Nitrifying niche in estuaries is expanded by the plastisphere.

The estuarine plastisphere, a novel ecological habitat in the Anthropocene, has garnered global concerns. Recent geochemical evidence has pointed out its potential role in influencing nitrogen biogeochemistry. However, the biogeochemical significance of the plastisphere and its mechanisms regulating nitrogen cycling remain elusive. Using 15N- and 13C-labelling coupled with metagenomics and metatranscriptomics, here we unveil that the plastisphere likely acts as an underappreciated nitrifying niche in estuarine ecosystems, exhibiting a 0.9 ~ 12-fold higher activity of bacteria-mediated nitrification compared to surrounding seawater and other biofilms (stone, wood and glass biofilms). The shift of active nitrifiers from O2-sensitive nitrifiers in the seawater to nitrifiers with versatile metabolisms in the plastisphere, combined with the potential interspecific cooperation of nitrifying substrate exchange observed among the plastisphere nitrifiers, collectively results in the unique nitrifying niche. Our findings highlight the plastisphere as an emerging nitrifying niche in estuarine environment, and deepen the mechanistic understanding of its contribution to marine biogeochemistry.

Measures of wave intensity as a non-invasive surrogate for cardiac function predicts mortality in haemodialysis patients.

Background: Risk prediction in haemodialysis (HD) patients is challenging due to the impact of the dialysis regime on the patient's volume status and the complex interplay with cardiac function, comorbidities and hypertension. Cardiac function as a key predictor of cardiovascular (CV) mortality in HD patients is challenging to assess in daily routine. Thus the aim of this study was to investigate the association of a novel, non-invasive relative index of systolic function with mortality and to assess its interplay with volume removal. Methods: A total of 558 (373 male/185 female) HD patients with a median age of 66 years were included in this analysis. They underwent 24-hour ambulatory blood pressure monitoring, including wave intensity analysis [i.e. S:D ratio (SDR)]. All-cause and CV mortality served as endpoints and multivariate proportional hazards models were used for risk prediction. Intradialytic changes were analysed in tertiles according to ultrafiltration volume. During a follow-up of 37.8 months, 193 patients died (92 due to CV reasons). Results: The SDR was significantly associated with all-cause {univariate hazard ratio [HR] 1.36 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.20-1.54], P < .001} and CV [univariate HR 1.41 (95% CI 1.20-1.67), P < .001] mortality. The associations remained significant in multivariate analysis accounting for possible confounders. Changes in the SDR from pre-/early- to post-dialytic averages were significantly different for the three ultrafiltration volume groups. Conclusion: This study provides well-powered evidence for the independent association of a novel index of systolic function with mortality. Furthermore, it revealed a significant association between intradialytic changes of the measure and intradialytic volume removal.

Prediction of future microplastic accumulation in agricultural soils.

This study shows the general exponential rise in microplastic accumulation in agricultural soils, with fertilizer application speeding up this increase, and future predictions of microplastic concentrations. Utilizing data from the Broadbalk winter wheat experiment at Rothamsted Research, UK, from 1846 to 2022, Poisson regression models were applied to microplastic counts under different soil treatments, including farmyard manure, inorganic fertilizers, and control conditions. A mass conversion factor was applied to obtain the w/w relationship. Results indicated a significant annual increase in microplastic concentrations across all treatments, with fertilized soils showing a notably higher accumulation rate. Our study forecasts that, in 50 and 100 years from now, soils treated with fertilizers are expected to reach microplastic concentrations of 168.9 mg kg-1 (95% CI: 60.32-473.09) and 1159 mg kg-1 (95% CI: 200.49-6699.8) respectively, levels converging on those used in many experiments. This highlights the urgent need for strategies to mitigate microplastic pollution in agricultural fields. The results also help to choose predicted concentrations in global change experiments, as well as to motivate further research to explore the mechanisms of microplastic accumulation and the integration of these insights into broader agricultural and ecological models to guide sustainable practices and environmental conservation.

Mycorrhization enhances plant growth and stabilizes biomass allocation under drought.

Plants and their symbionts, such as arbuscular mycorrhizal (AM) fungi, are increasingly subjected to various environmental stressors due to climate change, including drought. As a response to drought, plants generally allocate more biomass to roots over shoots, thereby facilitating water uptake. However, whether this biomass allocation shift is modulated by AM fungi remains unknown. Based on 5691 paired observations from 154 plant species, we conducted a meta-analysis to evaluate how AM fungi modulate the responses of plant growth and biomass allocation (e.g., root-to-shoot ratio, R/S) to drought. We found that AM fungi attenuate the negative impact of drought on plant growth, including biomass production, photosynthetic performance and resource (e.g. nutrient and water) uptake. Accordingly, drought significantly increased R/S in non-inoculated plants, but not in plants symbiotic with established AM fungal symbioses. These results suggest that AM fungi promote plant growth and stabilize their R/S through facilitating nutrient and water uptake in plants under drought. Our findings highlight the crucial role of AM fungi in enhancing plant resilience to drought by optimizing resource allocation. This knowledge opens avenues for sustainable agricultural practices that leverage symbiotic relationships for climate adaptation.

Microplastic pollution promotes soil respiration: A global-scale meta-analysis.

Microplastic (MP) pollution likely affects global soil carbon (C) dynamics, yet it remains uncertain how and to what extent MP influences soil respiration. Here, we report on a global meta-analysis to determine the effects of MP pollution on the soil microbiome and CO2 emission. We found that MP pollution significantly increased the contents of soil organic C (SOC) (21%) and dissolved organic C (DOC) (12%), the activity of fluorescein diacetate hydrolase (FDAse) (10%), and microbial biomass (17%), but led to a decrease in microbial diversity (3%). In particular, increases in soil C components and microbial biomass further promote CO2 emission (25%) from soil, but with a much higher effect of MPs on these emissions than on soil C components and microbial biomass. The effect could be attributed to the opposite effects of MPs on microbial biomass vs. diversity, as soil MP accumulation recruited some functionally important bacteria and provided additional C substrates for specific heterotrophic microorganisms, while inhibiting the growth of autotrophic taxa (e.g., Chloroflexi, Cyanobacteria). This study reveals that MP pollution can increase soil CO2 emission by causing shifts in the soil microbiome. These results underscore the potential importance of plastic pollution for terrestrial C fluxes, and thus climate feedbacks.

Arbuscular mycorrhizal fungi attenuate negative impact of drought on soil functions.

Although positive effects of arbuscular mycorrhizal (AM) fungi on plant performance under drought have been well documented, how AM fungi regulate soil functions and multifunctionality requires further investigation. In this study, we first performed a meta-analysis to test the potential role of AM fungi in maintaining soil functions under drought. Then, we conducted a greenhouse experiment, using a pair of hyphal ingrowth cores to spatially separate the growth of AM fungal hyphae and plant roots, to further investigate the effects of AM fungi on soil multifunctionality and its resistance against drought. Our meta-analysis showed that AM fungi promote multiple soil functions, including soil aggregation, microbial biomass and activities of soil enzymes related to nutrient cycling. The greenhouse experiment further demonstrated that AM fungi attenuate the negative impact of drought on these soil functions and thus multifunctionality, therefore, increasing their resistance against drought. Moreover, this buffering effect of AM fungi persists across different frequencies of water supply and plant species. These findings highlight the unique role of AM fungi in maintaining multiple soil functions by mitigating the negative impact of drought. Our study highlights the importance of AM fungi as a nature-based solution to sustaining multiple soil functions in a world where drought events are intensifying.

The impact of fungi on soil protist communities in European cereal croplands.

Protists, a crucial part of the soil food web, are increasingly acknowledged as significant influencers of nutrient cycling and plant performance in farmlands. While topographical and climatic factors are often considered to drive microbial communities on a continental scale, higher trophic levels like heterotrophic protists also rely on their food sources. In this context, bacterivores have received more attention than fungivores. Our study explored the connection between the community composition of protists (specifically Rhizaria and Cercozoa) and fungi across 156 cereal fields in Europe, spanning a latitudinal gradient of 3000 km. We employed a machine-learning approach to measure the significance of fungal communities in comparison to bacterial communities, soil abiotic factors, and climate as determinants of the Cercozoa community composition. Our findings indicate that climatic variables and fungal communities are the primary drivers of cercozoan communities, accounting for 70% of their community composition. Structural equation modelling (SEM) unveiled indirect climatic effects on the cercozoan communities through a change in the composition of the fungal communities. Our data also imply that fungivory might be more prevalent among protists than generally believed. This study uncovers a hidden facet of the soil food web, suggesting that the benefits of microbial diversity could be more effectively integrated into sustainable agriculture practices.

Optimized lung expansion ventilation modulates ventilation-induced lung injury in preterm lambs.

INTRODUCTION: Preterm infants close to viability commonly require mechanical ventilation (MV) for respiratory distress syndrome. Despite commonly used lung-sparing ventilation techniques, rapid lung expansion during MV induces lung injury, a risk factor for bronchopulmonary dysplasia. This study investigates whether ventilation with optimized lung expansion is feasible and whether it can further minimize lung injury. Therefore, optimized lung expansion ventilation (OLEV) was compared to conventional volume targeted ventilation. METHODS: Twenty preterm lambs were surgically delivered after 132 days of gestation. Nine animals were randomized to receive OLEV for 24 h, and seven received standard MV. Four unventilated animals served as controls (NV). Lungs were sampled for histological analysis at the end of the experimental period. RESULTS: Ventilation with OLEV was feasible, resulting in a significantly higher mean ventilation pressure (0.7-1.3 mbar). Temporary differences in oxygenation between OLEV and MV did not reach clinically relevant levels. Ventilation in general tended to result in higher lung injury scores compared to NV, without differences between OLEV and MV. While pro-inflammatory tumor necrosis factor-α messenger RNA (mRNA) levels increased in both ventilation groups compared to NV, only animals in the MV group showed a higher number of CD45-positive cells in the lung. In contrast, mean (standard deviations) surfactant protein-B mRNA levels were significantly lower in OLEV, 0.63 (0.38) compared to NV 1.03 (0.32) (p = .023, one-way analysis of variance). CONCLUSION: In conclusion, a small reduction in pulmonary inflammation after 24 h of support with OLEV suggests potential to reduce preterm lung injury.

Cementless short stem total hip arthroplasty in patients older than 75 years: is it feasible?

BACKGROUND: In recent years, the indication for cementless short stem total hip arthroplasty (THA) has been widened to elderly patients as they might profit by the advantages of the short-curved implant design as well. Therefore, this study was conducted to evaluate the clinical and radiological outcome of a cementless short stem in elderly patients (≥ 75 years) compared to a young control group (≤ 60 years). METHODS: A retrospective cohort of 316 THAs performed between 2014 and 2017 was prospectively examined. In all patients a cementless, curved short stem and press-fit cup (Fitmore® stem; Allofit®/-S cup; both ZimmerBiomet, Warsaw, IN, USA) were implanted via a minimally-invasive anterolateral approach. Clinical and radiological outcome as well as rate of complications and revision were assessed. RESULTS: In total, 292 patients have been included for analysis of complications and revisions (Øfollow-up: 4.5 years) and 208 patients for clinical and radiological outcome (Øfollow-up: 4.4 years). Complication rate was significantly increased in elderly patients (13.7% vs. 5.8%, p = 0.023), while the revision rate was increased without statistical significance (5.2% vs. 2.2%, p = 0.169). Periprosthetic fractures occurred significantly higher in the elderly patients (5.2% vs. 0.7%; p = 0.026). Both groups showed a comparable clinical outcome in the Harris Hip Score (93.7 vs. 91.9; p = 0.224), Oxford Hip Score (44.5 vs. 43.7; p = 0.350), Forgotten Joint Score (81.7 vs. 81.5; p = 0.952) and WOMAC (7.4 vs. 9.3; p = 0.334). CONCLUSION: Cementless short stem total hip arthroplasty shows a comparable clinical and radiological outcome in patients over 75 years of age compared to younger patients under 60 years of age. However, cementless shorts stem THA shows an increased rate of overall complications and periprosthetic fractures in elderly patients over 75 years of age. Cemented fixation of the femoral component should be considered in patients over 75 years of age. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: III Case-controlled study. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Observational study without need for trial registration due to ICMJE criteria.

GRAIL1 stabilizes misfolded mutant p53 through a ubiquitin ligase-independent, chaperone regulatory function.

Frequent (>70%) TP53 mutations often promote its protein stabilization, driving esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) development linked to poor survival and therapy resistance. We previously reported that during Barrett's (BE) progression to EAC, an isoform switch occurs in the E3 ubiquitin ligase RNF128 (aka GRAIL - gene related to anergy in lymphocytes), enriching isoform 1 (hereby GRAIL1) and, stabilizing the mutant p53 protein. Consequently, GRAIL1 knockdown degrades mutant p53. But how GRAIL1 stabilizes the mutant p53 protein remains unclear. In search for a mechanism, here we performed biochemical and cell biology studies to identify that GRAIL has a binding domain (315-PMCKCDILKA-325) for Hsp40/DNAJ. This interaction can influence DNAJ chaperone activity to modulate misfolded mutant p53 stability. As predicted, either the overexpression of a GRAIL fragment (Frag-J) encompassing the DNAJ binding domain, or a cell permeable peptide (Pep-J) encoding the above 10 amino acids, can bind and inhibit DNAJ-Hsp70 co-chaperone activity thus degrading misfolded mutant p53. Consequently, either Frag-J or Pep-J can reduce the survival of mutant p53 containing dysplastic BE and EAC cells and inhibit growth of patient-derived dysplastic BE organoids (PDOs) in 3D cultures. The misfolded mutant p53 targeting and growth inhibitory effects of Pep-J is comparable to simvastatin, a cholesterol lowering drug, that can degrade misfolded mutant p53 also via inhibiting DNAJA1, although by a distinct mechanism. Implications: We identified a novel ubiquitin ligase independent, chaperone regulating domain in GRAIL and further synthesized a first-in-class novel misfolded mutant p53 degrading peptide having future translational potential.

MRI assessed placental volume and adverse pregnancy outcomes: Secondary analysis of prospective cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: Our goal was to evaluate the potential utility of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) placental volume as an assessment of placental insufficiency. METHODS: Secondary analysis of a prospective cohort undergoing serial placental MRIs at two academic tertiary care centers. The population included 316 participants undergoing MRI up to three times throughout gestation. MRI was used to calculate placental volume in milliliters (ml). Placental-mediated adverse pregnancy outcome (cAPO) included preeclampsia with severe features, abnormal antenatal surveillance, and perinatal mortality. Serial measurements were grouped as time point 1 (TP1) <22 weeks, TP2 22 0/7-29 6/7 weeks, and TP3 ≥30 weeks. Mixed effects models compared change in placental volume across gestation between cAPO groups. Association between cAPO and placental volume was determined using logistic regression at each TP with discrimination evaluated using area under receiver operator curve (AUC). Placental volume was then added to known clinical predictive variables and evaluated with test characteristics and calibration. RESULTS: 59 (18.7 %) of 316 participants developed cAPO. Placental volume growth across gestation was slower in the cAPO group (p < 0.001). Placental volume was lower in the cAPO group at all time points, and alone was moderately predictive of cAPO at TP3 (AUC 0.756). Adding placental volume to clinical variables had moderate discrimination at all time points, with strongest test characteristics at TP3 (AUC 0.792) with sensitivity of 77.5 % and specificity of 75.3 % at a predicted probability cutoff of 15 %. DISCUSSION: MRI placental volume warrants further study for assessment of placental insufficiency, particularly later in gestation.

Elevated levels of antibiotic resistance genes as a factor of human-caused global environmental change.

Antibiotic resistance genes (ARGs) have moved into focus as a critically important response variable in global change biology, given the increasing environmental and human health threat posed by these genes. However, we propose that elevated levels of ARGs should also be considered a factor of global change, not just a response. We provide evidence that elevated levels of ARGs are a global change factor, since this phenomenon is linked to human activity, occurs globally, and affects biota. We explain why ARGs could be considered the global change factor, rather than the organisms containing them; and we highlight the difference between ARGs and the presence of antibiotics, which are not necessarily linked since elevated levels of ARGs are caused by multiple factors. Importantly, shifting the perspective to elevated levels of ARGs as a factor of global change opens new avenues of research, where ARGs can be the experimental treatment. This includes asking questions about how elevated ARG levels interact with other global change factors, or how ARGs influence ecosystem processes, biodiversity or trophic relationships. Global change biology stands to profit from this new framing in terms of capturing more completely the real extent of human impacts on this planet.

Aligning spatial ecological theory with the study of clonal organisms: the case of fungal coexistence.

Established ecological theory has focused on unitary organisms, and thus its concepts have matured into a form that often hinders rather than facilitates the ecological study of modular organisms. Here, we use the example of filamentous fungi to develop concepts that enable integration of non-unitary (modular) organisms into the established community ecology theory, with particular focus on its spatial aspects. In doing so, we provide a link between fungal community ecology and modern coexistence theory (MCT). We first show how community processes and predictions made by MCT can be used to define meaningful scales in fungal ecology. This leads to the novel concept of the unit of community interactions (UCI), a promising conceptual tool for applying MCT to communities of modular organisms with indeterminate clonal growth and hierarchical individuality. We outline plausible coexistence mechanisms structuring fungal communities, and show at what spatial scales and in what habitats they are most likely to act. We end by describing challenges and opportunities for empirical and theoretical research in fungal competitive coexistence.

Small molecule FICD inhibitors suppress endogenous and pathologic FICD-mediated protein AMPylation.

The AMP transferase, FICD, is an emerging drug target finetuning stress signaling in the endoplasmic reticulum (ER). FICD is a bi-functional enzyme, catalyzing both AMP addition (AMPylation) and removal (deAMPylation) from the ER resident chaperone BiP/GRP78. Despite increasing evidence linking excessive BiP/GRP78 AMPylation to human diseases, small molecules to inhibit pathogenic FICD variants are lacking. Using an in-vitro high-throughput screen, we identify two small-molecule FICD inhibitors, C22 and C73. Both molecules significantly inhibit FICD-mediated BiP/GRP78 AMPylation in intact cells while only weakly inhibiting BiP/GRP78 deAMPylation. C22 and C73 also efficiently inhibit pathogenic FICD variants and improve proinsulin processing in ß cells. Our study identifies and validates FICD inhibitors, highlighting a novel therapeutic avenue against pathologic protein AMPylation.

FICD deficiency protects mice from hypertrophy-induced heart failure via BiP-mediated activation of the UPR ER and ER-phagy.

Cardiomyocytes require the HSP70 chaperone BiP to maintain proteostasis in the endoplasmic reticulum (ER) following cardiac stress. The adenylyl transferase (AMPylase) FICD is increasingly recognized to regulate BiP activity through the post-translational addition of an adenosine monophosphate moiety to BiP surface residues. However, the physiological impact of FICD-mediated BiP regulation in the context of cardiovascular health is unknown. Here, we find that FICD deficiency prevents pressure overload-associated heart failure, hypertrophy, and fibrosis, and that FICD knockout mice maintain normal cardiac function after cardiac pressure overload. At a cellular level, we observe that FICD-mediated BiP AMPylation blunts the induction of the unfolded protein response (UPR ER ) and impairs BiP interaction with FAM134B, an ER-phagy receptor, thus limiting ER-phagy induction under stress. In contrast, FICD loss significantly increases BiP-dependent UPR ER induction and ER-phagy in stressed cardiomyocytes. We also uncover cell type-specific consequences of FICD activity in response to ER stress, positioning FICD as a critical proteostasis regulator in cardiac tissue. Our results highlight a novel regulatory paradigm controlling stress resilience in cardiomyocytes and offer a rationale to consider FICD as a therapeutic target to treat cardiac hypertrophy.

Moving restoration ecology forward with combinatorial approaches.

Our current planetary crisis, including multiple jointly acting factors of global change, moves the need for effective ecosystem restoration center stage and compels us to explore unusual options. We here propose exploring combinatorial approaches to restoration practices: management practices are drawn at random and combined from a locally relevant pool of possible management interventions, thus creating an experimental gradient in the number of interventions. This will move the current degree of interventions to higher dimensionality, opening new opportunities for unlocking unknown synergistic effects. Thus, the high dimensionality of global change (multiple jointly acting factors) would be more effectively countered by similar high-dimensionality in solutions. In this concept, regional restoration hubs play an important role as guardians of locally relevant information and sites of experimental exploration. Data collected from such studies could feed into a global database, which could be used to learn about general principles of combined restoration practices, helping to refine future experiments. Such combinatorial approaches to exploring restoration intervention options may be our best hope yet to achieve decisive progress in ecological restoration at the timescale needed to mitigate and reverse the most severe losses caused by global environmental change.

TSWIFT, a novel method for iterative staining of embedded and mounted human brain sections.

Comprehensive characterization of protein networks in mounted brain tissue represents a major challenge in brain and neurodegenerative disease research. In this study, we develop a simple staining method, called TSWIFT, to iteratively stain pre-mounted formalin fixed, paraffin embedded (FFPE) brain sections, thus enabling high-dimensional sample phenotyping. We show that TSWIFT conserves tissue architecture and allows for relabeling a single mounted FFPE sample more than 10 times, even after prolonged storage at 4 °C. Our results establish TSWIFT as an efficient method to obtain integrated high-dimensional knowledge of cellular proteomes by analyzing mounted FFPE human brain tissue.

Giant Terahertz Birefringence in an Ultrathin Anisotropic Semimetal.

Manipulating the polarization of light at the nanoscale is key to the development of next-generation optoelectronic devices. This is typically done via waveplates using optically anisotropic crystals, with thicknesses on the order of the wavelength. Here, using a novel ultrafast electron-beam-based technique sensitive to transient near fields at THz frequencies, we observe a giant anisotropy in the linear optical response in the semimetal WTe2 and demonstrate that one can tune the THz polarization using a 50 nm thick film, acting as a broadband wave plate with thickness 3 orders of magnitude smaller than the wavelength. The observed circular deflections of the electron beam are consistent with simulations tracking the trajectory of the electron beam in the near field of the THz pulse. This finding offers a promising approach to enable atomically thin THz polarization control using anisotropic semimetals and defines new approaches for characterizing THz near-field optical response at far-subwavelength length scales.

ARTIS Pheno®: a potential tool for cochlear implant surgery.

PURPOSE: Cochlear implantation is a standard approach to hearing rehabilitation and encompasses three main stages: appropriate patient selection, a challenging surgical procedure, which should be as atraumatic as possible and preserve cochlear structures, and lifelong postoperative follow-up. Computed tomography (CT) is performed to assess postoperative implant position. The Siemens Advanced Radar Target Identification System (ARTIS) Pheno provides fluoroscopic imaging during surgery and has so far been mainly used by cardiologists, neurosurgeons and trauma surgeons. METHODS: Six patients with difficult anatomy or a challenging medical history were selected for a surgical procedure, during which we planned to use the ARTIS Pheno to accurately position and assess implant position under fluoroscopy during and immediately after surgery. In all six cases, the ARTIS Pheno was used directly in the surgical setting. The procedures were performed in cooperation with the neuroradiology department in an interdisciplinary manner. RESULTS: In all six patients, fluoroscopy was used to visualise the procedure at different stages of surgery. In five patients, the procedure was successfully completed. This approach allowed us to finally assess implant position and confirm the correct and complete insertion of the electrode while the patient was still under anaesthesia. CONCLUSION: These cases showed positive surgical outcomes. Although the procedure is more complex than a standard approach, patients can be managed in a safe, effective and appropriate manner. The assessment of implant position in real time during surgery leads to greater patient and surgeon satisfaction. The approach presented here ensures a high quality of cochlear implant surgery even in difficult surgical situations and meets the requirements of modern surgery.

A generalizable data-driven model of atrophy heterogeneity and progression in memory clinic settings.

Memory clinic patients are a heterogeneous population representing various aetiologies of pathological ageing. It is not known whether divergent spatiotemporal progression patterns of brain atrophy, as previously described in Alzheimer's disease patients, are prevalent and clinically meaningful in this group of older adults. To uncover distinct atrophy subtypes, we applied the Subtype and Stage Inference (SuStaIn) algorithm to baseline structural MRI data from 813 participants enrolled in the DELCODE cohort (mean ± standard deviation, age = 70.67 ± 6.07 years, 52% females). Participants were cognitively unimpaired (n = 285) or fulfilled diagnostic criteria for subjective cognitive decline (n = 342), mild cognitive impairment (n = 118) or dementia of the Alzheimer's type (n = 68). Atrophy subtypes were compared in baseline demographics, fluid Alzheimer's disease biomarker levels, the Preclinical Alzheimer Cognitive Composite (PACC-5) as well as episodic memory and executive functioning. PACC-5 trajectories over up to 240 weeks were examined. To test whether baseline atrophy subtype and stage predicted clinical trajectories before manifest cognitive impairment, we analysed PACC-5 trajectories and mild cognitive impairment conversion rates of cognitively unimpaired participants and those with subjective cognitive decline. Limbic-predominant and hippocampal-sparing atrophy subtypes were identified. Limbic-predominant atrophy initially affected the medial temporal lobes, followed by further temporal regions and, finally, the remaining cortical regions. At baseline, this subtype was related to older age, more pathological Alzheimer's disease biomarker levels, APOE ε4 carriership and an amnestic cognitive impairment. Hippocampal-sparing atrophy initially occurred outside the temporal lobe, with the medial temporal lobe spared up to advanced atrophy stages. This atrophy pattern also affected individuals with positive Alzheimer's disease biomarkers and was associated with more generalized cognitive impairment. Limbic-predominant atrophy, in all participants and in only unimpaired participants, was linked to more negative longitudinal PACC-5 slopes than observed in participants without or with hippocampal-sparing atrophy and increased the risk of mild cognitive impairment conversion. SuStaIn modelling was repeated in a sample from the Swedish BioFINDER-2 cohort. Highly similar atrophy progression patterns and associated cognitive profiles were identified. Cross-cohort model generalizability, at both the subject and the group level, was excellent, indicating reliable performance in previously unseen data. The proposed model is a promising tool for capturing heterogeneity among older adults at early at-risk states for Alzheimer's disease in applied settings. The implementation of atrophy subtype- and stage-specific end points might increase the statistical power of pharmacological trials targeting early Alzheimer's disease.