Large-Scale Whole-Genome Analysis of HTLV-1-Associated Myelopathy Identified Hereditary Spastic Paraplegias.

Objectives: Distinguishing human T-cell lymphotropic virus type 1 (HTLV-1)-associated myelopathy from hereditary spastic paraplegia in patients infected with HTLV-1 is challenging due to overlapping clinical symptoms. The aim of this study was to explore the possibility that hereditary spastic paraplegia is inherently present in patients diagnosed with HTLV-1-associated myelopathy. Methods: We performed whole-genome sequencing on 315 unrelated patients registered in the HTLV-1-Associated Myelopathy patient registry "HAM-net," from 2013 to 2022 in Japan. CSF inflammatory biomarkers, including CXCL10, were measured. Results: We identified 5 patients with pathogenic variants in the genes RTN2, SPAST, VCP, and UBAP1, which are the known causes of hereditary spastic paraplegia. These patients had no family history of hereditary spastic paraplegia. The levels of CSF inflammatory biomarkers were lower than expected in these patients, compared with disease severity. Discussion: Genetic analysis is useful for the differentiation of hereditary spastic paraplegia patients from HTLV-1-associated myelopathy patients, especially for the patients with low levels of CSF inflammatory markers. Here we report the presence of hereditary spinal cord diseases in patients diagnosed with HTLV-1-associated myelopathy and provides evidence that genetic analysis would be helpful in the diagnostic workflow.

A novel NODAL variant in a young embolic stroke patient with visceral heterotaxy.

BACKGROUND: Ischemic stroke in young adults can be caused by a variety of etiologies including the monogenic disorders. Visceral heterotaxy is a condition caused by abnormal left-right determinations during embryonic development. We aimed to determine the cause of a young ischemic stroke patient with visceral heterotaxy. CASE PRESENTATION: We performed neurological, radiological, and genetic evaluations in a 17-year-old male patient presenting ischemic stroke and visceral heterotaxy to determine the underlying cause of this rare disease combination. Brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) showed evidence of embolic stroke, abdominal computed tomography (CT) showed visceral heterotaxy, and echocardiogram showed cardiac anomaly with right-to-left-shunt (RLS). Whole genome sequencing (WGS) revealed a heterozygous missense variant (NM_018055.5: c.1016 T > C, p.(Met339Val)) in the NODAL gene, which is essential to the determination of the left-right body axis. CONCLUSIONS: Our study highlights the importance of evaluating genetic etiology in young ischemic stroke and the need for stroke risk management in visceral heterotaxy patients with RLS. To the best of our knowledge, we report the first genetically-confirmed case of visceral heterotaxy with young embolic stroke reported to date.

Assessing the efficacy of target adaptive sampling long-read sequencing through hereditary cancer patient genomes.

Innovations in sequencing technology have led to the discovery of novel mutations that cause inherited diseases. However, many patients with suspected genetic diseases remain undiagnosed. Long-read sequencing technologies are expected to significantly improve the diagnostic rate by overcoming the limitations of short-read sequencing. In addition, Oxford Nanopore Technologies (ONT) offers adaptive sampling and computationally driven target enrichment technology. This enables more affordable intensive analysis of target gene regions compared to standard non-selective long-read sequencing. In this study, we developed an efficient computational workflow for target adaptive sampling long-read sequencing (TAS-LRS) and evaluated it through application to 33 genomes collected from suspected hereditary cancer patients. Our workflow can identify single nucleotide variants with nearly the same accuracy as the short-read platform and elucidate complex forms of structural variations. We also newly identified several SINE-R/VNTR/Alu (SVA) elements affecting the APC gene in two patients with familial adenomatous polyposis, as well as their sites of origin. In addition, we demonstrated that off-target reads from adaptive sampling, which is typically discarded, can be effectively used to accurately genotype common single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) across the entire genome, enabling the calculation of a polygenic risk score. Furthermore, we identified allele-specific MLH1 promoter hypermethylation in a Lynch syndrome patient. In summary, our workflow with TAS-LRS can simultaneously capture monogenic risk variants including complex structural variations, polygenic background as well as epigenetic alterations, and will be an efficient platform for genetic disease research and diagnosis.

Urine oxygenation predicts COVID-19 risk.

Since February, 2023, the omicron variant has accounted for essentially all new coronavirus infections in Japan. If future infections involve mutant strains with the same level of infectivity and virulence as omicron, the government's basic policy will be to prevent the spread of infection, without compromising socioeconomic activities. Objectives include protecting pregnant women and elderly persons, and focusing on citizens requiring hospitalization and those at risk of serious illness, without imposing new social restrictions. Although the government tries to raise public awareness through education, most people affected by COVID-19 stay at home, and by the time patients become aware of the seriousness of their disease, it has often reached moderate or higher severity. In this review, we discuss why this situation persists even though the disease seems to have become milder with the shift from the delta variant to omicron. We also propose a pathophysiological method to determine the risk of severe illness. This assessment can be made at home in the early stages of COVID-19 infection, using urine analysis. Applicability of this method to drug discovery and development is also discussed.

Identification of region-specific gene isoforms in the human brain using long-read transcriptome sequencing.

In neurological and neuropsychiatric diseases, different brain regions are affected, and differences in gene expression patterns could potentially explain this mechanism. However, limited studies have precisely explored gene expression in different regions of the human brain. In this study, we performed long-read RNA sequencing on three different brain regions of the same individuals: the cerebellum, hypothalamus, and temporal cortex. Despite stringent filtering criteria excluding isoforms predicted to be artifacts, over half of the isoforms expressed in multiple samples across multiple regions were found to be unregistered in the GENCODE reference. We then especially focused on genes with different major isoforms in each brain region, even with similar overall expression levels, and identified that many of such genes including GAS7 might have distinct roles in dendritic spine and neuronal formation in each region. We also found that DNA methylation might, in part, drive different isoform expressions in different regions. These findings highlight the significance of analyzing isoforms expressed in disease-relevant sites.

Cost-Effective Cas9-Mediated Targeted Sequencing of Spinocerebellar Ataxia Repeat Expansions.

Hereditary repeat diseases are caused by an abnormal expansion of short tandem repeats in the genome. Among them, spinocerebellar ataxia (SCA) is a heterogeneous disease, and currently, 16 responsible repeats are known. Genetic diagnosis is obtained by analyzing the number of repeats through separate testing of each repeat. Although simultaneous detection of candidate repeats using current massively parallel sequencing technologies has been developed to avoid complicated multiple experiments, these methods are generally expensive. This study developed a cost-effective SCA repeat panel [Flongle SCA repeat panel sequencing (FLO-SCAp)] using Cas9-mediated targeted long-read sequencing and the smallest long-read sequencing apparatus, Flongle. This panel enabled the detection of repeat copy number changes, internal repeat sequences, and DNA methylation in seven patients with different repeat expansion diseases. The median (interquartile range) values of coverage and on-target rate were 39.5 (12 to 72) and 11.6% (7.5% to 16.5%), respectively. This approach was validated by comparing repeat copy number changes measured by FLO-SCAp and short-read whole-genome sequencing. A high correlation was observed between FLO-SCAp and short-read whole-genome sequencing when the repeat length was ≤250 bp (r = 0.98; P < 0.001). Thus, FLO-SCAp represents the most cost-effective method for conducting multiplex testing of repeats and can serve as the first-line diagnostic tool for SCA.

rs10924104 in the expression enhancer motif of CD58 confers susceptibility to human autoimmune diseases.

CD58 plays roles in cell adhesion and co-stimulation with antigen presentation from major histocompatibility complex class II on antigen-presenting cells to T-cell antigen receptors on naïve T cells. CD58 reportedly contributes to the development of various human autoimmune diseases. Recently, genome-wide association studies (GWASs) identified CD58 as a susceptibility locus for autoimmune diseases such as systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), multiple sclerosis (MS), and primary biliary cholangitis (PBC). However, the primary functional variant and molecular mechanisms of susceptibility to autoimmune diseases in the CD58 locus were not clarified. Here, rs10924104, located in the ZNF35-binding motif within the gene expression regulatory motif, was identified as the primary functional variant for SLE, MS, and PBC among genetic variants showing stronger linkage disequilibrium (LD) with GWAS-lead variants in the CD58 locus. Expression-quantitative trait locus (e-QTL) data for each distinct blood cell type and in vitro functional analysis using the CRISPR/Cas9 system corroborated the functional role of rs10924104 in the upregulation of CD58 transcription by the disease-risk allele. Additionally, the strength of disease susceptibility observed in the CD58 locus could be accounted for by the strength of LD between rs10924104 and each GWAS-lead variant. In conclusion, the present study demonstrated for the first time the existence of a shared autoimmune disease-related primary functional variant (i.e., rs10924104) that regulates the expression of CD58. Clarifying the molecular mechanism of disease susceptibility derived from such a shared genetic background is important for understanding human autoimmune diseases and human immunology.

Characteristics of patients with COVID-19 who have deteriorating chest X-ray findings within 48 h: a retrospective cohort study.

The severity of chest X-ray (CXR) findings is a prognostic factor in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). We investigated the clinical and genetic characteristics and prognosis of patients with worsening CXR findings during early hospitalization. We retrospectively included 1656 consecutive Japanese patients with COVID-19 recruited through the Japan COVID-19 Task Force. Rapid deterioration of CXR findings was defined as increased pulmonary infiltrates in ≥ 50% of the lung fields within 48 h of admission. Rapid deterioration of CXR findings was an independent risk factor for death, most severe illness, tracheal intubation, and intensive care unit admission. The presence of consolidation on CXR, comorbid cardiovascular and chronic obstructive pulmonary diseases, high body temperature, and increased serum aspartate aminotransferase, potassium, and C-reactive protein levels were independent risk factors for rapid deterioration of CXR findings. Risk variant at the ABO locus (rs529565-C) was associated with rapid deterioration of CXR findings in all patients. This study revealed the clinical features, genetic features, and risk factors associated with rapid deterioration of CXR findings, a poor prognostic factor in patients with COVID-19.

Exploring the genetic diversity of the Japanese population: Insights from a large-scale whole genome sequencing analysis.

The Japanese archipelago is a terminal location for human migration, and the contemporary Japanese people represent a unique population whose genomic diversity has been shaped by multiple migrations from Eurasia. We analyzed the genomic characteristics that define the genetic makeup of the modern Japanese population from a population genetics perspective from the genomic data of 9,287 samples obtained by high-coverage whole-genome sequencing (WGS) by the National Center Biobank Network. The dataset comprised populations from the Ryukyu Islands and other parts of the Japanese archipelago (Hondo). The Hondo population underwent two episodes of population decline during the Jomon period, corresponding to the Late Neolithic, and the Edo period, corresponding to the Early Modern era, while the Ryukyu population experienced a population decline during the shell midden period of the Late Neolithic in this region. Haplotype analysis suggested increased allele frequencies for genes related to alcohol and fatty acid metabolism, which were reported as loci that had experienced positive natural selection. Two genes related to alcohol metabolism were found to be 12,500 years out of phase with the time when they began to increase in the allele frequency; this finding indicates that the genomic diversity of Japanese people has been shaped by events closely related to agriculture and food production.

Genome-wide association analysis reveals the associations of NPHP4, TYW1-AUTS2 and SEMA6D for Behçet's disease and HLA-B*46:01 for its intestinal involvement.

BACKGROUND: Intestinal involvement in Behçet's disease (BD) is associated with poor prognosis and is more prevalent in East Asian than in Mediterranean populations. Identifying the genetic causes of intestinal BD is important for understanding the pathogenesis and for appropriate treatment of BD patients. METHODS: We performed genome-wide association studies (GWAS) and imputation/replication genotyping of human leukocyte antigen (HLA) alleles for 1,689 Korean and Turkish patients with BD (including 379 patients with intestinal BD) and 2,327 healthy controls, followed by replication using 593 Japanese patients with BD (101 patients with intestinal BD) and 737 healthy controls. Stratified cross-phenotype analyses were performed for 1) overall BD, 2) intestinal BD, and 3) intestinal BD without association of overall BD. RESULTS: We identified three novel genome-wide significant susceptibility loci including NPHP4 (rs74566205; P=1.36 × 10-8), TYW1-AUTS2 (rs60021986; P=1.14 × 10-9), and SEMA6D (rs4143322; P=5.54 × 10-9) for overall BD, and a new association with HLA-B*46:01 for intestinal BD (P=1.67 × 10-8) but not for BD without intestinal involvement. HLA peptide binding analysis revealed that Mycobacterial peptides, have a stronger binding affinity to HLA-B*46:01 compared to the known risk allele HLA-B*51:01. CONCLUSIONS: HLA-B*46:01 is associated with the development of intestinal BD; NPHP4, TYW1-AUTS2, and SEMA6D are susceptibility loci for overall BD.

Association between ABO blood group/genotype and COVID-19 in a Japanese population.

An association between coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and the ABO blood group has been reported. However, such an association has not been studied in the Japanese population on a large scale. Little is known about the association between COVID-19 and ABO genotype. This study investigated the association between COVID-19 and ABO blood group/genotype in a large Japanese population. All Japanese patients diagnosed with COVID-19 were recruited through the Japan COVID-19 Task Force between February 2020 and October 2021. We conducted a retrospective cohort study involving 1790 Japanese COVID-19 patients whose DNA was used for a genome-wide association study. We compared the ABO blood group/genotype in a healthy population (n = 611, control) and COVID-19 patients and then analyzed their associations and clinical outcomes. Blood group A was significantly more prevalent (41.6% vs. 36.8%; P = 0.038), and group O was significantly less prevalent (26.2% vs. 30.8%; P = 0.028) in the COVID-19 group than in the control group. Moreover, genotype OO was significantly less common in the COVID-19 group. Furthermore, blood group AB was identified as an independent risk factor for most severe diseases compared with blood group O [aOR (95% CI) = 1.84 (1.00-3.37)]. In ABO genotype analysis, only genotype AB was an independent risk factor for most severe diseases compared with genotype OO. Blood group O is protective, whereas group A is associated with the risk of infection. Moreover, blood group AB is associated with the risk of the "most" severe disease.

Demographic history of Ryukyu islanders at the southern part of the Japanese Archipelago inferred from whole-genome resequencing data.

The Ryukyu Islands are located in the southernmost part of the Japanese Archipelago and consist of several island groups. Each island group has its own history and culture, which differ from those of mainland Japan. People of the Ryukyu Islands are genetically subdivided; however, their detailed demographic history remains unclear. We report the results of a whole-genome sequencing analysis of a total of 50 Ryukyu islanders, focusing on genetic differentiation between Miyako and Okinawa islanders. We confirmed that Miyako and Okinawa islanders cluster differently in principal component analysis and ADMIXTURE analysis and that there is a population structure among Miyako islanders. The present study supports the hypothesis that population differentiation is primarily caused by genetic drift rather than by differences in the rate of migration from surrounding regions, such as the Japanese main islands or Taiwan. In addition, the genetic cline observed among Miyako and Okinawa islanders can be explained by recurrent migration beyond the bounds of these islands. Our analysis also suggested that the presence of multiple subpopulations during the Neolithic Ryukyu Jomon period is not crucial to explain the modern Ryukyu populations. However, the assumption of multiple subpopulations during the time of admixture with mainland Japanese is necessary to explain the modern Ryukyu populations. Our findings add insights that could help clarify the complex history of populations in the Ryukyu Islands.

HLA-DQA1*05 and upstream variants of PPARGC1B are associated with infliximab persistence in Japanese Crohn's disease patients.

Recently, the HLA-DQA1*05 (rs2097432) genetic variation has been reported to be linked to early infliximab (IFX) treatment failure in the Caucasian Crohn's disease (CD) population, but that evidence is scarce in the Asian population. This study aimed to investigate the relationship between rs2097432 and the cumulative discontinuation-free time of IFX (IFX persistence) in 189 Japanese biologics-naive CD patients. We also performed a genome-wide association study (GWAS) to discover novel genetic predictors for IFX persistence. The C allele of rs2097432 significantly increased the risk of early discontinuation of IFX [Hazard ratio (HR) = 2.23 and P-value = 0.026]. In GWAS, one locus tagged by rs73277969, located upstream of PPARGC1B which attenuates macrophage-mediated inflammation, reached genome-wide significance (HR = 6.04 and P-value = 7.93E-9). Pathway analysis suggested association of signaling by PDGF and FCGR activation signaling with IFX persistence (P-value = 8.56E-5 and 5.80E-4, respectively).

A case of hyperphosphatemic familial tumoral calcinosis due to maternal uniparental disomy of a GALNT3 variant.

Hyperphosphatemic familial tumoral calcinosis (HFTC) is a rare, inherited autosomal recessive disorder caused by fibroblast growth factor-23 (FGF23), N-acetylgalactosaminyltransferase 3 (GALNT3), or Klotho (KL) gene variants. Here, we report the case of a Japanese boy who presented with a mass in his left elbow at the age of three. Laboratory test results of the patient revealed normocalcemia (10.3 mg/dL) and hyperphosphatemia (8.7 mg/dL); however, despite hyperphosphatemia, serum intact FGF23 level was low, renal tubular reabsorption of phosphate (TRP) level was inappropriately increased, and 1,25-dihydroxyvitamin D3 (1,25(OH)2D3) level was inappropriately normal. Genetic analysis revealed maternal uniparental disomy (UPD) of chromosome 2, which included a novel GALNT3 variant (c.1780-1G>C). Reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) analysis of GALNT3 mRNA confirmed that this variant resulted in the destruction of exon 11. We resected the mass when the patient was five years old, owing to its gradual enlargement. No relapse or new pathological lesions were observed four years after tumor resection. This is the first case report of a Japanese patient with HFTC associated with a novel GALNT3 variant, as well as the first case of HFTC caused by maternal UPD of chromosome 2 that includes the GALNT3 variant.

Narcolepsy type I-associated DNA methylation and gene expression changes in the human leukocyte antigen region.

Narcolepsy type 1 (NT1) is caused by a loss of hypothalamic orexin-producing cells, and autoreactive CD4+ and CD8+ T cells have been suggested to play a role in the autoimmune mechanism. Although NT1 showed a strong association with human leukocyte antigen (HLA)-DQB1*06:02, the responsible antigens remain unidentified. We analyzed array-based DNA methylation and gene expression data for the HLA region in CD4+ and CD8+ T cells that were separated from the peripheral blood mononuclear cells of Japanese subjects (NT1, N = 42; control, N = 42). As the large number of SNPs in the HLA region might interfere with the affinity of the array probes, we conducted a comprehensive assessment of the reliability of each probe. The criteria were based on a previous study reporting that the presence of frequent SNPs, especially on the 3' side of the probe, makes the probe unreliable. We confirmed that 90.3% of the probes after general filtering in the HLA region do not include frequent SNPs, and are thus suitable for analysis, particularly in Japanese subjects. We then performed an association analysis, and found that several CpG sites in the HLA class II region of the patients were significantly hypomethylated in CD4+ and CD8+ T cells. This association was not detected when the effect of HLA-DQB1*06:02 was considered, suggesting that the hypomethylation was possibly derived from HLA-DQB1*06:02. Further RNA sequencing revealed reduced expression levels of HLA-DQB1 alleles other than HLA-DQB1*06:02 in the patients with NT1. Our results suggest the involvement of epigenetic and expressional changes in HLA-DQB1 in the pathogenesis of NT1.

Novel HLA allele associations with susceptibility, staging, symptomatic state, autoimmune hepatitis and hepatocellular carcinoma events for primary biliary cholangitis in the Japanese population.

Primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) is a rare autoimmune disease with a clear predisposition for human leukocyte antigen (HLA)-DR/DQ-associated loss of immune tolerance for the E2 component of the pyruvate dehydrogenase complex. Three-field-resolution HLA imputation of 1,670 Japanese PBC patients and 2,328 healthy controls was conducted using Japanese population-specific HLA reference panels. Eighteen previously reported Japanese PBC-associated HLA alleles were confirmed and extended to 3-field-resolution, including HLA-DRB1*08:03 to HLA-DRB1*08:03:02, HLA-DQB1*03:01 to HLA-DQB1*03:01:01, HLA-DQB1*04:01 to HLA-DQB1*04:01:01 and HLA-DQB1*06:04 to HLA-DQB1*06:04:01. In addition, additional significant novel HLA alleles were identified, including 3 novel susceptible HLA-DQA1 alleles: HLA-DQA1*03:03:01, HLA-DQA1*04:01:01, HLA-DQA1*01:04:01 and 1 novel protective HLA-DQA1 allele, HLA-DQA1*05:05:01. In addition, PBC patients carrying HLA-DRB1*15:01:01 and HLA-DQA1*03:03:01 would have a higher predisposition toward developing concomitant autoimmune hepatitis (AIH). Further, late-stage and symptomatic PBC shared the same susceptible HLA alleles of HLA-A*26:01:01, HLA-DRB1*09:01:02 and HLA-DQB1*03:03:02. Lastly, HLA-DPB1*05:01:01 was identified as a potential risk HLA allele for development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in PBC patients. In conclusion, we have extended the current knowledge of HLA allele associations to 3-field resolution and identified novel HLA allele associations with predisposition risk, staging, symptomatic state, and AIH and HCC events for Japanese PBC patients.

Genetic architecture of the inflammatory bowel diseases across East Asian and European ancestries.

Inflammatory bowel diseases (IBDs) are chronic disorders of the gastrointestinal tract with the following two subtypes: Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC). To date, most IBD genetic associations were derived from individuals of European (EUR) ancestries. Here we report the largest IBD study of individuals of East Asian (EAS) ancestries, including 14,393 cases and 15,456 controls. We found 80 IBD loci in EAS alone and 320 when meta-analyzed with ~370,000 EUR individuals (~30,000 cases), among which 81 are new. EAS-enriched coding variants implicate many new IBD genes, including ADAP1 and GIT2. Although IBD genetic effects are generally consistent across ancestries, genetics underlying CD appears more ancestry dependent than UC, driven by allele frequency (NOD2) and effect (TNFSF15). We extended the IBD polygenic risk score (PRS) by incorporating both ancestries, greatly improving its accuracy and highlighting the importance of diversity for the equitable deployment of PRS.

Development of a novel microarray data analysis tool without normalization for genotyping degraded forensic DNA.

Since the arrest of the Golden State Killer in the US in April 2018, forensic geneticists have been increasingly interested in the investigative genetic genealogy (IGG) method. While this method has already been in practical use as a powerful tool for criminal investigation, we have yet to know well the limitations and potential risks. In this current study, we performed an evaluation study focusing on degraded DNA using the Affymetrix Genome-Wide Human SNP Array 6.0 platform (Thermo Fisher Scientific). We revealed one of the potential problems that occur during SNP genotype determination using a microarray-based platform. Our analysis results indicated that the SNP profiles derived from degraded DNA contained many false heterozygous SNPs. In addition, it was confirmed that the total amount of probe signal intensity on microarray chips derived from degraded DNA decreased significantly. Because the conventional analysis algorithm performs normalization during genotype determination, we concluded that noise signals could be genotype-called. To address this issue, we proposed a novel microarray data analysis method without normalization (nMAP). Although the nMAP algorithm resulted in a low call rate, it substantially improved genotyping accuracy. Finally, we confirmed the usefulness of the nMAP algorithm for kinship inferences. These findings and the nMAP algorithm will make a contribution to the advance of the IGG method.

Use of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and an oxygen requirement to predict disease severity in patients with COVID-19.

We investigated the association between complete blood count, including neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in combination with patient characteristics, and coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outcomes to identify the best prognostic indicator. We analyzed data of patients with confirmed COVID-19 from the nationwide database of the Japan COVID-19 Task Force between February 2020 and November 2021. A composite outcome was defined as the most severe condition, including noninvasive positive-pressure ventilation, high-flow nasal cannula, invasive mechanical ventilation, extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, or death. Of 2425 patients in the analysis, 472 (19.5%) experienced a composite outcome. NLR was the best predictor of composite outcomes, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.81, and a sensitivity and specificity of 72.3% and 75.7%, respectively, using a cut-off value of 5.04. The combination of NLR and an oxygen requirement on admission had the highest AUC (0.88). This simple combination may help identify patients at risk of progression to severe disease.

Urinary L-Type Fatty Acid-Binding Protein Predicts Oxygen Demand of COVID-19 in Initially Mild Cases.

Early detection of illness trajectory in severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infected patients is crucial for patients and healthcare workers. An effective, noninvasive approach, with simple measurement for decision-making, is necessary in a pandemic to discriminate between high- and low-risk patients, even though both groups may exhibit mild symptoms in the beginning. OBJECTIVES: To predict COVID-19 disease severity within 10 days, distinguishing cases that will progress to moderate or severe versus mild, patient urinary L-type fatty acid-binding protein (L-FABP) was assayed within 4 days of receiving a diagnosis. The study also examined whether L-FABP point of care (POC) test is helpful in risk screening. DESIGN: Symptomatic subjects who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 and were hospitalized were prospectively enrolled at the National Center for Global Health and Medicine (NCGM), Yamanashi Prefectural Central Hospital (YPCH), and Sinai Hospital in Maryland. The outcome of each case was evaluated 7 days after admission and the diagnostic performance of L-FABP was assessed. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Subjects were treated for COVID-19 at public healthcare centers in Japan from January 31, 2020, to January 31, 2021, to NCGM, YPCH, and at Sinai Hospital in Baltimore, MD, during the same period. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The primary outcome was to determine whether urinary L-FABP within 48 hours of admission can predict the patient's severity of COVID-19 1 week later. We obtained demographic data, information on clinical symptoms, radiographic images, and laboratory data. RESULTS: Diagnostic performance was assessed using receiver operating characteristic analysis. Of the 224 participants in the study, 173 initially had a mild form of COVID-19. The area under the curve (AUC) for a severe outcome was 93.5%. L-FABP POC risk prediction of a severe outcome had an AUC of 88.9%. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Urinary L-FABP can predict patient risk of COVID-19 illness severity. L-FABP POC is implementable for patient management. (ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT04681040).