Secondary tricuspid regurgitation: incidence, types, and outcomes in atrial fibrillation vs. sinus rhythm.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Incidence and types of secondary tricuspid regurgitation (TR) are not well defined in atrial fibrillation (AFib) and sinus rhythm (SR). Atrial secondary TR (A-STR) is associated with pre-existing AFib; however, close to 50% of patients with A-STR do not have AFib. The aim of this study was to assess incidence, types, and outcomes of ≥ moderate TR in AFib vs. SR. METHODS: Adults with and without new-onset AFib without structural heart disease or ≥ moderate TR at baseline were followed for the development of ≥ moderate TR. Tricuspid regurgitation types were pacemaker, left-sided valve disease, left ventricular (LV) dysfunction, pulmonary hypertension (PH), isolated ventricular, and A-STR. RESULTS: Among 1359 patients with AFib and 20 438 in SR, 109 and 378 patients developed ≥ moderate TR, respectively. The individual types of TR occurred more frequently in AFib related to the higher pacemaker implantation rates (1.12 vs. 0.19 per 100 person-years, P < .001), larger right atrial size (median 78 vs. 53 mL, P < .001), and higher pulmonary pressures (median 30 vs. 28 mmHg, P < .001). The most common TR types irrespective of rhythm were LV dysfunction-TR and A-STR. Among patients in SR, those with A-STR were older, predominantly women with more diastolic abnormalities and higher pulmonary pressures. All types of secondary TR were associated with all-cause mortality, highest in PH-TR and LV dysfunction-TR. CONCLUSIONS: New-onset AFib vs. SR conferred a higher risk of the individual TR types related to sequelae of AFib and higher pacemaker implantation rates, although the distribution of TR types was similar. Secondary TR was universally associated with increased mortality.

Association of early menarche with breast tumor molecular features and recurrence.

BACKGROUND: Early menarche is an established risk factor for breast cancer but its molecular contribution to tumor biology and prognosis remains unclear. METHODS: We profiled transcriptome-wide gene expression in breast tumors (N = 846) and tumor-adjacent normal tissues (N = 666) from women in the Nurses' Health Studies (NHS) to investigate whether early menarche (age < 12) is associated with tumor molecular and prognostic features in women with breast cancer. Multivariable linear regression and pathway analyses using competitive gene set enrichment analysis were conducted in both tumor and adjacent-normal tissue and externally validated in TCGA (N = 116). Subgroup analyses stratified on ER-status based on the tumor were also performed. PAM50 signatures were used for tumor molecular subtyping and to generate proliferation and risk of recurrence scores. We created a gene expression score using LASSO regression to capture early menarche based on 28 genes from FDR-significant pathways in breast tumor tissue in NHS and tested its association with 10-year disease-free survival in both NHS (N = 836) and METABRIC (N = 952). RESULTS: Early menarche was significantly associated with 369 individual genes in adjacent-normal tissues implicated in extracellular matrix, cell adhesion, and invasion (FDR ≤ 0.1). Early menarche was associated with upregulation of cancer hallmark pathways (18 significant pathways in tumor, 23 in tumor-adjacent normal, FDR ≤ 0.1) related to proliferation (e.g. Myc, PI3K/AKT/mTOR, cell cycle), oxidative stress (e.g. oxidative phosphorylation, unfolded protein response), and inflammation (e.g. pro-inflammatory cytokines IFN α and IFN γ ). Replication in TCGA confirmed these trends. Early menarche was associated with significantly higher PAM50 proliferation scores (ß = 0.082 [0.02-0.14]), odds of aggressive molecular tumor subtypes (basal-like, OR = 1.84 [1.18-2.85] and HER2-enriched, OR = 2.32 [1.46-3.69]), and PAM50 risk of recurrence score (ß = 4.81 [1.71-7.92]). Our NHS-derived early menarche gene expression signature was significantly associated with worse 10-year disease-free survival in METABRIC (N = 952, HR = 1.58 [1.10-2.25]). CONCLUSIONS: Early menarche is associated with more aggressive molecular tumor characteristics and its gene expression signature within tumors is associated with worse 10-year disease-free survival among women with breast cancer. As the age of onset of menarche continues to decline, understanding its relationship to breast tumor characteristics and prognosis may lead to novel secondary prevention strategies.

Utilizing median and maximum QTc values improves prediction of breakthrough cardiac events in pediatric long QT syndrome.

INTRODUCTION: Although prior studies indicate that a QTc > 500 ms on a single baseline 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) is associated with significantly increased risk of arrhythmic events in long QT syndrome (LQTS), less is known about the risk of persistent QT prolongation. We sought to determine QTc persistence and its prognostic effect on breakthrough cardiac events (BCEs) among pediatric patients treated for LQTS. METHODS: We performed a retrospective analysis of 433 patients with LQTS evaluated, risk-stratified, and undergoing active guideline-based LQTS treatment between 1999 and 2019. BCEs were defined as arrhythmogenic syncope/seizure, sudden cardiac arrest (SCA), appropriate VF-terminating ICD shock, and sudden cardiac death (SCD). RESULTS: During the median follow-up of 5.5 years (interquartile range [IQR] = 3-9), 32 (7%) patients experienced a total of 129 BCEs. A maximum QTc threshold of 520 ms and median QTc threshold of 490 ms were determined to be strong predictors for BCEs. A landmark analysis controlling for age, sex, genotype, and symptomatic status demonstrated models utilizing both the median QTc and maximum QTc demonstrated the highest discriminatory value (c-statistic = 0.93-0.95). Patients in the high-risk group (median QTc > 490 ms and maximum QTc > 520 ms) had a significantly lower BCE free survival (70%-81%) when compared to patients in both medium-risk (93%-97%) and low-risk (98%-99%) groups. CONCLUSIONS: The risk of BCE among patients treated for LQTS increases not only based upon their maximum QTc, but also their median QTc (persistence of QTc prolongation). Patients with a maximum QTc > 520 ms and median QTc > 490 ms over serial 12-lead ECGs are at the highest risk of BCE while on guideline-directed medical therapy.

Artificial intelligence of arterial Doppler waveforms to predict major adverse outcomes among patients with diabetes mellitus.

OBJECTIVE: Patients with diabetes mellitus (DM) are at increased risk for peripheral artery disease (PAD) and its complications. Arterial calcification and non-compressibility may limit test interpretation in this population. Developing tools capable of identifying PAD and predicting major adverse cardiac event (MACE) and limb event (MALE) outcomes among patients with DM would be clinically useful. Deep neural network analysis of resting Doppler arterial waveforms was used to detect PAD among patients with DM and to identify those at greatest risk for major adverse outcome events. METHODS: Consecutive patients with DM undergoing lower limb arterial testing (April 1, 2015-December 30, 2020) were randomly allocated to training, validation, and testing subsets (60%, 20%, and 20%). Deep neural networks were trained on resting posterior tibial arterial Doppler waveforms to predict all-cause mortality, MACE, and MALE at 5 years using quartiles based on the distribution of the prediction score. RESULTS: Among 11,384 total patients, 4211 patients with DM met study criteria (mean age, 68.6 ± 11.9 years; 32.0% female). After allocating the training and validation subsets, the final test subset included 856 patients. During follow-up, there were 262 deaths, 319 MACE, and 99 MALE. Patients in the upper quartile of prediction based on deep neural network analysis of the posterior tibial artery waveform provided independent prediction of death (hazard ratio [HR], 3.58; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.31-5.56), MACE (HR, 2.06; 95% CI, 1.49-2.91), and MALE (HR, 13.50; 95% CI, 5.83-31.27). CONCLUSIONS: An artificial intelligence enabled analysis of a resting Doppler arterial waveform permits identification of major adverse outcomes including all-cause mortality, MACE, and MALE among patients with DM.

Association of cardiac biomarkers with long-term cardiovascular events in a community cohort.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: The study assessed major adverse cardiac events (MACE) (myocardial infarction, coronary artery bypass graft, percutaneous intervention, stroke, and death. Cox proportional hazards models assessed apolipoprotein AI (ApoA1), apolipoprotein B (ApoB), ceramide score, cystatin C, galectin-3 (Gal3), LDL-C, Non-HDL-C, total cholesterol (TC), N-terminal B-type natriuretic peptide (NT proBNP), high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (HscTnI) and soluble interleukin 1 receptor-like 1. In adjusted models, Ceramide score was defined by from N-palmitoyl-sphingosine [Cer(16:0)], N-stearoyl-sphingosine [Cer(18:0)], N-nervonoyl-sphingosine [Cer(24:1)] and N-lignoceroyl-sphingosine [Cer(24:0)]. Multi-biomarker models were compared with C-statistics and Integrated Discrimination Index (IDI). RESULTS: A total of 1131 patients were included. Adjusted NT proBNP per 1 SD resulted in a 31% increased risk of MACE/death (HR = 1.31) and a 31% increased risk for stroke/MI (HR = 1.31). Adjusted Ceramide per 1 SD showed a 13% increased risk of MACE/death (HR = 1.13) and a 29% increased risk for stroke/MI (HR = 1.29). These markers added to clinical factors for both MACE/death (p = 0.003) and stroke/MI (p = 0.034). HscTnI was not a predictor of outcomes when added to the models. DISCUSSION: Ceramide score and NT proBNP improve the prediction of MACE and stroke/MI in a community primary prevention cohort.

In a community cohort, where a wide range of biomarkers were evaluated, Ceramide score provided additive value over traditional cardiac risk factors alone for predicting stroke/MI. NT ProBNP provided additive value in prediction of MACE/death. Other biomarkers failed to improve the discrimination of these models.

Prevalence and incidence of diastolic dysfunction in atrial fibrillation: clinical implications.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Atrial fibrillation (AF) and heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) are intimately associated disorders; HFpEF may be overlooked in AF when symptoms are simply attributed to dysrhythmia, and incident AF may identify patients at risk for developing diastolic dysfunction (DD). This study aimed to investigate the prevalence and incidence of DD in patients with new-onset AF compared with sinus rhythm (SR). METHODS: Adults with new-onset AF (n = 1747) or SR (n = 29 623) and no structural heart disease were identified. Propensity score matching was performed (1:3 ratio) between AF and SR based on age, sex, body mass index, and comorbidities. Severe DD (SDD) was defined by ≥3/four abnormal parameters (medial e', medial E/e', tricuspid regurgitation velocity, and left atrial volume index) and ≥moderate DD (>MDD) by ≥2/4. Annualized changes in DD indices were determined. RESULTS: New-onset AF was independently associated with SDD (8% vs. 3%) and ≥MDD (25% vs. 16%); 62% of patients with AF had high-risk H2FPEF scores, and 5% had clinically recognized HFpEF. Over a median follow-up of 3.2 (interquartile range 1.6-5.8) years, DD progressed two-four-fold more rapidly in those with new-onset AF (P < .001 for all). The risk for incident DD was increased in new-onset AF [hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) 2.69 (2.19-3.32) for SDD and 1.73 (1.49-2.02) for ≥MDD]. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with new-onset AF display high-risk features for HFpEF at diagnosis, emphasizing the importance of evaluating for HFpEF among symptomatic patients with AF. Patients with new-onset AF have accelerated progression in DD over time, which may identify patients with preclinical HFpEF, where preventive therapies may be tested.

Bicuspid aortic valve: long-term morbidity and mortality.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Bicuspid aortic valve (BAV) is the most common congenital heart anomaly. Lifetime morbidity and whether long-term survival varies according to BAV patient-sub-groups are unknown. This study aimed to assess lifetime morbidity and long-term survival in BAV patients in the community. METHODS: The authors retrospectively identified all Olmsted County (Minnesota) residents with an echocardiographic diagnosis of BAV from 1 January 1980 to 31 December 2009, including patients with typical valvulo-aortopathy (BAV without accelerated valvulo-aortopathy or associated disorders), and those with complex valvulo-aortopathy (BAV with accelerated valvulo-aortopathy or associated disorders). RESULTS: 652 consecutive diagnosed BAV patients [median (IQR) age 37 (22-53) years; 525 (81%) adult and 127 (19%) paediatric] were followed for a median (IQR) of 19.1 (12.9-25.8) years. The total cumulative lifetime morbidity burden (from birth to age 90) was 86% (95% CI 82.5-89.7); cumulative lifetime progression to ≥ moderate aortic stenosis or regurgitation, aortic valve surgery, aortic aneurysm ≥45 mm or z-score ≥3, aorta surgery, infective endocarditis and aortic dissection was 80.3%, 68.5%, 75.4%, 27%, 6% and 1.6%, respectively. Survival of patients with typical valvulo-aortopathy [562 (86%), age 40 (28-55) years, 86% adults] was similar to age-sex-matched Minnesota population (P = .12). Conversely, survival of patients with complex valvulo-aortopathy [90 (14%), age 14 (3-26) years, 57% paediatric] was lower than expected, with a relative excess mortality risk of 2.25 (95% CI 1.21-4.19) (P = .01). CONCLUSION: The BAV condition exhibits a high lifetime morbidity burden where valvulo-aortopathy is close to unavoidable by age 90. The lifetime incidence of infective endocarditis is higher than that of aortic dissection. The most common BAV clinical presentation is the typical valvulo-aortopathy with preserved expected long-term survival, while the complex valvulo-aortopathy presentation incurs higher mortality.

Sex-based differences in metabolic protection by the ANP genetic variant rs5068 in the general population.

Atrial natriuretic peptide (ANP) and B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) are produced in the heart and secreted into the circulation. As hormones, both peptides activate the guanylyl cyclase receptor A (GC-A), playing a role in blood pressure (BP) regulation. A significant role for ANP and BNP includes favorable actions in metabolic homeostasis. Sex-based high prevalence of risk factors for cardiovascular disease in males compared with females is well established, but sex-based differences on cardiometabolic protection have not been investigated in relation to ANP (NPPA) and BNP (NPPB) gene variants. We included 1,146 subjects in the general population from Olmsted County, Minnesota. Subjects were genotyped for the ANP gene variant rs5068 and BNP gene variant rs198389. Cardiometabolic parameters and medical records were reviewed. In the presence of the minor allele of rs5068, diastolic BP, creatinine, body mass index (BMI), waist measurement, insulin, and prevalence of obesity and metabolic syndrome were lower, whereas HDL was higher in males with only trends observed in females. We observed no associations of the minor allele with echocardiographic parameters in either males or females. Regarding rs198389 genotype, the minor allele was not associated with any BP, metabolic, renal, or echocardiographic parameters in either sex. In the general community, the minor allele of the ANP gene variant rs5068 is associated with a favorable metabolic phenotype in males. No associations were observed with the BNP gene variant rs198389. These studies support a protective role of the ANP pathway on metabolic function and underscore the importance of sex in relationship to natriuretic peptide responses.NEW & NOTEWORTHY Males are characterized by lower ANP and BNP with greater prevalence of cardiometabolic disease. The ANP genetic variant rs5068 was associated with less metabolic dysfunction in males, whereas no metabolic profile was related to the BNP genetic variant rs198389 in the general population. ANP may play a more biological role in metabolic homeostasis compared with BNP in the general population with greater physiological metabolic actions in males compared with females.

The Cardiorenal Effects of Chronic Phosphodiesterase-V Inhibition in Preclinical Diastolic Dysfunction (Stage B Heart Failure).

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether chronic phosphodiesterase-V (PDEV) inhibition with tadalafil will improve urinary sodium excretion, glomerular filtration rate (GFR), plasma cyclic guanosine 3', 5'-monophosphate (cGMP), and urinary cGMP excretion in response to volume expansion (VE) in patients with preclinical diastolic dysfunction (PDD) or stage B heart failure. BACKGROUND: PDD is defined as abnormal diastolic function with normal systolic function, without clinical heart failure. PDD is predictive of development of heart failure and all-cause mortality. Impaired renal function and attenuated cGMP response to VE are hallmarks of PDD. METHODS: A double-blind, placebo-controlled, proof-of-concept study was conducted to compare 12 weeks of tadalafil 20 mg daily (n = 14) vs placebo (n = 7). Subjects underwent 2 study visits 12 weeks apart. Renal, neurohormonal and echocardiographic assessments were performed before and after intravascular VE (normal saline 0.25 mL/kg/min for 1 hour). RESULTS: Baseline characteristics were similar. There was no increase in GFR, plasma cGMP or urinary cGMP excretion in response to VE in either group at visit 1. At visit 2, tadalafil did not result in significant change in GFR but increased plasma cGMP and urinary cGMP excretion at baseline. In response to VE, tadalafil resulted in increased urine flow, urinary sodium excretion, GFR (7.00 [-1.0, 26.3] vs -9.00 [-24.5, 2.0] mL/min/1.73m2; P = 0.02) and plasma cGMP (0.50 [-0.1, 0.7] vs -0.25 [-0.6, -0.1] pmol/mL; P = 0.02). It did not improve urinary cGMP excretion after VE. CONCLUSION: In PDD, chronic PDEV inhibition with tadalafil improved renal response to VE through increased urine flow, urinary sodium excretion, GFR, and plasma cGMP. Further studies are required to determine whether this enhanced renal response can mitigate progression to clinical heart failure.

Age, Hypertension, and Exercise Capacity are Independently Associated with Likelihood of Multi-Vessel Disease in Patients Referred for Treadmill Exercise Testing: The Intermediate-High-Workload Treadmill Score (IHWTS).

Background: To identify factors that increase the specificity of the treadmill exercise test (TMET), and develop a novel scoring system which accounts for functional capacity to aid in determining the need for further testing. Methods: We retrospectively evaluated the electronic health records of 600 patients who had positive TMET results and follow-up stress echocardiography from 1-January-2004, through 31-December-2016. Correlations between clinical and aerobic variables and multivessel disease (MVD) were determined. Duke Treadmill Score (DTS) was calculated and compared with a novel scoring system titled the Intermediate-High-Workload Treadmill Score (IHWTS) that used variables associated with MVD. Results: In total, 124 of 600 patients (21%) had coronary catheterization, and 51 of these patients (41%) had MVD. Mean (SD) DTS was -2.10 (6.3) among patients with MVD vs -0.16 (5) among patients without MVD (p = 0.06). Mean (SD) functional aerobic capacity (FAC) was 76% (20%) among patients with MVD vs 90% (21%) among patients without MVD (p < 0.001). Mean (SD) metabolic equivalent (MET) was 7 (2) among patients with MVD vs 8 (2) among patients without MVD (p = 0.002). Only 6 (12%) of patients with MVD achieved 9 MET or greater on TMET. DTS less than 4 did not distinguish between patients with and without MVD (p = 0.67). Age, hypertension and FAC were independently associated with MVD (all p < 0.05). Conclusions: Our novel scoring system IHWTS utilized age, hypertension, and FAC appeared comparable to DTS to risk-stratify patients regardless of baseline symptoms. Clinical parameters such as hypertension along with exercise functional capacity should be considered when evaluating a positive TMET result in patients that achieve an intermediate-high workload > 5 Metabolic Equivalents (METs).

Impact of mitral intervention on outcomes of patients with mitral valve dysfunction and annulus calcification.

OBJECTIVES: To compare all-cause mortality in patients with mitral annulus calcification (MAC) and severe mitral valve dysfunction (MVD) who received standard mitral intervention versus no intervention. BACKGROUND: Patients with MAC often have high surgical risk due to advanced age, comorbidities, and technical challenges related to calcium. The impact of a mitral intervention on outcomes of patients with MAC and severe MVD is not well known. METHODS: Retrospective review of patients with MAC by transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) in 2015 at a single institution. Patients with severe mitral stenosis (MS) or regurgitation (MR) were analyzed and stratified into two groups: surgical or transcatheter intervention performed <1 year after the index TTE, and no or later intervention. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality. RESULTS: Of 5502 patients with MAC, 357 had severe MVD (MS = 27%, MR = 73%). Of those, 108 underwent mitral intervention (surgery = 87; transcatheter = 21). They were younger (73 ± 11 vs. 76 ± 11 years, p < 0.01) and less frequently had cardiovascular diseases compared with no-intervention. Frequency in women was similar (45% vs. 50%, p = 0.44). During median follow-up of 3.2 years, the intervention group had higher estimated survival than those without intervention (80% vs. 72% at 1 year and 55% vs. 35% at 4 year, p < 0.01). Adjusted for age, eGFR, LVEF < 50%, and pulmonary hypertension, mitral intervention was an independent predictor of lower mortality (hazard ratio = 0.66, 95% confidence interval 0.43-0.99, p = 0.046). CONCLUSION: Patients with MAC and severe MVD who underwent mitral intervention <1 year from index TTE had lower mortality than those without intervention. Mitral intervention was independently associated with lower mortality.

Ceramide Scores Predict Cardiovascular Risk in the Community.

[Figure: see text].

Artificial intelligence for the evaluation of peripheral artery disease using arterial Doppler waveforms to predict abnormal ankle-brachial index.

BACKGROUND: Patients with peripheral artery disease (PAD) are at increased risk for major adverse limb and cardiac events including mortality. Developing screening tools capable of accurate PAD identification is a necessary first step for strategies of adverse outcome prevention. This study aimed to determine whether machine analysis of a resting Doppler waveform using deep neural networks can accurately identify patients with PAD. METHODS: Consecutive patients (4/8/2015 - 12/31/2020) undergoing rest and postexercise ankle-brachial index (ABI) testing were included. Patients were randomly allocated to training, validation, and testing subsets (70%/15%/15%). Deep neural networks were trained on resting posterior tibial arterial Doppler waveforms to predict normal (> 0.9) or PAD (⩽ 0.9) using rest and postexercise ABI. A separate dataset of 151 patients who underwent testing during a period after the model had been created and validated (1/1/2021 - 3/31/2021) was used for secondary validation. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC) were constructed to evaluate test performance. RESULTS: Among 11,748 total patients, 3432 patients met study criteria: 1941 with PAD (mean age 69 ± 12 years) and 1491 without PAD (64 ± 14 years). The predictive model with highest performance identified PAD with an AUC 0.94 (CI = 0.92-0.96), sensitivity 0.83, specificity 0.88, accuracy 0.85, and positive predictive value (PPV) 0.90. Results were similar for the validation dataset: AUC 0.94 (CI = 0.91-0.98), sensitivity 0.91, specificity 0.85, accuracy 0.89, and PPV 0.89 (postexercise ABI comparison). CONCLUSION: An artificial intelligence-enabled analysis of a resting Doppler arterial waveform permits identification of PAD at a clinically relevant performance level.

Sociotechnical Intervention for Improved Delivery of Preventive Cardiovascular Care to Rural Communities: Participatory Design Approach.

BACKGROUND: Clinical practice guidelines recommend antiplatelet and statin therapies as well as blood pressure control and tobacco cessation for secondary prevention in patients with established atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases (ASCVDs). However, these strategies for risk modification are underused, especially in rural communities. Moreover, resources to support the delivery of preventive care to rural patients are fewer than those for their urban counterparts. Transformative interventions for the delivery of tailored preventive cardiovascular care to rural patients are needed. OBJECTIVE: A multidisciplinary team developed a rural-specific, team-based model of care intervention assisted by clinical decision support (CDS) technology using participatory design in a sociotechnical conceptual framework. The model of care intervention included redesigned workflows and a novel CDS technology for the coordination and delivery of guideline recommendations by primary care teams in a rural clinic. METHODS: The design of the model of care intervention comprised 3 phases: problem identification, experimentation, and testing. Input from team members (n=35) required 150 hours, including observations of clinical encounters, provider workshops, and interviews with patients and health care professionals. The intervention was prototyped, iteratively refined, and tested with user feedback. In a 3-month pilot trial, 369 patients with ASCVDs were randomized into the control or intervention arm. RESULTS: New workflows and a novel CDS tool were created to identify patients with ASCVDs who had gaps in preventive care and assign the right care team member for delivery of tailored recommendations. During the pilot, the intervention prototype was iteratively refined and tested. The pilot demonstrated feasibility for successful implementation of the sociotechnical intervention as the proportion of patients who had encounters with advanced practice providers (nurse practitioners and physician assistants), pharmacists, or tobacco cessation coaches for the delivery of guideline recommendations in the intervention arm was greater than that in the control arm. CONCLUSIONS: Participatory design and a sociotechnical conceptual framework enabled the development of a rural-specific, team-based model of care intervention assisted by CDS technology for the transformation of preventive health care delivery for ASCVDs.

Prognostic value of peak stress cardiac power in patients with normal ejection fraction undergoing exercise stress echocardiography.

AIMS: Cardiac power is a measure of cardiac performance that incorporates both pressure and flow components. Prior studies have shown that cardiac power predicts outcomes in patients with reduced left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction (EF). We sought to evaluate the prognostic significance of peak exercise cardiac power and power reserve in patients with normal EF. METHODS AND RESULTS: We performed a retrospective analysis in 24 885 patients (age 59 ± 13 years, 45% females) with EF ≥50% and no significant valve disease or right ventricular dysfunction, undergoing exercise stress echocardiography between 2004 and 2018. Cardiac power and power reserve (developed power with stress) were normalized to LV mass and expressed in W/100 g of LV myocardium. Endpoints at follow-up were all-cause mortality and diagnosis of heart failure (HF). Patients in the higher quartiles of power/mass (rest, peak stress, and power reserve) were younger and had higher peak blood pressure and heart rate, lower LV mass, and lower prevalence of comorbidities. During follow-up [median 3.9 (0.6-8.3) years], 929 patients died. After adjusting for age, sex, metabolic equivalents (METs) achieved, ischaemia/infarction on stress test results, medication, and comorbidities, peak stress power/mass was independently associated with mortality [adjusted hazard ratio (HR), highest vs. lowest quartile, 0.5, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.4-0.6, P < 0.001] and HF at follow-up [adjusted HR, highest vs. lowest quartile, 0.4, 95% CI (0.3, 0.5), P < 0.001]. Power reserve showed similar results. CONCLUSION: The assessment of cardiac power during exercise stress echocardiography in patients with normal EF provides valuable prognostic information, in addition to stress test findings on inducible myocardial ischaemia and exercise capacity.

Validity of a cardiology fellow performance assessment: reliability and associations with standardized examinations and awards.

BACKGROUND: Most work on the validity of clinical assessments for measuring learner performance in graduate medical education has occurred at the residency level. Minimal research exists on the validity of clinical assessments for measuring learner performance in advanced subspecialties. We sought to determine validity characteristics of cardiology fellows' assessment scores during subspecialty training, which represents the largest subspecialty of internal medicine. Validity evidence included item content, internal consistency reliability, and associations between faculty-of-fellow clinical assessments and other pertinent variables. METHODS: This was a retrospective validation study exploring the domains of content, internal structure, and relations to other variables validity evidence for scores on faculty-of-fellow clinical assessments that include the 10-item Mayo Cardiology Fellows Assessment (MCFA-10). Participants included 7 cardiology fellowship classes. The MCFA-10 item content included questions previously validated in the assessment of internal medicine residents. Internal structure evidence was assessed through Cronbach's α. The outcome for relations to other variables evidence was overall mean of faculty-of-fellow assessment score (scale 1-5). Independent variables included common measures of fellow performance. FINDINGS: Participants included 65 cardiology fellows. The overall mean ± standard deviation faculty-of-fellow assessment score was 4.07 ± 0.18. Content evidence for the MCFA-10 scores was based on published literature and core competencies. Cronbach's α was 0.98, suggesting high internal consistency reliability and offering evidence for internal structure validity. In multivariable analysis to provide relations to other variables evidence, mean assessment scores were independently associated with in-training examination scores (beta = 0.088 per 10-point increase; p = 0.05) and receiving a departmental or institutional award (beta = 0.152; p = 0.001). Assessment scores were not associated with educational conference attendance, compliance with completion of required evaluations, faculty appointment upon completion of training, or performance on the board certification exam. R2 for the multivariable model was 0.25. CONCLUSIONS: These findings provide sound validity evidence establishing item content, internal consistency reliability, and associations with other variables for faculty-of-fellow clinical assessment scores that include MCFA-10 items during cardiology fellowship. Relations to other variables evidence included associations of assessment scores with performance on the in-training examination and receipt of competitive awards. These data support the utility of the MCFA-10 as a measure of performance during cardiology training and could serve as the foundation for future research on the assessment of subspecialty learners.

Association of mammographic density measures and breast cancer "intrinsic" molecular subtypes.

PURPOSE: We evaluated the association of percent mammographic density (PMD), absolute dense area (DA), and non-dense area (NDA) with risk of "intrinsic" molecular breast cancer (BC) subtypes. METHODS: We pooled 3492 invasive BC and 10,148 controls across six studies with density measures from prediagnostic, digitized film-screen mammograms. We classified BC tumors into subtypes [63% Luminal A, 21% Luminal B, 5% HER2 expressing, and 11% as triple negative (TN)] using information on estrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor (PR), human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2), and tumor grade. We used polytomous logistic regression to calculate odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for density measures (per SD) across the subtypes compared to controls, adjusting for age, body mass index and study, and examined differences by age group. RESULTS: All density measures were similarly associated with BC risk across subtypes. Significant interaction of PMD by age (P = 0.001) was observed for Luminal A tumors, with stronger effect sizes seen for younger women < 45 years (OR = 1.69 per SD PMD) relative to women of older ages (OR = 1.53, ages 65-74, OR = 1.44 ages 75 +). Similar but opposite trends were seen for NDA by age for risk of Luminal A: risk for women: < 45 years (OR = 0.71 per SD NDA) was lower than older women (OR = 0.83 and OR = 0.84 for ages 65-74 and 75 + , respectively) (P < 0.001). Although not significant, similar patterns of associations were seen by age for TN cancers. CONCLUSIONS: Mammographic density measures were associated with risk of all "intrinsic" molecular subtypes. However, findings of significant interactions between age and density measures may have implications for subtype-specific risk models.

Fully Automated Volumetric Breast Density Estimation from Digital Breast Tomosynthesis.

Background While digital breast tomosynthesis (DBT) is rapidly replacing digital mammography (DM) in breast cancer screening, the potential of DBT density measures for breast cancer risk assessment remains largely unexplored. Purpose To compare associations of breast density estimates from DBT and DM with breast cancer. Materials and Methods This retrospective case-control study used contralateral DM/DBT studies from women with unilateral breast cancer and age- and ethnicity-matched controls (September 19, 2011-January 6, 2015). Volumetric percent density (VPD%) was estimated from DBT using previously validated software. For comparison, the publicly available Laboratory for Individualized Breast Radiodensity Assessment software package, or LIBRA, was used to estimate area-based percent density (APD%) from raw and processed DM images. The commercial Quantra and Volpara software packages were applied to raw DM images to estimate VPD% with use of physics-based models. Density measures were compared by using Spearman correlation coefficients (r), and conditional logistic regression was performed to examine density associations (odds ratios [OR]) with breast cancer, adjusting for age and body mass index. Results A total of 132 women diagnosed with breast cancer (mean age ± standard deviation [SD], 60 years ± 11) and 528 controls (mean age, 60 years ± 11) were included. Moderate correlations between DBT and DM density measures (r = 0.32-0.75; all P < .001) were observed. Volumetric density estimates calculated from DBT (OR, 2.3 [95% CI: 1.6, 3.4] per SD for VPD%DBT) were more strongly associated with breast cancer than DM-derived density for both APD% (OR, 1.3 [95% CI: 0.9, 1.9] [P < .001] and 1.7 [95% CI: 1.2, 2.3] [P = .004] per SD for LIBRA raw and processed data, respectively) and VPD% (OR, 1.6 [95% CI: 1.1, 2.4] [P = .01] and 1.7 [95% CI: 1.2, 2.6] [P = .04] per SD for Volpara and Quantra, respectively). Conclusion The associations between quantitative breast density estimates and breast cancer risk are stronger for digital breast tomosynthesis compared with digital mammography. © RSNA, 2021 Online supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Yaffe in this issue.

Sex-specific cut-off values for soluble suppression of tumorigenicity 2 (ST2) biomarker increase its cardiovascular prognostic value in the community.

BACKGROUND: Suppression of tumorigenicity 2 (ST2) has important cardiovascular prognostic value in community patients; however, previous analyses have utilized non-sex specific cut-off values. We assessed whether sex-specific ST2 cut-off values would improve the prognostic utility of ST2 in the asymptomatic community. METHODS: A total of 2042 participants underwent clinical assessment and echocardiographic evaluation. Baseline measurements of high sensitivity troponin, natriuretic peptides and ST2 were obtained in 1681 individuals. ST2, cardiac biomarkers and associated co-morbidities were evaluated by sex-specific ST2 quartile analysis. ST2 concentrations were also analysed as dichotomous variables defined as being above the sex-specific cut-off for each the outcomes of heart failure (HF), major adverse cardiac event (MACE) and mortality. RESULTS: Median ST2 concentration was 29.4 ng/mL in male subjects and 24.1 ng/mL in female subjects. Higher ST2 concentrations were associated with incident HF (p<0.001; preserved ejection fraction (EF) p<0.001, reduced EF p=0.23), MACE (p=0.003) and mortality (p<0.001) across sex-specific quartiles. Event-based, hazard ratio (HR) analysis revealed sex-specific ST2 cut-offs were significantly more predictive of incident HF, MACE and mortality compared to non-sex-specific analysis even following adjustment for cardiac co-morbidities and traditional biomarkers. CONCLUSIONS: These data suggest that sex-specific cut-offs, greater than non-sex specific cut-offs, significantly impact the prognostic value of the biomarker ST2 in the asymptomatic community cohort.Clinical SignificanceSuppression of tumorigenicity 2 (ST2) is a biomarker which has known associations with heart failure (HF), major adverse cardiac events (MACEs) and mortality in the general population.Recent data support the concept of sex-specific cut off values and individualized approaches based on sex to predict cardiovascular disease. Given the difference in pathobiology between the sexes, the fact that such approaches improve risk stratification is understandable. Thus, when sex-specific treatments are developed, this may similarly lead to improved outcomes.The use of sex-specific ST2 cut-off values significantly improved the prognostic value in predicting HF, MACE, and mortality in an asymptomatic community. This prognostication was particularly strong for HF with preserved ejection fraction and remained clinically significant following adjustment for cardiac co-morbidities and other traditional cardiac biomarkers (NTproBNP and hscTnI).

Background Parenchymal Uptake on Molecular Breast Imaging and Breast Cancer Risk: A Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND. Background parenchymal uptake (BPU) on molecular breast imaging (MBI) was identified in a case-control study as a breast cancer risk factor beyond mammographic density. To our knowledge, this finding has not yet been confirmed in a cohort study. OBJECTIVE. The objectives of this study were to examine the association of BPU with breast cancer and to estimate the absolute risk and discriminatory accuracy of BPU in a cohort study. METHODS. A retrospective cohort was established that included women without a history of breast cancer who underwent MBI from 2004 to 2015. Radiologists who were blinded to future breast cancer diagnoses assessed BPU on baseline MBI examinations as low (photopenic or minimal) or elevated (mild, moderate, or marked). Associations of BPU with breast cancer were estimated using multivariable Cox proportional hazards models of the time to diagnosis. The 5-year absolute risk was calculated for study subgroups. The discriminatory accuracy of BPU was also assessed. RESULTS. Among 2992 women (mean age, 56.3 years; SD, 10.6 years) who underwent MBI, breast cancer events occurred in 144 women (median follow-up, 7.3 years). Median time to diagnosis after MBI was 4.2 years (range, 0.5-11.6 years). Elevated BPU was associated with a greater breast cancer risk (hazard ratio [HR], 2.39; 95% CI, 1.68-3.41; p ≤ .001). This association remained in postmenopausal women (HR, 3.50; 95% CI, 2.31-5.31; p < .001) but was not significant in premenopausal women (HR, 1.29; 95% CI, 0.72-2.32; p = .39). The 5-year absolute risk of breast cancer was 4.3% (95% CI, 2.9-5.7%) for women with elevated BPU versus 2.5% (95% CI, 1.8-3.1%) for those with low BPU. Postmenopausal women with dense breasts and elevated BPU had a 5-year absolute risk of 8.1% (95% CI, 4.3-11.8%) versus 2.8% (1.8-3.8%) for those with low BPU. Among postmenopausal women, discriminatory accuracy for invasive cancer was improved with the addition of BPU versus use of the Gail risk score alone (C statistic, 65.1 vs 59.1; p = .04) or use of the Breast Cancer Surveillance Consortium risk score alone (C statistic, 66.4 vs 60.4; p = .04). CONCLUSION. BPU on MBI is an independent risk factor for breast cancer, with the strongest association observed among postmenopausal women with dense breasts. In postmenopausal women, BPU provides incremental discrimination in predicting breast cancer when combined with either the Gail model or the Breast Cancer Surveillance Consortium model. CLINICAL IMPACT. Observation of elevated BPU on MBI may identify a subset of women with dense breasts who would benefit most from supplemental screening or preventive options.