cell count ≥500 cells/mm3 decreased (19.4% in 2003 to 12.2% in 2017). Moreover, the distributions of age groups, history of HIV screening test, patient outcomes, HIV viral load, and diagnosis-treatment interval also significantly changed (χ2 = 25.55, P < 0.001; χ2 = 8.37, P = 0.015; χ2 = 6.07, P = 0.014; χ2 = 13.36, P = 0.020; χ2 = 173.76, P < 0.001, respectively). CONCLUSION: This study demonstrated the fundamental trends of the HIV epidemic in Osaka, Japan between 2003-2010 and 2011-2017 and indicated that the incidence rate of HIV was decreasing in Japan.
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Síndrome da Imunodeficiência Adquirida , Infecções por HIV , Humanos , Infecções por HIV/diagnóstico , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Carga Viral , Japão/epidemiologia , Síndrome da Imunodeficiência Adquirida/epidemiologia , Contagem de Linfócito CD4RESUMO
The Diamond Princess cruise ship was put under quarantine offshore Yokohama, Japan, after a passenger who disembarked in Hong Kong was confirmed as a coronavirus disease 2019 case. We performed whole-genome sequencing of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) directly from PCR+ clinical specimens and conducted a phylogenetic analysis of the outbreak. All tested isolates exhibited a transversion at G11083T, suggesting that SARS-CoV-2 dissemination on the Diamond Princess originated from a single introduction event before the quarantine started. Although further spreading might have been prevented by quarantine, some progeny clusters could be linked to transmission through mass-gathering events in the recreational areas and direct transmission among passengers who shared cabins during the quarantine. This study demonstrates the usefulness of haplotype network/phylogeny analysis in identifying potential infection routes.
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Betacoronavirus/genética , Infecções por Coronavirus/virologia , Genoma Viral , Haplótipos , Filogenia , Pneumonia Viral/virologia , Navios , Betacoronavirus/classificação , Betacoronavirus/isolamento & purificação , COVID-19 , Infecções por Coronavirus/prevenção & controle , Infecções por Coronavirus/transmissão , Humanos , Pandemias/prevenção & controle , Pneumonia Viral/prevenção & controle , Pneumonia Viral/transmissão , Quarentena , SARS-CoV-2 , Sequenciamento Completo do GenomaRESUMO
Based on national surveillance data, we describe an unprecedented increase in syphilis case reports in Japan, with a surge in 2021-2022 reaching 10141 cases in Week 42, 2022, a 1.7-fold increase over the same period in 2021. This already represented the highest annual case count in nearly half a century; by Week 52, 2022, the number reached 12 966, far surpassing the 7978 cases in 2021. Predominantly affecting heterosexual men and young women, the proportionate increase in primary and secondary syphilis cases suggests a true increase in incidence. The syphilis surge during the pandemic poses a serious public health concern and underscores the importance of adequate testing and preventive measures.
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Sífilis , Masculino , Humanos , Feminino , Sífilis/epidemiologia , Heterossexualidade , Japão/epidemiologia , IncidênciaRESUMO
To provide insight into the mortality burden of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Japan, we estimated the excess all-cause deaths for each week during the pandemic, January-May 2020, by prefecture and age group. We applied quasi-Poisson regression models to vital statistics data. Excess deaths were expressed as the range of differences between the observed and expected number of all-cause deaths and the 95% upper bound of the 1-sided prediction interval. A total of 208-4,322 all-cause excess deaths at the national level indicated a 0.03%-0.72% excess in the observed number of deaths. Prefecture and age structure consistency between the reported COVID-19 deaths and our estimates was weak, suggesting the need to use cause-specific analyses to distinguish between direct and indirect consequences of COVID-19.
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COVID-19/mortalidade , COVID-19/diagnóstico , Causas de Morte , Humanos , Japão/epidemiologia , Mortalidade , SARS-CoV-2RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Notifications of novel coronavirus infections increased in early 2020 in Japan. We described characteristics of novel coronavirus infection cases and analyzed risk factors for severe outcomes. METHODS: Cases were persons with laboratory-confirmed novel coronavirus infection reported under national surveillance between January and March 2020. Clinical characteristics were described, and risk factors of (1) intensive care unit [ICU] admission and (2) invasive ventilation/death were analyzed using Poisson regression. RESULTS: Among the 516 cases analyzed, median age was 60 years (range: 1-97 years) and 285 (55%) were male. Common symptoms/signs were fever (375/475, 79%), cough (353/465, 76%), and pneumonia (245/387, 63%). Ten (2%) cases died. Of the 348 cases with data, 50 (14%) required invasive ventilation. Adjusted for each other, male gender and 1-year increase in age were associated with ICU admission (risk ratio [RR] 4.18; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.69-10.32 and RR 1.05; 95% CI, 1.03-1.08, respectively) and invasive ventilation/death (RR 2.79; 95% CI, 1.49-5.21 and RR 1.06; 95% CI, 1.04-1.08, respectively). Diabetes, dyslipidemia, hyperuricemia, and lung diseases were also associated with severe outcomes. Of the 80 cases asymptomatic at hospitalization, 40 developed symptoms and five of them >70 years of age required invasive ventilation. CONCLUSIONS: The early stage of the novel coronavirus epidemic in Japan disproportionately affected the elderly. Older age, male gender, and underlying conditions were associated with severe outcomes. Notably, some elderly case-patients who were asymptomatic at diagnosis and promptly hospitalized still went on to develop severe disease, indicating the importance of careful monitoring of certain populations.
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COVID-19/mortalidade , COVID-19/terapia , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva , Respiração Artificial/estatística & dados numéricos , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Japão/epidemiologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Fatores de Risco , SARS-CoV-2/isolamento & purificação , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , Resultado do Tratamento , Adulto JovemRESUMO
In Japan, the increase in congenital syphilis (CS) notifications has become a public health concern. We conducted a case series study to describe the characteristics of CS patients and their mothers. Of the 13 mothers who consented to participate, seven had regular prenatal care visits, including four who had tested negative at their first trimester syphilis screening. Only three mothers noted that their partners were tested, with all three partners being diagnosed with syphilis. Raising awareness for syphilis prevention during pregnancy, partner testing, and considering additional syphilis testing at the third trimester of pregnancy during times of increased syphilis prevalence is imperative.
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Complicações Infecciosas na Gravidez , Sífilis Congênita , Sífilis , Feminino , Humanos , Japão/epidemiologia , Gravidez , Complicações Infecciosas na Gravidez/diagnóstico , Complicações Infecciosas na Gravidez/epidemiologia , Complicações Infecciosas na Gravidez/prevenção & controle , Cuidado Pré-Natal , Sífilis/diagnóstico , Sífilis/epidemiologia , Sífilis/prevenção & controle , Sífilis Congênita/epidemiologia , Sífilis Congênita/prevenção & controleRESUMO
BACKGROUND: In Japan, syphilis reports have recently increased rapidly. However, unlike other developed countries where men who have sex with men (MSM) were associated with the rise, the increase in Japan has been attributed more to men who have sex with women (MSW) and women who have sex with men (WSM). We report on this increase based on surveillance data. METHODS: Syphilis is a notifiable disease requiring all laboratory-confirmed cases to be reported; stage and sex of the sex partner(s) suspected as the infection source are also reported. Focusing on primary and secondary (P&S) cases, we describe the temporal, demographic, and geographic distributions of reported cases in 2012 through 2016. RESULTS: A total of 7040 (64.0%) of 10,997 cases were P&S; the annual rate of increase was greatest for P&S and the proportion of P&S increased over time. Among P&S cases (1609 MSM, 2768 MSW, and 1323 WSM), MSW and WSM each surpassed MSM cases in 2016. Men were older with a wider age distribution (median, 37 years; interquartile range, 28-46 years) relative to women (median, 26 years; interquartile range, 21-34 years). Among women, 20- to 24-year-olds consistently had the highest reporting rate, reaching 9.0 per 100,000 in 2016. Congenital syphilis reports increased from 0.4 in 2012 to 1.4 per 100,000 live births in 2016. Although Tokyo prefecture had the highest reporting rate (3.98 per 100,000 person-years), the proportionate contribution from Tokyo decreased in 2016. CONCLUSIONS: Reports on P&S syphilis increased yearly among MSW and WSM. Young women seem to be at particular risk, and with increased reports of congenital syphilis, syphilis prevention and control is currently a public health priority in Japan.
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Heterossexualidade/estatística & dados numéricos , Sífilis Congênita/epidemiologia , Sífilis/epidemiologia , Adulto , Distribuição por Idade , Demografia , Feminino , Humanos , Japão/epidemiologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Risco , Parceiros SexuaisRESUMO
Background In Japan, congenital syphilis (CS) notifications have increased recently. However, little is known about the CS cases or the clinical and sociodemographic characteristics of the patients' mothers. METHODS: Twelve cases of CS were reported through national surveillance in the period March-December 2016, and the mothers of seven patients were included in this study. The patients' mothers and physicians completed a self-administered questionnaire, providing sociodemographic and clinical information of the patients and their mothers. In addition, we explored the awareness and knowledge of, attitudes towards and practices regarding CS occurrence through semistructured interviews with the mothers. RESULTS: Of the seven CS patients, three were asymptomatic, with a range of non-specific clinical manifestations in the rest. The mothers tended to be of young age, unmarried and to have a history of commercial sex work, other sexually transmissible infections (STIs) and no or irregular prenatal care visits during pregnancy. Of the four mothers who had had regular prenatal care visits, two had tested negative for syphilis at the first trimester antenatal screening. Themes emerged that indicated challenges in preventing CS, including a lack of guidance or guidelines for physicians to consider testing for syphilis after the first trimester, lack of physicians' awareness or experience of syphilis or CS and a lack of awareness or knowledge in pregnant women regarding STIs. CONCLUSIONS: Key characteristics of recent CS patients and their mothers in Japan were revealed, identifying previously reported factors as well as new challenges. A holistic approach, designed to address challenges at the level of the healthcare system, healthcare provider and the pregnant woman and her partner will be important in preventing CS.
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Mães , Sífilis Congênita/epidemiologia , Feminino , Conhecimentos, Atitudes e Prática em Saúde , Humanos , Recém-Nascido , Japão/epidemiologia , Masculino , Estudos Prospectivos , Pesquisa Qualitativa , Trabalho Sexual , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Inquéritos e QuestionáriosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Enterohemorrhagic Escherichia coli (EHEC) is an important cause of gastroenteritis in Japan. Although non-O157 EHEC infections have been increasingly reported worldwide, their impact on children has not been well described. METHODS: We collected national surveillance data of EHEC infections reported between 2010 and 2013 in Japan and characterized outbreaks that occurred in childcare facilities. Per Japanese outbreak investigation protocol, faecal samples from contacts of EHEC cases were collected regardless of symptomatic status. Cases and outbreaks were described by demographics, dates of diagnosis and onset, clinical manifestations, laboratory data, and relation to specific outbreaks in childcare facilities. RESULTS: During 2010-2013, a total of 68 EHEC outbreaks comprised of 1035 cases were related to childcare facilities. Among the 66 outbreaks caused by a single serogroup, 29 were serogroup O26 and 22 were O157; 35 outbreaks were caused by stx1-producing strains. Since 2010, the number of reported outbreaks steadily increased, with a rise in cases and outbreaks caused by stx1-producing O26. Of 7069 EHEC cases reported nationally in 2010-2011, the majority were caused by O157 (n = 4938), relative to O26 (n = 1353) and O111 (n = 195). However, relative to 69 cases of O157 (2%) associated with childcare facility EHEC outbreaks, there were 131 (10%) such cases of O26, and this trend intensified in 2012-2013 (O157, 3%; O26, 24%; O111, 48%). Among family members of childcare facility cases, the proportion of cases that were symptomatic declined with age; 10/16 cases (63%) aged 6 years or younger, 16/53 cases (30%) 6-19 years old, 23/120 cases (19%) 20-49 years old and 2/28 cases (7%) 50 years or older were symptomatic. Thirty one of the 68 outbreaks (46%) were classified as foodborne-related. CONCLUSIONS: Childcare facility EHEC outbreaks due to non-O157 serogroups, particularly O26 and O111, increased during 2010-2013. These facilities should pay extra attention to health conditions in children. As older family members of childcare facility cases appear to be less symptomatic, they should be vigilant about hand-washing to prevent further transmission.
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Creches , Surtos de Doenças/estatística & dados numéricos , Escherichia coli Êntero-Hemorrágica , Infecções por Escherichia coli/epidemiologia , Infecções por Escherichia coli/virologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Escherichia coli Êntero-Hemorrágica/classificação , Fezes/virologia , Feminino , Gastroenterite/epidemiologia , Gastroenterite/virologia , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Japão/epidemiologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Sorogrupo , Adulto JovemRESUMO
In Japan, based on the National Epidemiological Surveillance of Infectious Diseases (NESID) Program, influenza cases from ~5,000 sentinel sites are monitored weekly as part of influenza surveillance (as number of influenza cases/sentinel site). One limitation is that the number of influenza tests conducted is not reported. Separately, the National Hospital Organization (NHO), with ~140 hospitals, routinely publishes three indicators: number of influenza tests, influenza-positive case counts, and test positivity. We used NESID and NHO data from April 2011 to June 2022 to assess the usefulness of multiple indicators to monitor influenza activity. Temporal trends of the NHO and NESID indicators were similar, and NHO indicator levels well-correlated with those of the NESID indicator. Influenza positivity in the NHO data, however, showed an earlier rise and peak time compared to the NESID indicator. Importantly, through the non-epidemic summer periods and the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic, a sizable number of influenza tests continued to be done at NHO hospitals, with results showing considerably low case counts and test positivity. These data show that a relatively small number of sentinel sites is sufficient to monitor influenza activity nationally, and, that utilizing multiple indicators can increase our confidence in situational awareness and data interpretations.
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PURPOSE: We aimed to characterize novel coronavirus infections based on imaging [chest X-ray and chest computed tomography (CT)] at the time of admission. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We extracted data from 396 patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 who were managed at 68 hospitals in Japan from January 25 to September 2, 2020. Case patients were categorized as severe (death or treatment with invasive ventilation during hospitalization) and non-severe groups. The imaging findings of the groups were compared by calculating odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs), adjusted for sex, age, and hospital size (and radiographic patient positioning for cardiomegaly). Chest X-ray and CT scores ranged from 0 to 72 and 0 to 20, respectively. Optimal cut-off values for these scores were determined by a receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. RESULTS: The median age of the 396 patients was 48 years (interquartile range 28-65) and 211 (53.3%) patients were male. Thirty-two severe cases were compared to 364 non-severe cases. At the time of admission, abnormal lesions on chest X-ray and CT were mainly observed in the lower zone/lobe. Among severe cases, abnormal lesions were also seen in the upper zone/lobe. After adjustment, the total chest X-ray and CT score values showed a dose-dependent association with severe disease. For chest X-ray scores, the area under the ROC curve (AUC) was 0.91 (95% CI = 0.86-0.97) and an optimal cut-off value of 9 points predicted severe disease with 83.3% sensitivity and 84.7% specificity. For chest CT scores, the AUC was 0.94 (95% CI = 0.89-0.98) and an optimal cut-off value of 11 points predicted severe disease with 90.9% sensitivity and 82.2% specificity. Cardiomegaly was strongly associated with severe disease [adjusted OR = 24.6 (95% CI = 3.7-166.0)]. CONCLUSION: Chest CT and X-ray scores and the identification of cardiomegaly could be useful for classifying severe COVID-19 on admission.
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COVID-19 , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Feminino , Pacientes Internados , Japão , SARS-CoV-2 , Cardiomegalia/diagnóstico por imagem , Estudos RetrospectivosRESUMO
Objective: Monitoring the prevalence of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) variants is important due to concerns regarding infectivity, transmissibility, immune evasion and disease severity. We evaluated the temporal and regional replacement of previous SARS-CoV-2 variants by the emergent strains, Alpha and Delta. Methods: We obtained the results of polymerase chain reaction screening tests for variants conducted in multiple commercial laboratories. Assuming that all previous strains would be replaced by one variant, the new variant detection rate was estimated by fitting a logistic growth model. We estimated the transmission advantage of each new variant over the pre-existing virus strains. Results: The variant with the N501Y mutation was first identified in the Kinki region in early February 2021, and by early May, it had replaced more than 90% of the previous strains. The variant with the L452R mutation was first detected in the Kanto-Koshin region in mid-May, and by early August, it comprised more than 90% of the circulating strains. Compared with pre-existing strains, the variant with the N501Y mutation showed transmission advantages of 48.2% and 40.3% in the Kanto-Koshin and Kinki regions, respectively, while the variant with the L452R mutation showed transmission advantages of 60.1% and 71.9%, respectively. Discussion: In Japan, Alpha and Delta variants displayed regional differences in the replacement timing and their relative transmission advantages. Our method is efficient in monitoring and estimating changes in the proportion of variant strains in a timely manner in each region.
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COVID-19 , Humanos , Japão/epidemiologia , COVID-19/epidemiologia , SARS-CoV-2/genética , MutaçãoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The role of antibiotics in the treatment of Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli (STEC) infection is controversial. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the association between treatment (antibiotics, antidiarrheal agents, and probiotics) for STEC infection and hemolytic uremic syndrome (HUS) development. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We performed a population-based matched case-control study using the data from the National Epidemiological Surveillance of Infectious Diseases (NESID) between January 1, 2017 and December 31, 2018. We identified all patients with STEC infection and HUS as cases and matched patients with STEC infection without HUS as controls, with a case-control a ratio of 1:5. Further medical information was obtained by a standardized questionnaire. Multivariable conditional logistic regression model was used. RESULTS: 7760 patients with STEC infection were registered in the NESID. 182 patients with HUS and 910 matched controls without HUS were selected. 90 patients with HUS (68 children and 22 adults) and 371 patients without HUS (266 children and 105 adults) were included in the main analysis. The matched ORs of any antibiotics and fosfomycin for HUS in children were 0.56 (95% CI 0.32-0.98), 0.58 (0.34-1.01). The matched ORs for HUS were 2.07 (1.07-4.03), 0.86 (0.46-1.61) in all ages treated with antidiarrheal agent and probiotics. CONCLUSIONS: Antibiotics, especially fosfomycin, may prevent the development of HUS in children, while use of antidiarrheal agents should be avoided.
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Infecções por Escherichia coli/terapia , Gastroenterite/terapia , Síndrome Hemolítico-Urêmica/terapia , Escherichia coli Shiga Toxigênica , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Antibacterianos/uso terapêutico , Antidiarreicos/uso terapêutico , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Bases de Dados Factuais , Diarreia/tratamento farmacológico , Infecções por Escherichia coli/complicações , Feminino , Gastroenterite/complicações , Síndrome Hemolítico-Urêmica/complicações , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Japão/epidemiologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Probióticos/uso terapêutico , Toxina Shiga , Inquéritos e Questionários , Resultado do Tratamento , Adulto JovemRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) continues to be a major global health burden. This study aims to estimate the all-cause excess mortality occurring in the COVID-19 outbreak in Japan, 2020, by sex and age group. METHODS: Daily time series of mortality for the period January 2015-December 2020 in all 47 prefectures of Japan were obtained from the Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare, Japan. A two-stage interrupted time-series design was used to calculate excess mortality. In the first stage, we estimated excess mortality by prefecture using quasi-Poisson regression models in combination with distributed lag non-linear models, adjusting for seasonal and long-term variations, weather conditions and influenza activity. In the second stage, we used a random-effects multivariate meta-analysis to synthesize prefecture-specific estimates at the nationwide level. RESULTS: In 2020, we estimated an all-cause excess mortality of -20 982 deaths [95% empirical confidence intervals (eCI): -38 367 to -5472] in Japan, which corresponded to a percentage excess of -1.7% (95% eCI: -3.1 to -0.5) relative to the expected value. Reduced deaths were observed for both sexes and in all age groups except those aged <60 and 70-79 years. CONCLUSIONS: All-cause mortality during the COVID-19 outbreak in Japan in 2020 was decreased compared with a historical baseline. Further evaluation of cause-specific excess mortality is warranted.
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COVID-19 , Surtos de Doenças , Feminino , Humanos , Análise de Séries Temporais Interrompida , Japão/epidemiologia , Masculino , Mortalidade , SARS-CoV-2RESUMO
INTRODUCTION: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has caused unprecedented global morbidity and mortality. Japan has faced three epidemic "waves" of COVID-19 from early 2020 through early 2021. Here we narratively review the three waves in Japan, describe the key epidemiologic features of COVID-19, and discuss lessons learned. METHODS: We assessed publicly available surveillance data, routine surveillance reports, and other relevant sources-multiple indicators were monitored to improve interpretation of surveillance data. Weekly trends for each wave were described based on the number of case notifications; number of tests performed; proportion of those tests that were positive for the novel coronavirus; the prevalent number of COVID-19 hospitalizations (total hospitalizations and those categorized as severe); and number of COVID-19 deaths. For each indicator and wave, we recorded the first calendar week to show an increase over two consecutive previous weeks, along with the peak week. RESULTS: The spring wave was characterized by detection of cases imported from China, followed by notifications of sporadic cases without travel history, clusters, and mild/asymptomatic cases. The summer wave saw a large increase in notifications and a younger age distribution, but in the context of increased testing with lower test positivity. The winter wave brought considerable morbidity and mortality, surpassing the cumulative case counts and fatalities from the earlier waves, with high peak values. Overall, relative to the first wave, the burden of severe outcomes was lower in the second and higher in the third wave, but varied by prefecture. In all three waves, severe outcomes peaked after notification counts and test positivity peaked; severe outcomes were also consistently skewed toward the elderly. CONCLUSIONS: Important lessons were learned from each wave and across waves-some aspects remained constant, while others changed over time. In order to rapidly detect an increase in incidence, continuous, timely, and sensitive surveillance-using multiple information sources with careful interpretations-will be key in COVID-19 control.
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In response to an increase in heterosexual syphilis notifications in Tokyo, we conducted a questionnaire-based case-control study among women aged ≥20 years and sexually active in the past six months who sought a syphilis test in Tokyo during 2017-2018. Cases were women diagnosed as recent syphilis infection based on serological tests. Controls were serologically non-reactive or those with only a past syphilis infection. We described cases and assessed for risk factors of recent syphilis using logistic regression. A total of 524 women (60 cases, 464 controls) were enrolled. Notably, among cases, 10 (16.7%) were students, 3 (5.0%) had a history of syphilis, and 14 (23.3%) had a single sex partner in the past six months. Female sex worker (FSW) status was strongly associated with syphilis (odds ratio [OR] = 3.40; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.96-5.90). In multivariable analysis, recent syphilis was associated with inconsistent condom use for vaginal/anal sex among FSWs (adjusted OR [aOR] = 3.42; 95%CI = 0.92-12.70) and among non-FSWs, with younger age (aOR = 0.36; 95%CI = 0.19-0.70; increase per category from 20-24, 25-29 to ≥30 years) and ≤high school education (aOR = 5.24; 95%CI = 1.95-14.10). A notable proportion of cases were those with first time infection and those with only a single partner. Moreover, risk factors differed between FSWs and non-FSWs, and a multi-pronged approach to prevent syphilis is required.
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Heterossexualidade , Profissionais do Sexo/estatística & dados numéricos , Parceiros Sexuais , Sífilis/epidemiologia , Adulto , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Preservativos , Feminino , Humanos , Japão/epidemiologia , Masculino , Prevalência , Fatores de Risco , Comportamento Sexual , Sífilis/diagnóstico , Sorodiagnóstico da SífilisRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: In Japan, syphilis notifications have increased. Men who have sex with men (MSM) in Tokyo have contributed substantially to the increase in syphilis notifications. We thus aimed to determine the correlates of incident syphilis among them. METHODS: MSM who attended a Tokyo clinic that serves sexual minorities were recruited in a case-control study in 2015. A case was seropositive for primary/secondary/asymptomatic syphilis at enrolment visit and seronegative at prior visit or had oral ulcers positive for Treponema pallidum DNA at enrolment. For each case, two controls seronegative at enrolment and prior visit were selected. Using logistic regression, odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated to assess for correlates of case status. RESULTS: Among 35 cases, the median age was 37 (range = 21-63) years and was similar to the 71 controls. Among HIV-positive participants (26 cases and 67 controls), cases were independently associated with higher frequency of anal or oral sex (OR = 3.4; 95% CI = 1.4-8.6; increase per category from < 1/month, ≥ 1/month but < 1/week, to ≥ 1/week) and no or inconsistent condom use during anal or oral sex (OR = 3.0; 95% CI = 1.1-8.3; increase per category from using every time, occasionally, to never), adjusted for residency and time between visits. DISCUSSION: Modifiable behaviours were associated with incident syphilis, and dissemination of prevention messages are needed.