Risk factors for persistent abnormality on chest radiographs at 12-weeks post hospitalisation with PCR confirmed COVID-19.

BACKGROUND: The long-term consequences of COVID-19 remain unclear. There is concern a proportion of patients will progress to develop pulmonary fibrosis. We aimed to assess the temporal change in CXR infiltrates in a cohort of patients following hospitalisation for COVID-19. METHODS: We conducted a single-centre prospective cohort study of patients admitted to University Hospital Southampton with confirmed SARS-CoV2 infection between 20th March and 3rd June 2020. Patients were approached for standard-of-care follow-up 12-weeks after hospitalisation. Inpatient and follow-up CXRs were scored by the assessing clinician for extent of pulmonary infiltrates; 0-4 per lung (Nil = 0, < 25% = 1, 25-50% = 2, 51-75% = 3, > 75% = 4). RESULTS: 101 patients with paired CXRs were included. Demographics: 53% male with a median (IQR) age 53.0 (45-63) years and length of stay 9 (5-17.5) days. The median CXR follow-up interval was 82 (77-86) days with median baseline and follow-up CXR scores of 4.0 (3-5) and 0.0 (0-1) respectively. 32% of patients had persistent CXR abnormality at 12-weeks. In multivariate analysis length of stay (LOS), smoking-status and obesity were identified as independent risk factors for persistent CXR abnormality. Serum LDH was significantly higher at baseline and at follow-up in patients with CXR abnormalities compared to those with resolution. A 5-point composite risk score (1-point each; LOS ≥ 15 days, Level 2/3 admission, LDH > 750 U/L, obesity and smoking-status) strongly predicted risk of persistent radiograph abnormality (0.81). CONCLUSION: Persistent CXR abnormality 12-weeks post COVID-19 was common in this cohort. LOS, obesity, increased serum LDH, and smoking-status were risk factors for radiograph abnormality. These findings require further prospective validation.

Inflammatory phenotyping predicts clinical outcome in COVID-19.

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic has led to more than 760,000 deaths worldwide (correct as of 16th August 2020). Studies suggest a hyperinflammatory response is a major cause of disease severity and death. Identitfying COVID-19 patients with hyperinflammation may identify subgroups who could benefit from targeted immunomodulatory treatments. Analysis of cytokine levels at the point of diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2 infection can identify patients at risk of deterioration. METHODS: We used a multiplex cytokine assay to measure serum IL-6, IL-8, TNF, IL-1ß, GM-CSF, IL-10, IL-33 and IFN-γ in 100 hospitalised patients with confirmed COVID-19 at admission to University Hospital Southampton (UK). Demographic, clinical and outcome data were collected for analysis. RESULTS: Age > 70 years was the strongest predictor of death (OR 28, 95% CI 5.94, 139.45). IL-6, IL-8, TNF, IL-1ß and IL-33 were significantly associated with adverse outcome. Clinical parameters were predictive of poor outcome (AUROC 0.71), addition of a combined cytokine panel significantly improved the predictability (AUROC 0.85). In those ≤70 years, IL-33 and TNF were predictive of poor outcome (AUROC 0.83 and 0.84), addition of a combined cytokine panel demonstrated greater predictability of poor outcome than clinical parameters alone (AUROC 0.92 vs 0.77). CONCLUSIONS: A combined cytokine panel improves the accuracy of the predictive value for adverse outcome beyond standard clinical data alone. Identification of specific cytokines may help to stratify patients towards trials of specific immunomodulatory treatments to improve outcomes in COVID-19.

Dysregulated relationship of inflammation and oxidative stress in major depression.

Chronic inflammation and oxidative stress have been implicated in the pathophysiology of Major Depressive Disorder (MDD), as well as in a number of chronic medical conditions. The aim of this study was to examine the relationship between peripheral inflammatory and oxidative stress markers in un-medicated subjects with MDD compared to non-depressed healthy controls and compared to subjects with MDD after antidepressant treatment. We examined the relationships between IL-6, IL-10, and the IL-6/IL-10 inflammatory ratio vs. F2-isoprostanes (F2-IsoP), a marker of oxidative stress, in un-medicated MDD patients (n=20) before and after 8 weeks of open-label sertraline treatment (n=17), compared to healthy non-depressed controls (n=20). Among the un-medicated MDD subjects, F2-IsoP concentrations were positively correlated with IL-6 concentrations (p<0.05) and were negatively correlated with IL-10 concentrations (p<0.01). Accordingly, F2-IsoP concentrations were positively correlated with the ratio of IL-6/IL-10 (p<0.01). In contrast, in the control group, there were no significant correlations between F2-IsoPs and either cytokine or their ratio. After MDD subjects were treated with sertraline for 8 weeks, F2-IsoPs were no longer significantly correlated with IL-6, IL-10 or the IL-6/IL-10 ratio. These data suggest oxidative stress and inflammatory processes are positively associated in untreated MDD. Our findings are consistent with the hypothesis that the homeostatic buffering mechanisms regulating oxidation and inflammation in healthy individuals become dysregulated in untreated MDD, and may be improved with antidepressant treatment. These findings may help explain the increased risk of comorbid medical illnesses in MDD.

Resting leukocyte telomerase activity is elevated in major depression and predicts treatment response.

Telomeres are DNA-protein complexes that cap linear DNA strands, protecting DNA from damage. When telomeres critically shorten, cells become susceptible to senescence and apoptosis. Telomerase, a cellular ribonucleoprotein enzyme, rebuilds the length of telomeres and promotes cellular viability. Leukocyte telomeres are reportedly shortened in major depression, but telomerase activity in depression has not been previously reported. Further, there are no published reports of the effects of antidepressants on telomerase activity or on the relationship between telomerase activity and antidepressant response. Peripheral blood mononuclear cell (PBMC) telomerase activity was assessed in 20 medication-free depressed individuals and 18 controls. In total, 16 of the depressed individuals were then treated with sertraline in an open-label manner for 8 weeks, and PBMC telomerase activity was reassessed in 15 of these individuals after treatment. Pre- and post-treatment symptom severity was rated with the Hamilton Depression Rating Scale. All analyses were corrected for age and sex. Pre-treatment telomerase activity was significantly elevated in the depressed individuals compared with the controls (P=0.007) and was directly correlated with depression ratings (P<0.05) across all subjects. In the depressed group, individuals with relatively lower pre-treatment telomerase activity and with relatively greater increase in telomerase activity during treatment, showed superior antidepressant responses (P<0.05 and P<0.005, respectively). This is the first report characterizing telomerase activity in depressed individuals. PBMC telomerase activity might reflect a novel aspect of depressive pathophysiology and might represent a novel biomarker of antidepressant responsiveness.

An assessment of cost, quality and outcomes for five HIV prevention youth peer education programs in Zambia.

Youth peer education (YPE) programs are a popular strategy for HIV prevention in sub-Saharan Africa. However, research on the effectiveness of YPE programs is scarce and the wide variation in programs makes it difficult to generalize research findings. Measuring quality and comparing program effectiveness require the use of standardized instruments. In this study, we used standardized evidenced-based instruments to compare program inputs, quality, outputs and outcomes for five YPE programs in Zambia. Clinic surveys were used to measure the following program outcomes: young people's exposure to the YPE programs and referrals of young people to clinics for HIV/sexually transmitted infection (STI) testing and other reproductive health services. The study revealed wide variation in the cost, quality and outcomes of YPE programs. Higher quality programs were associated with greater exposure and more referrals of youth to the clinics. However, one of the two highest quality programs achieved twice as many exposure and referral outcomes at about half the cost per peer educator of the more expensive program. Results indicate that the standardized instruments used in this study are useful for assessing and comparing program attributes among diverse YPE programs.

Unravelling the mechanisms driving multimorbidity in COPD to develop holistic approaches to patient-centred care.

COPD is a major cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Multimorbidity is common in COPD patients and a key modifiable factor, which requires timely identification and targeted holistic management strategies to improve outcomes and reduce the burden of disease.We discuss the use of integrative approaches, such as cluster analysis and network-based theory, to understand the common and novel pathobiological mechanisms underlying COPD and comorbid disease, which are likely to be key to informing new management strategies.Furthermore, we discuss the current understanding of mechanistic drivers to multimorbidity in COPD, including hypotheses such as multimorbidity as a result of shared common exposure to noxious stimuli (e.g. tobacco smoke), or as a consequence of loss of function following the development of pulmonary disease. In addition, we explore the links to pulmonary disease processes such as systemic overspill of pulmonary inflammation, immune cell priming within the inflamed COPD lung and targeted messengers such as extracellular vesicles as a result of local damage as a cause for multimorbidity in COPD.Finally, we focus on current and new management strategies which may target these underlying mechanisms, with the aim of holistic, patient-centred treatment rather than single disease management.

Dealing with lead in Broken Hill--trends in blood lead levels in young children 1991-2003.

The objective of the study was to investigate trends in blood lead concentrations in preschool children between 1991 and 2003, as part of the evaluation strategy of a public health lead management program in Broken Hill, Australia. Since 1991, all Broken Hill children aged 1-4 years have been offered at least annual blood lead screening as part of a community-wide lead management program. Recruitment of children was promoted throughout the period using local media and distribution of promotional material from health care centres and preschool, childcare, and educational facilities around the city. Venous blood samples were collected using standard procedures and analyses were subjected to internal and external quality control programs. Because the frequency distribution of blood lead levels are skewed, geometric rather than arithmetic means were used for comparative purposes. Trend analysis was based on age and sex standardised mean blood lead levels. The number of 1- to 4-year-old children screened ranged between 496 and 948 in any one year and response rates varied between 39% and 73%. The age-sex standardised mean blood lead level decreased from 16.3 microg/dL to 7.1 microg/dL between 1991 and 2003. Overall, blood lead levels declined by 56% over 13 years. These reductions were consistently observed irrespective of age or where a child lived in the town. The rate of decline has slowed since 1997. We conclude that substantial progress has been made in dealing with the lead problem in Broken Hill children, although the rate of decline of blood lead levels has slowed. Continued public health action is still needed to bring the proportion of young children with significantly elevated blood lead levels (>15 microg/dL) down from the 2003 figure of 12% to the NHMRC community-based target for lead in young Australians of 5%.

Alterations in leukocyte transcriptional control pathway activity associated with major depressive disorder and antidepressant treatment.

Major depressive disorder (MDD) is associated with a significantly elevated risk of developing serious medical illnesses such as cardiovascular disease, immune impairments, infection, dementia and premature death. Previous work has demonstrated immune dysregulation in subjects with MDD. Using genome-wide transcriptional profiling and promoter-based bioinformatic strategies, we assessed leukocyte transcription factor (TF) activity in leukocytes from 20 unmedicated MDD subjects versus 20 age-, sex- and ethnicity-matched healthy controls, before initiation of antidepressant therapy, and in 17 of the MDD subjects after 8 weeks of sertraline treatment. In leukocytes from unmedicated MDD subjects, bioinformatic analysis of transcription control pathway activity indicated an increased transcriptional activity of cAMP response element-binding/activating TF (CREB/ATF) and increased activity of TFs associated with cellular responses to oxidative stress (nuclear factor erythroid-derived 2-like 2, NFE2l2 or NRF2). Eight weeks of antidepressant therapy was associated with significant reductions in Hamilton Depression Rating Scale scores and reduced activity of NRF2, but not in CREB/ATF activity. Several other transcriptional regulation pathways, including the glucocorticoid receptor (GR), nuclear factor kappa-B cells (NF-κB), early growth response proteins 1-4 (EGR1-4) and interferon-responsive TFs, showed either no significant differences as a function of disease or treatment, or activities that were opposite to those previously hypothesized to be involved in the etiology of MDD or effective treatment. Our results suggest that CREB/ATF and NRF2 signaling may contribute to MDD by activating immune cell transcriptome dynamics that ultimately influence central nervous system (CNS) motivational and affective processes via circulating mediators.

Patents and technology transfer.

Although the discovery and transfer of technology from universities to industry has been taking place for many years, the surge of activity in areas related to biotechnology, over the past fifteen years, has been remarkable. As the very essence of university research requires rapid publication of results, it is particularly important that timely patenting activity take place if an orderly and profitable transfer of technology is to occur.

Insulin like growth factor-binding protein-1 as a marker for hyperinsulinemia in obese menopausal women.

Hyperinsulinemia, a manifestation of insulin resistance, precursor of non-insulin dependent diabetes mellitus (NIDDM) and the hallmark of Syndrome X was assessed in 27 obese post-menopausal women. Insulin-like growth factor binding protein-1 (IGFBP-1), which had been shown previously to correlate inversely with insulin in animal and human studies, was evaluated as a diagnostic marker for abnormal glucose stimulated area under the curve (AUC) insulin (defined a priori as > or = 100 microU/ml). We performed analysis of variance and logistic regression to assess IGFBP-1 and other study covariates, including body mass index, blood pressure, lipids and measures of glucose and insulin in hyperinsulinemic vs. normal women and evaluated performance characteristics (sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values and accuracy rates). The mean IGFBP-1 was 6.1 ng/ml (95% confidence interval (CI) 3.1 to 8.9) for the hyper-insulinemic women compared to 33.5 ng/ml (CI 15.8 to 51.2) for normal women (P = .0027). At a cutoff point of 15ng/ml, which was selected to correspond to the lower 95% confidence limit for the normal study population, IGFBP-1 was abnormal in all 13 women with hyperinsulinemia and 4 women with normal insulin levels (sensitivity 100%, specificity 69%; positive predictive value 76%, negative predictive value 100%, diagnostic accuracy rate 85%). Logistic regression models indicated that, of all study covariates, IGFBP-1 was the best predictor variable for AUC-insulin as a binary dependent variable. These results suggest that IGFBP-1 may be a simple serum marker for hyperinsulinemia in a subpopulation of obese menopausal women.

New synthetic routes to tilorone dihydrochloride and some of its analogues.

New synthetic routes to the orally active, interferon-inducing antiviral agent tilorone dihydrochloride, 2,7-bis-[(diethylamino)ethoxy]fluoren-9-one dihydrochloride (1a), were developed. The routes involved the preparation and solvolysis of tetrazonium fluoroborate salts of 2,7-diaminofluoren-9-one. Nonplanar (1b), 9-sulfone (1c), and fluorene (1d) analogues of tilorone dihydrochloride were also prepared. Compounds 1b and 1c were evaluated for interferon induction.

Low blood folates in NTD pregnancies are only partly explained by thermolabile 5,10-methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase: low folate status alone may be the critical factor.

Thermolabile 5,10-methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase (MTHFR) is the first folate-related variant to be associated with an increased risk of neural tube defects (NTDs). The variant causes high plasma homocysteine levels and reduced red cell folate (RCF) levels, both of which have also been linked to an increased risk of NTDs. We examined the relationship between folate status and presence of the common mutation MTHFR C677T in 82 NTD-affected and 260 control mothers. Homozygosity for the TT genotype was associated with very low folate status among both the cases (n = 13) and the controls (n = 21). However, after exclusion of TT homozygotes, only 10% of the remaining 240 controls had RCF levels less than 200 microg/L compared with 29% of the 69 cases (odds ratio, 3.67; 95% confidence interval, 1.88-7.18; P < 0.001), and those with RCF less than 150 microg/L had eight times higher risk of NTD than subjects with levels over 400 microg/L. Plasma homocysteine levels of non-TT cases were also higher than those of controls (P = 0.047). This study shows that homozygosity for the C677T MTHFR variant cannot account for reduced blood folate levels in many NTD-affected mothers. Thus, a strategy of genetic screening of all childbearing women for this variant would be ineffective as a method of primary prevention of NTDs. The data suggest that low maternal folate status is itself the major determinant of NTD risk, or else that other folate-dependent genetic variants confer risk through the reduction of folate levels. These results emphasize the importance of a food-fortification program as a population strategy for reducing the occurrence of NTDs.

Methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase thermolabile variant and oral clefts.

Folic acid can prevent neural tube defects; in some cases the mechanism is probably a correction of a metabolic defect caused by thermolabile methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase (MTHFR) found in increased frequency in cases. It is less clear whether folic acid can prevent oral clefts, in part because it is not known whether thermolabile MTHFR is more common in those with oral clefts. This study examined the prevalence of the mutation (677 C-->T) that causes thermolabile MTHFR in subjects with oral clefts from a national Irish support group, and an anonymous control group randomly selected from a neonatal screening program covering all births in Ireland. Eighty-three of 848 control subjects were homozygous (TT) thermolabile MTHFR (9.8%). This defect was almost three times as common in the 27 subjects (25.9%) with isolated cleft palate (odds ratio 3.23, 95% confidence interval 1.32 -7.86, P = 0. 02) and somewhat more common in the 66 subjects with cleft lip with or without cleft palate (15.2%, odds ratio 1.65, 95% confidence interval 0.81-3.35, P = 0.20). When the two groups with different etiologies were combined, the overall odds ratio was 2.06 (95% confidence interval 1.16-3.66, P = 0.02). In the Irish population homozygosity for the common folate-related polymorphism associated with thermolabile MTHFR is significantly more frequent in those with isolated cleft palate, and could be etiologically important. Am. J. Med. Genet. 86:71-74, 1999. Published 1999 Wiley-Liss, Inc.

Fiberoptic bronchoscopy in coronary care unit patients: indications, safety, and clinical implications.

STUDY OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the indications, safety, therapeutic impact, and outcome of fiberoptic bronchoscopy (FOB) in coronary care unit (CCU) patients. DESIGN: Retrospective review of all CCU patients undergoing FOB during a 6-year period. SETTING: Tertiary care university hospital. RESULTS: Among 8,330 patients admitted to the CCU; 40 (0.5%) patients underwent FOB to evaluate pulmonary abnormalities, most often (78%) to appraise clinically suspected pneumonia. Thirty-five (88%) patients were intubated and 21 (53%) had acute myocardial infarction (MI) before FOB. There were two major complications (bleeding, intubation) occurring within 24 h of FOB, one of which appeared due to the procedure. No episodes of chest pain or ischemic events were recorded and no significant increase in major complications was noted in MI patients (3% vs 5%). Patients having FOB within 10 days of MI had higher survival (79%) than those undergoing FOB later (29%) (p = 0.05). Seven different bacterial pathogens were isolated in 6 (15%) patients, probably reflecting prior empiric antibiotics in 32 (80%) patients. Therapy was changed in 64% of patients in whom a potential pathogen was identified. Despite alterations in treatment, patients with clinically suspected pneumonia and any organisms isolated by FOB had greater mortality (79% vs 31%, p = 0.003) than those with sterile FOB cultures. CONCLUSION: FOB may be diagnostically useful in the evaluation of pulmonary abnormalities in selected patients with acute cardiac disease, can be performed safely, and may influence management decisions. Positive bronchoscopy cultures often influence therapy but are associated with higher mortality, suggesting a lethal effect of nosocomial pneumonia in this subset of CCU patients. The risks of FOB must be weighed with the impact of FOB results on patient outcome, and its role requires further investigation.

An evaluation of the reliability and validity of the Functional Assessment Inventory.

The reliability of the Functional Assessment Inventory (FAI) was evaluated using a sample of VA domiciliary and nursing home patients. The interobserver and interrater reliability coefficients of the summary rating scales, based on a single assessment, tended to be higher than their test-retest reliability coefficients, based on two independent assessments separated by a modal four-week interval. Validity coefficients, using the OARS instrument ratings as criteria, also based on two independent assessments several weeks apart, were, on the average, as high as the test-retest reliability coefficients. More specifically, the mental health, physical health, and activities of daily living rating scales, along with the objectively scored Short Portable Mental Status Questionnaire and Short Psychiatric Evaluation Schedule, tended to yield relatively similar scores with repeated measurement, while the social resources and economic resources scales were somewhat less stable, a discrepancy possibly explained by the homogeneous nature of the social and economic status of most of the patients (institutionalized veterans). Thus the reliability and validity of the FAI are satisfactory, but the stability of some of its scales requires further investigation.

A genetic defect in 5,10 methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase in neural tube defects.

It is now well-established that folic acid, taken peri-conceptionally, can reduce the risk of neural tube defects (NTDs). Recent work has demonstrated that an abnormality of homocysteine metabolism is a critical factor. The gene for 5,10 methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase, an enzyme important in homocysteine metabolism, was studied in relation to NTDs. To determine the frequency of the allele for the thermolabile form of the reductase, DNA samples were collected from people with NTDs, parents of people with NTDs, and normal controls. Of 82 people with NTDs, 15 (18.3%) were homozygous for the abnormal, thermolabile allele. This was significantly higher (p = 0.01) than the rate of 6.1% in the control population (odds ratio 3.47, 95% CI 1.28-9.41). This is the first specific genetic abnormality to be identified in NTDs. It explains the association between some NTDs and elevated homocysteine, given that the reductase is important in homocysteine metabolism. It also explains how folic acid supplementation prevents some NTDs, by overcoming a partial block in the conversion of 5,10 methylenetetrahydrofolate to 5 methyltetrahydrofolate. Genetic screening could identify women who will require folic acid supplements to reduce their risk of having a child with an NTD.

Discovering patterns in microarray data.

The human genome is a complex system characterized by gene interactions and nonlinear behaviors. Complex systems cannot be viewed as the aggregate of their isolated pieces but must be studied as an integrated whole. Microarray technologies offer the opportunity to see the entire biological system as it existed at one moment in time. It is tempting to try to analyze the entire microarray at once to immediately discover the pattern being sought, for example, the pattern of a breast cancer. However, such an analysis would be a mistake because microarrays provide massively parallel information, the analysis of which is a nondeterministic polynomial time (NP)-hard problem. Current statistical methods are not sufficiently powerful to solve this NP-hard problem. The best approach to microarray analysis is to begin with a small number of the elements in the microarray known to be a pattern and ask questions of the other elements in the microarray; i.e., perform instantaneous scientific experiments regarding whether each of the other elements in the microarray are related to the known pattern.

Peak homogeneity determination for the validation of high-performance liquid chromatographic assay methods.

To validate high-performance liquid chromatographic assay procedures with regard to specificity, methods were developed to determine the homogeneity of the chromatographic peaks. These methods employed a rapid-scanning UV-visible spectrophotometer to monitor the chromatographic effluent. The absorption data were processed to nullify the signal due to the drug substances specifically, while allowing the detection of coincident impurities. Results from three model systems indicated the ability of these methods to detect as little as 0.1% of a coincident impurity.

Neuroleptic withdrawal in chronic schizophrenia: CT and endocrine variables relating to psychopathology.

The psychopathology of 36 chronic, schizophrenic patients who had been on maintenance neuroleptics was rated during neuroleptic therapy and after 12 days of neuroleptic withdrawal. At both times, hormonal serum levels were also determined. Moreover, in 27 of these patients, ventricle-brain ratio, maximal width of the third ventricle, and sulcal widening were measured on computed tomography (CT). Neuroleptic withdrawal resulted in individually different psychopathological changes: 7 patients improved, 11 worsened. Within the whole group, thought disorder deteriorated, and anergia improved. Levels of cortisol and beta-endorphin increased; those of prolactin and norepinephrine decreased. The majority of patients showed ventricular enlargement, which was marginally related to reduced thought disorder. CT and endocrine variables were slightly related to psychopathology or psychopathological effects of neuroleptic withdrawal.