Resistance phenotype and virulence potential of Leclercia adecarboxylata strains isolated from different sources.

Introduction. Leclercia adecarboxylata is a member of Enterobacterales, often considered an opportunistic pathogen. Recent reports have highlighted L. adecarboxylata as an emerging pathogen harbouring virulence and resistance determinants.Gap statement. Little information exists on virulence and resistance determinants in L. adecarboxylata strains isolated from environmental, food, and clinical samples.Aim. To determine the presence of resistance and virulence determinants and plasmid features in L. adecarboxylata strains isolated from environmental, food, and clinical samples, as well as their phylogenetic relationship.Results. All strains tested showed resistance to ß-lactams and quinolones but were sensitive to aminoglycosides and nitrofurans. However, even though fosfomycin resistance is considered a characteristic trait of L. adecarboxylata, the resistance phenotype was only observed in 50 % of the strains; bla TEM was the most prevalent BLEE gene (70 %), while the quinolone qnrB gene was observed in 60 % of the strains. Virulence genes were differentially observed in the strains, with adhesion-related genes being the most abundant, followed by toxin genes. Finally, all strains carried one to seven plasmid bands ranging from 7 to 125 kbps and harboured several plasmid addiction systems, such as ParDE, VagCD, and CcdAB in 80 % of the strains.Conclusions. L. adecarboxylata is an important emerging pathogen that may harbour resistance and virulence genes. Additionally, it has mobilizable genetic elements that may contribute to the dissemination of genetic determinants to other bacterial genera.

Structural Characterization and Rat Aortic Vascular Reactivity of Bradykinin-Potentiating Peptides (BPPs) from the Snake Venom of Bothrops moojeni from Delta do Parnaíba Region, Brazil.

Snake venoms contain various bradykinin-potentiating peptides (BPPs). First studied for their vasorelaxant properties due to angiotensin converting enzyme (ACE) inhibition, these molecules present a range of binding partners, among them the argininosuccinate synthase (AsS) enzyme. This has renewed interest in their characterization from biological sources and the evaluation of their pharmacological activities. In the present work, the low molecular weight fraction of Bothrops moojeni venom was obtained and BPPs were characterized by mass spectrometry. Eleven BPPs or related peptides were sequenced, and one of them, BPP-Bm01, was new. Interestingly, some oxidized BPPs were detected. The three most abundant peptides were BPP-Bm01, BPP-Bax12, and BPP-13a, and their putative interactions with the AsS enzyme were investigated in silico. A binding cavity for these molecules was predicted, and docking studies allowed their ranking. Three peptides were synthesized and submitted to vasorelaxation assays using rat aortic rings. While all BPPs were active, BPP-Bm01 showed the highest potency in this assay. This work adds further diversity to BPPs from snake venoms and suggests, for the first time, a putative binding pocket for these molecules in the AsS enzyme. This can guide the design of new and more potent AsS activators.

Strain belonging to an emerging, virulent sublineage of ST131 Escherichia coli isolated in fresh spinach, suggesting that ST131 may be transmissible through agricultural products.

Food contamination with pathogenic Escherichia coli can cause severe disease. Here, we report the isolation of a multidrug resistant strain (A23EC) from fresh spinach. A23EC belongs to subclade C2 of ST131, a virulent clone of Extraintestinal Pathogenic E. coli (ExPEC). Most A23EC virulence factors are concentrated in three pathogenicity islands. These include PapGII, a fimbrial tip adhesin linked to increased virulence, and CsgA and CsgB, two adhesins known to facilitate spinach leaf colonization. A23EC also bears TnMB1860, a chromosomally-integrated transposon with the demonstrated potential to facilitate the evolution of carbapenem resistance among non-carbapenemase-producing enterobacterales. This transposon consists of two IS26-bound modular translocatable units (TUs). The first TU carries aac(6')-lb-cr, bla OXA-1, ΔcatB3, aac(3)-lle, and tmrB, and the second one harbors bla CXT-M-15. A23EC also bears a self-transmissible plasmid that can mediate conjugation at 20°C and that has a mosaic IncF [F(31,36):A(4,20):B1] and Col156 origin of replication. Comparing A23EC to 86 additional complete ST131 sequences, A23EC forms a monophyletic cluster with 17 other strains that share the following four genomic traits: (1) virotype E (papGII+); (2) presence of a PAI II536-like pathogenicity island with an additional cnf1 gene; (3) presence of chromosomal TnMB1860; and (4) frequent presence of an F(31,36):A(4,20):B1 plasmid. Sequences belonging to this cluster (which we named "C2b sublineage") are highly enriched in septicemia samples and their associated genetic markers align with recent reports of an emerging, virulent sublineage of the C2 subclade, suggesting significant pathogenic potential. This is the first report of a ST131 strain belonging to subclade C2 contaminating green leafy vegetables. The detection of this uropathogenic clone in fresh food is alarming. This work suggests that ST131 continues to evolve, gaining selective advantages and new routes of transmission. This highlights the pressing need for rigorous epidemiological surveillance of ExPEC in vegetables with One Health perspective.

Pseudobombax parvifolium Hydroalcoholic Bark Extract: Chemical Characterisation and Cytotoxic, Mutagenic, and Preclinical Aspects Associated with a Protective Effect on Oxidative Stress.

Plants have long been used in traditional medicine to treat illnesses. Nevertheless, their chemical diversity requires studies to establish the extract dosage and its safe use. Pseudobombax parvifolium, an endemic species of the Brazilian Caatinga biome, is commonly used in folk medicine, due to its anti-inflammatory properties related to cellular oxidative stress; however, its biological properties have scarcely been studied. In this study, we chemically characterized the P. parvifolium hydroalcoholic bark extract (EBHE) and evaluated its cytotoxic, mutagenic, and preclinical aspects, as well as its antioxidant effect. Our phytochemical analysis revealed a significative total polyphenol content and identified loliolide for the first time in this species. Cytotoxicity, mutagenicity, and acute oral and repeated dose indicated no toxic effects on cell culture, Drosophila melanogaster, and Wistar rat exposure to different EBHE concentrations, respectively. Furthermore, we observed a significant decrease in lipid peroxidation and a mild hypoglycemic and hypolipidemic effect with repeated oral dosing of EBHE. Although there were no significant changes in glutathione content, we did observe a significant increase in superoxide dismutase at a dose of 400 mg/kg and in glutathione peroxidase at doses of 100, 200, and 400 mg/kg. These findings suggest that EBHE has potential as a source of bioactive molecules, and it can be used safely in traditional medicine and in the development of herbal medicines for application in the public health system.

Cervical cancer prevention program in Mexico disrupted due to COVID-19 pandemic: Challenges and opportunities.

Introduction: The COVID-19 pandemic disrupted the preventive services for cervical cancer (CC) control programs in Mexico, which will result in increased mortality. This study aims to assess the impact of the pandemic on the interruption of three preventive actions in the CC prevention program in Mexico. Methods: This study is a retrospective time series analysis based on administrative records for the uninsured population served by the Mexican Ministry of Health. Patient data were retrieved from the outpatient service information system and the hospital discharge database for the period 2017-2021. Data were aggregated by month, distinguishing a pre-pandemic and a pandemic period, considering April 2020 as the start date of the pandemic. A Poisson time series analysis was used to model seasonal and secular trends. Five process indicators were selected to assess the disruption of the CC program, these were analyzed as monthly data (N=39 pre-pandemic, N=21 during the pandemic). HPV vaccination indicators (number of doses and coverage) and diagnostic characteristics of CC cases were analyzed descriptively. The time elapsed between diagnosis and treatment initiation in CC cases was modeled using restricted cubic splines from robust regression. Results: Annual HPV vaccination coverage declined dramatically after 2019 and was almost null in 2021. The number of positive Papanicolaou smears decreased by 67.8% (90%CI: -72.3, -61.7) in April-December 2020, compared to their expected values without the pandemic. The immediate pandemic shock (April 2020) in the number of first-time and recurrent colposcopies was -80.5% (95%CI:-83.5, -77.0) and -77.9% (95%CI: -81.0, -74.4), respectively. An increasing trend was observed in the proportion of advanced stage and metastatic CC cases. The fraction of CC cases that did not receive medical treatment or surgery increased, as well as CC cases that received late treatment after diagnosis. Conclusions: Our analyses show significant impact of the COVID-19 pandemic with declines at all levels of CC prevention and increasing inequalities. The restarting of the preventive programs against CC in Mexico offers an opportunity to put in place actions to reduce the disparities in the burden of disease between socioeconomic levels.

DeepSmile: Anomaly Detection Software for Facial Movement Assessment.

Facial movements are crucial for human interaction because they provide relevant information on verbal and non-verbal communication and social interactions. From a clinical point of view, the analysis of facial movements is important for diagnosis, follow-up, drug therapy, and surgical treatment. Current methods of assessing facial palsy are either (i) objective but inaccurate, (ii) subjective and, thus, depending on the clinician's level of experience, or (iii) based on static data. To address the aforementioned problems, we implemented a deep learning algorithm to assess facial movements during smiling. Such a model was trained on a dataset that contains healthy smiles only following an anomaly detection strategy. Generally speaking, the degree of anomaly is computed by comparing the model's suggested healthy smile with the person's actual smile. The experimentation showed that the model successfully computed a high degree of anomaly when assessing the patients' smiles. Furthermore, a graphical user interface was developed to test its practical usage in a clinical routine. In conclusion, we present a deep learning model, implemented on open-source software, designed to help clinicians to assess facial movements.

The health system and access to treatment in patients with cervical cancer in Mexico.

Cervical cancer (CC) is tightly related to a low Human Development Index. Mexico is an upper-middle-income country with 126 million inhabitants, and its public health system aims to provide universal health coverage. Currently, employment-based social insurance covers approximately 60% of the population, and the scope of the remaining 40% is on course via the "IMSS-Bienestar" Institute. However, the annual government spending on health remains at 3% of the Gross Domestic Product, which is well below the 6% recommended by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development. CC is the second in incidence and mortality among women. Regarding primary prevention with the Human Papilloma Virus-vaccine, the current coverage for girls aged 9 to 14 years is only around 7%. Among secondary prevention with screening, the program is yet to cover the total number of women at risk; nevertheless, the age-standardized CC mortality rate has decreased from 12 per 100,000 women in 1979 to 5.7 per 100,000 women in 2020 due in part to increased screening coverage. Still, around two-thirds of patients present with locally advanced disease at diagnosis. Data from our country demonstrate that even socially disadvantaged CC patients achieve "standard" survival outcomes if treatment is granted. Nevertheless, there is a shortage in almost every aspect regarding CC treatment, including oncologists, chemotherapy units, medical physicists, radiation technicians, and both teletherapy and brachytherapy facilities. In conclusion, advances in the public health system in Mexico are urgently required to achieve CC control and reduce the mortality from this neoplasia that mainly targets socially disadvantaged women.

Methanolic Extracts of Chiococca alba in Aedes aegypti Biorational Management: Larvicidal and Repellent Potential, and Selectivity against Non-Target Organisms.

The use of formulations containing botanical products for controlling insects that vector human and animal diseases has increased in recent years. Plant extracts seem to offer fewer risks to the environment and to human health without reducing the application strategy's efficacy when compared to synthetic and conventional insecticides and repellents. Here, we evaluated the potential of extracts obtained from caninana, Chiococca alba (L.) Hitchc. (Rubiaceae), plants as a tool to be integrated into the management of Aedes aegypti, one of the principal vectors for the transmission of arborviruses in humans. We assessed the larvicidal and repellence performance against adult mosquitoes and evaluated the potential undesired effects of the extracts on non-target organisms. We assessed the susceptibility and predatory abilities of the nymphs of Belostoma anurum, a naturally occurring mosquito larva predator, and evaluated the C. alba extract's cytotoxic effects in mammalian cell lines. Our chromatographic analysis revealed 18 compounds, including rutin, naringin, myricetin, morin, and quercetin. The methanolic extracts of C. alba showed larvicidal (LC50 = 82 (72-94) mg/mL) activity without killing or affecting the abilities of B. anurum to prey upon mosquito larvae. Our in silico predictions revealed the molecular interactions between rutin and the AeagOBP1 receptor to be one possible mechanism for the repellent potential recorded for formulations containing C. alba extracts. Low cytotoxicity against mammalian cell lines reinforces the selectivity of C. alba extracts. Collectively, our findings highlight the potential of C. alba and one of its constituents (rutin) as alternative tools to be integrated into the management of A. aegypti mosquitoes.

Análisis de costos de la atención hospitalaria en un paciente con fibrilación auricular no valvular y accidente cerebrovascular a repetición / Cost analysis of in hospital attention in a non-valvular atrial fibrillation patient and recurrent stroke

RESUMEN INTRODUCCIÓN: Paciente de 71 años con diagnóstico de fibrilación auricular y ataques cerebrovasculares recurrentes, tratada con varios anticoagulantes. El costo del tratamiento del ictus en Colombia para el año 2008 fue de $450.000 millones de pesos colombianos. OBJETIVO: Estimar el costo hospitalario de la atención de un paciente con ictus a repetición secundario a fibrilación auricular. MÉTODOS: Estudio económico parcial de microcosteo de la atención intrahospitalaria para un caso de espectro severo recurrente, que no necesariamente refleja el caso promedio. El consumo de recursos se valoró mediante el uso de tarifas de referencia nacionales. Los resultados se presentan en precios actuales del 2019 (peso colombiano y dólar americano). RESULTADOS: Paciente con 3 eventos hospitalarios, que estuvo 31 días hospitalizada. Las hospitalizaciones tuvieron unos costos de: $53.883.490 (USD 16.141,1), $6.343.096 (USD 1.900,1) y $15.719.443 (USD 4.708,9) respectivamente, con un precio promedio por cada hospitalización de $25.315.343 (USD 7.583,4), costo total de $75.946.029 (USD 22.750,1) costo día de $2.449.872 (USD 729,5). El rubro que aumentó consistentemente los costos fueron los procedimientos (35,7 %). CONCLUSIONES: El ictus recurrente causado por fibrilación auricular no valvular se asocia con un incremento significativo de los costos directos, con un impacto de casi dos veces el PIB per cápita. Un diagnóstico oportuno y una selección adecuada pueden reducirlo.

ABSTRACT INTRODUCTION: A 71-year-old patient with a diagnosis of atrial fibrillation and recurrent strokes, treated with various anticoagulants, the stroke treatment in Colombia for 2008 was $ 450 billion Colombian pesos. OBJECTIVE: To estimate the hospital cost of caring for a patient with recurrent stroke secondary to atrial fibrillation. METHODS: Partial economic study of micro costing of in-hospital care for a case of recurrent severe spectrum stroke, which does not necessarily reflect the average case. Resource consumption was valued using national reference rates. The results are presented in current 2019 prices (Colombian pesos and US dollars). RESULTS: Patient with 3 hospital events, who was hospitalized for 31 days. Hospitalizations had costs of $ 53,883,490 (USD 16,141.1), $ 6,343,096 (USD 1,900.1) and $ 15,719,443 (USD 4,708.9) respectively, with an average price for each hospitalization of $ 25,315,343 (USD 7,583.4), total cost of $ 75,946,029 (USD 22,750.1) daily cost of $ 2,449,872 (USD 729.5). The item that consistently increased costs was procedures (35.7 %). CONCLUSIONS: Recurrent stroke caused by nonvalvular atrial fibrillation is associated with a significant increase in direct costs, with an impact of almost twice the GDP per capita. A timely diagnosis and proper selection can reduce it.

Chemical Characterization of Flowers and Leaf Extracts Obtained from Turnera subulata and Their Immunomodulatory Effect on LPS-Activated RAW 264.7 Macrophages.

The anti-inflammatory properties of Turnera subulata have been evaluated as an alternative drug approach to treating several inflammatory processes. Accordingly, in this study, aqueous and hydroalcoholic extracts of T. subulata flowers and leaves were analyzed regarding their phytocomposition by ultrafast liquid chromatography coupled to mass spectrometry, and their anti-inflammatory properties were assessed by an in vitro inflammation model, using LPS-stimulated RAW-264.7 macrophages. The phytochemical profile indicated vitexin-2-O-rhamnoside as an important constituent in both extracts, while methoxyisoflavones, some bulky amino acids (e.g., tryptophan, tyrosine, phenylalanine), pheophorbides, and octadecatrienoic, stearidonic, and ferulic acids were detected in hydroalcoholic extracts. The extracts displayed the ability to modulate the in vitro inflammatory response by altering the secretion of proinflammatory (TNF-α, IL-1ß, and IL-6) and anti-inflammatory (IL-10) cytokines and inhibiting the PGE-2 and NO production. Overall, for the first time, putative compounds from T. subulata flowers and leaves were characterized, which can modulate the inflammatory process. Therefore, the data highlight this plant as an option to obtain extracts for phytotherapic formulations to treat and/or prevent chronic diseases.

Efficacy of the adjuvanted subunit protein COVID-19 vaccine, SCB-2019: a phase 2 and 3 multicentre, double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: A range of safe and effective vaccines against SARS CoV 2 are needed to address the COVID 19 pandemic. We aimed to assess the safety and efficacy of the COVID-19 vaccine SCB-2019. METHODS: This ongoing phase 2 and 3 double-blind, placebo-controlled trial was done in adults aged 18 years and older who were in good health or with a stable chronic health condition, at 31 sites in five countries (Belgium, Brazil, Colombia, Philippines, and South Africa). The participants were randomly assigned 1:1 using a centralised internet randomisation system to receive two 0·5 mL intramuscular doses of SCB-2019 (30 µg, adjuvanted with 1·50 mg CpG-1018 and 0·75 mg alum) or placebo (0·9% sodium chloride for injection supplied in 10 mL ampoules) 21 days apart. All study staff and participants were masked, but vaccine administrators were not. Primary endpoints were vaccine efficacy, measured by RT-PCR-confirmed COVID-19 of any severity with onset from 14 days after the second dose in baseline SARS-CoV-2 seronegative participants (the per-protocol population), and the safety and solicited local and systemic adverse events in the phase 2 subset. This study is registered on EudraCT (2020-004272-17) and ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT04672395). FINDINGS: 30 174 participants were enrolled from March 24, 2021, until the cutoff date of Aug 10, 2021, of whom 30 128 received their first assigned vaccine (n=15 064) or a placebo injection (n=15 064). The per-protocol population consisted of 12 355 baseline SARS-CoV-2-naive participants (6251 vaccinees and 6104 placebo recipients). Most exclusions (13 389 [44·4%]) were because of seropositivity at baseline. There were 207 confirmed per-protocol cases of COVID-19 at 14 days after the second dose, 52 vaccinees versus 155 placebo recipients, and an overall vaccine efficacy against any severity COVID-19 of 67·2% (95·72% CI 54·3-76·8), 83·7% (97·86% CI 55·9-95·4) against moderate-to-severe COVID-19, and 100% (97·86% CI 25·3-100·0) against severe COVID-19. All COVID-19 cases were due to virus variants; vaccine efficacy against any severity COVID-19 due to the three predominant variants was 78·7% (95% CI 57·3-90·4) for delta, 91·8% (44·9-99·8) for gamma, and 58·6% (13·3-81·5) for mu. No safety issues emerged in the follow-up period for the efficacy analysis (median of 82 days [IQR 63-103]). The vaccine elicited higher rates of mainly mild-to-moderate injection site pain than the placebo after the first (35·7% [287 of 803] vs 10·3% [81 of 786]) and second (26·9% [189 of 702] vs 7·4% [52 of 699]) doses, but the rates of other solicited local and systemic adverse events were similar between the groups. INTERPRETATION: Two doses of SCB-2019 vaccine plus CpG and alum provides notable protection against the entire severity spectrum of COVID-19 caused by circulating SAR-CoV-2 viruses, including the predominating delta variant. FUNDING: Clover Biopharmaceuticals and the Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations.

Effect of blue light plus chlorhexidine therapy on Streptococcus mutans biofilm and its regrowth in an in vitro orthodontic model.

INTRODUCTION: Fixed orthodontic appliances create areas of stagnation for dental biofilms and make it difficult to clean the teeth; therefore, there is a risk of developing incipient caries lesions during the orthodontic treatment. The objective of this study is to determine if the combination of 2 different therapies, phototherapy by blue light (BL) and the antimicrobial 0.12% chlorhexidine (CHX) on enamel, orthodontic brackets, and elastics, would reduce or inhibit mature Streptococcus mutans biofilms and their regrowth on these substrates 24 hours after the application of the treatment; and if this treatment would interfere with bracket adhesion to the enamel. METHODS: Biofilms of S. mutans UA159 were formed for 5-days over samples composed of a bovine enamel, orthodontic bracket, and orthodontic elastic. Then, the specimens were treated with 0.89% NaCl for 1 minute, BL for 12 minutes (72 J/cm2), 0.12% CHX for 1 minute, and BL for 12 minutes, followed by 0.12% CHX for 1 minute (BL+CHX). Biofilm was evaluated by colonies forming units and dry weight immediately after treatments and 24 hours after treatments (regrowth). The pH of the spent media was measured on the fifth and sixth days. Biofilm formation on the samples after the treatments and regrowth was visually evaluated by confocal laser scanning microscopy. Shear bond strength (SBS) between bracket and enamel was evaluated using a universal testing machine at a crosshead speed of 1 mm/min. After bonding, specimens were thermocycled (500× at 5-55°C), treated, and thermocycled again. RESULTS: After 5 days of biofilm formation, BL+CHX significantly reduced the bacterial viability on enamel compared with NaCl (P = 0.004) and BL (P = 0.014). For bracket and elastic, all the treatments resulted in similar bacterial viability (P ≥0.081). In the regrowth, CHX and BL+CHX significantly reduced the bacterial viability in the enamel compared with the NaCl (P ≤0.015) and BL (P ≤0.013). For bracket, BL+CHX significantly reduced the bacterial viability compared with NaCl (P = 0.008) and BL (P = 0.009). For the elastic, BL+CHX eliminated the biofilms from the substrate. CHX and BL+CHX significantly reduced the bacterial viability 24 hours after treatment for all substrates (P ≤0.05). The media pH significantly increased when samples were treated with CHX and BL+CHX (P ≤0.001). Confocal laser scanning microscopy images visually showed an abundant quantity of red cells in the samples treated with BL+CHX. There was no difference in the SBS between the treatments (P ≥0.932). CONCLUSIONS: The association between BL and CHX reduced S. mutans biofilm and its regrowth on an in vitro orthodontic model and did not influence the bonding strength between bracket and enamel.

Novel disintegrin-like peptides derived from an amphibian skin cDNA sequence of Hypsiboas punctatus.

Disintegrins comprise a family of small proteins that bind to and alter the physiological function of integrins, especially integrins that mediate platelet aggregation in blood. Here, we report a lysine-glycine-aspartic acid (KGD) disintegrin-like motif present in a 15-amino acid residue peptide identified in a cDNA library of the amphibian Hypsiboas punctatus skin. The original peptide sequence was used as a template from which five new analogs were designed, chemically synthesized by solid phase, and tested for disintegrin activity and tridimensional structural studies using NMR spectroscopy. The original amphibian peptide had no effect on integrin-mediated responses. Nevertheless, derived peptide analogs inhibited integrin-mediated platelet function, including platelet spreading on fibrinogen.

High-yield synthesis of CsPbBr3nanoparticles: diphenylphosphine as a reducing agent and its effect in Pb-seeding nucleation and growth.

Based on the reported nucleation mechanisms for CsPbX3and II-VI/IV-VI quantum dots, CsPbBr3nanoparticles with a higher reaction-yield (up to 393% mass-increment) were synthetized by the hot-injection method. The introduction of diphenylphosphine (DPP) as a reducing agent improved nanoparticle nucleation and growth, giving out evidence for Pb-seeding in CsPbBr3nanoparticles formation. Additionally, a clear influence of the DPP in a CsPbBr3-Cs4PbBr6incomplete phase transformation was observed, marked by the appearance of several PbBr2nanoparticles. This indicated the need for an improved ratio between the stabilizing agents and the precursors, due to the increased number of nucleation sites produced by DPP. The resulting CsPbBr3nanoparticles showed high quality, as they displayed 70%-90% photoluminescence quantum yield; narrow size distribution with an average nanoparticle size of∼10 nm; and the characteristic cubic morphology reported in previous works. This increment in CsPbBr3nanoparticles' reaction yield will contribute to making them a more attractive option for different optoelectronic applications.

Nonproportional hazards model with a frailty term for modeling subgroups with evidence of long-term survivors: Application to a lung cancer dataset.

With advancements in medical treatments for cancer, an increase in the life expectancy of patients undergoing new treatments is expected. Consequently, the field of statistics has evolved to present increasingly flexible models to explain such results better. In this paper, we present a lung cancer dataset with some covariates that exhibit nonproportional hazards (NPHs). Besides, the presence of long-term survivors is observed in subgroups. The proposed modeling is based on the generalized time-dependent logistic model with each subgroup's effect time and a random term effect (frailty). In practice, essential covariates are not observed for several reasons. In this context, frailty models are useful in modeling to quantify the amount of unobservable heterogeneity. The frailty distribution adopted was the weighted Lindley distribution, which has several interesting properties, such as the Laplace transform function on closed form, flexibility in the probability density function, among others. The proposed model allows for NPHs and long-term survivors in subgroups. Parameter estimation was performed using the maximum likelihood method, and Monte Carlo simulation studies were conducted to evaluate the estimators' performance. We exemplify this model's use by applying data of patients diagnosed with lung cancer in the state of São Paulo, Brazil.

Improved objective Bayesian estimator for a PLP model hierarchically represented subject to competing risks under minimal repair regime.

In this paper, we propose a hierarchical statistical model for a single repairable system subject to several failure modes (competing risks). The paper describes how complex engineered systems may be modelled hierarchically by use of Bayesian methods. It is also assumed that repairs are minimal and each failure mode has a power-law intensity. Our proposed model generalizes another one already presented in the literature and continues the study initiated by us in another published paper. Some properties of the new model are discussed. We conduct statistical inference under an objective Bayesian framework. A simulation study is carried out to investigate the efficiency of the proposed methods. Finally, our methodology is illustrated by two practical situations currently addressed in a project under development arising from a partnership between Petrobras and six research institutes.

Weighted Lindley frailty model: estimation and application to lung cancer data.

In this paper, we propose a novel frailty model for modeling unobserved heterogeneity present in survival data. Our model is derived by using a weighted Lindley distribution as the frailty distribution. The respective frailty distribution has a simple Laplace transform function which is useful to obtain marginal survival and hazard functions. We assume hazard functions of the Weibull and Gompertz distributions as the baseline hazard functions. A classical inference procedure based on the maximum likelihood method is presented. Extensive simulation studies are further performed to verify the behavior of maximum likelihood estimators under different proportions of right-censoring and to assess the performance of the likelihood ratio test to detect unobserved heterogeneity in different sample sizes. Finally, to demonstrate the applicability of the proposed model, we use it to analyze a medical dataset from a population-based study of incident cases of lung cancer diagnosed in the state of São Paulo, Brazil.

Survival models induced by zero-modified power series discrete frailty: Application with a melanoma data set.

Survival models with a frailty term are presented as an extension of Cox's proportional hazard model, in which a random effect is introduced in the hazard function in a multiplicative form with the aim of modeling the unobserved heterogeneity in the population. Candidates for the frailty distribution are assumed to be continuous and non-negative. However, this assumption may not be true in some situations. In this paper, we consider a discretely distributed frailty model that allows units with zero frailty, that is, it can be interpreted as having long-term survivors. We propose a new discrete frailty-induced survival model with a zero-modified power series family, which can be zero-inflated or zero-deflated depending on the parameter value. Parameter estimation was obtained using the maximum likelihood method, and the performance of the proposed models was performed by Monte Carlo simulation studies. Finally, the applicability of the proposed models was illustrated with a real melanoma cancer data set.

Effects of Late Aerobic Exercise on Cardiac Remodeling of Rats with Small-Sized Myocardial Infarction. / Efeitos do Exercício Aeróbico Tardio na Remodelação Cardíaca de Ratos com Infarto do Miocárdio Pequeno.

BACKGROUND: Physical exercise has been considered an important non-pharmacological therapy for the prevention and treatment of cardiovascular diseases. However, its effects on minor cardiac remodeling are not clear. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the influence of aerobic exercise on the functional capacity, cardiac structure, left ventricular (LV) function, and gene expression of NADPH oxidase subunits in rats with small-sized myocardial infarction (MI). METHODS: Three months after MI induction, Wistar rats were divided into three groups: Sham; sedentary MI (MI-SED); and aerobic exercised MI (MI-AE). The rats exercised on a treadmill three times a week for 12 weeks. An echocardiogram was performed before and after training. The infarction size was evaluated by histology, and gene expression was assessed by RT-PCR. The significance level for statistical analysis was set at 5%. RESULTS: Rats with MI lower than 30% of the LV total area were included in the study. Functional capacity was higher in MI-AE than in Sham and MI-SED rats. The infarction size did not differ between groups. Infarcted rats had increased LV diastolic and systolic diameter, left atrial diameter, and LV mass, with systolic dysfunction. Relative wall thickness was lower in MI-SED than in the MI-AE and Sham groups. Gene expression of the NADPH oxidase subunits NOX2, NOX4, p22phox, and p47phox did not differ between groups. CONCLUSION: Small-sized MI changes cardiac structure and LV systolic function. Late aerobic exercise is able to improve functional capacity and cardiac remodeling by preserving the left ventricular geometry. NADPH oxidase subunits gene expression is not involved in cardiac remodeling or modulated by aerobic exercise in rats with small-sized MI.

FUNDAMENTO: O exercício físico tem sido considerado uma importante terapia não farmacológica para a prevenção e tratamento das doenças cardiovasculares. No entanto, seus efeitos na remodelação cardíaca leve não são claros. OBJETIVO: Avaliar a influência do exercício aeróbico sobre a capacidade funcional, estrutura cardíaca, função ventricular esquerda (VE) e expressão gênica das subunidades da NADPH oxidase em ratos com infarto do miocárdio pequeno (IM). MÉTODOS: Três meses após a indução do IM, ratos Wistar foram divididos em três grupos: Sham; IM sedentário (IM-SED); e IM exercício aeróbico (IM-EA). Os ratos se exercitaram em uma esteira três vezes por semana durante 12 semanas. Um ecocardiograma foi realizado antes e após o treinamento. O tamanho do infarto foi avaliado por histologia e a expressão gênica por RT-PCR. O nível de significância para análise estatística foi estabelecido em 5%. RESULTADOS: Ratos com IM menor que 30% da área total do VE foram incluídos no estudo. A capacidade funcional foi maior no IM-EA do que nos ratos Sham e IM-SED. O tamanho do infarto não diferiu entre os grupos. Ratos infartados apresentaram aumento do diâmetro diastólico e sistólico do VE, diâmetro do átrio esquerdo e massa do VE, com disfunção sistólica. A espessura relativa da parede foi menor no grupo IM-SED do que nos grupos IM-EA e Sham. A expressão gênica das subunidades NADPH oxidase NOX2, NOX4, p22phox e p47phox não diferiu entre os grupos. CONCLUSÃO: Infarto do miocárdio pequeno altera a estrutura cardíaca e a função sistólica do VE. O exercício aeróbico tardio pode melhorar a capacidade funcional e a remodelação cardíaca por meio da preservação da geometria ventricular esquerda. A expressão gênica das subunidades da NADPH oxidase não está envolvida na remodelação cardíaca, nem é modulada pelo exercício aeróbico em ratos com infarto do miocárdio pequeno.